Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Aberdeen, SD

July 5, 2015Buffalo County, Lyman County, South Dakota

NWS Aberdeen, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 5, 2015, 10:12 PM CDT for Buffalo County, Lyman County, South Dakota. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 5, 2015, 10:12 PM CDT (03:12 UTC)
Expired: Jul 5, 2015, 10:34 PM CDT
In force: 22 min
Issued by: NWS Aberdeen, SD
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Buffalo County, SD, Lyman County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 186 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 5, 4:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1725 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1201 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 4.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Aberdeen, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 5, 6:22 PM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 6:22 PM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
622 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 309 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

CURRENT ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SURFACE LOW CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST
COLORADO/SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...WITH THE FRONT EXTENDING FROM ABOUT
PIERRE TO ABERDEEN TO GRAND FORKS. DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE MID 60S
TO LOW 70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND CURRENT ML CAPE VALUES HAVE
RISEN TO OVER 2000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. ALOFT...A 100+ KT JET STREAK
IS TRACKING ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA AND MODERATE TO STRONG
VORTICITY ADVECTION IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING 500 MB
TROUGH...WITH THE BEST FORCING BETWEEN 00Z-06Z. STORM MODE STILL
REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. HODOGRAPHS SHOW NICE CURVATURE IN THE
LOW LEVELS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT IT APPEARS THAT MOST
CONVECTION WILL BE BEHIND THE BOUNDARY WHERE HODOGRAPHS BECOME MORE
STRAIGHT LINE. HI RES MODELS ARE STILL SUGGESTING ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS FORM A MULTICELL LINE AND TRACK FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA. MODEL DCAPE REMAINS QUITE HIGH...SO
DAMAGING WINDS ARE CERTAINLY A THREAT...ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL.
HEAVY RAIN ALSO REMAINS A CONCERN GIVEN PWATS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL BE GREATER THAN 2 INCHES. THE LESSER THREAT LOOKS TO BE ANY
SORT OF TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT...HOWEVER CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED
SPIN UP ALONG THE LINE OF STORMS TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE
EASTERN CWA...BUT A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. IN FACT...BL DEWPOINTS ARE PROGGED TO BE IN THE 40S
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS SLOWLY MOVES EAST ON TUESDAY...MARKING
THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

EXTENDED PERIOD STARTS OFF WITH SHORTWAVE ENERGY TRACKING INTO THE
WESTERN DAKOTAS. EC IS A BIT MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH QPF AND SUGGESTING
A MORE ACTIVE SYSTEM COMPARED TO THE GFS. DID NOT STRAY TOO FAR FROM
SUPERBLEND POPS WHICH LIMITS CHANCES TO THE WESTERN CWA. PERIOD THEN
LOOKS MOSTLY DRY UNTIL PERHAPS THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND WHEN
MODELS TRY TO BRING ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY INTO THE AREA. 850
MB TEMPS GET RATHER WARM THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK INTO SATURDAY.
BUMPED UP HIGHS JUST ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 619 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER THE REGION THIS
EVENING...WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS IN ITS VICINITY. SOME POSSIBLY
SVR AT KPIR/KATY. OVERALL THOUGH VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
EXCEPT DURING ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...SERR
LONG TERM...TMT
AVIATION...TDK

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 4:27 AM CDT, 17 hours 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
427 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-060930-
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-CORSON-CAMPBELL-MCPHERSON-BROWN-MARSHALL-
ROBERTS-WALWORTH-EDMUNDS-DAY-DEWEY-POTTER-FAULK-SPINK-CLARK-
CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-
LYMAN-BUFFALO-
427 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG STORMS WILL CONTINUE EAST OF THE JAMES VALLEY EARLY THIS
MORNING. A FEW WEAK STORMS WILL ALSO DRIFT OUT OF NORTH DAKOTA
LATER THIS MORNING. SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS MUCH MORE LIKELY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH STRONG WINDS AND
HAIL THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CONNELLY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 5, 4:44 PM CDT, 5 hours 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
444 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1047 PM     HAIL             8 ENE LOWRY             45.37N  99.84W
07/04/2015  E1.00 INCH       WALWORTH           SD   PUBLIC

            HAIL LASTED 15 MINUTES AND STRIPPED SOME LEAVES OFF
            TREES

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1500528

VIPOND

Local storm report, Jul 5, 5:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
500 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 AM     HAIL             NORTHVILLE              45.16N  98.58W
07/05/2015  E1.00 INCH       SPINK              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL DAMAGED SOME TOMATO PLANTS AT RESIDENCE IN
            NORTHVILLE AND A CORN CROP JUST NORTH OF TOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1500529

VIPOND

Local storm report, Jul 5, 8:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
814 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0803 PM     HAIL             3 S CORONA              45.29N  96.77W
07/05/2015  E0.75 INCH       GRANT              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER ALSO REPORTED WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED AT 50 MPH

0810 PM     HAIL             1 S CORONA              45.32N  96.77W
07/05/2015  E0.88 INCH       GRANT              SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORN FIELD NEARBY HAS BEEN STRIPPED OF ITS LEAVES

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1500530
EVENT NUMBER ABR1500531

VIPOND

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
905 PM CDT SUN JUL 05 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 S GARDEN CITY         44.90N  97.58W
07/05/2015  M1.75 INCH       CLARK              SD   CO-OP OBSERVER

            RAINFALL DURATION WAS ABOUT 45 MINUTES LEADING TO
            STANDING WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1500531

VIPOND

The office that day

Everything else NWS Aberdeen, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 5, 7:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Jones, Lyman	51 min
Jul 5, 7:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Grant, Roberts	44 min
Jul 5, 8:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	ABR	Clark, Codington, Deuel, Grant, Hamlin	6 hr
Jul 5, 9:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABR	Lyman	63 min
Jul 5, 10:28 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABR	Codington, Deuel, Hamlin	6 hr
Jul 6, 4:37 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABR	Codington, Deuel, Hamlin	4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Dakota, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.