Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 314, NWS Albuquerque, NM

October 7, 2015De Baca County, Roosevelt County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 7, 2015, 2:58 PM MDT for De Baca County, Roosevelt County, New Mexico. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 7, 2015, 2:58 PM MDT (20:58 UTC)
Expired: Oct 7, 2015, 3:45 PM MDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties De Baca County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 236 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1537 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 7, 12:10 PM MDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 7, 12:10 PM MDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 7, 5:14 AM MDT, 9 hours 44 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
514 AM MDT WED OCT 7 2015

NMZ501>540-081200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
514 AM MDT WED OCT 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND MAY PRODUCE
ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL TO SEVERAL INCHES IN DEPTH...
ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN IS EFFECT TONIGHT DUE TO THE THREAT OF
HEAVY RAINFALL FROM NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND CHAVES COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN IS EFFECT THURSDAY DUE TO THE THREAT OF
HEAVY RAINFALL FROM NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND CHAVES COUNTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

11

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 7, 10:42 AM MDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 7, 11:05 AM MDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 7, 1:52 PM MDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
152 PM MDT WED OCT 7 2015

NMZ537-538-072030-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
152 PM MDT WED OCT 7 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DE BACA AND NORTH
CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM MDT...

AT 149 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 21 MILES NORTHWEST OF ELKINS...OR 35 MILES SOUTH
OF FORT SUMNER...AND ANOTHER 10 MILES WEST OF ELKINS...BOTH MOVING
NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THESE STORMS WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN DE
BACA AND NORTH CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTIES.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 3374 10402 3360 10420 3391 10435 3432 10425
      3424 10394 3423 10394
TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 197DEG 19KT 3397 10422

43

Special weather statement, Oct 7, 2:35 PM MDT, 23 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
235 PM MDT WED OCT 7 2015

NMZ536>538-072115-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
235 PM MDT WED OCT 7 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DE BACA...WEST
CENTRAL ROOSEVELT AND NORTH CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM
MDT...

AT 233 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 23 MILES NORTHWEST OF KENNA...OR 29 MILES SOUTH
OF FORT SUMNER...AND ANOTHER ONE 14 MILES NORTH OF ELKINS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA TO PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

THE STORMS WILL REMAIN MAINLY IN RURAL AREAS THROUGH 315 PM.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE
STORMS. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK
A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 3368 10405 3406 10422 3443 10411 3419 10376
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 217DEG 12KT 3407 10408

43

Special weather statement, Oct 7, 2:47 PM MDT, 11 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
247 PM MDT WED OCT 7 2015

NMZ536-072130-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
247 PM MDT WED OCT 7 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST
CENTRAL ROOSEVELT COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM MDT...

AT 247 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LINGO...OR 24 MILES WEST OF MORTON...MOVING
NORTH AT 15 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CAUSEY...LINGO AND ROGERS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 3369 10311 3376 10331 3404 10323 3410 10315
      3410 10314 3402 10304 3383 10305
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 202DEG 13KT 3380 10318

43

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 6, 6:15 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		30 min
Oct 6, 6:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves, Lincoln	29 min
Oct 6, 7:14 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Chaves	31 min
Oct 6, 7:19 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	26 min
Oct 6, 7:35 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	25 min
Oct 6, 7:37 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	23 min
Oct 6, 8:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	27 min
Oct 7, 3:40 AM MDT	Flash Flood Watch	ABQ		37 hr
Oct 7, 10:42 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		33 min
Oct 7, 11:05 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	25 min
Oct 7, 1:52 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	De Baca	38 min
Oct 7, 2:35 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	40 min
Oct 7, 2:47 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	43 min
Oct 7, 3:17 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	28 min
Oct 7, 3:49 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Curry	41 min
Oct 7, 4:09 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Curry, Roosevelt	111 min
Oct 7, 4:16 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Curry	44 min
Oct 7, 5:44 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	ABQ	Curry, Roosevelt	91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.