Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 309, NWS Albuquerque, NM

October 6, 2015Chaves County, Lincoln County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 6, 2015, 4:13 PM MDT for Chaves County, Lincoln County, New Mexico. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 6, 2015, 4:13 PM MDT (22:13 UTC)
Expired: Oct 6, 2015, 4:47 PM MDT
In force: 34 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Chaves County, NM, Lincoln County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 188 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1160 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 6, 3:38 PM MDT, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 3:38 PM MDT, 35 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 5:01 AM MDT, 11 hours 12 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
501 AM MDT TUE OCT 6 2015

NMZ501>540-071200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
501 AM MDT TUE OCT 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY. LARGE HAIL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. IN ADDITION...A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE
LIKELY ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. IN ADDITION...THE THREAT
FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TREND UP LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BECOME
NECESSARY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED FOR AREAS BETWEEN GLENWOOD...
SOCORRO AND CARRIZOZO.

11

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 2:34 PM MDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 6, 2:59 PM MDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 6, 3:23 PM MDT, 50 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 6, 3:30 PM MDT, 43 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 6, 4:07 PM MDT, 6 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 6, 4:11 PM MDT, 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
411 PM MDT TUE OCT 6 2015

NMZ507-062245-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
411 PM MDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CIBOLA AND
NORTHWESTERN VALENCIA COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 410 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACOMA PUEBLO...OR 19 MILES
SOUTH OF LAGUNA PUEBLO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAGUNA PUEBLO AND MESITA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 112 AND 127.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 3509 10738 3494 10708 3493 10711 3489 10712
      3487 10708 3482 10708 3464 10738 3472 10751
      3474 10751 3477 10754
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 216DEG 19KT 3476 10742

40

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 5, 6:20 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Valencia	25 min
Oct 6, 12:44 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	31 min
Oct 6, 1:10 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Bernalillo, Cibola, Valencia	2 hr
Oct 6, 1:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Valencia	46 min
Oct 6, 1:26 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	34 min
Oct 6, 2:16 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	29 min
Oct 6, 2:27 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	33 min
Oct 6, 2:34 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Guadalupe	56 min
Oct 6, 2:59 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Juan	31 min
Oct 6, 3:23 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	San Juan	22 min
Oct 6, 3:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	60 min
Oct 6, 3:35 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	40 min
Oct 6, 4:07 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Santa Fe	23 min
Oct 6, 4:11 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Valencia	34 min
Oct 6, 4:33 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Santa Fe	27 min
Oct 6, 4:40 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	35 min
Oct 6, 4:43 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Catron	32 min
Oct 6, 5:57 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ		33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.