Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 259, NWS Albuquerque, NM

August 17, 2015Guadalupe County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 17, 2015, 5:11 PM MDT for Guadalupe County, New Mexico. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 17, 2015, 5:11 PM MDT (23:11 UTC)
Expired: Aug 17, 2015, 6:00 PM MDT
In force: 49 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 2.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Guadalupe County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 131 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -246 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1819 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 17, 3:41 PM MDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 3:41 PM MDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 17, 5:21 AM MDT, 11 hours 50 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
521 AM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

NMZ501>540-181130-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
521 AM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING MAINLY FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS EASTWARD TO TEXAS LINE. HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZED AND
STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. OTHERWISE...ANY SLOW-
MOVING STORMS EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. STORM MOTION WILL
GENERALLY BE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH OR LESS. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL FAVOR EASTERN AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A MUCH DRIER AND WINDIER PATTERN WILL DEVELOPS TUESDAY WITH LARGELY
THUNDERSTORM FREE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
MONSOON MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO RETURN FRIDAY AND REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

33

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 17, 3:30 PM MDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 17, 3:39 PM MDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 17, 4:09 PM MDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
409 PM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

NMZ524>526-172245-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS-
409 PM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY
UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 409 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CLAUNCH...OR 21 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CORONA...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ANCHO.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3411 10600 3417 10580 3390 10563 3381 10600
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 354DEG 14KT 3405 10588

SHOEMAKE

Local storm report, Aug 17, 4:24 PM MDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
424 PM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             25 ENE FOLSOM           36.99N 103.50W
08/17/2015  E1.00 INCH       UNION              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1502370

JF

Special weather statement, Aug 17, 4:36 PM MDT, 35 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
436 PM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

NMZ530-172300-
UNION COUNTY-
436 PM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM MDT...

AT 436 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 21 MILES WEST OF KENTON...OR 28 MILES EAST OF DES
MOINES...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN UNION
COUNTY.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3680 10313 3681 10343 3682 10343 3697 10345
      3700 10331 3700 10319
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 262DEG 12KT 3689 10335

SHOEMAKE

Special weather statement, Aug 17, 4:58 PM MDT, 13 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
458 PM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

NMZ523-533-172330-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
458 PM MDT MON AUG 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN GUADALUPE AND EAST
CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM MDT...

AT 458 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER ENCINO...OR 14 MILES WEST OF VAUGHN...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VAUGHN...ENCINO AND DURAN.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 285 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 198 AND 203...AND
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 223 AND 224.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3461 10558 3474 10543 3453 10510 3434 10534
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 316DEG 20KT 3463 10545

34

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 16, 6:05 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Bernalillo, Sandoval	115 min
Aug 16, 6:12 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Union	33 min
Aug 16, 7:08 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Quay	37 min
Aug 17, 12:10 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Taos	35 min
Aug 17, 12:17 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Rio Arriba, Taos	43 min
Aug 17, 1:41 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Rio Arriba, Taos	34 min
Aug 17, 1:48 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	27 min
Aug 17, 1:52 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Mora	23 min
Aug 17, 1:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Rio Arriba	27 min
Aug 17, 2:15 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Mora	45 min
Aug 17, 2:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Mora, San Miguel	42 min
Aug 17, 2:48 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Mora	27 min
Aug 17, 3:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Mora, San Miguel	47 min
Aug 17, 3:32 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	28 min
Aug 17, 3:38 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Mora, San Miguel	112 min
Aug 17, 3:39 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	36 min
Aug 17, 3:57 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	48 min
Aug 17, 4:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	30 min
Aug 17, 4:02 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	28 min
Aug 17, 4:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	25 min
Aug 17, 4:09 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	36 min
Aug 17, 4:25 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Union	110 min
Aug 17, 4:28 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	47 min
Aug 17, 4:28 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe	47 min
Aug 17, 4:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, San Miguel	25 min
Aug 17, 4:36 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Union	24 min
Aug 17, 4:50 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	40 min
Aug 17, 4:58 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	32 min
Aug 17, 5:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	49 min
Aug 17, 5:29 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Guadalupe	31 min
Aug 17, 5:36 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Union	114 min
Aug 17, 5:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	De Baca, Guadalupe, Lincoln	49 min
Aug 17, 5:58 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	47 min
Aug 17, 5:59 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	De Baca	31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.