Red Flag Warning 18, NWS Las Vegas, NV

555 
WWUS85 KVEF 050353
RFWVEF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
853 PM PDT FRI JUL 4 2014

.MONSOON MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. STORMS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE MOISTURE PUSH
WILL LIKELY HAVE LITTLE RAIN AND NEW FIRE STARTS ARE A CONCERN. DRY
STORMS WILL BE A CONCERN MAINLY OVER LINCOLN COUNTY ON SATURDAY.

NVZ463-464-050500-
/O.EXP.KVEF.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140705T0400Z/
SHEEP RANGE-SPRING MOUNTAINS-
853 PM PDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR DRY
THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 463 AND 464...

AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL MAKE WETTING RAIN MORE LIKELY UNDER
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE FOR THE SHEEP RANGE AND SPRING MOUNTAINS.

$$

NVZ461-051200-
/O.CON.KVEF.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140706T0400Z/
LINCOLN COUNTY/ELY DISPATCH-
853 PM PDT FRI JUL 4 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 461...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN NEVADA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 461 LINCOLN 
  COUNTY/ELY DISPATCH.

* TIMING...A CHANCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY
  EVENING. SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE ONLY LIGHT RAIN...ALTHOUGH SOME
  STORMS IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE ZONE MAY TREND WETTER ON SATURDAY.

* WIND...ERRATIC AND GUSTY WITH STORMS...OTHERWISE SOUTH 10 TO 
  20 MPH. 

* HUMIDITY OR LAL...LAL OF 6 IN WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND
  15 PERCENT TO 20 PERCENT SATURDAY.

* IMPACTS...INCREASED LIKELIHOOD OF NEW FIRE STARTS WITH 
  CONTAINMENT ISSUES DUE TO STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE FIRE
WEATHER OFFICIALS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS

218 
WWUS85 KVEF 051033
RFWVEF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
333 AM PDT SAT JUL 5 2014

.MONSOON MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY. STORMS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE MOISTURE PUSH WILL
LIKELY HAVE LITTLE RAIN AND NEW FIRE STARTS ARE A CONCERN ACROSS
LINCOLN COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.

NVZ461-060400-
/O.CON.KVEF.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140706T0400Z/
LINCOLN COUNTY/ELY DISPATCH-
333 AM PDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 461...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN NEVADA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 461 LINCOLN 
  COUNTY/ELY DISPATCH.

* TIMING...A CHANCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE ONLY LIGHT RAIN...ALTHOUGH SOME
  STORMS IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE ZONE MAY TREND WETTER THROUGH
  THE DAY.

* WIND...ERRATIC AND GUSTY WITH STORMS...OTHERWISE SOUTH 10 TO 
  20 MPH. 

* HUMIDITY OR LAL...LAL OF 6 IN WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
  AROUND 15 PERCENT TO 20 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...INCREASED LIKELIHOOD OF NEW FIRE STARTS WITH 
  CONTAINMENT ISSUES DUE TO STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE FIRE
WEATHER OFFICIALS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS

839 
WWUS85 KVEF 052225
RFWVEF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
325 PM PDT SAT JUL 5 2014

NVZ461-052330-
/O.CAN.KVEF.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140706T0400Z/
LINCOLN COUNTY/ELY DISPATCH-
325 PM PDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 461...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAS VEGAS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

HIGHER HUMIDITY HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA AND STORMS ARE NOW
PRODUCING MORE RAINFALL. LIGHTNING CAN STILL CREATE NEW WILDFIRES
UNDER THIS SCENARIO. HOWEVER THE WIDESPREAD THREAT OF WILDFIRE
STARTS HAS ENDED.

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
430 AM PDT FRI JUL 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MONSOON MOISTURE WILL PUSH INTO NORTHWEST ARIZONA TODAY
AND SPREAD FARTHER NORTHWEST OVER THE WEEKEND...BRINGING INCREASING
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND DECREASING TEMPERATURES A FEW MORE
DEGREES. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE AT LEAST
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT...SMALL THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER
FAR SOUTHEAST MOHAVE COUNTY ON THE DECREASE EARLY THIS MORNING AS
LIGHTNING COUNTS ARE ON THE WAY DOWN. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT
ORIGINATED FROM THIS COMPLEX HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST INTO SAN
BERNARDINO AND CLARK COUNTIES PRODUCING GUSTS GENERALLY AROUND 40
MPH ALONG WITH KICKING UP SOME DUST AT TIMES. SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE
SURGED INTO THE MID 50S TO MID 60S.

DOOR WILL REMAIN OPEN FOR MOISTURE TO CONTINUE STREAMING NORTHWARD
AS MODELS SHOW A SOUTHEAST FLOW BETWEEN SOUTHERN ROCKIES RIDGE AND
TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA PROGGED TO MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN
MOHAVE AND EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
HAVE GONE AHEAD AND INCREASED POPS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT GENERALLY
SOUTH AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 15. NORTH AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 15
LOOK FOR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES BUT BREEZY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THE AMOUNT OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
SATURDAY WILL LARGELY DEPEND ON THE AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION
TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE LATEST MODELS INDICATE AN INVERTED
TROUGH...CURRENTLY VISIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA...WILL
SLOWLY EDGE NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEVADA BY THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL
SUPPLY A SURGE OF MOISTURE...WITH PWS TOPPING OUT AROUND 1.4 INCHES
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...A LITTLE DRIER
FARTHER NORTH. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL ALSO INCREASE SHEAR A BIT...WITH
BULK SHEAR VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS IN THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD BE ON
THE STRONG SIDE WITH STRONG WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. AS WE
CONTINUE TO MOISTEN...WE SHOULD TRANSITION TO HEAVY RAIN BEING THE
MAIN THREAT. WITH THIS SYSTEM HANGING AROUND THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY
EXPECT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH IT
BEING A LITTLE DRIER TO OUR NORTH...WILL CONTINUE THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR SATURDAY. IF MOISTURE QUICKLY SPREADS FARTHER NORTH...THE
THREAT OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO COOL FOR THE WEEKEND WITH THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND
CLOUD COVER.

.LONG TERM....MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AGREE
THAT THE MONSOONAL FLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE AND MOISTURE REMAINS
ENTRAINED OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. MODEL MOISTURE, INSTABILITY PARAMETERS INCLUDING
PW, 850 DEW POINT TEMP, 850-500MB THETA E, LIFTED INDICES AND CAPE
REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EACH DAY ESPECIALLY
IN MOHAVE, EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO, CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES. IN
ADDITION, ANY EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE FLOW COULD PROVIDE
INCREASED DYNAMICS FOR OVERNIGHT STORMS AS WELL ON ANY GIVEN DAY. IT
IS LESS CERTAIN HOW MUCH FURTHER WEST THE MOISTURE MAY GET AND COULD
DEPEND ON DECAYING T-STORMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW. THE WESTERN
AREAS OF THE CWA WERE GENERALLY LIMITED TO SLIGHT CHANCES. THE ECMWF
OPERATIONAL MOS GUIDANCE THAT HAD BEEN SUGGESTING HIGH TEMPERATURES
IN VEGAS NEAR EXCESSIVE HEAT CRITERIA ON MONDAY HAS NOW BACKED WAY
OFF AND IS MORE IN LINE WITH THE MEX GUIDANCE NUMBERS. ALTHOUGH, ITS
ENSEMBLE HIGH MEMBER IS STILL AT OR ABOVE EXCESSIVE HEAT LIMITS
THROUGH THE LONG TERM. HAVE CONTINUED TO SHY AWAY FROM THESE HOTTER
NUMBERS WITH ALL THE MOISTURE THAT IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
LEADING EDGE OF A PUSH OF MONSOON MOISTURE SATURDAY. THIS AREA IS
EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS THE SPRING MOUNTAINS AND SHEEP RANGE AND
LINCOLN COUNTY. WILL CONTINUE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THIS AREA.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 KTS WILL SET IN
BETWEEN 15-19Z TODAY BEFORE GOING SOUTHWEST 10-12 KTS WITH GUSTS
AROUND 20 KTS THIS AFTERNOON. MONSOON MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST TODAY WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS PUSHING INTO THE PEACH SPRINGS CORRIDOR AND POSSIBLY
OVER THE SPRING MOUNTAINS. OUTFLOW FROM THESE STORMS COULD BRING
ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO THE TERMINAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CONTINUED MOISTURE INCREASE WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE TERMINAL PERHAPS AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT BREEZY SOUTH WINDS LATER TODAY WITH GUSTS TO 25
KTS. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST TODAY WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF MOHAVE COUNTY
INTO EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO AND SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTIES. ERRATIC AND
GUSTY WINDS NEAR STORMS ALONG WITH CEILING DOWN TO 8-10 KFT.
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE BY SATURDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF MOHAVE...CLARK AND
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
&&

PIERCE/PADDOCK/SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
502 AM PDT FRI JUL 4 2014

AZZ001>003-036-CAZ523>527-NVZ015>022-050315-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-NORTHWEST DESERTS-
LAKE MEAD NATIONAL RECREATION AREA-WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT-
EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT-MORONGO BASIN-CADIZ BASIN-
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY-UPPER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-LINCOLN COUNTY-
NORTHEAST CLARK COUNTY-WESTERN CLARK AND SOUTHERN NYE COUNTY-
SHEEP RANGE-SPRING MOUNTAINS-LAS VEGAS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTY-
502 AM PDT FRI JUL 4 2014 /502 AM MST FRI JUL 4 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
ARIZONA...CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED. AN ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHERN LINCOLN AND NORTHERN CLARK COUNTIES. BLOWING DUST
IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE LOWER
DESERTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWEST THROUGH AT LEAST
SUNDAY AND REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK. THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE FLASH FLOODING...ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING FOR MOST OF THE AREA. AS THE MOISTURE PUSHES NORTH THERE
WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE OF DRY LIGHTNING AND NEW FIRE STARTS OVER
PORTIONS OF CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH CONTINUES FOR THESE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CAZ519>522-NVZ014-050315-
EASTERN SIERRA SLOPES-OWENS VALLEY-WHITE MOUNTAINS OF INYO COUNTY-
DEATH VALLEY NATIONAL PARK-ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTY-
502 AM PDT FRI JUL 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AND
SOUTHERN NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TEMPERATURES WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY LESS HOT TODAY THAN THE PREVIOUS
FEW DAYS. CONTINUE TO STAY COOL AND HYDRATED TO BEAT THE HEAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

MONSOON MOISTURE MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE FLASH FLOODING...ERRATIC
GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING FOR MOST OF THE AREA...BUT A FEW
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND WILDFIRE STARTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
INYO...ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTIES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.