Areal Flood Warning 2, NWS Las Vegas, NV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
250 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MONSOON MOISTURE OVER MOST OF THE REGION WILL
RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRIER AIR WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE IN FROM THE WEST STARTING THURSDAY WITH THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES CONFINED TO MOHAVE COUNTY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AND AREA WIDE DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH FRIDAY...
MOST INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A
LINE FROM SOUTH CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY EXTENDING NORTHEAST
INTO WESTERN CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES. THESE STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
ALONG THE MOIST/DRY AIR INTERFACE AS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.
LOOKS TO BE A QUITE EVENING FOR MUCH OF INYO...ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL
NYE COUNTIES.

AS FOR ARIZONA. SEVERAL CIRCULATIONS NOTED ON SATELLITE OVER THE
GRAND CANYON STATE. ONE WAS OVER NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY AND SHOULD
BE MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST UTAH OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS. A SECOND WAS
OVER SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...OR JUST TO THE WEST OF GILA BEND. STARTING
TO SEE A SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
FEATURE OVER SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY. THE DISTURBANCE IS PROGGED TO
LIFT NORTH ACROSS WESTERN ARIZONA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING
PROVIDING ADDITIONAL DYNAMICS TO AN ALREADY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
THE TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH
ENOUGH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY EAST OF A LINE FROM MORONGO VALLEY TO
PAHRUMP TO RACHEL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR
WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST LIMITING THE THREAT FOR ANY STORMS TO
MAINLY MOHAVE COUNTY.

WILL LEAVE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS IS AND ALLOW THE MID SHIFT TO
MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...DEEPER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOONAL FLOW PUSHES EAST OF THE AREA AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DWINDLE BY THE WEEKEND. MODELS HINT AT A WEAK
RETURN OF MOISTURE TO START THE WORK WEEK BUT CONFINE IT TO MAINLY
THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF MOHAVE COUNTY. WITH LESS EXPECTED CLOUD
COVER AND A DRIER AIRMASS IN PLACE, TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN TO
SEASONAL LEVELS FOR A WARM AND DRY MID AUGUST WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CONVECTION SHOULD IMPACT ALL CORRIDORS
THIS EVENING...THEN PRIMARILY THE MORMON MESA AND PEACH SPRINGS
CORRIDORS INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWEST
OF LAS VEGAS COULD AFFECT THE TERMINALS THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. CEILINGS COULD LWR TO 6
KFT WITH VSBYS BRIEFLY REDUCED BY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. AFTER
WEDNESDAY MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BECOME MORE
ISOLATED.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED-BROKEN CLOUDS ALONG WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL FAVOR TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS THROUGH
...EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CEILINGS COULD LOWER TO 5 KFT WITH
VSBYS REDUCED BY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT INSTANCES OF
FLASH FLOODING...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...AND BLOWING DUST TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...PIERCE
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
913 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNW TOPOCK            34.73N 114.48W
08/12/2014                   MOHAVE             AZ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MOHAVE COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS TOPOCK HIGHWAY CLOSED
            BETWEEN MM4 AND INTERSTATE 40 DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

WOLCOTT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
920 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     FLASH FLOOD      13 W MOHAVE (AZM20)     34.94N 114.84W
08/12/2014                   SAN BERNARDINO     CA   PUBLIC

            SPOTTER REPORTED ROUTE 66 IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING.
            FROM SPOTTER NETWORK REPORT.

&&

WOLCOTT

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