Alert archive / Arizona / Special Weather Statements in 2014
Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ
NWS Tucson, AZ issued this special weather statement at Jul 3, 2014, 3:55 PM MST for Greenlee County, Arizona. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2014, 3:55 PM MST (22:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 3, 2014, 4:30 PM MST
- In force
- 35 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tucson, AZ
County Greenlee County, AZ
The radar
The Tucson radar (KEMX), 167 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 264 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 303 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -150 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1540 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 7 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -14 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 3, 2:00 PM MST, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 2:00 PM MST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
200 PM MST THU JUL 3 2014
.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
FRIDAY AS MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA. THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXISTS...AND BLOWING DUST MAY HAPPEN WEST TO
NORTHWEST OF TUCSON INTO THIS EVENING. THEREAFTER...SCATTERED MAINLY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...ADEQUATE MOISTURE AS PER BLENDED TOTAL PRECIP WATER
VALUES AVERAGING NEARLY 1.30 INCHES AND FAIRLY DECENT ELY STEERING
FLOW WILL PROVIDE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/TSTMS INTO THIS
EVENING. ONE CONCERN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL
THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD BLOWING DUST. THUS...A BLOWING DUST
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT INTO THIS EVENING FOR PIMA/SANTA CRUZ/SOUTH
CENTRAL PINAL COUNTIES. SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DECREASE
IN COVERAGE LATE TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/
TSTMS FRI MORNING.
THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW IS PROGGED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY SELY
FRI WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CENTERED OVER NWRN NEW MEXICO. VARIOUS
NWP MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS FRI
AFTERNOON WOULD BE SOUTH-TO-WEST OF TUCSON AS WELL AS ACROSS THE
WHITE MOUNTAINS. THERE MAY BE SOME LIMITED DRYING ENCROACHING UPON
FAR SERN SECTIONS. AT ANY RATE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/TSTMS
SHOULD OCCUR AGAIN FRI AFTERNOON/EVENING FOLLOWED BY DECREASING
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY LATE FRI NIGHT.
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE WRN CONUS INTO THE SRN
CONUS PLAINS IS PROGGED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THIS WEEKEND AND
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THERE SHOULD BE NO APPRECIABLE CHANGE
IN MOISTURE ACROSS SE AZ SAT-THUR. 03/12Z GFS/ECMWF GAVE NO CLEAR
INDICATION REGARDING ENHANCED CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE DAYS VERSUS
REDUCED DAILY COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS. THUS...EXPECT SCATTERED
MOSTLY AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS/TSTMS ESPECIALLY EAST AND SOUTH OF
TUCSON...WITH SOMEWHAT LESSER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM TUCSON
WWD/NWWD. HIGH TEMPS WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE A FEW DEGS BELOW NORMAL
INTO NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION...VALID THRU 05/00Z.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSRA/SHRA WILL OCCUR INTO THIS EVENING
FOLLOWED BY DECREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. SCATTERED TSRA/SHRA WILL RETURN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
EXPECT MVFR VISIBILITIES WITH +TSRA...AS WELL AS POTENTIAL WIND
GUSTS TO ABOUT 45 KTS. OTHERWISE...CLOUD DECKS WILL BE AROUND 8-15K
FT AGL. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR INTO
THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY DECREASING COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WITH THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. THEREAFTER...MOISTURE WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO
PROVIDE SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLOWING DUST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
AZZ501>505-515.
&&
VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
FRANCISIn the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 1:55 PM MST, 2 hours before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 155 PM MST THU JUL 3 2014 AZZ502-503-515-032145- BABOQUIVARI MOUNTAINS INCLUDING KITT PEAK AZ-TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION INCLUDING SELLS AZ-UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND ALTAR VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ- 155 PM MST THU JUL 3 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 245 PM MST... AT 146 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES WEST OF TUBAC...OR 22 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREEN VALLEY...MOVING WEST AT 35 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...JUNCTION OF HIGHWAY 286 AND ARIVACA ROAD AND ARIVACA. LAT...LON 3153 11166 3173 11165 3171 11118 3154 11118 TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 096DEG 32KT 3161 11134
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 3:55 PM MST, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 355 PM MST THU JUL 3 2014 AZZ509-510-032330- UPPER GILA RIVER AND ARAVAIPA VALLEYS INCLUDING CLIFTON/SAFFORD AZ-WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES INCLUDING HANNAGAN MEADOW AZ- 355 PM MST THU JUL 3 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN GREENLEE AND EASTERN GRAHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM MST... AT 348 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLIFTON...OR 32 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAFFORD...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 35 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH BLOWING DUST. BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CLIFTON...MORENCI...GUTHRIE... DUNCAN AND FRANKLIN. LAT...LON 3261 10929 3313 10960 3330 10906 3263 10907 TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 054DEG 30KT 3306 10928
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 6:23 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Santa Cruz | 37 min |
| Jul 3, 9:48 AM MST | Blowing Dust Advisory | TWC | Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz | 9 hr |
| Jul 3, 1:55 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 50 min | |
| Jul 3, 4:43 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Graham | 47 min |
| Jul 3, 4:58 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Pima | 47 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Arizona, 2014Every special weather statement in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.