Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

October 5, 2014Muskogee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Oct 5, 2014, 11:36 PM CDT for Muskogee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 5, 2014, 11:36 PM CDT (04:36 UTC)
Expired: Oct 6, 2014, 12:15 AM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Muskogee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 321 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -160 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2072 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 144 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 5, 9:14 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 5, 9:14 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
914 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2014

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG WITH AN OCCASIONAL
THUNDERSTORM IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER SPEED MAX
CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO FAR NE OK THIS EVENING. COULD
SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY GIVEN THE
RELATIVELY DRY LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS IN PLACE.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATER
TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF SE OK/WRN AR WHERE LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE HAS BEEN INCREASING. SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

TWEAKED POPS SOME THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING...OTHERWISE FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   57  82  60  89 /  20  10  10   0
FSM   58  81  61  85 /  40  30  30  10
MLC   61  84  64  88 /  20  20  20   0
BVO   50  80  51  87 /  20  10  10   0
FYV   54  76  54  85 /  20  20  20  10
BYV   57  76  57  83 /  20  20  20   0
MKO   56  82  60  87 /  20  20  20   0
MIO   51  76  56  85 /  20  10  10   0
F10   57  84  60  89 /  20  20  10   0
HHW   60  84  65  87 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....99

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 5, 10:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1023 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1022 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA MOVING QUICKLY TO THE SOUTHEAST.
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW OF THESE STORMS TO
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...AND THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL PERSIST INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS THE STORMS
SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HIGHEST STORM COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
STORMS THAT DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL CARRY A LIMITED SEVERE
POTENTIAL...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS BEING
THE MAIN RISKS.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AGAIN TOWARDS THE
LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL POSSIBLE
LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 5, 10:11 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1011 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2014

OKZ064-060345-
CREEK OK-
1011 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1045 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CREEK

AT 1011 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHEAST
OF OILTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BRISTOW...OILTON...SILVER CITY AND
KELLYVILLE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3616 9656 3616 9645 3593 9609 3576 9635
      3604 9663 3613 9663
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 314DEG 37KT 3609 9652

Special weather statement, Oct 5, 11:36 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1136 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2014

OKZ067-070-060515-
MUSKOGEE OK-WAGONER OK-
1136 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN MUSKOGEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN WAGONER

AT 1137 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER JAMESVILLE...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY
THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHOSKA...TULLAHASSEE...MUSKOGEE...KEEFETON...
SUMMIT...JAMESVILLE...TAFT...FORT GIBSON AND HASKELL.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3588 9565 3579 9516 3559 9534 3574 9576
TIME...MOT...LOC 0437Z 302DEG 38KT 3576 9561

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 5, 10:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	34 min
Oct 5, 10:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek	24 min
Oct 5, 10:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa	45 min
Oct 5, 11:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	22 min
Oct 5, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	46 min
Oct 5, 11:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee	33 min
Oct 6, 12:00 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee	45 min
Oct 6, 12:26 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell, Sequoyah	34 min
Oct 6, 12:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore	37 min
Oct 6, 1:30 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	LeFlore	45 min
Oct 6, 1:50 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	40 min
Oct 6, 1:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	45 min
Oct 6, 1:17 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	28 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.