Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1153 PM CDT WED AUG 6 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
FOR THE 6Z TAFS... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
SOUTHWARD IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS LOOK TO AFFECT NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
SITES WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REACH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SITES BEFORE SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 929 PM CDT WED AUG 6 2014/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN KS
WITHIN BASE OF MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS. IDEA REMAINS THAT THIS
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD AND EVENTUALLY
INTO NE OK / NW AR OVERNIGHT. UPDATED FORECAST WILL INCREASE
PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS THESE AREAS. ALL OTHER ELEMENTS REMAIN ON
TRACK.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
510 PM CDT WED AUG 6 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
510 PM CDT WED AUG 6 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...PRIMARILY NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM TULSA TO FORT SMITH.
	ONSET...ONGOING AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING...IMPROVING AFTER SUNSET.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...
AND ALSO PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  STRONG INSTABILITY
REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL SUPPORT A LIMITED RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
WEATHER CONCERN.  ADDITIONALLY...HOT AND HUMID WEATHER CONTINUES
ACROSS THE REGION WITH HEAT INDEX VALUE AROUND 100 DEGREES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT
POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL GRADUALLY SAG SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  THIS
BOUNDARY WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.
A SLIGHTLY STRONGER FRONT WILL PUSH FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE
REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AND AGAIN SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.  NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED WITH
THE FRONTS...THUS HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
235 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

OKZ056>058-063-070815-
CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-NOWATA OK-OTTAWA OK-
235 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 315 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CRAIG...NORTHERN DELAWARE...NOWATA AND OTTAWA

AT 235 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM COMMERCE TO PYRAMID CORNERS TO JUST SOUTH OF
DELAWARE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...BERNICE...NOWATA...DELAWARE...LENAPAH...MIAMI...COMMERCE...
AFTON...FAIRLAND...NARCISSA...WYANDOTTE...OTTAWA...PEORIA...QUAPAW...
CARDIN...PICHER...VINITA...WHITE OAK...CENTRALIA...HOLLOW...PYRAMID
CORNERS...BLUEJACKET...CENTRAILIA...WELCH...BERNICE STATE PARK AND
TWIN BRIDGES STATE PARK.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3661 9463 3660 9544 3676 9580 3700 9541
      3700 9463
TIME...MOT...LOC 0735Z 291DEG 24KT 3695 9489 3679 9518
          3675 9564