Heat Advisory 5, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
407 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WILL LET THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUE UNTIL 8 PM AS A FEW
SPOTS ARE JUST TOUCHING THE 105 HEAT INDEX THRESHOLD. THE HEAT
WILL BUILD SATURDAY WITH A LARGER PART OF THE FORECAST AREA SEEING
HEAT INDEX VALUES AT OR ABOVE 105. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
SUNDAY IN MANY PLACES SO WILL UPGRADE THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH TO
A WARNING FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AND ISSUE A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR MANY OTHER PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND THE
ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY.

THE MUCH ANTICIPATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY ACCOMPANIED BY AT LEAST ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANY STORM LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.

MUCH COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BEHIND THE
FRONT FOR ALL OF NEXT WEEK AND POSSIBLY BEYOND AS AN UPPER TROF
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE JUST TO OUR EAST. DISTURBANCES TRAVELING
SOUTH DOWN THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN PERIODIC
RAIN CHANCES...WITH THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TIME PERIOD
LOOKING LIKE THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR RAINFALL IN OUR FORECAST
AREA.

WITH THE COOL END TO THE MONTH...IT APPEARS THAT BOTH TULSA AND
FORT SMITH WILL FINISH IN THE TOP 10 FOR COOLEST JULYS ON RECORD.
TULSA WILL SEE ITS COOLEST JULY SINCE 1967 AND FORT SMITH THEIR
COOLEST SINCE THE 1970S.

STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM FRIDAY FOR OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ059-
     OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 8 PM SUNDAY FOR
     OKZ054-OKZ059-OKZ060.

     HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 8 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ055-
     OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-
     OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072.

AR...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 8 PM SUNDAY FOR ARZ019-
     ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
106 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES
OF 100 TO 105 DEGREES IN MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL TREND UPWARD SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
AFTERNOON VALUES OF 103 TO 110 DEGREES COMMON ON BOTH DAYS.

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH INTO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
NOTICEABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK...ALONG WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.