Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 9, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

September 26, 2014Hillsborough County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Sep 26, 2014, 7:17 PM EDT for Hillsborough County, Florida. It took effect at Sep 28, 2014, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 26, 2014, 7:17 PM EDT (23:17 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 28, 2014, 2:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 3, 2014, 8:00 AM EDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Hillsborough County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little Manatee River near Wimauma at US 301 (WIMF1). The gauge peaked at 14.66 ft at Sep 29, 2014, 3:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate101509/2609/2709/2809/2909/3010/0110/0210/0310/04
Action stage
9.5 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
14.5 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02300500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

363 
WGUS42 KTBW 262317
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
717 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER
AT WIMAUMA AND THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...

.VERY HEAVY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON OF 2 TO LOCALLY 5 INCHES HAS CAUSED
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA RIVERS...WITH THE MANATEE RIVER AND LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-271217-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0009.140928T0800Z-140929T1800Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.140928T0800Z.140928T1800Z.140929T1200Z.NO/
717 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA FL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 7 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS...7.5 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 11.4 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON DEC 26 
  2002.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11   7.5  FRI 07 PM   8.6   11.2   11.0    9.5    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-271217-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0010.140927T0328Z-140929T0834Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.140927T0328Z.140927T1800Z.140929T0234Z.NO/
717 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA FL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
* AT 6 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.6 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.7 FEET ON AUG 31 
  1972.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11   8.6  FRI 06 PM  13.5   12.5   10.1    8.0    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$
15 follow-up statements
051 
WGUS82 KTBW 270147
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
947 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...
AND WAS EXTENDED FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK AND 
LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...

.VERY HEAVY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON OF 2 TO 5 INCHES HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT 
RISES IN THE WATER LEVEL ALONG AREA RIVERS. CONTINUED RAINFALL ON SATURDAY 
WILL CAUSE THE RIVERS TO CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WITH THE MANATEE 
RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD REACHING MODERATE SEVERITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-271447-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140929T1300Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140927T1200Z.140929T0700Z.NO/
947 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATE ROAD 64 START TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP 
  26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11 12.0  FRI 9 PM  15.1   12.9   10.5    8.8    7.2


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-271447-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0011.140927T1312Z-140928T0325Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.140927T1312Z.140927T1800Z.140927T2125Z.NO/
947 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.THE RIVER IS 
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13 FEET ON SEP 25 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11  7.9  FRI 9 PM  10.9    8.8    6.7    5.5    4.3


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC057-271447-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0012.140927T2248Z-140929T0300Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.140927T2248Z.140928T0600Z.140928T2100Z.NO/
947 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.THE RIVER IS 
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE 
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 
  29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  8.5  FRI 9 PM  11.6   13.3   12.6   11.8   11.2


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-271447-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.140928T0224Z-140930T2230Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.140928T0224Z.140929T0000Z.140930T1630Z.NO/
947 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* FROM TOMORROW LATE EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.3 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING.THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP 
  26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  7.5  FRI 9 PM   8.6   12.5   12.8   11.3    9.8


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-271447-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.140927T0140Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.140926T2121Z.140930T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.4 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.2 FEET ON SEP 9 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  7.2  FRI 9 PM   7.3    7.3    7.3    7.3    7.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
762 
WGUS82 KTBW 271538
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1138 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR 
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA AND THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...    

.A GENERALLY RAINY PERIOD OVER THE LAST FEW WEEKS COMBINED WITH FRIDAYS
VERY HEAVY RAIN PROMPTED MOST RIVERS AND CREEKS TO FLOOD. HEAVY RAIN IS 
EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY AND RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH
OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA.     

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-281538-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140930T0834Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T0600Z.140930T0234Z.NO/
1138 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.3 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATE ROAD 64 START TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET
  ON SEP 26 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  14.5  SAT 10 AM  15.0   12.8    9.8    7.8    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-281538-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140929T1500Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T0000Z.140929T0900Z.NO/
1138 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.3 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER IS 
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.0 FEET 
  ON SEP 25 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11  11.0  SAT 10 AM  11.2   10.9    6.7    5.2    3.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC057-281538-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.140928T0200Z-141001T0600Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.140928T0200Z.140929T0000Z.141001T0000Z.NO/
1138 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* FROM TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF
  STATE ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN 
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET
  ON AUG 29 2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  12.1  SAT 11 AM  13.4   13.7   13.3   12.5   11.9


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-281538-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.140928T0846Z-141002T0112Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.140928T0846Z.140929T1800Z.141001T1912Z.NO/
1138 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* FROM EARLY SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.4 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER
  IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND 
  AND 33RD STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 
  14.3 FEET ON SEP 26 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11   7.8  SAT 11 AM  11.7   14.3   13.9   11.6    9.8


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-281538-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.140926T2121Z.140928T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1138 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.6 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING AND 
  THEN HOLD STEADY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA 
  STATE PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST 
  OF 7.2 FEET ON SEP 9 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   7.5  SAT 10 AM   7.6    7.6    7.5    7.4    7.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-281538-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.140929T1200Z-141002T1200Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140929T1200Z.140930T1800Z.141002T0600Z.NO/
1138 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.3 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD
  AND THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST 
  OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11   9.1  SAT 10 AM  10.4   11.0   11.2   11.2   10.9


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-281538-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0014.140929T0600Z-140930T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140929T0600Z.140929T1200Z.140930T0000Z.NO/
1138 AM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET
  ON SEP 26 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12   9.2  SAT 10 AM  10.5   12.1   11.9   11.6   11.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
480 
WGUS82 KTBW 280047
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
847 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA STATE
PARK...THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE
BRIDGE...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA AND THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA.
THE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THE PEACE RIVER AND HORSE CREEK AT ARCADIA HAVE BEEN
CANCELLED AS FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEY WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED HOWEVER FOR ANY FLOODING THREAT. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAIN HAS PROMPTED MOST RIVERS AND CREEKS TO FLOOD. A HEAVY RAIN
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH
OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-281347-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.140928T0045Z-140930T0300Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.140927T2255Z.140928T1200Z.140929T2100Z.NO/
847 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE 
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 13.1  SAT 08 PM  13.6   13.3   12.6   11.9   11.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-281347-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.140928T0600Z-141001T1330Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.140928T0600Z.140929T1200Z.141001T0730Z.NO/
847 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW
AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 10.3  SAT 08 PM  11.7   13.6   12.3   10.7    9.6


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-281347-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140930T0112Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.140926T2344Z.140927T1445Z.140929T1912Z.NO/
847 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATE ROAD 64 START TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP
26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11 14.0  SAT 08 PM  14.1   11.4    9.7    8.1    6.8


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-281347-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140929T0000Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.140927T1345Z.140927T1700Z.140928T1800Z.NO/
847 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* FROM TOMORROW MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.2 FEET ON JUN 9 
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11 10.9  SAT 08 PM  11.0   10.2    6.6    4.5    3.6


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC115-281347-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.140926T2121Z.140928T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
847 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.2 FEET ON SEP 9 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  7.8  SAT 08 PM   7.9    8.0    7.9    7.7    7.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-280117-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-141002T1200Z/
/ARCF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
847 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  9.4  SAT 08 PM   9.8   10.4   10.6   10.4   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-280117-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140930T0600Z/
/ARHF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
847 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT
* AT 08 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  9.8  SAT 08 PM   9.5   11.2   11.1   10.8   10.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
454 
WGUS82 KTBW 281632
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1232 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR 
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA... 

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND 
PROLONG THE FLOODING.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-291632-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T1617Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T1017Z.NO/
1232 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATE ROAD 64 START TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST
  OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP 26 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  15.6  SUN 11 AM  15.5   13.4   10.8    8.6    7.2


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-291632-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140930T1342Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140928T1800Z.140930T0742Z.NO/
1232 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.8 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...WATER REACHES THE ROADBED OF THE OLD RYE BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.0 FEET
  ON SEP 25 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11  13.6  SUN 11 AM  12.7   10.5    7.3    5.1    3.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC115-291632-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.140930T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1232 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.7 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA
  STATE PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST 
  OF 7.2 FEET ON SEP 9 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   8.2  SUN 11 AM   8.6    8.7    8.6    8.5    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-291632-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141003T0600Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.140927T2255Z.140928T1800Z.141003T0000Z.NO/
1232 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.9 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF 
  STATE ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN 
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS 
  CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 29 2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  15.8  SUN 12 PM  15.8   14.8   13.8   13.2   12.8


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-291632-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T0300Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T1800Z.141002T2100Z.NO/
1232 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 12 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 
  32ND AND 33RD STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
  14.3 FEET ON SEP 26 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  13.0  SUN 12 PM  14.2   14.1   13.8   11.6   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-291632-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.140929T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140929T1800Z.141001T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1232 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD
  AND THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS 
  CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11   9.9  SUN 11 AM  10.8   11.4   11.5   11.5   11.3


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-291632-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.140928T1654Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1654Z.140930T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1232 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 13.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET
  ON SEP 26 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  11.9  SUN 11 AM  12.7   13.0   12.8   12.5   12.1


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
615 
WGUS42 KTBW 290114
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
914 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA HAS BEEN 
UPGRADED...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-291414-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T0400Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T1800Z.141002T2200Z.NO/
914 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...14.1 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD 
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.1 FEET ON MAR
20 1959.

$$

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 14.1  SUN 09 PM  14.9   14.6   13.3   11.6   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
696 
WGUS82 KTBW 290133
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
933 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR 
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND 
PROLONG THE FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-300133-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE 
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN 
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 16.0 FEET ON JUN
27 2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  16.1  SUN 08 PM  15.7   14.3   13.8   13.3    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-300133-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T0400Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T1800Z.141002T2200Z.NO/
933 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD 
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  14.1  SUN 09 PM  14.6   13.3   11.6   10.3    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231


$$

FLC081-300133-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T1942Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140929T0600Z.141001T1342Z.NO/
933 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.9 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATE ROAD 64 START TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP
26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  14.6  SUN 08 PM  13.6   11.2    8.9    7.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  


$$

FLC081-300133-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141001T0300Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T0600Z.140930T2100Z.NO/
933 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...WATER REACHES THE ROADBED OF THE OLD RYE BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.0 FEET ON SEP
25 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11  14.1  SUN 08 PM  12.0    9.4    6.7    4.9    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233


$$

FLC115-300133-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.140930T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.3 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.6 FEET ON JUL 17 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   8.4  SUN 08 PM   9.2    9.1    8.7    8.3    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226


$$

FLC027-300133-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0016.140929T1500Z-141003T1800Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140929T1500Z.141001T0600Z.141003T1200Z.NO/
933 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.THE RIVER IS 
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND
  THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  10.2  SUN 08 PM  11.4   11.6   11.4   11.0    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-300133-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140930T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  12.4  SUN 08 PM  13.5   13.3   12.8   12.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201

$$
569 
WGUS82 KTBW 290919
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
519 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE 
LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD AND 
AT RYE BRIDGE...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE 
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAVE DRIVEN SEVERAL AREA 
RIVERS INTO MINOR OR MODERATE FLOOD STAGE...WITH SOME RIVERS FORECAST TO 
REACH FLOOD IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL ONLY ADD 
TO THE FLOOD DURATION AND INTENSITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-292219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
519 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 16.0 FEET ON JUN 27 
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 16.0  MON 4 AM   16.6   15.7   14.3   13.8   13.3


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-292219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T0400Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T1800Z.141002T2200Z.NO/
519 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.1 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD 
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 14.7  MON 4 AM   14.9   14.6   13.3   11.6   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-292219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T1942Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T1342Z.NO/
519 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATE ROAD 64 START TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11 14.4  MON 04 AM  15.8   13.6   11.2    8.9    7.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-292219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141001T0300Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T1200Z.140930T2100Z.NO/
519 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...WATER REACHES THE ROADBED OF THE OLD RYE BRIDGE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.0 FEET ON SEP 25 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11 13.9  MON 4 AM   14.5   12.0    9.4    6.7    4.9


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC115-292219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.140930T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
519 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.3 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.6 FEET ON JUL 17 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  8.6  MON 04 AM   8.8    9.2    9.1    8.7    8.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-292219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.140929T1500Z-141003T1800Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140929T1500Z.141001T0600Z.141003T1200Z.NO/
519 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS 
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 10.4  MON 4 AM   10.9   11.4   11.6   11.4   11.0


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-292219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140930T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
519 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.5 FEET AROUND MIDNIGHT TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 12.9  MON 4 AM   13.0   13.5   13.3   12.8   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
897 
WGUS82 KTBW 291520
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR 
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND 
PROLONG THE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-301520-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141002T2100Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141002T1500Z.NO/
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD 
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  14.6  MON 10 AM  14.0   12.9   11.2    9.9    9.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-301520-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.140930T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.2 FEET ON SEP 9 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   8.7  MON 10 AM   9.0    8.7    8.4    8.2    8.1


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-301520-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141003T1800Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141003T1200Z.NO/
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE 
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN 
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 29 
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  15.8  MON 10 AM  14.7   14.0   13.5   13.0   12.5


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC081-301520-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T2100Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T1500Z.NO/
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATE ROAD 64 START TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  14.2  MON 10 AM  12.4   11.1    9.7    8.1    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-300900-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140930T0900Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T0300Z.140930T0300Z.NO/
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...WATER REACHES THE ROADBED OF THE OLD RYE BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.0 FEET ON SEP 25 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11  12.8  MON 10 AM  10.4    7.7    4.9    3.4    2.3


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC027-301520-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140929T2000Z.141002T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...PEACE RIVER ESTATES FLOODS AFFECTING SEVERAL DOZEN 
  HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND
  THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  10.6  MON 10 AM  11.6   12.1   12.5   12.5   12.3


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-301520-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140930T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1120 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  13.1  MON 10 AM  13.2   13.1   12.8   12.4   12.1


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
491 
WGUS82 KTBW 300139
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR 
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND PROLONG THE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141004T0430Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T2230Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD 
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 14.5  MON 09 PM  14.6   14.2   13.0   11.7   10.5


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-301439-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141001T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN
BEGIN
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.6 FEET ON JUL 17 
  2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  9.0  MON 09 PM   9.2    9.4    9.3    9.0    8.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141004T2100Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141004T1500Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 15.5  MON 09 PM  15.4   14.9   14.4   13.8   13.1


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC081-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141002T2100Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141002T1500Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11 13.2  MON 09 PM  12.6   11.4   11.1   10.0    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141001T0900Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T0300Z.141001T0300Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE 
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.0 FEET ON SEP
25 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11 11.2  MON 09 PM  11.4   10.6    9.7    8.4    7.0


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC027-301439-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0146Z.141003T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* FROM TONIGHT THROUGH FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  12.6 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...PEACE RIVER ESTATES FLOODS AFFECTING SEVERAL DOZEN 
  HOMES.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 10.9  MON 08 PM  11.4   12.0   12.4   12.5   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141005T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140929T1800Z.141004T1800Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 13.0  MON 08 PM  13.0   12.8   12.6   12.3   12.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
292 
WGUS82 KTBW 301534
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE RYE BRIDGE...AND A
RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT 
WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THE FLOODING WILL 
BECOME WORSE. THE WATER LEVELS ON THE MANATEE RIVER DOWNSTREAM FROM 
RYE BRIDGE HAVE RETURNED TO A MORE NORMAL FLOW RATE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-011534-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141001T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.4 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.6 FEET ON JUL 17 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   9.1  TUE 11 AM   9.3    9.2    8.9    8.7    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-011534-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE 
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN 
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 29 
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  15.3  TUE 11 AM  15.2   14.8   14.2   13.4   13.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-011534-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T2100Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T1500Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD 
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  14.0  TUE 11 AM  13.4   12.8   11.2    9.8    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-011500-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T1500Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T0900Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP 18 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  12.2  TUE 10 AM  10.9   10.5    9.9    8.4    7.1


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-301604-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141001T0900Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T0300Z.140930T0211Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE. THE FLOODING HAS ENDED THERE.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.


&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11   5.7  TUE 10 AM   3.1    2.7    2.1    2.2    3.8


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC027-011534-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141004T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.7 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...PEACE RIVER ESTATES FLOODS AFFECTING SEVERAL DOZEN 
  HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND
  THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  11.2  TUE 10 AM  11.8   12.3   12.6   12.7   12.5


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-011534-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141004T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140929T1800Z.141004T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  12.8  TUE 10 AM  12.6   12.4   12.1   11.8   11.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
589 
WGUS82 KTBW 010233
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT 
WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THE FLOODING WILL 
BECOME WORSE. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-011533-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141001T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN
BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30 
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  9.4  TUE 10 PM   9.6    9.4    9.2    9.1    8.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-011533-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141005T0900Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T0300Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
* AT 10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 15.3  TUE 10 PM  15.4   14.4   13.7   13.3   12.8


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-011533-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141004T0000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T1800Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING
* AT 10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD 
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 13.7  TUE 10 PM  13.8   12.6   11.2   10.1    9.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-011500-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T1500Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T0900Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING
* AT 09 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP
18 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11 11.5  TUE 09 PM  10.9   10.2    9.4    8.6    7.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC027-011533-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141004T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.3 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 11.3  TUE 09 PM  11.6   11.9   12.2   12.3   12.2


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-011533-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141004T1800Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140929T1800Z.141004T1200Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 09 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 12.8  TUE 09 PM  12.8   12.5   12.3   12.0   11.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
059 
WGUS82 KTBW 011450
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT 
WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER TODAY...HOWEVER
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TODAY AND RUNOFF FROM THE CONSTANT RAINFALL WE HAVE HAD 
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL KEEP LOCAL RIVERS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH 
THE END OF THE WEEK.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-021450-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141001T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.6 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30 
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   9.6  WED 10 AM   9.5    9.3    9.1    8.7    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-021450-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141006T0300Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T2100Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE 
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN 
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 29 
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  15.5  WED 10 AM  14.8   14.1   13.7   13.2   12.7


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-021450-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T0112Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141002T1912Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  13.2  WED 10 AM  11.7   10.2    9.3    8.4    8.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-012137-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T2137Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T1537Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. 
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP 18 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  11.1  WED  9 AM   9.9    8.9    8.6    7.4    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC027-021450-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141003T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND
  THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  11.4  WED  9 AM  11.7   11.8   11.9   11.8   11.6


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-021450-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.141002T0000Z.141005T0600Z.NO/
1050 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  13.1  WED  9 AM  13.3   12.8   12.4   11.9   11.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
767 
WGUS82 KTBW 020130
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA. THE
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD HAS EXPIRED AS THE RIVER
HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE. 

.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THIS MAY PROLONG THE
FLOODING. . 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-021430-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141002T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 9.3 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30 
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  9.6  WED 09 PM   9.5    9.3    9.1    8.7    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T0600Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 15.4  WED 09 PM  14.8   14.0   13.4   12.9   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141004T0600Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141004T0000Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 12.9  WED 09 PM  12.6   11.7   10.2    9.4    8.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141006T1200Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141002T1200Z.141006T0600Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 08 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 11.5  WED 08 PM  11.7   11.7   11.6   11.3   10.9


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141006T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.141002T1200Z.141005T1800Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 13.6  WED 08 PM  14.2   13.2   12.6   12.1   11.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
137 
WGUS82 KTBW 021555
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT 
WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.THE HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK HAVE ENDED AND THE NEXT FEW DAYS 
WILL BE MUCH DRIER. ALL RIVER LEVELS WILL SEE SOME RELIEVE AND THE FLOODING
WILL END OVER MOST AREAS. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND BUT NOT ENOUGH RAIN WILL FALL TO CAUSE NEW FLOODING.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-031555-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141002T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR THIS LEVEL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30 
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   9.6  THU 11 AM   9.4    9.2    8.7    8.4    8.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-031555-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T0600Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE 
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN 
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 29 
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  14.9  THU 11 AM  14.1   13.5   12.9   12.4   12.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-031048-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T1048Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T0448Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP 17 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  12.1  THU 11 AM  10.6    9.9    9.4    8.9    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-031554-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141006T0600Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141003T0000Z.141006T0000Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS
  EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND
  THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  11.5  THU 11 AM  11.7   11.5   11.1   10.8   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-031554-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141006T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.141002T1530Z.141006T0000Z.NO/
1155 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP 26 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  13.9  THU 11 AM  13.4   12.7   12.2   11.8   11.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
969 
WGUS82 KTBW 030208
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1008 PM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER 
STATE PARK...ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...
PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA AND HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.THE HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK HAVE ENDED AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE ON FRIDAY. EVEN WITH THE DRIER WEATHER TODAY AND ON FRIDAY...
CONTINUED RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINS COMBINED WITH EXPECTED SHOWERS 
AND STORMS ON SATURDAY WILL KEEP THE WATER LEVEL ELEVATED THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA WHICH 
IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON FRIDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-031508-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141002T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1008 PM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER 
STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 9.2 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 
  FEET ON JUN 30 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  9.6  THU  9 PM   9.5    9.2    8.7    8.5    8.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-031508-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141005T1800Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T1200Z.NO/
1008 PM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 
  640 BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET 
  ON AUG 29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 14.4  THU  9 PM  14.1   13.5   13.0   12.5   12.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-031200-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T1200Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T0600Z.NO/
1008 PM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 
  FEET ON SEP 17 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 11.5  THU  9 PM  10.6    9.7    9.5    8.9    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-031508-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141005T1800Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141003T0600Z.141005T1200Z.NO/
1008 PM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 
  FEET ON JUL 30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 11.5  THU  9 PM  11.6   11.4   11.0   10.7   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-031508-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141007T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.141002T1945Z.141007T0000Z.NO/
1008 PM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 
  FEET ON SEP 26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 13.9  THU  9 PM  13.7   13.2   12.8   12.2   11.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 26, 2:30 PM EDT, 4 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 26, 2:30 PM EDT, 4 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
230 PM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
18Z WATER VAPOR AND H4 RAP ANALYSIS SHOWS A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED AND
UNPROGRESSIVE NORTHERN STREAM FLOW OVER NORTH AMERICA. MAIN FLOW
ARRIVES WITHIN A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE CALIFORNIA COAST BEFORE
QUICKLY RIDGING WELL NORTH INTO CENTRAL CANADA. THE FLOW THEN
FLATTENS OUT DOWNSTREAM AND BECOMES MORE ZONAL BY THE TIME IT
REACHES THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. SOUTH OF THIS MAIN FLOW WE FIND A
WEAK SHORTWAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST OUT OF NEW ENGLAND OVERTOP AN
UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE SOUTHEAST CONUS COAST. OUR FORECAST
REGION REMAINS ON THE VERY WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE
CIRCULATION...ALTHOUGH THE 26/12Z KTBW SOUNDING PROFILE DOES NOT
SHOW MUCH CONSISTENCY WITH THE WIND DIRECTION THROUGH ANY DEPTH OF
THE COLUMN.

AS ADVERTISED BY THE MODELS...THE PW HAS BEEN RISING AND IS NOW
OVER 2.2" AT KTBW...AND APPROACHING 2.4" AT KMFL. AS WOULD BE
EXPECTED WITH SUCH A MOIST PROFILE...LAPSE RATES ARE FAIRLY
POOR...GENERALLY IN THE VICINITY OF MOIST ADIABATIC THROUGH MUCH OF
THE COLUMN. THEREFORE...THE COLUMN IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR
CONVECTION...BUT UNFAVORABLE FOR SEVERE TYPE UPDRAFTS. THIS IS NOT
TO SAY THAT A FEW STRONGER STORMS ARE NOT POSSIBLE GIVEN PROPER LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE POOLING TO INCREASE THE CAPE POTENTIAL...
HOWEVER...OVERALL THESE TYPE OF STORMS SHOULD BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN
LATE TODAY. THE GREATER THREAT FROM TODAYS STORMS WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME SPOTS HAVE SEEN
CONSIDERABLE RAINFALL ALREADY THIS WEEK...AND WILL NEED TO BE
WATCHED CLOSELY SHOULD ANOTHER HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT OCCUR NEARBY.
BASED ON DISCUSSION OF CONDITIONS WITH COUNTY OFFICIALS...A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR POLK...HIGHLANDS...AND HARDEE
COUNTIES THROUGH THE EVENING.

AT THE SURFACE...PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PROVIDING A SHALLOW LAYER OF
NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW BETWEEN A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE DEEP SOUTH AND AN INVERTED TROUGH PROGRESSING WESTWARD ACROSS
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THIS TROUGH ALONG WITH A FEEBLE SEA-BREEZE
(OR AT LEAST DEVELOPING COASTAL SPEED CONVERGENCE) WILL PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR ACTIVE SHOWERS AND STORMS THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

REGIONAL RADARS ARE ALREADY GETTING QUITE ACTIVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
ZONES AND ACROSS THE INTERIOR CENTRAL PENINSULA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND MIGRATE WEST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
HIGH RAIN CHANCES INTO THE EARLY EVENING STILL LOOK ON TRACK.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND SATURDAY)...
TONIGHT...
FIRST PART OF THE NIGHT / EVENING HOURS SHOULD STILL SEE SOME SCT
STORMS ALONG THE I-75 CORRIDOR AND TOWARD THE COAST WITH THE
ACTIVITY SLOWLY MIGRATING OFFSHORE INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THE SECOND
HALF OF THE OVERNIGHT SHOULD BE MAINLY DRY OVER THE LAND ZONES WITH
CONTINUED SHOWERS/STORMS ONGOING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. LOW
TEMPERATURES BY SUNRISE SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S NORTH AND
LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S SOUTH.

SATURDAY...
THE DAY WILL START OFF WITH WITH MOSTLY DRY AND QUIET CONDITIONS
OVER THE LAND ZONES...WHILE THE SURFACE TROUGH (OVER THE EASTERN
GULF) KEEPS THE LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR AT LEAST SCT SHOWERS/STORM GOING
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. TWO THINGS CHANGE ON SATURDAY COMPARED TO
TODAY. FIRST...THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL NOW BE PAST THE FL PENINSULA
AND CONTINUE TO MIGRATE WESTWARD THROUGH THE DAY. SECOND...THE
EASTERLY FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL BE A LITTLE STRONGER AND
MORE DEFINED. LOOKS AS THOUGH THIS FLOW WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
PREVENT MUCH OF A SEA-BREEZE FROM FORMING...OR WILL KEEP AND FEEBLE
CIRCULATION PINNED AT OR JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST. SO...WE ARE
LOSING SOME OF OUR FOCUSING MECHANISMS FOR ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS. THIS
EFFECT WILL BE MOST FELT INLAND FROM THE I-75 CORRIDOR. IN
ANTICIPATION OF AT LEAST MEAGER ENHANCED CONVERGENCE RIGHT AT THE
COAST...WILL HAVE BEST SHOWER/STORM CHANCES SATURDAY MID AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY EVENING ALONG AND WEST THE I-75 CORRIDOR. FURTHER
INLAND WILL HAVE LOWER RAIN CHANCES AND DIMINISH THOSE RAIN CHANCES
EARLIER. THE COLUMN WILL STILL BE QUITE MOIST WITH PW VALUES WELL
ABOVE 2". SO...THE COLUMN WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION SHOULD
THE PROPER LOW LEVEL TRIGGER BE IN PLACE. GOOD AGREEMENT IN BOTH THE
STATISTICAL AND CONVECTION ALLOWING GUIDANCE SUITES IN THIS WEST TO
EAST POP GRADIENT...SO CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAN AVERAGE.
TEMPERATURES LOOK SEASONABLE WITH HIGHS WITHIN A DEGREE OR 2 EITHER
SIDE OF 90.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY)...
MODEL GUIDANCE OVERALL REMAINS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT
TO SYNOPTIC WEATHER FEATURES THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIODS. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL HOLD IN PLACE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW THEN SETTING UP ACROSS THE
PENINSULA DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SKIRTS BY TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
STATES. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING THEN LOOKS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE
REGION FOR THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. AT THE SURFACE...A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL START THE LONG TERM PERIODS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...AND SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL
FLORIDA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN
BEGIN TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AND INTO NORTH FLORIDA BY THE END OF
NEXT WEEK.

AS FOR FORECAST DETAILS...THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ALONG
AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE MEANDERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE
PERIOD. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE BOUNDARY TO THE FORECAST
AREA...NOT EXPECTING MUCH CHANGE TO THE OVERALL PATTERN OF
LATE...WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS EACH DAY.
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL LOCALES MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY HOWEVER...AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO
CENTRAL FLORIDA SUPPRESSING THE MEAN SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SOUTH OF
THE STATE. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSE TO CLIMATOLOGY
THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW PROGRESSING WESTWARD
ACROSS THE PENINSULA. KPGD/KFMY/KRSW ARE ALREADY SEEING THE
INCLEMENT WEATHER...AND SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. THE REST OF THE TERMINALS UP INTO THE TAMPA BAY
REGION WILL SEE THE ACTIVITY ARRIVE DURING THE LATER AFTERNOON
HOURS. AWAY FROM THE STORMS VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...BUT A
BRIEF MVFR/IFR VISIBILITY IS POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS. STORMS WILL MIGRATE OFF THE COAST WITHIN A FEW HOURS
OF SUNSET WITH PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
LITTLE CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY AS A SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE
OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS AND DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER
THE AREA. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST WILL MOVE SLOWLY WEST AND BE A THREAT TO THE COASTAL WATERS
TOWARD THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS
AGAIN TODAY WITH A MILD SEA BREEZE AFFECT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE
DAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS IN
THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE SUMMER-LIKE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

PATCHY GROUND FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH OF THE NEXT FEW MORNING...HOWEVER
NO WIDESPREAD FOG OR VISIBILITY ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  75  89  76  89 /  40  60  40  50
FMY  74  90  74  91 /  30  60  20  60
GIF  74  90  74  90 /  20  50  20  50
SRQ  75  90  74  89 /  50  60  40  50
BKV  73  91  72  90 /  30  60  30  60
SPG  77  89  77  89 /  50  60  40  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR HARDEE-
     HIGHLANDS-POLK.

GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS/SHORT TERM/AVIATION/FIRE WX...MROCZKA
MARINE...DOUGHERTY
LONG TERM...JELSEMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 26, 4:31 AM EDT, 14 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
431 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-270845-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
431 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE
HIGHEST CHANCES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY
RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

JELSEMA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 26, 10:45 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchTBWHardee, Highlands, Polk10 hr
Sep 26, 11:59 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningTBWSarasota17 days
Sep 26, 4:24 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWPolk66 min
Sep 26, 4:44 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWHillsborough61 min
Sep 26, 5:22 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWCharlotte, Sarasota113 min
Sep 26, 5:25 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWHillsborough65 min
Sep 26, 5:25 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWDeSoto, Hardee, Manatee, Sarasota2 hr
Sep 26, 5:35 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningTBWHillsborough3 hr
Sep 26, 5:43 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas3 hr
Sep 26, 5:48 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWHardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk87 min
Sep 26, 5:52 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWPinellas83 min
Sep 26, 6:33 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWManatee, Sarasota57 min
Sep 26, 6:36 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWManatee84 min
Sep 26, 7:17 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningTBWManatee5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.