River Flood Warning 38, NWS Tallahassee, FL

196 
WGUS82 KTAE 110307
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1107 PM EDT THU APR 10 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
  STEINHATCHEE RIVER NEAR STEINHATCHEE (US 19) AFFECTING DIXIE AND 
  TAYLOR COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST 
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT 
LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU 
SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.

FOR GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND 
CLICK ON YOUR STATE. SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT 
CONDITIONS AND CLICK ON YOUR RIVER POINT.

&&

FLC029-123-120307-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140418T0923Z/
/STEF1.1.ER.140410T1630Z.140414T1025Z.140418T0323Z.UU/
1107 PM EDT THU APR 10 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER NEAR STEINHATCHEE (US 19).
* AT 10:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.2 FEET. 
* IMPACT...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD DOWNSTREAM AT STEINHATCHEE FALLS PARK.
  MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS BEGIN ALONG RIVER ROAD NE. WATER WILL BEGIN
  TO ENCROACH ONTO THE YARDS AND RESIDENCES IN THE ANCIENT OAKS 
  COMMUNITY IN STEINHATCHEE. 

&&
   
LAT...LON 2982 8335 2973 8337 2968 8343 2964 8340 2967 8333 2982 8328


$$

393 
WGUS82 KTAE 120152
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
952 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
  STEINHATCHEE RIVER NEAR STEINHATCHEE (US 19) AFFECTING DIXIE AND 
  TAYLOR COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST 
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT 
LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU 
SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.

FOR GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND 
CLICK ON YOUR STATE. SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT 
CONDITIONS AND CLICK ON YOUR RIVER POINT.

&&

FLC029-123-130152-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140418T0923Z/
/STEF1.1.ER.140410T1630Z.140416T1800Z.140418T0323Z.UU/
952 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER NEAR STEINHATCHEE (US 19).
* AT  8:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.2 FEET. 
* IMPACT...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD DOWNSTREAM AT STEINHATCHEE FALLS   
  PARK. MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS BEGIN ALONG RIVER ROAD NE. WATER WILL 
  BEGIN TO ENCROACH ONTO THE YARDS AND RESIDENCES IN THE ANCIENT OAKS 
  COMMUNITY IN STEINHATCHEE. 

&&
   
LAT...LON 2982 8335 2973 8337 2968 8343 2964 8340 2967 8333 2982 8328


$$

288 
WGUS82 KTAE 121429
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1029 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  STEINHATCHEE RIVER NEAR STEINHATCHEE (US 19) AFFECTING DIXIE AND 
  TAYLOR COUNTIES 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST 
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT 
LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU 
SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.

FOR GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND 
CLICK ON YOUR STATE. SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT 
CONDITIONS AND CLICK ON YOUR RIVER POINT.

&&

FLC029-123-131429-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STEF1.1.ER.140410T1630Z.140411T1700Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1029 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER NEAR STEINHATCHEE (US 19).
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.2 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.2 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD DOWNSTREAM AT 
  STEINHATCHEE FALLS PARK. MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS BEGIN ALONG RIVER 
  ROAD NE. WATER WILL BEGIN TO ENCROACH ONTO THE YARDS AND RESIDENCES 
  IN THE ANCIENT OAKS COMMUNITY IN STEINHATCHEE. 


&&
   
LAT...LON 2982 8335 2973 8337 2968 8343 2964 8340 2967 8333 2982 8328


$$

678 
WGUS82 KTAE 130231
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1031 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
FLORIDA...
 
  STEINHATCHEE RIVER NEAR STEINHATCHEE (US 19) AFFECTING DIXIE AND 
  TAYLOR COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  CHOCTAWHATCHEE RIVER NEAR CARYVILLE (US 90) AFFECTING HOLMES AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...

  CHOCTAWHATCHEE RIVER NEAR BRUCE (SR 20) AFFECTING WALTON COUNTY 
RECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST 
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT 
LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU 
SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.

FOR GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND 
CLICK ON YOUR STATE. SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT 
CONDITIONS AND CLICK ON YOUR RIVER POINT.

&&

FLC059-133-140231-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140416T0000Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.140409T1036Z.140412T0701Z.140415T1800Z.NO/
931 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE RIVER NEAR CARYVILLE (US 90).
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR.

&&
   
LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

FLC131-140231-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRUF1.2.ER.140411T1115Z.140414T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
931 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHOCTAWHATCHEE RIVER NEAR BRUCE (SR 20).
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:01 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE EAST AND 
  WEST BANKS OF THE CHOCTAHATCHEE RIVER FROM NEAR THE CONFLUENCE WITH
  HOLMES CREEK TO THE GULF OF MEXICO AFFECTING MANY HOMES AND FISHING
  CAMPS.

&&
   
LAT...LON 3070 8592 3047 8596 3044 8613 3037 8609 3044 8585 3070 8581


$$

FLC029-123-130301-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140413T0231Z/
/STEF1.1.ER.140410T1630Z.140411T1700Z.140412T2015Z.UU/
1031 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER NEAR STEINHATCHEE (US 19).
* AT  9:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.2 FEET. 

&&
   
LAT...LON 2982 8335 2973 8337 2968 8343 2964 8340 2967 8333 2982 8328


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
209 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2014

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...
High pressure and zonal flow aloft with keep winds light and skies
clear tonight. While the airmass is gradually modifying as the
center of the surface high moves east, the continuation of ideal
radiational cooling conditions will still allow temperatures to fall
into the upper 40s to around 50 overnight.

.Short Term [Friday Through Saturday Night]...

High pressure will remain centered near or just east of the region
throughout the short term period. This will result in a period of
dry and warm conditions. After a cool start on Friday morning,
temperatures will return to normal or slightly above normal values
through the period. The model guidance does show a sea breeze
developing along the coast each afternoon, which will likely
result in temperatures in the coastal zone being a few degrees
cooler in the afternoon given how cool the shelf waters remain.

.Long Term [Sunday Through Thursday]...

The primary focus in the long term period will be on an
approaching storm system in the Monday through Tuesday Evening
timeframe. While the models are reasonably synced on the timing of
this system bringing the bulk of the rain through on Monday
afternoon and overnight, there are subtle differences with respect
to the intensity of the system. Most of the models prefer a weaker
solution with a cold front coming through early Tuesday morning
with little prospect for severe weather or widespread heavy rain.
The Euro tries to develop a more potent wave in the southern
stream, resulting in a stronger system. For now, have kept the
system more progressive and weaker. In any event, should be a good
rain producer with 1 to 1.5 inches possible. Thereafter, drier and
cooler conditions return for the remainder of the period.

&&

.Aviation...
[Through 18Z Friday] Other than a possible brief period of MVFR
vsby at KVLD early Thursday morning, VFR conditions and light
winds will prevail at all terminals through the forecast period.

&&

.Marine...
High pressure will remain in place across the marine area
throughout much of the weekend. By Sunday, as high pressure moves
into the Western Atlantic, the tightening gradient between this
high and an approaching storm system will result in increasing
winds and seas by the first of the week.

&&

.Fire Weather...
Light onshore flow through the remainder of the week will allow for
low-level moisture levels to slowly rise. This should keep minimum
humidity values above critical levels, with no fire weather concerns
expected.

&&

.Hydrology...
Nearly all of the rivers across the northern portion of our area
have crested and are now beginning to fall. The crestwave down the
Choctawhatchee/Pea River system is now at Geneva and will then be
progressing downstream toward Caryville and Bruce. The river
should stay in the minor flood category at Caryville, but further
downstream at Bruce, moderate flooding is anticipated with the
river having a chance to reach major flood levels.

Releases from Woodruff have the Apalachicola River at flood stage
with Blountstown likely to crest as high as 23 feet this weekend
with releases starting to stabilize around 104kcfs. If releases
stay at this level, it is unlikely Blountstown would reach
moderate flood stage.

In the Flint, Newton has crested and the Ichawaynochaway crest
wave is nearing Riverview Plantation. The combination of the two
flows will have Bainbridge very close to flood stage by tomorrow
night.

For the Ochlockonee, flows have continued to be a little higher
than previously anticipated today, and thus it is now possible
that minor flood levels may be reached from Thomasville through
Havana, though any rises above flood stage shouldn't be more than
a few tenths of a foot.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   49  79  54  82  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   57  76  60  78  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        50  79  57  81  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        49  80  56  82  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      50  80  54  82  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    50  81  52  83  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  56  76  59  77  63 /   0   0   0  10   0

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...CAMP
SHORT TERM...GODSEY
LONG TERM...GODSEY
AVIATION...CAMP
MARINE...GODSEY
FIRE WEATHER...CAMP
HYDROLOGY...GODSEY