Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2014
Tornado Watch 511
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 1, 2014, 2:40 PM CDT for 17 counties in Kansas; 42 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 1, 2014, 2:40 PM CDT (19:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 1, 2014, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 59 counties
Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Audrain County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cooper, Howard, Johnson, Pettis, Saline | 43 min |
| Oct 1, 3:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Cooper, Pettis | 25 min |
| Oct 1, 3:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Neosho, Wilson | 66 min |
| Oct 1, 3:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cooper | 51 min |
| Oct 1, 3:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Allen, Woodson | 33 min |
| Oct 1, 3:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Anderson | 46 min |
| Oct 1, 3:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Cole, Moniteau | 45 min |
| Oct 1, 3:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Labette, Montgomery | 43 min |
| Oct 1, 3:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn | 52 min |
| Oct 1, 4:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Bates, Cass | 42 min |
| Oct 1, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Miami | 50 min |
| Oct 1, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Anderson, Franklin | 50 min |
| Oct 1, 4:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 63 min |
| Oct 1, 4:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Boone, Cole, Moniteau | 48 min |
| Oct 1, 4:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ICT | Labette | 46 min |
| Oct 1, 4:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cass, Jackson | 39 min |
| Oct 1, 4:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway, Cole, Osage | 52 min |
| Oct 1, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Johnson, Miami | 34 min |
| Oct 1, 5:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 49 min |
| Oct 1, 5:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper | 26 min |
| Oct 1, 5:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Callaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage | 34 min |
| Oct 1, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Henry | 38 min |
| Oct 1, 6:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton | 52 min |
| Oct 1, 6:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Benton, Morgan | 34 min |
| Oct 1, 6:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Pettis | 21 min |
| Oct 1, 6:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Benton | 26 min |
| Oct 1, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Greenwood | 52 min |
| Oct 1, 7:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Morgan | 30 min |
| Oct 1, 7:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Cole, Moniteau | 49 min |
| Oct 1, 7:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Butler, Greenwood | 38 min |
| Oct 1, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Miller, Morgan | 37 min |
| Oct 1, 7:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Greenwood, Woodson | 51 min |
| Oct 1, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Coffey | 50 min |
| Oct 1, 7:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Cole, Osage | 48 min |
| Oct 1, 8:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Allen, Woodson | 30 min |
| Oct 1, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Anderson, Coffey | 46 min |
| Oct 1, 9:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Anderson, Coffey | 52 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 665 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -101 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 600 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 372 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 374 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 14.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
572
WWUS20 KWNS 011943
SEL1
SPC WW 011943
KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-020300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 511
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM
UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
EMPORIA KANSAS TO 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF VICHY MISSOURI. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
OVER CNTRL MO AS WELL AS AHEAD OF A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER SERN KS.
THE AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
STORMS THAT CAN FAVORABLY INTERACT WITH EXISTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 1:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 11 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 1, 5:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Wyandotte | 2 hr |
| Oct 1, 5:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Doniphan and 15 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 1, 6:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 14 more | 85 min |
| Oct 1, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Doniphan and 19 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2014Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.