Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 49

April 3, 201444 counties in Arkansas; 25 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 3, 2014, 9:33 AM CDT for 44 counties in Arkansas; 25 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2014, 9:33 AM CDT (14:33 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 2014, 4:59 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 69 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Camden County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 9:37 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKScott23 min
Apr 3, 9:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell31 min
Apr 3, 9:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Christian, Stone, Taney50 min
Apr 3, 10:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Madison45 min
Apr 3, 10:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott27 min
Apr 3, 10:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark, Stone, Taney51 min
Apr 3, 10:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Polk35 min
Apr 3, 10:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Webster, Wright50 min
Apr 3, 11:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Polk48 min
Apr 3, 11:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas50 min
Apr 3, 11:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Laclede43 min
Apr 3, 11:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Texas, Wright40 min
Apr 3, 12:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFHickory, Polk37 min
Apr 3, 12:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Hickory, Laclede, Polk43 min
Apr 3, 12:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Shannon, Texas43 min
Apr 3, 12:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Laclede, Maries, Miller, Phelps, Pulaski44 min
Apr 3, 12:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Laclede, Miller52 min
Apr 3, 1:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dallas, Hickory, Polk52 min
Apr 3, 1:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Camden, Hickory39 min
Apr 3, 1:21 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDallas, Hickory, Polk24 min
Apr 3, 1:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFPhelps, Pulaski6 hr
Apr 3, 1:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Miller, Morgan44 min
Apr 3, 1:47 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Hickory28 min
Apr 3, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Cedar, Hickory, St. Clair, Vernon56 min
Apr 3, 4:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBenton, Miller, Morgan6 hr
Apr 3, 4:10 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBenton, Hickory35 min
Apr 3, 4:32 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBenton, Camden, Miller, Morgan28 min
Apr 3, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton65 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2014-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1727 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2014-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 417 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1727 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
686 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
417 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
423 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.5
Supercell composite
15.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

141 
WWUS20 KWNS 031433
SEL9  
SPC WW 031433
ARZ000-MOZ000-032200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 49
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
935 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 935 AM UNTIL
  500 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
FORT LEONARD WOOD MISSOURI TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HOT
SPRINGS ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OUT OF
EASTERN OK INTO WESTERN AR.  THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY LATE THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING DESTABILIZES THE AIR
MASS.  FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 9:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 28 more57 min
Apr 3, 12:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 27 more55 min
Apr 3, 12:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more87 min
Apr 3, 1:15 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more8 hr
Apr 3, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Montgomery, Pike and 4 more89 min
Apr 3, 1:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more7 hr
Apr 3, 3:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington57 min
Apr 3, 4:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 35 more26 min
Apr 3, 4:58 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 31 more7 hr
Apr 2, 9:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cass, Cedar and 18 more54 min
Apr 2, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Carroll, Cass and 21 more7 hr
Apr 3, 12:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Carroll, Cass and 22 more90 min
Apr 3, 1:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clark and 19 more55 min
Apr 3, 2:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone and 65 more116 min
Apr 3, 12:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Iron, Madison, Mississippi and 7 more62 min
Apr 3, 12:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Iron and 12 more4 hr
Apr 3, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Carroll, Chariton, Cooper, Howard and 10 more58 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2014Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.