Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 475

August 24, 201432 counties in Minnesota; 4 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 24, 2014, 3:45 PM CDT for 32 counties in Minnesota; 4 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 24, 2014, 3:45 PM CDT (20:45 UTC)
Expired
Aug 24, 2014, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Benton County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Carver County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pine County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Todd County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Washington County, MN, Wright County, MN, Burnett County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 24, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass43 min
Aug 24, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass33 min
Aug 24, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Morrison57 min
Aug 24, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Morrison46 min
Aug 24, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing43 min
Aug 24, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBenton, Morrison37 min
Aug 24, 5:45 PM CDTTornado WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing30 min
Aug 24, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWright41 min
Aug 24, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXMille Lacs43 min
Aug 24, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison52 min
Aug 24, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing24 min
Aug 24, 6:59 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXKanabec31 min
Aug 24, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXMille Lacs24 min
Aug 24, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti, Mille Lacs, Sherburne46 min
Aug 24, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHItasca, Saint Louis43 min
Aug 24, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin32 min
Aug 24, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Saint Louis37 min
Aug 24, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago, Washington43 min
Aug 24, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDunn, Pierce, Saint Croix42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2014-08-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 378 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2014-08-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 290 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
378 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
478 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
290 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
317 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
5.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

775 
WWUS20 KWNS 242047
SEL5  
SPC WW 242047
MNZ000-WIZ000-250400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 475
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
  NORTHWEST WISCONSIN

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
  1100 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BEMIDJI MINNESOTA TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF MINNEAPOLIS MINNESOTA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO
STRONG INSTABILITY AND A VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH
MODERATE AMOUNTS OF LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 24, 2:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Cass, Clearwater, Crow Wing, Hubbard, Mahnomen and 3 more91 min
Aug 24, 2:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Becker, Beltrami, Benton, Carver and 30 more95 min
Aug 24, 6:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Beltrami, Benton, Carlton, Carver and 22 more57 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2014Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.