Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 367

June 29, 201446 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Missouri; 41 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 29, 2014, 4:04 PM CDT for 46 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Missouri; 41 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 29, 2014, 4:04 PM CDT (21:04 UTC)
Expired
Jun 29, 2014, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 94 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Atchison County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Worth County, MO, Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison37 min
Jun 29, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison36 min
Jun 29, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby23 min
Jun 29, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXShelby47 min
Jun 29, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHamilton, Webster42 min
Jun 29, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon40 min
Jun 29, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona30 min
Jun 29, 7:02 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXHamilton, Webster43 min
Jun 29, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Gentry, Nodaway47 min
Jun 29, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Greene, Webster41 min
Jun 29, 7:36 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXHamilton, Hardin39 min
Jun 29, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCarroll, Greene53 min
Jun 29, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan, Holt34 min
Jun 29, 8:01 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXAndrew, Nodaway29 min
Jun 29, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXGrundy, Hardin52 min
Jun 29, 8:09 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXShelby20 min
Jun 29, 8:15 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXGrundy, Hardin30 min
Jun 29, 8:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAndrew, Nodaway8 hr
Jun 29, 8:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXHamilton, Hardin6 hr
Jun 29, 8:41 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Tama34 min
Jun 29, 8:43 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXGrundy, Tama32 min
Jun 29, 8:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Grundy, Hardin, Tama6 hr
Jun 29, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXRinggold, Taylor, Union41 min
Jun 29, 9:11 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXBlack Hawk, Tama34 min
Jun 29, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Madison, Union, Warren38 min
Jun 29, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMercer, Putnam, Sullivan48 min
Jun 29, 9:36 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXGrundy, Mercer24 min
Jun 29, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Lucas, Marion, Warren43 min
Jun 29, 9:58 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXMercer, Putnam, Sullivan32 min
Jun 29, 10:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHarrison, Mercer37 min
Jun 29, 10:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCarroll, Greene46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 13 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2014-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 316 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2014-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
316 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-319 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

021 
WWUS20 KWNS 292109
SEL7  
SPC WW 292109
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-300400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 367
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
405 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA
  NORTHERN MISSOURI
  EASTERN NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL
  1100 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
GRAND ISLAND NEBRASKA TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DES MOINES
IOWA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...WDLY SCTD TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM LATER THIS AFTN AND
EVE WITH CONTINUED HEATING ALONG DIFFUSE W-E BOUNDARY ROUGHLY
PARALLELING INTERSTATE ROUTE 80 OVER ERN NEB/WRN IA. LOW-LVL FLOW
LIKELY WILL REMAIN WEAK GIVEN LINGERING PRESENCE OF E CNTRL KS
MCS/MCV...AND UPR-LVL FORCING FOR ASCENT ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL. BUT
GIVEN DEGREE OF BUOYANCY /SBCAPE AROUND 4000 J PER KG/...RICH
MOISTURE /PW AOA 1.50 INCHES/...40-50 KT WNWLY DEEP SHEAR...AND
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW DISCRETE SUPERCELLS...A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR
LARGE HAIL...DMGG WIND...AND TORNADOES WILL EXIST.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 2:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 33 more118 min
Jun 29, 5:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee and 20 more91 min
Jun 29, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 20 more84 min
Jun 29, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Cass, Clay, Clinton, Jackson, Platte84 min
Jun 29, 6:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Andrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass and 18 more5 hr
Jun 29, 6:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Chase, Clay, Custer, Dawson and 21 more97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2014Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2014Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.