Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 313

June 17, 20149 counties in Nebraska; Mellette County, Todd County, Tripp County, South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 17, 2014, 4:53 PM CDT for 9 counties in Nebraska; Mellette County, Todd County, Tripp County, South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2014, 4:53 PM CDT (21:53 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2014, 10:43 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Blaine County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Loup County, NE, Rock County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Mellette County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry42 min
Jun 17, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry40 min
Jun 17, 5:41 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLBFCherry34 min
Jun 17, 5:48 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFCherry27 min
Jun 17, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry46 min
Jun 17, 6:29 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLBFCherry31 min
Jun 17, 6:56 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLBFCherry34 min
Jun 17, 7:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFCherry29 min
Jun 17, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry49 min
Jun 17, 7:43 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFCherry32 min
Jun 17, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry47 min
Jun 17, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Hooker45 min
Jun 17, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Hooker45 min
Jun 17, 9:04 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFHooker26 min
Jun 17, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry48 min
Jun 17, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFHooker30 min

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2014-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2446 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2014-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2446 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
487 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

194 
WWUS20 KWNS 172153
SEL3  
SPC WW 172153
NEZ000-SDZ000-180400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 313
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
  SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHWEST OF MULLEN
NEBRASKA TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF AINSWORTH NEBRASKA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 311...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED SOON ALONG A
STALLED BOUNDARY NEAR THE SD/NE BORDER W OF VALENTINE.  STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND LARGE CAPE ARE PRESENT IN THE MOIST ELY FLOW ACROSS NRN
NEB...WHERE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS.  EXPECT
SLOW-MOVING SUPERCELLS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
VERY LARGE HAIL AND A COUPLE TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 9:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Burt, Cedar, Cuming, Dakota, Dixon and 9 more64 min
Jun 16, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAntelope, Boone, Burt, Colfax, Cuming, Dakota and 9 more5 hr
Jun 16, 11:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Colfax, Cuming, Dakota, Dixon, Dodge and 4 more64 min
Jun 17, 3:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Garden, Kimball, Morrill and 3 more113 min
Jun 17, 5:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Cedar, Knox2 hr
Jun 17, 6:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Cedar, Dakota, Dixon, Knox, Pierce and 2 more6 hr
Jun 16, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBon Homme, Charles Mix, Davison, Douglas, Gregory, Hanson and 8 more58 min
Jun 16, 7:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPerkins86 min
Jun 16, 8:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBon Homme, Charles Mix, Davison, Douglas, Gregory, Hanson and 8 more83 min
Jun 17, 12:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Custer, Fall River, Harding, Lawrence, Pennington2 hr
Jun 17, 1:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBennett, Butte, Custer, Harding, Jackson, Lawrence and 3 more7 hr
Jun 17, 6:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Butte, Harding, Jackson, Meade, Oglala Lakota and 1 more88 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2014Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.