Tornado Watch 254

Issued

Jun 7, 2014, 4:15 PM MDT (22:15 UTC)

Expired

Jun 8, 2014, 12:00 AM MDT

In force

8 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

3 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

Counties Chaves County, NM, Colfax County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Santa Fe County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Union County, NM

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

50%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

30%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

10%

Ten or more severe hail reports

60%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

50%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

95%

• Mesoscale Discussion 882Jun 7, 2:27 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 888Jun 7, 8:50 PM MDT

869 
WWUS20 KWNS 072218
SEL4  
SPC WW 072218
NMZ000-080600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 254
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
415 PM MDT SAT JUN 7 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN NEW MEXICO

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 415 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
  MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
LAS VEGAS NEW MEXICO TO 70 MILES EAST OF RUIDOSO NEW MEXICO.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS FORMING IN RESPONSE TO SFC HEATING AND UPSLOPE
FLOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CNTRL/ERN NM EXPECTED TO
MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY ESE GIVEN MODERATE WLY FLOW ALOFT AND LOW-LVL
THETA-E GRADIENT PARALLELING WNW-ESE ORIENTED STALLED OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY. GIVEN WEAK LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND MOIST
LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT...SETUP COULD YIELD A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH
TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.


...CORFIDI

Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.