Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490

September 3, 20145 counties in Montana; 23 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 3, 2014, 6:01 PM MDT for 5 counties in Montana; 23 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 3, 2014, 6:01 PM MDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired
Sep 4, 2014, 1:00 AM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 28 counties

Dawson County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Kidder County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Stark County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND

The radar

The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 3, 6:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan61 min
Sep 3, 6:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBottineau, Renville, Ward60 min
Sep 3, 7:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDivide, Williams54 min
Sep 3, 7:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie, Mountrail, Williams62 min
Sep 3, 8:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McKenzie54 min
Sep 3, 8:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Dunn, McKenzie31 min
Sep 3, 8:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McKenzie, McLean, Mountrail59 min
Sep 3, 8:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, Mercer62 min
Sep 3, 9:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer66 min
Sep 3, 10:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, Mercer53 min
Sep 3, 10:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Sheridan66 min
Sep 3, 11:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, Mercer, Oliver58 min
Sep 3, 11:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISSheridan, Wells59 min
Sep 4, 12:00 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISSheridan, Wells60 min
Sep 4, 12:01 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, McLean, Oliver59 min
Sep 4, 12:49 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Wells41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2014-09-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1433 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2014-09-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 155 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1433 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1425 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
474 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
8.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 3, 7:54 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux96 min
Sep 4, 12:17 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Burleigh, Cass, Eddy, Foster, Griggs and 10 more88 min
Sep 4, 12:48 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarnes, Burleigh, Cass, Foster, Griggs, Kidder and 8 more5 hr
Sep 4, 3:43 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Cass, Ransom, Richland2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.