Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 466

August 18, 201429 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Minnesota; 15 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 18, 2014, 7:44 PM CDT for 29 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Minnesota; 15 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2014, 7:44 PM CDT (00:44 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2014, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 57 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Martin County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Grant County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Richland County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 18, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Freeborn29 min
Aug 18, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPalo Alto, Pocahontas48 min
Aug 18, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXOlmsted, Wabasha40 min
Aug 18, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXMower51 min
Aug 18, 9:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFillmore, Houston, Olmsted, Winona40 min
Aug 18, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFreeborn38 min
Aug 18, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXHoward31 min
Aug 18, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAdams, Juneau45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2014-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 238 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2014-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 100 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
238 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1787 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 18, 9:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 10 more56 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.