Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 463

August 17, 201427 counties in North Dakota; Campbell County, Corson County, Walworth County, South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 17, 2014, 2:52 PM MDT for 27 counties in North Dakota; Campbell County, Corson County, Walworth County, South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2014, 2:52 PM MDT (20:52 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2014, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Adams County, ND, Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISPierce, Rolette21 min
Aug 17, 6:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 13 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2014-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 154 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2014-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
154 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
634 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 1:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bottineau, Bowman, Dunn, Grant, Hettinger and 9 more85 min
Aug 17, 5:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenson, Burleigh, Cavalier, Eddy, Emmons, Foster and 11 more66 min
Aug 17, 12:56 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Custer, Jackson, Meade, Mellette, Oglala Lakota and 2 more64 min
Aug 17, 1:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Butte, Custer, Haakon, Harding, Jackson and 8 more8 hr
Aug 17, 4:09 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Butte, Haakon, Jackson, Jones, Meade and 7 more96 min
Aug 17, 5:43 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Meade, Oglala Lakota, Pennington62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.