Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 39

March 28, 201411 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 28, 2014, 5:19 PM CDT for 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2014, 5:19 PM CDT (22:19 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2014, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Austin County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Harris County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Orange County, TX, Waller County, TX, Wharton County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris, Liberty, Montgomery36 min
Mar 28, 7:37 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXHarris, Liberty23 min
Mar 28, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXColorado, Jackson, Wharton30 min
Mar 28, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange59 min
Mar 28, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHNewton, Orange62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2014-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2173 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2014-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 167 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2173 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
444 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

585 
WWUS20 KWNS 282223
SEL9  
SPC WW 282223
TXZ000-CWZ000-290300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 39
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST TEXAS
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 515 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
    EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF HOUSTON TEXAS TO 5 MILES WEST OF ANGLETON TEXAS. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 36...WW 37...WW 38...

DISCUSSION...SQLN NOW NEARING COLLEGE STATION/CLL EXPECTED TO MOVE
GENERALLY ESE AS SWD DEVELOPMENT ALONG EXISTING LINE IS ENCOURAGED
BY DISTRIBUTION OF LOW-LVL BUOYANCY/MOISTURE...AND BY WEAK SLY SFC
FLOW THAT WILL PERSIST OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPR CSTL PLN. CONTINUED
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALSO WILL BE FOSTERED BY LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
DOWNSTREAM FROM PROGRESSIVE SRN STREAM TROUGH NOW OVER CNTRL TX.
SUSTAINED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...AND UPLIFT ALONG EXISTING COLD
POOL...SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW UPDRAFTS TO OVERCOME SIZABLE
CAP OVER REGION /SAMPLED BY SPECIAL CLL AND HOUSTON AREA
SOUNDINGS/...AND REALIZE STRONG CAPE PRESENT ABOVE THE CAP.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 12:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brazos, Burleson and 48 more115 min
Mar 28, 12:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Cass, Marion, Morris2 hr
Mar 28, 12:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet and 50 more6 hr
Mar 28, 2:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAngelina, Bowie, Cass, Cherokee, Gregg, Harrison and 7 more7 hr
Mar 28, 3:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bell, Bosque, Bowie, Brazos and 56 more94 min
Mar 28, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrazos, Burleson, Grimes, Hardin, Houston, Jasper and 10 more6 hr
Mar 28, 6:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNewton3 hr
Mar 28, 6:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston and 16 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.