Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 35

March 27, 201424 counties in Arkansas; 6 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 27, 2014, 9:44 PM CDT for 24 counties in Arkansas; 6 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2014, 9:44 PM CDT (02:44 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2014, 1:47 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASequoyah39 min
Mar 27, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah39 min
Mar 27, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian51 min
Mar 27, 11:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2014-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 543 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2014-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 117 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
543 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1053 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 7:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 4 more2 hr
Mar 28, 12:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark, Cleveland and 17 more2 hr
Mar 28, 2:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 29 more7 hr
Mar 28, 3:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMiller94 min
Mar 28, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Desha, Phillips2 hr
Mar 28, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCLee, Phillips5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.