Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 913

June 8, 20146 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 8, 2014, 9:56 PM CDT for 6 counties in Texas. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2014, 9:56 PM CDT (02:56 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2014, 11:30 PM CDT
In force
94 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Crane County, TX, Loving County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2014-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 995 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2014-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 111 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
995 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1338 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
7.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

752 
ACUS11 KWNS 090257
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090256 
TXZ000-NMZ000-090430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0913
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0956 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PERMIAN BASIN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 264...

VALID 090256Z - 090430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 264 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISKS FOR LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED SEVERE WINDS AND A TORNADO
SHOULD REMAIN SPATIALLY CONFINED ALONG PARTS OF THE PECOS RIVER IN
FAR W TX...LIKELY SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...STRONG SUPERCELL ALONG THE PECOS RIVER IN LOVING/REEVES
COUNTIES OF TX HAS LARGELY EVOLVED AS THE DOMINANT UPDRAFT FROM A
FAMILY OF SUPERCELLS EARLIER OVER EDDY/LEA COUNTIES IN NM. WITH
GROUND CLUTTER INCREASING SUBSTANTIALLY ON THE MAF RADAR OVER THE
PAST HALF-HOUR AND LITTLE APPRECIABLE CHANGE TO THE LOW/DEEP-LAYER
WIND PROFILE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT
INCREASING MLCIN WILL ULTIMATELY LEAD TO WEAKENING OF THIS INTENSE
UPDRAFT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. UNTIL THAT OCCURS...LARGE HAIL AND
SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN LIKELY WITH POSSIBLY A TORNADO GIVEN
THE PRESENCE OF MIDDLE 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS.

..GRAMS.. 06/09/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON   31790398 32030375 32150328 32000295 31480241 31070233
            30800254 30630310 30700341 30930366 31330393 31640404
            31790398

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 7:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Armstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro and 37 more96 min
Jun 8, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Sabine and 2 more88 min
Jun 8, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion7 hr
Jun 8, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 31 more7 hr
Jun 8, 10:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass97 min
Jun 8, 11:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 24 more86 min
Jun 9, 2:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Archer, Bailey, Baylor, Borden, Brown and 53 more2 hr
Jun 9, 12:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, DeWitt, Fayette and 23 more2 hr
Jun 9, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bee, Bexar, Dimmit, Duval, Frio and 12 more2 hr
Jun 9, 5:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bexar, Burleson, Caldwell and 17 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.