Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 839

June 5, 201434 counties in North Carolina; Horry County, South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 5, 2014, 3:48 PM EDT for 34 counties in North Carolina; Horry County, South Carolina. It was in force for 57 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 5, 2014, 3:48 PM EDT (19:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 5, 2014, 4:45 PM EDT
In force
57 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 35 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Greene County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Horry County, SC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-06-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 890 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-06-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
890 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
892 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

296 
ACUS11 KWNS 051948
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051948 
NCZ000-SCZ000-052045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0839
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL CAROLINAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 231...

VALID 051948Z - 052045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 231
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
WW231.

DISCUSSION...LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE HAS SHIFTED INTO THE BODY OF WW231
COINCIDENT WITH STRONGEST CONVECTION FROM NE-SW ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAINS.  WHILE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN THE GREATEST SEVERE
THREAT...LATEST WDSSII DATA SUGGESTS HAIL GREATER THAN GOLF BALL
SIZE IS NOTED WITH SEVERE STORM OVER BEAUFORT COUNTY NC.  A
CONTINUED SLOW UPWARD EVOLUTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AS TSTMS PROPAGATE TOWARD THE COAST.

..DARROW.. 06/05/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON   35487931 36457561 34707561 33737932 35487931

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 8:00 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 13 more6 hr
Jun 4, 10:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell and 5 more2 hr
Jun 5, 12:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Craven, Currituck and 24 more58 min
Jun 5, 1:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 21 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.