Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 1638

August 30, 2014Iroquois County, Kankakee County, Will County, Illinois; 13 counties in Indiana; 51 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 30, 2014, 12:45 PM CDT for Iroquois County, Kankakee County, Will County, Illinois; 13 counties in Indiana; 51 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2014, 12:45 PM CDT (17:45 UTC)
Expired
Aug 30, 2014, 3:15 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 67 counties

Iroquois County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Will County, IL, Elkhart County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Alcona County, MI, Allegan County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Barry County, MI, Bay County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 349 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2014-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 368 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2014-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 147 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
368 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
847 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 3:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Floyd, Franklin, Harrison and 8 more114 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.