Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 1262

July 3, 20146 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 3, 2014, 1:30 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2014, 1:30 PM EDT (17:30 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2014, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 55 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Cheshire County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 7 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-251 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1010 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 2:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Capitol Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region10 hr
Jul 3, 4:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 3, 7:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 3, 11:57 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSussex, Warren63 min
Jul 3, 12:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBroome, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Madison and 6 more8 hr
Jul 3, 3:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Fulton, Madison and 8 more64 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.