Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
255 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

Some isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed with very
subtle upper level features, one over southeast OK into western AR
and the other over eastern KS. Any precip is greatly diurnally
driven and is expected to diminish this evening.

Saturday/Sunday look to be near copies of today. Overall, can't rule
out some diurnally driven clusters of showers/thunderstorms with a
somewhat better chance Sunday versus Saturday with lowering mid
level heights.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Friday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

Guidance has been consistent in bringing a shortwave and associated
front through the region Monday/Monday night. Timing may be slightly
slower with 12z guidance but not significantly so. This period
looks to be the best overall clearly defined chance for precip
during this period.

In general, medium range guidance keeps upper level subtropical
ridging suppressed to the south through midweek but there is no
clear consensus as to where low level baroclinic zones/fronts and
individual shortwaves will set up. By late in the week, larger
scale differences in guidance emerge. In general, a blend of
guidance yields typical small convective rain chances, but nothing
you can really hang your hat on in terms of timing.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

VFR conditions are expected across the entire area during the
forecast period. Isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be possible along the Missouri-Arkansas border
but confidence is not high enough to include in the KBBG TAF
at this time. Expect primarily southwest winds during the day
backing to more southerly direction during the overnight hours.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Gaede

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
335 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

KSZ073-202100-
BOURBON KS-
335 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN BOURBON COUNTY UNTIL 400
PM CDT...

AT 335 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DEVON...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT
SCOTT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE DEVON...FORT SCOTT...FULTON...HAMMOND...
HARDING...HIATTVILLE...MAPLETON...MARMATON AND REDFIELD.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN BOURBON COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3774 9462 3771 9496 3787 9497 3799 9493
      3802 9488 3803 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 321DEG 6KT 3794 9477

BOXELL