Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 2014

Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Springfield, MO

September 17, 2014Christian County, Douglas County, Stone County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood warning at Sep 17, 2014, 9:20 AM CDT for Christian County, Douglas County, Stone County, Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 17, 2014, 9:20 AM CDT (14:20 UTC)
Expired: Sep 17, 2014, 2:00 PM CDT
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Stone County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1260 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 580 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 220 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 229 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

830 
WGUS53 KSGF 171420
FFWSGF
MOC043-067-209-171900-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0019.140917T1420Z-140917T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
920 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  SOUTHERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT.

* AT 915 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE   WARNED AREA. 
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE ARE EXPECTED. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO   
  OCCUR. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE THE OZARK...HIGHLANDVILLE 
  AND SPARTA AREAS. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE 
  ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 13 AT PINE RUN NORTHWEST OF GALENA...
ROUTE FF AT HUNTER CREEK EAST OF AVA...
ROUTE FF AT TURKEY CREEK EAST OF AVA...
ROUTE Y AT COWSKIN CREEK 3 MILES WEST OF AVA...
ROUTE O AT TORY CREEK 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HIGHLANDVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3682 9353 3701 9361 3700 9291 3708 9290
      3707 9290 3707 9255 3706 9242 3680 9248

$$

FOSTER

1 follow-up statement

856 
WGUS73 KSGF 171618
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1118 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

MOC043-067-209-171900-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-140917T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHRISTIAN MO-DOUGLAS MO-STONE MO-
1118 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR
NORTHERN STONE...SOUTHERN CHRISTIAN AND WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES...

AT 1111 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT RAINFALL HAD DIMINISHED ACROSS CHRISTIAN AND STONE COUNTIES 
WHILE SHOWERS LINGERED IN DOUGLAS COUNTY. RAINFALL SINCE EARLY THIS 
MORNING RANGED FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING OF LOW 
LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS SOME CREEKS AND LOW WATER 
CROSSINGS. 

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 13 AT PINE RUN NORTHWEST OF GALENA...
ROUTE FF AT HUNTER CREEK EAST OF AVA...
ROUTE FF AT TURKEY CREEK EAST OF AVA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3682 9353 3701 9361 3700 9291 3708 9290
      3707 9290 3707 9255 3706 9242 3680 9248

$$

FOSTER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 17, 6:32 AM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 17, 6:32 AM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
632 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 226 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

Cu/accas cloud field and area of showers/thunderstorms starting to
develop between 200-230 am over east central KS into central MO in
response to increased lift/isentropic ascent from approaching
disturbance. Vertical shear, elevated instability, general
moisture advection will continue and expected an increase in
precip coverage in the near term. Best mucape values of 1000-1500
J/kg reside over the western cwfa and will support some marginally
severe hail in isolated stronger updrafts into the early daylight
hours.

Convection will weaken late this morning as the low level/850mb flow
veers/weakens. Convection in some form may last into the afternoon.
Expect to see some redevelopment late today and/or tonight as the
same general elevated convection scenario replays itself fairly
close to the same general area it is developing now.

Fog: Some areas of dense fog are noted over southern MO, mostly
due to stratus build down, and expect some areas of dense fog to
occur before widespread showers move in. The focus will likely be
in areas along and south of the higher terrain along and south of
MO Highway 60.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 226 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

Ongoing elevated showers/thunderstorms will likely be occurring to
start the period Thursday. Rising mid level heights with an
approaching ridge should suppress more widespread convection late on
Thursday and Thursday night. Dry and warm weather is expected
Friday.

Timing is the main concern for rain/tstm chances over the upcoming
weekend. Remnant weakening upper level shortwave from a tropical
system is still expected to move ene into the central/southern
Plains and phase with an approaching mid latitude shortwave by
Saturday.

00Z guidance: ECMWF looks slower versus the GEM and GFS
by about 12 hours. If the ECMWF verifies, the better chances for
precip will hold off until later Saturday night-Sunday-Sunday
night. GEM/GFS point more toward Sat afternoon/Saturday night. GFS
ensemble looks a tad slower than operational GFS, but for now went
with the cr blend, modifying onset time a bit later (Sat
afternoon).

Progressive nature of the weekend shortwave will kick out the
precip fairly quickly (no matter what the timing). Dry weather is
then expected Monday-Tuesday as Canadian high pressure moves into
the Midwest/Corn belt.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday Morning)
Issued at 622 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

A rather complex forecast over the next 24 hours for aviators
flying into Ozarks region terminals. Ongoing thunderstorms will
begin to impact the Springfield aerodrome around 12z this morning.
Ongoing limiting visibilities and ceiling will keep IFR conditions
in place for both Springfield and Branson through the morning
hours. Some improvement is possible with MVFR flight conditions
this afternoon into the evening, though there remains the
potential for additional storms. Flight conditions will then
deteriorate once again overnight as fog and low stratus build back
across the region. expect MVFR to IFR conditions after 06z through
most of the remainder of the TAF period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 17, 9:01 AM CDT, 19 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
901 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-181415-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
901 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED TO ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED FOG RISK.

DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THIS
MORNING...MAINLY AFFECTING AREAS BETWEEN U.S. HIGHWAYS 65 AND 63.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED
INSTANCES OF HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED.

HEAVY RAIN FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE.

ADDITIONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH
MID MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE ONGOING IN SOME AREAS EARLY
THURSDAY BUT WILL WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE MORNING.

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES OVER THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

BOXELL

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 17, 8:54 AM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
854 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0848 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRINGFIELD             37.20N 93.29W
09/17/2014                   GREENE             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FLOODING AT THE INTERSECTION OF KIMBROUGH AND ELM ALONG
            WITH HOLLAND AND GRAND.

&&

LINDENBERG

Local storm report, Sep 17, 9:08 AM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
908 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRINGFIELD             37.20N 93.29W
09/17/2014                   GREENE             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CHESTNUT EXPRESSWAY IS BEING CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER
            BETWEEN BOONEVILLE AND NATIONAL AVE.

&&

LINDENBERG

Local storm report, Sep 17, 9:10 AM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
910 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0903 AM     HAIL             2 W NIXA                37.04N 93.33W
09/17/2014  E0.88 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LINDENBERG

Special weather statement, Sep 17, 9:10 AM CDT, 10 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
910 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

MOZ095-096-171500-
CHRISTIAN MO-DOUGLAS MO-
910 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CHRISTIAN AND WESTERN
DOUGLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 AM CDT...

AT 907 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BRUNER TO 3 MILES WEST OF HIGHLANDVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE HIGHLANDVILLE AND SPARTA.

THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3681 9325 3682 9333 3701 9334 3707 9269
      3681 9273
TIME...MOT...LOC 1409Z 302DEG 22KT 3704 9302 3691 9333

FOSTER

Local storm report, Sep 17, 9:14 AM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
914 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     HAIL             2 E BILLINGS            37.07N 93.52W
09/17/2014  M0.88 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   PUBLIC

&&

LINDENBERG

Local storm report, Sep 17, 9:20 AM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
920 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0919 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRINGFIELD             37.20N 93.29W
09/17/2014                   GREENE             MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            FASSNIGHT CREEK OUT OF BANKS NEAR PARKVIEW HIGH SCHOOL.
            ALSO...WATER RESCUE AT KANSAS EXPRESSWAY AND INTERSTATE
            44.

&&

LINDENBERG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 17, 4:40 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	St. Clair	35 min
Sep 17, 5:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Benton	35 min
Sep 17, 5:13 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Vernon	47 min
Sep 17, 6:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Cedar, Dade	46 min
Sep 17, 7:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Greene	52 min
Sep 17, 7:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dade, Greene, Lawrence	34 min
Sep 17, 7:46 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Cedar, Dade, Greene, Polk, St. Clair	6 hr
Sep 17, 7:53 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Lawrence	37 min
Sep 17, 8:03 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Greene, Webster	27 min
Sep 17, 8:05 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Greene, Webster	25 min
Sep 17, 8:33 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Christian, Greene, Webster	5 hr
Sep 17, 8:39 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Christian, Greene, Webster	51 min
Sep 17, 8:46 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Christian, Greene, Webster	6 hr
Sep 17, 9:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Christian	50 min
Sep 17, 9:26 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Webster, Wright	5 hr
Sep 17, 9:35 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Ozark, Taney	40 min
Sep 17, 10:02 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Ozark, Taney	4 hr
Sep 17, 10:33 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Benton, Dallas, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair, Webster	3 hr
Sep 17, 10:58 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar, Dallas, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair, Webster	4 hr
Sep 17, 11:33 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar, Dade, Greene, Polk	3 hr
Sep 17, 12:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas	41 min
Sep 17, 12:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Ozark	56 min
Sep 17, 12:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Christian, Greene, Lawrence, Stone	64 min
Sep 17, 1:18 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Lawrence	5 hr
Sep 17, 1:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Christian, Stone, Taney	58 min
Sep 17, 1:56 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Barry, Christian, Lawrence, Stone, Taney	5 hr
Sep 17, 2:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Hickory, Polk and 2 more	5 hr
Sep 17, 3:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper, Lawrence	65 min
Sep 17, 3:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Lawrence, Newton	55 min
Sep 17, 4:42 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Barry, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton	6 hr
Sep 17, 4:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Newton	46 min
Sep 17, 5:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Barry	27 min
Sep 17, 5:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry	22 min
Sep 17, 5:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Newton	50 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2014 Every flash flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.