Alert archive / Washington / Wind Advisories in 2014

Wind Advisory 16, NWS Seattle, WA

October 21, 2014San Juan County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this wind advisory at Oct 21, 2014, 3:24 AM PDT for San Juan County, Washington. It took effect at Oct 21, 2014, 5:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 21, 2014, 3:24 AM PDT (10:24 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 21, 2014, 5:00 PM PDT
Expired
Oct 22, 2014, 8:07 AM PDT
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA

County San Juan County, WA

The radar

The Seattle radar (KATX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Quillayute State, WA (KUIL), launched 00:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Quillayute State, WA at 00:00Z on 2014-10-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 135 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Quillayute State, WA at 00:00Z on 2014-10-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
135 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
731 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

670 
WWUS76 KSEW 211024
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
324 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

WAZ516-517-211900-
/O.NEW.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.141022T0000Z-141022T1500Z/
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
324 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM
PDT WEDNESDAY. 

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...OCEAN SHORES...WESTPORT...FORKS...NEAH BAY.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND PEAK OVERNIGHT. 

* WIND...SOUTH WIND 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE
  BRANCHES...TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE
  LOCAL POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$

WAZ001-503-506-510-211900-
/O.NEW.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.141022T0300Z-141022T1800Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FRIDAY HARBOR
324 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...BELLINGHAM...MOUNT VERNON...NAVAL AIR
  STATION WHIDBEY...PORT TOWNSEND...SAN JUAN ISLANDS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND PEAK OVERNIGHT. 

* WIND...SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE
  BRANCHES...TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE
  LOCAL POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
748 
WWUS76 KSEW 211627
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
927 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

WAZ516-517-220030-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.141022T0000Z-141022T1500Z/
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
927 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...OCEAN SHORES...WESTPORT...FORKS... 
  NEAH BAY.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND PEAK OVERNIGHT.

* WIND...SOUTH WIND 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$

WAZ001-503-506-510-220030-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.141022T0300Z-141022T1800Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FRIDAY HARBOR
927 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...BELLINGHAM...MOUNT VERNON...NAVAL 
  AIR STATION WHIDBEY...PORT TOWNSEND...SAN JUAN ISLANDS. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND PEAK OVERNIGHT.

* WIND...SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
934 
WWUS76 KSEW 212238
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
338 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

WAZ516-517-220645-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.141022T0000Z-141022T1500Z/
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
338 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...OCEAN SHORES...WESTPORT...FORKS... 
  NEAH BAY.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND PEAK OVERNIGHT.

* WIND...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$

WAZ001-503-506-510-220645-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.141022T0300Z-141022T1800Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
338 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...BELLINGHAM...MOUNT VERNON...NAVAL 
  AIR STATION WHIDBEY...PORT TOWNSEND...SAN JUAN ISLANDS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND PEAK OVERNIGHT.

* WIND...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
729 
WWUS76 KSEW 220425
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
925 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

WAZ516-517-221230-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141022T1500Z/
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
925 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...OCEAN SHORES...WESTPORT...FORKS... 
  NEAH BAY. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK ON THE COAST IN THE MIDDLE OF THE
  NIGHT.

* WIND...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$

WAZ001-503-506-510-221230-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141022T1800Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FRIDAY HARBOR
925 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...BELLINGHAM...MOUNT VERNON...NAVAL 
  AIR STATION WHIDBEY...PORT TOWNSEND...SAN JUAN ISLANDS. 

* TIMING...IT WILL BE WINDY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* WIND...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$
230 
WWUS76 KSEW 220921
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
221 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

WAZ001-503-221600-
/O.UPG.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141022T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.HW.W.0005.141022T0921Z-141022T1600Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FRIDAY HARBOR
221 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING. THE
WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...BELLINGHAM...FERNDALE...SAN JUAN
  ISLANDS.

* TIMING...HIGH WINDS WILL PEAK EARLY THIS MORNING. 

* WIND...SOUTH 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS THAT A HAZARDOUS WIND EVENT IS IMMINENT
OR OCCURRING.

&&

$$

WAZ506-510-221600-
/O.EXT.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141022T1600Z/
WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
221 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING...

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...MOUNT VERNON...NAVAL AIR STATION
  WHIDBEY...PORT TOWNSEND.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK EARLY THIS MORNING.

* WIND...SOUTH 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$

WAZ516-517-221500-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141022T1500Z/
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
221 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT THIS MORNING...

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...OCEAN SHORES...WESTPORT...FORKS... 
  NEAH BAY. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK EARLY THIS MORNING. 

* WIND...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES... 
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH
AND/OR GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

&&

$$
559 
WWUS76 KSEW 221507
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
807 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

WAZ001-503-221615-
/O.CAN.KSEW.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141022T1600Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FRIDAY HARBOR
807 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT HIGH WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE SAN
JUANS AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE AREA...AND WINDS ARE DIMINISHING.

$$

WAZ506-510-221615-
/O.CAN.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141022T1600Z/
WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
807 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT WINDY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT HAS
MOVED EAST OF THE AREA...AND WINDS ARE DIMINISHING.

$$

WAZ516-517-221615-
/O.EXP.KSEW.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141022T1500Z/
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
807 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT WINDY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT HAS
MOVED EAST OF THE AREA...AND WINDS ARE DIMINISHING.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Oct 20, 9:20 PM PDT, 6 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 20, 9:20 PM PDT, 6 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
920 PM PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SHOWERS WILL DECREASE LATER TONIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH
MOVES INLAND. A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND WIND TO
THE COAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TO THE INTERIOR OF WESTERN
WASHINGTON BY TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL ALSO BE A WET DAY OVER
WESTERN WASHINGTON...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AS STRONG SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF
THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS MOVE ONSHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN
WASHINGTON THIS EVENING WILL TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT. THE MAIN AREA OF
TSTMS OCCURRED BETWEEN THE SOUTH TIP OF WHIDBEY AND THE ARLINGTON
AREA...AND THE CAMANO ISLAND RADAR SHOWED UP TO 0.75 INCHES OF RAIN
IN SOME LOCATIONS OF WRN SNOHOMISH COUNTY FROM THE HEAVY SHOWERS.
THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM IS FAST APPROACHING THE AREA AND THE LEADING
FRONTAL BAND IS CROSSING 130W THIS EVENING WITH A STRONG WESTERLY
JETSTREAM CHASING THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC ALONG 45N.
THIS NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE WINDS IN THE CATEGORY OF A
WIND ADVISORY TUE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE COAST AND ALL AROUND
THE SAN JUANS. THE NAM TAKES A 996MB LOW ACROSS 130W AROUND 8PM AND
THAT GETS DOWN TO 991MB BY THE TIME IT REACHES VANCOUVER ISLAND
AROUND 2AM. THE 00Z GFS40 DOESN'T SHOW MUCH IN THE WAY OF SECONDARY
DEVELOPMENT BUT THE UW WRFGFS HINTS AT A LITTLE SOMETHING. SUSTAINED
WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND IN THE NORTHERN INLAND WATERS WILL BE
GALES...AND THE UW 10M WIND GUSTS FORECAST SHOWS WINDS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS PERHAPS AS HIGH AS 60KT WITH 40KT OR 45MPH GUSTS OVER
LAND. THE OTHER THING TO WATCH WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE AMOUNT OF
RAIN THAT CARRIES OVER INTO WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MOUNTAINS...IN STRONG SW FLOW ALOFT. THE RAIN DOES APPEAR LIKELY TO
BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO GET THE SKOKOMISH UP TO FLOOD STAGE.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY WILL BE IN BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS WITH JUST A
SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT
SHOWING ANOTHER SHOT OF RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA
SUNDAY AND MONDAY FOR DRIER AND MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER. SCHNEIDER

&&

.HYDROLOGY...A VIGOROUS FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY
RAINS TO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO
BE OVER THE OLYMPICS WHERE UP TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL LIKELY PUSH THE SKOKOMISH RIVER IN MASON COUNTY
TO FLOOD STAGE ON WEDNESDAY. A HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK IS CURRENTLY OUT
TO COVER THIS POSSIBILITY. FOR OTHER AREAS RIVERS...FLOODING IS
UNLIKELY OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...A TROUGH OVER THE PAC NW TONIGHT WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT E
OF TUESDAY. THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OFFSHORE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING ACROSS THE AREA. A 990
MB SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK INTO CENTRAL VANCOUVER ISLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT....DRAGGING A FRONT THROUGH WRN WA. LIGHT TO MODERATE SW FLOW
ALOFT...BECOMING STRONG S-SW FLOW ALOFT BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MOIST
ATMOSPHERE AND UNSTABLE...BECOMING SOMEWHAT STABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS
DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN DEVELOPING TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH
THE NEXT SYSTEM. VARIABLE CIGS...BUT GENERALLY VFR EXCEPT MVFR WITH
HEAVIER PRECIPITATION.

KSEA...SHOWERS THROUGH TONIGHT BUT DECREASING IN COVERAGE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS
BECOMING UNLIKELY BY MIDNIGHT. MAINLY VFR CIGS BUT MVFR CIGS
2000-2500 FT POSSIBLE WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS OR ANY THUNDERSTORM. SSW
WIND 5-10 KT...BUT VARIABLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN INCREASING LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT. DTM

&&

.MARINE...COASTAL WATERS...W-SW SWELL OF 10 TO 14 FEET WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY. COMBINED SEAS MAY REACH 15-16 FT TUESDAY NIGHT.
WEST ENTRANCE...SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. SLY WINDS RISING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
TUESDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR UP FOR THE COAST AND W STRAIT
THROUGH TUESDAY....AND FOR ADMIRALTY INLET NWD ON TUESDAY.

A SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH OFFSHORE TUESDAY...AND MOVE NE
INTO VANCOUVER ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AS A 990 MB LOW. THIS SYSTEM
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SOLID GALES OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...WEST
ENTRANCE AND INLAND WATERS N OF ADMIRALTY INLET. A GALE WATCH
REMAINS EFFECT FOR LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. DTM

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY COASTAL WATERS AND WEST ENTRANCE TO THE
     STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH GRAYS HARBOR BAR THROUGH TUESDAY
     NIGHT.
     GALE WATCH FOR THE COAST...WEST AND EAST ENTRANCES TO THE
     STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA...AND THE NORTHERN INLAND WATERS AND THE
     NORTHERN INLAND WATERS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

&&

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THIS FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 20, 8:36 PM PDTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW35 hr
Oct 21, 2:49 AM PDTGale WarningSEW30 hr
Oct 21, 3:25 AM PDTFlood WatchSEWClallam, Grays Harbor, Jefferson, Mason, Skagit, Snohomish and 1 more33 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Washington, 2014Every wind advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.