Gale Warning 97, NWS Seattle, WA

345 
WHUS76 KSEW 120600
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1000 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

PZZ131-121400-
/O.UPG.KSEW.GL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
1000 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST FRIDAY. THE GALE
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS AND WAVES...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST 30
  TO 40 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND
  WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET...BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET.

* STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A DEEP LOW PRESSURE CENTER
  MOVES ALONG THE WASHINGTON COAST. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WIND
AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ135-121400-
/O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
1000 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST FRIDAY...

* WINDS AND WAVES...WINDS 25 TO 35 KNOTS. WIND WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET.

* STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A DEEP LOW PRESSURE CENTER
  MOVES ALONG THE WASHINGTON COAST. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD...AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-120900-
/O.CON.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141212T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO
60 NM-
1000 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY...

* WIND AND SEAS...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 40 TO 50 KNOTS WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 60 KNOTS. SEAS 15 TO 18 FEET.

* STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A DEEP LOW PRESSURE CENTER
  MOVES ALONG THE WASHINGTON COAST. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.

* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WIND
AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD...AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ130-132>134-121400-
/O.CON.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS-
ADMIRALTY INLET-
1000 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST FRIDAY...

* WIND...WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS
  POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

* STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A DEEP LOW PRESSURE CENTER
  MOVES ALONG THE WASHINGTON COAST. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WIND
AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD...AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ110-121200-
/O.CON.KSEW.RB.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141212T1200Z/
GRAYS HARBOR BAR-
1000 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM PST FRIDAY...

* BAR CONDITION...SEVERE WITH BREAKERS COVERING THE BAR...BECOMING
  ROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

* COMBINED SEAS...16 TO 20 FEET.

* FIRST EBB...830 AM FRIDAY MORNING. 

* SECOND EBB...804 PM FRIDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS
WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES.

&&

$$


WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

616 
WHUS76 KSEW 120845
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1245 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-121500-
/O.CAN.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141212T0900Z/
/O.EXA.KSEW.GL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO
60 NM-
1245 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WIND AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH SEAS 15 TO 18
  FEET. WINDS AND SEAS WILL EASE AFTER 7 AM PST THIS MORNING


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ135-121500-
/O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
1245 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS AND WAVES...SOUTH WINDS 25 TO 35 KNOTS. WIND WAVES 4 TO 7
  FEET.

* STRONG WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AS A LOW PRESSURE
  CENTER MOVES INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST
  FORECASTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD...AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ130>134-121500-
/O.CON.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS-
ADMIRALTY INLET-
1245 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...

* WIND...WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS 
  POSSIBLE TONIGHT. 

* STRONG WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AS A LOW PRESSURE
  CENTER MOVES INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WIND
AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD...AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ110-121200-
/O.CON.KSEW.RB.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141212T1200Z/
GRAYS HARBOR BAR-
1245 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING...

* BAR CONDITION...SEVERE WITH BREAKERS COVERING THE BAR... 
  BECOMING ROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. 

* COMBINED SEAS...16 TO 20 FEET.

* FIRST EBB...830 AM THIS MORNING.

* SECOND EBB...804 PM THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS
WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES.

&&

$$


WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

277 
WHUS76 KSEW 121154
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
354 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

PZZ135-121500-
/O.CAN.KSEW.GL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0277.141212T1154Z-141212T1500Z/
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
354 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WINDS AND WAVES...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD...AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-122000-
/O.CAN.KSEW.GL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.SW.Y.0040.141212T1200Z-141214T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO
60 NM-
354 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM
PST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WIND AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL EASE EARLY THIS
  MORNING. WEST SWELL 15 FT AT 13 SECONDS WILL SUBSIDE TO 13 FT
  THIS EVENING. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING
AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN
SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER
FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...
BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

PZZ130>134-121500-
/O.CAN.KSEW.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141212T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0277.141212T1154Z-141212T1500Z/
WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS-
ADMIRALTY INLET-
354 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WIND AND SEAS...WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL EASE THIS MORNING TO
  10 TO 20 KNOTS. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3
  FEET. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD...AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ110-122000-
/O.EXT.KSEW.RB.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-141213T0600Z/
GRAYS HARBOR BAR-
354 AM PST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
PST THIS EVENING...

* BAR CONDITION...SEVERE WITH BREAKERS COVERING THE BAR... 
  BECOMING ROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. 

* COMBINED SEAS...16 TO 20 FEET.

* FIRST EBB...830 AM THIS MORNING.

* SECOND EBB...804 PM THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS
WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES.

&&

$$


WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
300 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING RAINY WINDY
WEATHER TO WESTERN WASHINGTON TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY
ALONG THE COAST AND ALSO FOR SOME OF THE INTERIOR LOWLANDS. AN UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...AND A WEAK FRONT COULD BRING LIGHT
RAIN AT TIMES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...THE EVOLUTION OF THE APPROACHING STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED CLOSELY. THERE ARE NO BIG CHANGES TO THE
OVERALL FORECAST AND STRONG WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO IMPACT WRN
WA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. IR/WV SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATED THE SURFACE LOW LIKELY BOMBED OUT TO NEAR 970 MB EARLIER
THIS MORNING NEAR 130W/40N. THE LOW HAS BECOME A BIT LESS ORGANIZED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON BUT BUOY26 JUST E OF THE LOW
STILL INDICATES A PRESSURE OF 973 MB AND STILL FALLING.
THEREFORE...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS RISEN VERY LITTLE AND MAY NOT
FILL MUCH MORE BEFORE LANDFALL GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY
IMPLIED BY THE NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES ALONG THE LOW TRACK. A
WARM FRONTAL FEATURE LIFTED NWD ACROSS WRN WA THIS MORNING AND NOW
THAT IT HAS LIFTED FAR ENOUGH N...THE SRN STREAM LOW WILL LIKELY
CONSOLIDATE AND DUMBBELL A LITTLE CLOSER TO THE COAST BEFORE
TRACKING NEAR TATOOSH THIS EVENING.

MESO MODELS STILL SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND
TIGHTEN GRADIENTS SUFFICIENTLY FOR STRONG WINDS INLAND AS WELL. HIGH
WIND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF WRN WA TONIGHT. STRONG
SLY WINDS WILL FIRST DEVELOP ALONG THE CENTRAL WA COAST AROUND 4-5
PM THEN SPREAD NWD. THE 4KM WRF-GFS SHOWS 40-45 KT SUSTAINED RIGHT
ALONG THE COAST SO WINDS SUSTAINED AT 40 WITH GUSTS 75 MPH STILL
SEEM LIKELY.

THE WIND FORECAST ACROSS THE INTERIOR IS A LITTLE LESS CERTAIN BUT
HIGH WIND GUSTS STILL SEEM LIKELY FOR A COUPLE REASONS. FIRST
OFF...LIGHTING OFFSHORE IS INDICATING A LOT OF LIFT AND INSTABILITY
WHICH SHOULD HELP BRING SOME OF THE 55 KT WIND AT 925 MB DOWN AS
SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60-65 MPH. WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING THIS
STRONG OVER WRN OREGON NEAR THE COAST AND SOME WILLAMETTE VALLEY
LOCATIONS LIKE EUGENE ARE GUSTING OVER 50 MPH LAST HOUR. THIS WILL
BE TRANSLATING NWD THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SECONDLY...HIGH RESOLUTION
MODELS DEVELOP A STRONG MESO LOW TO THE NE OF THE OLYMPICS. THIS
INDUCES VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENTS FROM ADMIRALTY INLET S THROUGH
PUGET SOUND. THE ECMWF/WRFGFS/HRRR ALL SHOW THIS OCCURRING. THIS
COULD GIVE A ONE-TWO PUNCH OF WIND TO PUGET SOUND/ADMIRALTY INLET.
THE FIRST...A 2-3 HOUR BURST OF WINDS WITH THE INITIAL BENT BACK
FEATURE AND PRESSURE RISES...AND A SECOND ASSOCIATED WITH THE MESO
LOW LATER IN THE EVENING.

ALL MODELS SHOW WINDS GRADUALLY EASING SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT BUT IT
WILL REMAIN BREEZY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE WEAKLY UNSTABLE
ALOFT SO A FEW RESIDUAL SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AROUND THE AREA.
OVERALL IT WILL BE A MUCH QUIETER WEATHER DAY.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROVIDE
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER AND PARTIAL SUNSHINE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 40S.

.LONG TERM...SPLIT FLOW BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED NEXT WEEK. THIS
CREATES DIFFICULTY WITH THE EXTENDED FORECAST AS MODELS DO POORLY IN
SPLIT FLOW PATTERNS. THE GFS/ECMWF CURRENTLY BRING A WEAK SYSTEM
INTO WRN WA AROUND TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THE
SYSTEM COULD BYPASS WA TO THE S WITH CONTINUED DRY WEATHER. WILL
STICK WITH THE CURRENT GENERIC CHANCE OF RAIN/SHOWERS FOR NOW.

MERCER

&&

.HYDROLOGY...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER IS THE ONLY RIVER FLOODING AS OF
300 PM THIS AFTERNOON. FLOOD WATCHES/WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER IN
EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA AS THE THREAT HAS SUBSIDED. THE
ADDITIONAL RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT MAY TOTAL AN INCH OR SO BUT WILL NOT
BE HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT. CURRENT FORECASTS SHOW THE SKOKOMISH
RIVER FALLING BELOW FLOOD SOMETIME FRIDAY EVENING. REFER TO THE
LATEST FLOOD STATEMENT FOR CURRENT DETAILS. OTHERWISE...FLOODING IS
UNLIKELY THIS WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLOODING...A FEW LANDSLIDES HAVE OCCURRED ACROSS
THE AREA. THE RISK OF LANDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE THERE
ARE STEEP COASTAL BLUFFS OR STEEP HILLSIDES...WILL CONTINUE.

MERCER

&&

.AVIATION...RAIN IN ADVANCE OF UPCOMING SYSTEM IMPACTING MANY OF THE
TERMINAL SITES. MAIN IMPACT FROM THIS HAS BEEN CIGS STARTING TO
LOWER DOWN INTO MVFR AT CLM AND OLM...ALTHOUGH BULK OF SITES STILL
SEEING VFR CONDITIONS. RAINFALL ALSO IMPACTING VISIBILITIES TO SOME
DEGREE...MAINLY AT OLM...BLI AND PAE AT THE TIME OF THIS WRITING.
THIS LOOKS TO BE THE MAIN WAVE OF PRECIP...ALTHOUGH GETTING SOME
REDEVELOPMENT BEHIND CURRENT WAVE...MAINLY DUE TO UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS AROUND THE LOW. THIS INSTABILITY AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW
WILL GIVE RISE TO TURBULENCE CONCERNS. FURTHER REDEVELOPMENT OF RAIN
EXPECTED...KEEPING RISK OF PRECIP INTO THE EARLY HOURS FRIDAY
MORNING...BUT LIKELY TO BE MORE SCATTERED THAN WHAT HAS BEEN
OBSERVED SO FAR TODAY. WIND WILL BE THE STORY FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND INTO TONIGHT...WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS STARTING FIRST AT
SOUTHERNMOST TERMINALS BETWEEN 4-6 PM PST AND MOVING NORTHWARD AS
TIME PROGRESSES. THOUGHTS CONTINUE TO BE THAT THE TRANSITION FROM
CURRENT OBSERVED WINDS TO WHAT IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY SUDDEN AND
THAT THE EVENT WILL BE FRONT LOADED...MEANING THAT STRONGEST WINDS
AND GUSTS EXPECTED IN THE FIRST 2-4 HOURS AFTER ONSET THEN SLOWLY
TAPERING OFF AFTERWARD THROUGH THE NIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
FALL BELOW 10 KT BY MID MORNING FRIDAY. SMR

KSEA...RAIN CURRENTLY OVER THE TERMINAL...EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
STEADILY THROUGH 00Z. MAY BE A BIT MORE SCATTERED AFTERWARD...BUT
LIKELY TO BE MORE ON THAN OFF THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. VFR CIGS
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE WITH
HEAVIER SHOWERS. SE WINDS 6 TO 8 KT WILL BECOME 10 TO 15 KT GUSTING
TO 25 KT AFTER 02Z BEFORE WINDS START TO SUBSIDE AFTER 12Z FRIDAY.
SMR

&&

.MARINE...LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS WAY UP THE PACIFIC
COAST. WHILE STORM WARNING HAS GONE INTO EFFECT FOR COASTAL
WATERS...NOT SEEING WIND SPEEDS MEET THAT MARK JUST YET.
THIS...HOWEVER...IS NO CAUSE TO RELAX. CURRENT OBS OFF OREGON COAST
CONFIRM HIGH WIND SPEEDS ARE ON THEIR WAY. EXPECTING THEM TO START
ENTERING WASHINGTON COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN 3 AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. AS THE LOW CONTINUES ITS TREK
NORTH...WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT INLAND WATERS AND THE STRAIT. THE
INHERITED STORM AND GALE WATCHES FOR THESE AREAS WILL BE UPGRADED TO
THEIR RESPECTIVE WARNINGS WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE. THE
STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN INLAND WATERS...THE WEST AND EAST
STRAIT AND ADMIRALTY INLET GOES INTO EFFECT AT 6 PM PST...WITH THE
GALE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL STRAIT AND PUGET SOUND/HOOD CANAL
STARTING AT THE SAME TIME. THIS WILL PUT ALL WATERS IN WESTERN WA
UNDER EITHER A STORM WARNING OR A GALE WARNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO TONIGHT BEFORE WINDS SLOWLY TAPER OFF DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

WINDS WILL EASE AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA FRIDAY
MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
GRADIENTS AND FLOW WILL BECOME OFFSHORE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SMR

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...HIGH WIND WARNING ALL OF WESTERN WASHINGTON EXCLUDING THE
     EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA AND THE MOUNTAINS.

     FLOOD WARNINGS FOR PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

PZ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY
     MORNING AND IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTRANCES TO THE STRAIT OF JUAN
     DE FUCA...NORTHERN INLAND WATERS AND ADMIRALTY INLET FROM 6 PM
     PST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

     GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA
     AND PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL FROM 6 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
     THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
     FOR THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA...NORTHERN INLAND
     WATERS...ADMIRALTY INLET AND PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SEVERE BAR CONDITIONS.

&&

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
303 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

WAZ001-503-504-506-507-509>517-555-556-558-559-567>569-130030-
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-
WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-EVERETT AND VICINITY-TACOMA AREA-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-
OLYMPICS-EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-BELLEVUE AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE AND VICINITY-BREMERTON AND VICINITY-
CASCADES OF WHATCOM AND SKAGIT COUNTIES-
CASCADES OF SNOHOMISH AND KING COUNTIES-
CASCADES OF PIERCE AND LEWIS COUNTIES-
303 PM PST THU DEC 11 2014

...AN INCREASED RISK OF LANDSLIDES CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY IN
WESTERN WASHINGTON...

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS COMBINED WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS CAUSED AN
INCREASE IN THE LANDSLIDE RISK ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON. THE RISK
OF LANDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. IN THE LAST 24 HOURS 1
TO NEARLY 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE OLYMPICS WITH
SIMILAR AMOUNTS IN THE NORTH CASCADES. IN THE LOWLANDS...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WERE GENERALLY A HALF TO AROUND 2 INCHES. THIS IS ON TOP
OF THE HEAVY RAIN THAT FELL ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS HAS
INCREASED SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON PUTTING
EXTRA PRESSURE ON SOIL INSTABILITY...LEADING TO AN INCREASED RISK
OF LANDSLIDES.

WITH AN ELEVATED LANDSLIDE RISK...RAINFALL INDUCED LANDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE DURING BURSTS OF INTENSE RAINFALL OR WHEN THERE IS OR HAS
BEEN HEAVY RAINFALL OVER A PERIOD OF A DAY OR TWO AS NOTED IN THE
FORECAST ELEVATED RISK LEVEL. AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO LANDSLIDES
UNDER THESE CONDITIONS ARE STEEP COASTAL BLUFFS AND OTHER STEEP
HILLSIDES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CURRENT CONDITIONS...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE...SELECT LOCAL HYDRO INFO...AND THEN SCROLL
DOWN FOR THE LINKS TO THE LANDSLIDE THREAT PAGES.

TO REPORT LANDSLIDES TO THE STATE FOR TABULATION...GO TO THE
SHALLOW LANDSLIDE HAZARD MAP PAGE AND CLICK ON THE REPORT A
LANDSLIDE LINK. A LINK TO THE SHALLOW LANDSLIDE HAZARD MAP CAN
BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE...SELECT LOCAL HYDRO INFO...
AND THEN SCROLL DOWN TO THE WASHINGTON STATE LANDSLIDE SHALLOW
LANDSLIDE THREAT LINK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE