Alert archive / Virginia / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014
Winter Storm Warning 10, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this winter storm warning at Oct 30, 2014, 3:02 PM EDT for Ashe County, Watauga County, North Carolina; Grayson County, Smyth County, Tazewell County, Virginia. It took effect at Oct 31, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 24 hr. 13 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 30, 2014, 3:02 PM EDT (19:02 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 31, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Nov 1, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
Counties Ashe County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Grayson County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 3:15 AM EDT | SNOW 1 | Elk Creek, VA | |
| Nov 1, 4:30 AM EDT | SNOW 2.5 | Boone, NC | |
| Nov 1, 6:51 AM EDT | SNOW 2.8 | Valle Crucis, NC | VIA TWITTER |
| Nov 1, 7:10 AM EDT | SNOW 1.3 | Fleetwood, NC | VIA FB. |
| Nov 1, 7:15 AM EDT | SNOW 4.5 | 1 Ese West Jefferson, NC | ELEVATION 3205 FEET. VIA FB. |
| Nov 1, 10:05 AM EDT | SNOW 3 | 3 W Blowing Rock, NC | VIA FB |
| Nov 1, 10:15 AM EDT | SNOW 3.5 | 1 Ne Peoria, NC | 3 TO 4 INCHES |
| Nov 1, 10:30 AM EDT | SNOW 3 | 1 Nnw Todd, NC | |
| Nov 1, 10:30 AM EDT | SNOW 5 | 1 Wnw Deep Gap, NC | |
| Nov 1, 10:35 AM EDT | SNOW 2 | 1 Sw Sugar Grove, NC | |
| Nov 1, 10:35 AM EDT | SNOW 4 | 2 N Silverstone, NC | |
| Nov 1, 12:30 PM EDT | SNOW 2.2 | Marion, VA | |
| Nov 1, 1:54 PM EDT | SNOW 3 | Elk Creek, VA | HEAVY WET SNOW |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1615 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -115 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 50 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
263 WWUS41 KRNK 301902 WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 302 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 ...HEAVY SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA... .A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY...CROSSING THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY NIGHT. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE SEASON'S FIRST SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA AND FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-310315- /O.UPG.KRNK.WS.A.0005.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.WS.W.0010.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 302 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING. * LOCATIONS...HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING...FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS... WILL BLOW DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S ON SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
9 follow-up statements
889 WWUS41 KRNK 301902 CCA WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 302 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 ...HEAVY SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA... .A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY...CROSSING THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY NIGHT. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE SEASON'S FIRST SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-310315- /O.UPG.KRNK.WS.A.0005.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ /O.COR.KRNK.WS.W.0010.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 302 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING. * LOCATIONS...HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING...FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS... WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S ON SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
342 WWUS41 KRNK 310254 WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1054 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 ...HEAVY SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... .A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY...CROSSING THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS FRIDAY NIGHT. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE SEASON'S FIRST SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS AND BURKES GARDEN. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-311100- /O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0010.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 1054 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING...FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS... WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S ON SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
266 WWUS41 KRNK 310805 WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 405 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 ...HEAVY SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... .A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...CROSSING THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE SEASON'S FIRST SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS AND BURKES GARDEN. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-312000- /O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0010.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 405 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ABOVE ELEVATIONS OF 3500 FEET. * TIMING...FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS... WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR MAINLY ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
371 WWUS41 KRNK 311955 WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 355 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 ...HEAVY SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... .A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS INTO THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE SEASON'S FIRST SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS AND BURKES GARDEN. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-011000- /O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0010.141101T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 355 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ABOVE ELEVATIONS OF 3500 FEET. * TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...PLUS STRONG WINDS... WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR MAINLY ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
156 WWUS41 KRNK 010302 WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1102 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 ...HEAVY SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... .A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS INTO THE SMOKYS OVERNIGHT THEN SHIFT OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE SEASONS FIRST SNOWFALL TO THE NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING. AS THE STORM STRENGTHENS SATURDAY...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND GUST UP TO 50 MPH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-011115- /O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 1102 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY...NORTH INTO THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH 6 TO 12 INCHES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4000 FEET. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...PLUS STRONG WINDS... WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR MAINLY ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S BY SATURDAY MORNING...AND ONLY RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. YOU CAN ALSO SEND REPORTS VIA OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RNK. && $$
609 WWUS41 KRNK 010836 WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 436 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...HEAVY WET SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... .A STRONG AREA OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE PASSING OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY WET SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ALONG THE HIGHER WESTERN SLOPES. AS THE STORM STRENGTHENS OFFSHORE LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND GUST UP TO 50 MPH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-011645- /O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 436 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY...NORTH INTO THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOWFALL THIS MORNING WITH ADDED SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...PLUS STRONG WINDS... WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR MAINLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S...ONLY RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5... 4 3 2 4. YOU CAN ALSO SEND REPORTS VIA OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RNK. && $$
494 WWUS41 KRNK 011125 AAA WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 725 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...HEAVY WET SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... .A STRONG AREA OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE PASSING OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY WET SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ALONG THE HIGHER WESTERN SLOPES. AS THE STORM STRENGTHENS OFFSHORE LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND GUST UP TO 50 MPH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-011930- /O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 725 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY...NORTH INTO THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES... WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOWFALL THIS MORNING WITH ADDED SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...PLUS STRONG WINDS... WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL OCCUR MAINLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S...ONLY RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5... 4 3 2 4. YOU CAN ALSO SEND REPORTS VIA OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RNK. && $$ NCZ002-VAZ010-012-016-WVZ042-011600- /O.NEW.KRNK.WW.Y.0018.141101T1125Z-141101T1600Z/ ALLEGHANY NC-BLAND-WYTHE-CARROLL-MERCER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...BLAND...WYTHEVILLE...GALAX... BLUEFIELD 725 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. * LOCATIONS...ALONG THE INTERSTATE 77 CORRIDOR. * HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING...MAINLY THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...WET SNOW WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
473 WWUS41 KRNK 011603 WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1203 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...HEAVY WET SNOW FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... .A STRONG AREA OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ALONG THE HIGHER WESTERN SLOPES. AS THE STORM STRENGTHENS OFFSHORE LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND GUST UP TO 50 MPH IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. NCZ002-VAZ010-012-016-WVZ042-011715- /O.EXP.KRNK.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-141101T1600Z/ ALLEGHANY NC-BLAND-WYTHE-CARROLL-MERCER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...BLAND...WYTHEVILLE...GALAX... BLUEFIELD 1203 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... MUCH OF THE SNOW AND RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE REGION. LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. $$ NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-020000- /O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 1203 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY...NORTH INTO THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES... WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...PLUS STRONG WINDS... WILL DOWN SOME TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE 30S THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5... 4 3 2 4. YOU CAN ALSO SEND REPORTS VIA OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RNK. && $$
641 WWUS41 KRNK 012350 WSWRNK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 750 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-020100- /O.EXP.KRNK.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141102T0000Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL... MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY 750 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE AROUND THROUGH EARLY OVERNIGHT...WITH ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION AROUND 1 INCH OR LESS...WITH LOCAL 2 INCH AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Oct 30, 1:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 30, 1:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
121 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY PROMOTING MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...FAIR WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF THE DAY FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY
DETERIORATE FRIDAY EVENING AS A FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM FROM
CANADA MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...AND TRIGGERING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE AS IT CROSSES THE MID ATLANTIC REGION FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY. WINTER STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGH
COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR
WESTERN VIRGINIA VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET WILL SEE THE GREATEST WINTRY IMPACT.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 100 PM EDT THURSDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER INTO TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE COOLER THAN THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 50S WEST TO MID 60S EAST. SOME
RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT WILL LEAD TO PATCHY FROST DEVELOPING
IN DEEP MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP QUICKLY THIS
EVENING AS CLOUDS DISSIPATE WITH MOST EVERYONE BEING IN THE 30S BY
SUNRISE FRIDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 500 AM EDT THURSDAY...
OUR FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE GREATEST WINTRY IMPACT
TO OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET...AND PRIMARILY ACROSS THE
NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY AND INTO FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA
VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS. NOT A GOOD WEEKEND TO VENTURE INTO THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS UNLESS YOU ARE PREPARED...BACKPACKERS/CAMPERS
HEED CAUTION.
A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DROPS SOUTH FROM THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT...BECOMING A CLOSED LOW AS IT CROSSES THE
OHIO RIVER NEAR CINCINNATI FRIDAY EVENING. THE LOW CENTER REACHES
CHARLOTTE/COLUMBIA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. A SECONDARY
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
ALL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE COLDEST
AIR WE HAVE SEEN THIS AUTUMN...BUT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL ALSO PASS
RAPIDLY INTO AND OUT OF OUR AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT AS
RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 850MB TEMPERATURES WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DROP THROUGH THE DAY AS THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES...WITH
THE AIR BECOMING COLD ENOUGH FRIDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY NIGHT TO
RESULT IN A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHEST ELEVATIONS WILL
CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BY EARLY SATURDAY.
AT THIS POINT...LOOKS LIKE MAINLY A NORTHWEST SNOW EVENT WITH
ADVISORY LEVEL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF
THE MOUNTAINS...AND WARNING LEVEL ACCUMULATION AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 3000 FEET IN THE NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY AND FAR WESTERN
VIRGINIA. SNOW TOTALS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS ARE NOT AN ISSUE
DUE TO WARMER GROUND...AND ONCE YOU GET EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE NOT
EXPECTING ANY ACCUMULATION AT ALL...JUST A COLD RAIN.
BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE UPPER LOW WILL PUSH OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...CAUSING PRECIPITATION TO FADE FROM EAST TO WEST
OVER OUR AREA AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWESTERLY. WIND SPEEDS WILL
INCREASE DRASTICALLY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING
LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST INCREASES TO 10MB TO
12MB. THESE HEALTHY 6 HOUR PRESSURE RISES SHIFT EASTWARD SATURDAY
NIGHT TOWARDS THE ATLANTIC COAST...THEN WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX OVERNIGHT. WE WILL ALSO
HAVE TO CONSIDER WIND HEADLINES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER IN THE MOUNTAINS SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH SNOW
SHOWERS FADING QUICKLY IN THE NORTHWESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW EAST OF
THE BLUE RIDGE. MOISTURE WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY SHALLOW THROUGH
THE NIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN RIDGES...SO ACTUALLY MAY SEE
PRECIPITATION TRANSITION MORE TO LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AS OPPOSED
TO SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES BY SATURDAY WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 407 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE OVER THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF NEXT WEEK AS
THE UPPER LOW MOVES AWAY FROM OUR AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR REGION SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS OVERHEAD
ON SUNDAY NIGHT...SO TEMPERATURES STILL PRETTY CHILLY SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT. AS THE HIGH SHIFTS TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST ON
MONDAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWESTERLY... WHICH WILL BEGIN TO CARRY
WARMER AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO NORTHWARD ALONG THE APPALACHIAN
CHAIN. THE HIGH CENTER WILL SLIDE OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ON
MONDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE COLD
FRONT WITH CONVECTION AHEAD AND ALONG IT WILL TRAVEL THROUGH OUR
REGION ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 115 PM EDT THURSDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
PROMOTING LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. SOME WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT PUSHED
HIGH-END MVFR CLOUDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. INTO THIS
EVENING...A WEST WIND ALOFT WILL ERODING CLOUDS ESPECIALLY EAST OF
THE BLUE RIDGE. ANY CLOUDS MAKING IT TO BCB/ROA SHOULD ONLY DROP TO
LOW-END VFR.
EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...
EXPECTATION IS FOR VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF THE DAY FRIDAY...THEN DETERIORATING AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF POTENTIALLY IFR-LIFR CIGS AND PRECIPITATION...WITH SNOW IN
THE MOUNTAINS OF NC/WV/AND FAR WESTERN VA...AND RAIN IN THE VALLEYS.
ATTM IT LOOKS LIKE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO AVIATION WILL DEVELOP
WITHIN THE VICINITY OF THE NC MTNS AND UP INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF FAR WRN VA AND WV. MODELS SUGGEST THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE VERY
DYNAMIC WITH LOW FREEZING LEVELS AND HEAVY WET SNOW UNDERNEATH THE
CORE OF THE STORM WHICH IS PROGGED TO PASS DIRECTLY OVER THE NC
MTNS. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY IN
THE WAKE OF THIS DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM. STRONG CROSS BARRIER
FLOW...50 KTS...IS EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS...RESULTING IN
SURFACE WIND GUSTS OF 30 KTS LEE OF THE BLUE RIDGE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THIS STORM WILL QUICKLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA SUNDAY WITH VFR
CONDITIONS RETURNING FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
THE AC UNITS FOR THE RADAR SHELTER ARE BAD. RADAR OPERATION WILL
BE INTERMITTENT UNTIL SUCH TIME THE AC UNITS ARE FIXED.
IF SHELTER TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WE WILL PLACE
THE RADAR INTO STANDBY TO AVOID DAMAGE TO THE TRANSMITTER.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR VAZ007-009-015.
NC...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...AMS/PM/RCS
SHORT TERM...KK/NF/PM
LONG TERM...KK
AVIATION...PM/RCS
EQUIPMENT...PMHazardous weather outlook, Oct 30, 4:31 AM EDT, 10 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 431 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-310845- SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT- ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA- CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 431 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO LATE SATURDAY MORNING AS UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR SWEEPS INTO THE AREA. LITTLE TO NO SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING GUSTY WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO NEAR FREEZING SATURDAY NIGHT...AND ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING ON SUNDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ002-VAZ010>014-016>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-310845- ALLEGHANY NC-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD- CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-EASTERN GREENBRIER- WESTERN GREENBRIER- 431 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR SWEEPS INTO THE AREA. LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS... WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATION IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING DOWN A FEW TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AS WELL AS CAUSE WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 20S. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-310845- ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON- 431 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR SWEEPS INTO THE AREA. FOUR TO SIX INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ABOVE 3000 FEET IN THE NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY...AND IN FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING DOWN A FEW TREES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES...AS WELL AS CAUSE WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 20S. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM EDT | Winter Storm Watch | RNK | Ashe, Watauga | 11 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Virginia, 2014Winter Storm Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.