Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2014

Wind Advisory 16, NWS Blacksburg, VA

November 1, 20145 counties in North Carolina; 5 counties in Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this wind advisory at Nov 1, 2014, 4:01 PM EDT for 5 counties in North Carolina; 5 counties in Virginia. It took effect at Nov 1, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 1, 2014, 4:01 PM EDT (20:01 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 1, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT
Expired
Nov 2, 2014, 7:11 AM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA

Counties Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Surry County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Carroll County, VA, City of Galax, VA, Floyd County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Patrick County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-11-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-11-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -30 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
535 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

686 
WWUS71 KRNK 012001
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
401 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TONIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST TONIGHT. 

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ015>017-032-021200-
/O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.141102T0000Z-141102T1200Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-
PATRICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...DOBSON...
BOONE...WILKESBORO...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...
VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD...STUART
401 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE AND FOOTHILLS FROM THE
  NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
  THIS INCLUDES FANCY GAP.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...TONIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
734 
WWUS71 KRNK 012356
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
756 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. COLDER AIR MOVING IN WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING BY DAWN SUNDAY.

NCZ003-019-VAZ032-020800-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FZ.W.0005.141102T0400Z-141102T1400Z/
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.141102T0000Z-141102T1200Z/
SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART
756 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EST SUNDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 28 TO 32.

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER
  OUTAGES. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ004-020-VAZ022>024-033>035-020800-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FZ.W.0005.141102T0400Z-141102T1400Z/
STOKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...YADKINVILLE...ROANOKE...
SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...ROCKY MOUNT...
BEDFORD...AMHERST
756 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ROANOKE VALLEY...THE
  VIRGINIA FOOTHILLS...INTO THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 28 TO 32...BUT MILDER IN URBAN AREAS LIKE
  ROANOKE.

* IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING WILL KILL SENSITIVE
  VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-020800-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.141102T0000Z-141102T1200Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD
756 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE AND FOOTHILLS FROM THE 
  NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. 
  THIS INCLUDES FANCY GAP.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER 
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$
272 
WWUS71 KRNK 020243
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1043 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. COLDER AIR MOVING IN WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING BY DAWN SUNDAY.

NCZ003-019-VAZ032-021045-
/O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0005.141102T0400Z-141102T1400Z/
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1200Z/
SURRY-WILKES-PATRICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...STUART
1043 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 28 TO 32.

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER 
  OUTAGES. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ004-020-VAZ022>024-033>035-021045-
/O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0005.141102T0400Z-141102T1400Z/
STOKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...YADKINVILLE...ROANOKE...
SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...ROCKY MOUNT...
BEDFORD...AMHERST
1043 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ROANOKE VALLEY...THE 
  VIRGINIA FOOTHILLS...INTO THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 28 TO 32...BUT MILDER IN URBAN AREAS LIKE 
  ROANOKE.

* IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING WILL KILL 
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-021045-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1200Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD
1043 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE AND FOOTHILLS FROM THE 
  NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. 
  THIS INCLUDES FANCY GAP.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER 
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$
536 
WWUS71 KRNK 020741
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
241 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...

.THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN DEEP LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING. AS THE HIGH BUILDS OVERHEAD
LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...THE COMBINATION OF LIGHTER WINDS
AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW
FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE WHERE THE GROWING
SEASON CONTINUES.

NCZ003-VAZ032-021545-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FZ.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.FZ.W.0006.141103T0600Z-141103T1400Z/
/O.EXT.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
SURRY-PATRICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...STUART
241 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY. THE
FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 28 TO 32.

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS THIS MORNING AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES
  BY EARLY MONDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN FREEZING
  TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER 
  OUTAGES. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ019-021545-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FZ.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
/O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.FZ.W.0006.141103T0600Z-141103T1400Z/
WILKES-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WILKESBORO
241 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SUNDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY. THE
FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 28 TO 32.

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS OF NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ004-020-VAZ022>024-033>035-021545-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FZ.W.0005.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.FZ.W.0006.141103T0600Z-141103T1400Z/
STOKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...YADKINVILLE...ROANOKE...
SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...ROCKY MOUNT...
BEDFORD...AMHERST
241 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY. THE
FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ROANOKE VALLEY...THE 
  VIRGINIA FOOTHILLS...INTO THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 27 TO 32.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING WILL KILL 
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ005-006-VAZ043>047-058-059-021545-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FZ.W.0006.141103T0600Z-141103T1400Z/
ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-
BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EDEN...YANCEYVILLE...MARTINSVILLE...
DANVILLE...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...SOUTH BOSTON...KEYSVILLE
241 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT IN VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST
  NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 25-30.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-021400-
/O.EXT.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD
241 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE FROM THE NORTHWEST NORTH
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. THIS INCLUDES FANCY
  GAP.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER 
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$
440 
WWUS71 KRNK 020930
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
430 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...

.THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN DEEP LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING. AS THE HIGH BUILDS
OVERHEAD LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...THE COMBINATION OF
LIGHTER WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
TO FALL BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE
WHERE THE GROWING SEASON CONTINUES.

NCZ003-VAZ032-021730-
/O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0006.141103T0600Z-141103T1400Z/
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
SURRY-PATRICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...STUART
430 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST
MONDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 30S.

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS THIS MORNING AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES 
  BY EARLY MONDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN FREEZING 
  TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER 
  OUTAGES. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ004>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-033>035-043>047-058-059-021730-
/O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0006.141103T0600Z-141103T1400Z/
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-
ROCKBRIDGE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...EDEN...YANCEYVILLE...
WILKESBORO...YADKINVILLE...ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...
LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST...
MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...SOUTH BOSTON...
KEYSVILLE
430 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ROANOKE VALLEY...THE 
  VIRGINIA FOOTHILLS...INTO THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING WILL KILL 
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-021400-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD
430 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE FROM THE NORTHWEST NORTH 
  CAROLINA MOUNTAINS INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. THIS INCLUDES 
  FANCY GAP.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND RESULT IN POWER 
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$
136 
WWUS71 KRNK 021211 AAA
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
711 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SLOWLY EAST INTO THE AREA TODAY. AS THE
HIGH BUILDS OVERHEAD LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...THE
COMBINATION OF LIGHTER WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS EAST OF THE
BLUE RIDGE WHERE THE GROWING SEASON CONTINUES.

NCZ003-VAZ032-022015-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
/O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0006.141103T0600Z-141103T1400Z/
SURRY-PATRICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...STUART
711 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS 27 TO 32.

* LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-021315-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-141102T1400Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD
711 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. THUS THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

NCZ004>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-033>035-043>047-058-059-022015-
/O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0006.141103T0600Z-141103T1400Z/
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-
ROCKBRIDGE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...EDEN...YANCEYVILLE...
WILKESBORO...YADKINVILLE...ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...
LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST...
MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...SOUTH BOSTON...
KEYSVILLE
711 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE.

* HAZARDS...SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS MAINLY 25 TO 30.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING WILL KILL 
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 1, 1:43 PM EDT, 2 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 1:43 PM EDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
143 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH OFF THE CAROLINA COAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHERE IT WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AND MOVE NORTHEAST. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY
MODERATING TEMPERATURES FOR NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1225 PM EDT SATURDAY...

LOCAL AND REGIONAL RADAR LOOPS SHOWED MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION
AROUND THE UPPER LOW HAS EXITED THE COUNTY WARNING AREA. HAVE CUT
BACK ON PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION IN ALL BUT THE FAR WESTERN
SLOPES TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS TREND. ONLY A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUD
COVER SEEN ON SATELLITE PICTURES. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN NEARLY
STEADY THIS MORNING. HAVE ADJUSTED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES TO WITHIN
A COUPLE OF DEGREES OF VALUES FROM CURRENT OBSERVATIONS.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED BUT WINTER STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT SINCE UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING.

UPPER LOW CAUSES SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO QUICKLY DEEPEN OFF NORTH
CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE IT RACES NE AND PHASES WELL OFFSHORE
TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD MAKE FOR AN INCREASING NORTH/NW TRAJECTORY BY
MID/LATE AFTERNOON WHICH WILL END POPS EAST WHILE KICKING IN AN
UPSLOPE REGIME WESTERN SLOPES. LATEST FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE A
BIT SLOWER JUMP IN HIGHER WIND SPEEDS GIVEN CLOUDS AROUND AND A
LAGGING GRADIENT UNTIL RAPID DEEPENING OCCURS OFFSHORE. HOWEVER BEST
SUBSIDENCE/PRES RISES LOOK TO SYNC UP WITH A FINAL TRAILING VORT AND
THE COLDEST 85H TEMPS TO PERHAPS RESULT IN A STRONGER NOCTURNAL
SURGE IN WINDS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER GIVEN MORE OF A NORTHERLY
COMPONENT...AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNING
EXCLUDING FANCY GAP...MAY STAY VERY GUSTY BUT BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA SO WILL HOLD OFF ADDING IN THE SECOND PERIOD FOR NOW.

OTRW DECENT UPSLOPE SHOULD RESULT IN AT LEAST ANOTHER INCH OR TWO
HIGHER WESTERN SLOPES...WITH DOWNSLOPE CLEARING OUT EAST TONIGHT
AND SOME SNOW SHOWER BANDING EAST TOWARD THE BLUE RIDGE PER
SOUNDINGS. THUS WILL KEEP A TIGHT GRADIENT FROM LIKELY/CAT POPS
UPSLOPE AREAS TO DRY IN THE EAST. FREEZING TEMPS AGAIN OF SOME
CONCERN IN THE EAST WHERE THE GROWING SEASON CONTINUES BUT GIVEN
MIXING THINK THE WARMER MET MOS BETTER. THUS KEEPING MOST ABOVE
FREEZING EAST WITH 20S TO AROUND 30 WEST TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 330 AM EDT SATURDAY...

WILL START SUNDAY OFF WITH CONTINUED GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AS A
SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPS SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN
VIRGINIA AS IT PINWHEELS AROUND THE MAIN UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHING CAPE COD. THIS WILL KEEP THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
OUR AREA IN THE 9MB TO 10MB RANGE DURING LATE MORNING...SUPPORTING
WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE PIEDMONT...WITH HIGHER
RIDGES INCLUDING THE SPINE OF THE BLUE RIDGE...REACHING 40 MPH AT
TIMES. IN ADDITION...WILL ALSO SEE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS LINGER
THROUGH LUNCHTIME ACROSS THE HIGHER RIDGES OF SOUTHEAST WEST
VIRGINIA...BUT DO NOT EXPECT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. THE
SECONDARY DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH OFFSHORE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH
WILL ALLOW WINDS TO GRADUALLY RELAX AND REMAINING SNOW SHOWERS TO
DISSIPATE AS HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST BEGINS TO SETTLE ACROSS OUR
AREA. WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW HOLDING STRONG THROUGH THE
DAY...CONTINUED TO UNDERCUT MODEL GUIDANCE FOR AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S/LOW 40S FOR
THE MOUNTAINS...TO THE LOW 50S ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.

SUNDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE AREA. WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE...RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE
STRONG...ALLOWING OUR OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW
FREEZING ACROSS NEARLY THE ENTIRE FORECAST REGION. MOST AREAS WILL
FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S...HOWEVER WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A
FEW OF THE DEEPER MOUNTAIN VALLEYS FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS. FOR
THOSE FEW LOCATIONS WHERE THE GROWING SEASON HAS NOT ENDED YET IN
THE FAR EAST...THIS WILL FINISH IT.

MONDAY WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF A WARMUP AS AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE APPROACHES FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. WINDS WILL
SHIFT SOUTHWESTERLY...CARRYING WARMER AIR FROM THE GULF COAST
REGION NORTHWARD ALONG THE APPALACHIAN SPINE...WHICH WILL ALLOW
MONDAY HIGHS TO WARM INTO THE MID/UPPER 50S FOR THE
MOUNTAINS...AND THE LOW/MID 60S FOR THE PIEDMONT. MOST LOCATIONS
WILL WARM INTO THE 60S ON TUESDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE
TUESDAY EVENING AS OUR NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM EDT FRIDAY...

RIDGING ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE IN CONTROL
OF WEATHER WEDNESDAY...WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT MAKING ITS WAY
FROM THE CENTRAL U.S. TO THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF THE FORECAST
AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY
IMPRESSIVE AT THIS TIME WITH UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WELL TO THE
NORTH...LIMITED MOISTURE AND A WEAK AIR MASS CHANGE BEHIND IT.
FRONTAL PASSAGE COULD BE SIMILAR TO SEVERAL RECENT ONES IN THE
LAST HALF OF OCTOBER...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER POSSIBLY
A TENTH OF AN INCH ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND EVEN LESS OR NOTHING
EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THE LAST TWO WEEKS HAVE BEEN VERY DRY IN
OUR EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES...AND ABNORMALLY DRY
CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN DEPICTED ON THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FOR
PARTS OF THAT AREA...WITH RAINFALL DEFICITS RUNNING FROM 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE PAST 60 DAYS. THE LONG TERM FORECAST DOES NOT SEEM
TO OFFER MUCH HOPE TO CHANGE THAT SITUATION.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 140 PM EDT SATURDAY...

MVFR CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE THIS EVENING AT KBCB AND
KROA AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES OUT OF SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA. FARTHER WEST...UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
FILL IN ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS THIS EVENING.
EXPECT IFR CEILINGS AT KBLF. LOWER CONFIDENCE WITH POSSIBILITY OF
MVFR CEILINGS AT KLWB. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE AT KBLF
BY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
DOWNSLOPING CAUSING CIGS TO RISE TO VFR IN THE EAST

NORTH TO NW WINDS SHOULD RAMP UP BEHIND THE EXITING LOW THIS
AFTERNOON WITH STRONG WINDS LIKELY TO PERSIST ESPCLY MOUNTAINS
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. MAY SEE GUSTS IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON OVER THE WEST...AND PERHAPS 30-40 KTS TONIGHT ESPCLY IN
THE KBLF-KBCB TO KROA VICINITY OVERNIGHT. EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS...A FEW GUSTS TO 25-30 KTS COULD OCCUR BUT MAINLY
AROUND KDAN WHICH WILL BE CLOSER TO THE EXITING LOW EARLY THIS
EVENING.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA SUNDAY...WINDS GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING. VFR EXPECTED INTO MIDWEEK THOUGH A FRONT ARRIVES BY
LATE WEDNESDAY BUT LOOKS LIMITED IN MOISTURE.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE AC UNITS FOR THE RADAR SHELTER ARE BAD. RADAR OPERATION WILL
BE INTERMITTENT UNTIL SUCH TIME THE AC UNITS ARE FIXED.
IF SHELTER TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WE WILL PLACE
THE RADAR INTO STANDBY TO AVOID DAMAGE TO THE TRANSMITTER.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR VAZ007-
     009-015.
NC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ001-
     018.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NF
NEAR TERM...AMS/JH
SHORT TERM...NF
LONG TERM...NF/PC
AVIATION...AMS
EQUIPMENT...AMS
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 1, 12:13 PM EDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1213 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-021100-
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-
1213 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ010>012-018>020-WVZ044-507-021100-
BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MONROE-EASTERN GREENBRIER-
1213 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO 45 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ002-003-019-VAZ013-014-016-017-032-033-021100-
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WILKES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK-
FRANKLIN-
1213 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO 45 MPH OR HIGHER BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-021100-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
1213 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES APPEAR LIKELY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ022>024-034-035-021100-
ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
1213 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO 45 MPH OR HIGHER LATER THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES APPEAR LIKELY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ042-043-508-021100-
MERCER-SUMMERS-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
1213 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ON WESTERN SLOPES WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO 45 MPH OR HIGHER LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 1, 10:22 AM EDT, 5 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1022 AM EDT SAT NOV 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     SNOW             1 NE PEORIA             36.29N  81.85W
11/01/2014  E3.5 INCH        WATAUGA            NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            3 TO 4 INCHES

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1402121

AMS
Local storm report, Nov 1, 10:23 AM EDT, 5 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1023 AM EDT SAT NOV 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 AM     SNOW             3 W BLOWING ROCK        36.13N  81.72W
11/01/2014  M3.0 INCH        WATAUGA            NC   PUBLIC

            VIA FB

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1402122

MBS
Local storm report, Nov 1, 10:36 AM EDT, 5 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1036 AM EDT SAT NOV 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     SNOW             1 WNW DEEP GAP          36.24N  81.54W
11/01/2014  E5.0 INCH        WATAUGA            NC   POST OFFICE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1402123

AMS
Local storm report, Nov 1, 10:43 AM EDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1043 AM EDT SAT NOV 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 AM     SNOW             1 SW SUGAR GROVE        36.26N  81.79W
11/01/2014  E2.0 INCH        WATAUGA            NC   POST OFFICE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1402124

AMS
Local storm report, Nov 1, 1:54 PM EDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
154 PM EDT SAT NOV 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 PM     SNOW             ELK CREEK               36.72N  81.18W
11/01/2014  M3.0 INCH        GRAYSON            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY WET SNOW

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1402126

AMS
Local storm report, Nov 1, 2:08 PM EDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
208 PM EDT SAT NOV 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     SNOW             MARION                  36.83N  81.50W
11/01/2014  M2.2 INCH        SMYTH              VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1402127

AMS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 1, 7:25 AM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryRNKAlleghany5 hr
Nov 1, 7:56 PM EDTFreeze WarningRNKStokes, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin8 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2014Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2014Every wind advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.