Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Blacksburg, VA

323 
WWUS51 KRNK 050107
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
907 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

VAC023-050116-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140605T0145Z/
BOTETOURT VA-

907 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
NORTH CENTRAL BOTETOURT COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3776 7907 3775 7906 3748 7916 3755 7937
      3759 7938 3761 7940 3760 7943 3762 7944
      3761 7946 3757 7944 3763 7963 3779 7955
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 282DEG 26KT 3771 7950 

$$

VAC009-163-530-678-050145-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140605T0145Z/
ROCKBRIDGE VA-CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-AMHERST VA-
907 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EDT
FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ROCKBRIDGE AND WESTERN AMHERST COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN
CITY OF LEXINGTON AND THE CITY OF BUENA VISTA...

AT 906 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
COLLIERSTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEXINGTON...
BUENA VISTA...
GLASGOW...
FORKS OF BUFFALO...
AND NAOLA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3776 7907 3775 7906 3748 7916 3755 7937
      3759 7938 3761 7940 3760 7943 3762 7944
      3761 7946 3757 7944 3763 7963 3779 7955
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 282DEG 26KT 3771 7950 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

DS

926 
WWUS51 KRNK 050126
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
926 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

VAC678-050136-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140605T0145Z/
CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-

926 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
THE SOUTHERN CITY OF LEXINGTON IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3776 7907 3775 7906 3748 7916 3755 7937
      3759 7938 3761 7940 3760 7943 3762 7944
      3761 7946 3778 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 282DEG 26KT 3768 7932 

$$

VAC009-163-530-050145-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140605T0145Z/
ROCKBRIDGE VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-AMHERST VA-
926 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EDT
FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL ROCKBRIDGE AND WESTERN AMHERST COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF
BUENA VISTA...

AT 926 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BUENA VISTA...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BUENA VISTA...
GLASGOW...
FORKS OF BUFFALO...
NAOLA...
AND PLEASANT VIEW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3776 7907 3775 7906 3748 7916 3755 7937
      3759 7938 3761 7940 3760 7943 3762 7944
      3761 7946 3778 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 282DEG 26KT 3768 7932 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

DS

270 
WWUS51 KRNK 050138
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
938 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

VAC163-530-050147-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140605T0145Z/
ROCKBRIDGE VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-

938 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
SOUTH CENTRAL ROCKBRIDGE AND THE CITY OF BUENA VISTA IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3776 7907 3775 7906 3748 7916 3755 7937
      3759 7938 3776 7914
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 289DEG 27KT 3763 7922 

$$

VAC009-050145-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140605T0145Z/
AMHERST VA-
938 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EDT
FOR
CENTRAL AMHERST COUNTY...

AT 937 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER PLEASANT
VIEW...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORKS OF BUFFALO...
NAOLA...
PLEASANT VIEW...
AND ELON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3776 7907 3775 7906 3748 7916 3755 7937
      3759 7938 3776 7914
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 289DEG 27KT 3763 7922 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

DS

424 
WWUS51 KRNK 050145
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
945 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

VAC009-050155-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140605T0145Z/
AMHERST VA-
945 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
CENTRAL AMHERST COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY
WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3776 7907 3775 7906 3748 7916 3755 7937
      3759 7938 3776 7914
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 282DEG 26KT 3763 7922 

$$

DS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
506 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST PASSING
THOUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THURSDAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST BY FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 4:00 PM WEDNESDAY...

MODEST MID-LEVEL ZONAL FLOW OF 35-60KT EXISTS FROM THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS TO THE OH VALLEY AND
CONTROL APPALACHIANS...NORTH OF AN ELONGATED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
FROM NRN MEXICO/SRN PLAINS TO THE DEEP SOUTH. PRIMARY SYNOPTIC
FRONT WAS SITUATED FROM DELMARVA WWD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TO KS
AND HAS A NUMBER OF PERTURBATIONS/WAVES ALONG IT...THE MOST
PRONOUNCED OF WHICH IS A 1004MB LOW CENTERED OVER NORTH CENTRAL
INDIANA... SUPPORTED BY A CONVECTIVELY-REINFORCED MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND 50-60KT SPEED MAX. THE FRONTAL LOW/WAVE WILL
DEVELOP EAST TO OH/WV THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE TRAILING FRONT SINKS
GRADUALLY SWD ACROSS THE OH RIVER.

FORECAST STORM EVOLUTION ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA REMAINS
COMPLICATED BY REMNANTS OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED MVC
WHICH DISSIPATED OVER THE ERN OH VALLEY EARLIER IN THE DAY AND IS
NOW GROWING LEGS AGAIN PER AFTERNOON HEATING. THIS RENEWED DEEP
CONVECTION WHICH IS WELL SOUTH OF SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL LIKELY MORPH
INTO MCS WHICH WILL RAKE OUR FCST AREA THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY
A BREAK BEFORE THE ACTUAL SURFACE FRONT CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY.

FOR TONIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY BEFORE 06Z/2AM...WILL FOCUS ON
DEVELOPMENT OF MCS OVER WEST VIRGINIA WHICH ACCORDING TO THE HIGH
RESOLUTION WRF MODEL SHOULD CROSS THROUGH AT LEAST THE NORTHERN
ONE HALF OF THE CWA BEFORE WEAKENING. INITIALLY SOME OF THESE
STORM CELLS WILL BE DISCRETE AND MAY EXHIBIT ROTATION RESULTING IN
A TORNADIC THREAT. ONCE THE STORM CELLS CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL
LINE...THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES THIS MCS IS EXPECTED TO BACK BUILD INTO
KY/TN PER HIGHER CAPE AVAILABLE OVER THE TN VALLEY AND FED BY A
30-40 KT LLJ. THIS WILL RESULT IN SVR THREAT PROPAGATING
SOUTHWESTWARD WITH TIME...POTENTIALLY REACHING OUR NW NC COUNTIES
AROUND MIDNIGHT. WITH THE MCS BECOMING MORE OF A LINEAR FEATURE
WITH TIME...THERE IS SOME CONCERN THE STORM AXIS COULD BECOME
ORIENTED WHERE TRAINING STORM CELLS WOULD RESULT IN REPEAT HEAVY
RAINFALL. THIS LOOKS TO BE A HIGHER CONCERN FOR AREAS WEST OF THE
APPALACHIAN DIVIDE PRIMARILY FROM CHARLESTON WV WESTWARD INTO
KY...AND WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY SORT OF FLASH FLOOD HEADLINES FOR
OUR CWA ATTM.

ONCE THE MCS PLAYS OUT OVERNIGHT...THURSDAY MAY OR MAY NOT REVEAL
MUCH IN THE WAY OF A SEVERE STORM THREAT. IF THE OUTFLOW CLEARS
THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE REDEVELOPMENT TAKES PLACE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...THE FORECAST WILL BE GREATLY SIMPLIFIED WITH ONLY
SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG THE ACTUAL SURFACE FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY. WILL
MAINTAIN CHC THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THURSDAY...BUT TREND
SHOULD BE FOR CLEARING AS WE TRANSITION INTO A DIFFERENT AIRMASS
THURSDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT LOOK VERY MILD WITH DEWPOINTS KEEPING
READINGS ABOVE 60. WENT BLO MAV GUIDANCE THURSDAY WITH THE
THINKING THERE WILL BE CONSIDERABLE DEBRIS CLOUDINESS AND LESS
SOLAR INSOLATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 310 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

SEVERAL WAVES ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL IT FROM TEXAS
EASTWARD TO SOUTH CAROLINA THURSDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...A 1018 MB
HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES. LOW
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S IN THE
COOLER MOUNTAIN VALLEYS TO THE LOWER 60S IN THE PIEDMONT.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL TRAVEL EAST ALONG THE FRONT TO CROSS
THE APPALACHIANS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FORECAST CHALLENGE IS
HOW FAR NORTH DOES THE MOISTURE AND CONVECTION SPREAD. THE NAM
REMAINS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE AND FURTHER NORTH WITH THE CONVECTION IN
CONTRAST TO THE GFS/ECMWF. HOWEVER...THE GFS DOES PIVOT MOISTURE
NORTH ALONG THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE FRIDAY NIGHT. KEPT SOME LIGHT
POPS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL VARY FROM THE MID 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS
TO THE LOWER 80S IN THE PIEDMONT. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL VARY FROM
THE UPPER 40S IN THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS TO THE LOWER 60S IN THE
SOUTHEAST.

BY SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OFFSHORE...RESULTING IN
A LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW THAT WILL RETURN ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO OUR
AREA. WITH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE AND SOME LIFT...EXPECT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY WITH AFTERNOON
HEATING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...ALTHOUGH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST MAY HINDER CONVECTION. HIGHS ON SATURDAY
WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE UPPER 70S IN THE WEST TO THE MID 80S IN
THE EAST.  AS CLOUD COVER DIMINISHES DURING THE EVENING...MAY SEE
PATCHY FOG DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT
RECEIVED HEAVIER RAIN. LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING WILL VARY FROM THE MID 50S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE LOWER 60S
IN THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 310 PM WEDNESDAY...

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY WILL LIFT NORTH PULLING A
WARM FRONT NORTHWARD ACROSS REGION WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. KEPT THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF FORECAST AREA SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY NIGHT...THE
WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH THE COLD
FRONT GENERALLY ALONG THE OHIO RIVER. THE COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST
ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AND STALLS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
FORECAST MONDAY NIGHT AS A WAVE SLIDE EAST ALONG THE BOUNDARY. LOW
PRESSURE CENTER LIFTS NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY WITH COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO TENNESSEE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ON WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM EDT WEDNESDAY..

A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS AVIATION PACKAGE DUE TO LACK OF CLEAR
CUT EVOLUTION WITH ANTICIPATED UPSTREAM CONVECTION. STORMS
CURRENTLY FIRING ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE PIEDMONT
WHERE MORNING SUN HAS ENHANCED INSTABILITY. MOST LIKELY THAT KDAN
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS RIGHT AT ISSUANCE TIME SO WILL HAVE A ONE
HOUR GROUP OFF THE BAT TO HANDLE THIS. OTHERWISE...IT LOOKS LIKE
VCTS IS THE WAY TO GO UNTIL CONVECTION CAN GET MORE ORGANIZED.
MESO MODELS HAVE BEEN WAFFLING A BIT AND SEEM TO FAVOR BRINGING
THINGS THROUGH IN SURGES. WILL ATTEMPT TO TIME THE INITIAL SURGE
FROM NW TO SE BEGINNING AROUND 00Z. WILL INDICATE NW GUSTS
ANTICIPATING LINEAR OUTFLOW FOR ABOUT A 3 HOUR PERIOD. THIS IS
ATTEMPTING TO INDICATE THE MOST LIKELY WINDOW FOR ENHANCED
WINDS...ACTUAL PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS LIKELY WILL BE SHORTER. FROPA
DOES NOT LOOK TO OCCUR UNTIL AROUND DAYBREAK. BUT AM INDICATING
THE MOST LIKELY WINDOW. FROPA WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL AROUND DAYBREAK
SO WILL KEEP SHOWERS LINGERING. ALSO ANTICIPATE SOME FOG FORMATION
LATE MAINLY AT KBCB AND KLWB. ALSO BELIEVE GOOD MIXING BEHIND
FRONT TOMORROW SHOULD LEAD TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF SOME GUSTY WIND.

EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

MAINLY VFR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE
NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT. ASIDE FROM POTENTIAL FOG LATE NIGHT FOG
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS INTO SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH POTENTIAL FOR MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS
AND SUB VFR WX.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 500 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

FAA COMMUNICATIONS ISSUES HAVE NOT BEEN FULLY RESOLVED AT
LYNCHBURG. USE THE LYH OBSERVATION WITH CAUTION.

THE THUNDER SENSOR AT BLUEFIELD IS NOT OPERATING. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL NOT BE REPORTED IN THE BLF OBSERVATION UNTIL THIS EQUIPMENT
HAS BEEN REPAIRED.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...KK
LONG TERM...KK
AVIATION...DS/MBS/WP
EQUIPMENT...AMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
427 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>015-018>020-WVZ042>045-050830-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-
MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
427 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW STORMS THIS AFTERNOON COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. A
BETTER THREAT OF STORMS ARRIVES TONIGHT...WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. IN
ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ016-017-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-050830-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-
BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
427 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON COULD BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS. LATE TONIGHT...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A COMPLEX OF STORMS
TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS...BUT TIMING BEING LATE AT NIGHT COULD LESSEN THE THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
808 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

VAZ034-050030-
BEDFORD VA-
808 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT

* AT 806 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING AN INTENSE SHOWER NEAR THAXTON...MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST
  AT 20 MPH. THIS SHOWER MAY STRENGTHEN TO A THUNDERSTORM.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SHOWER.

* THIS SHOWER WILL REMAIN OVER WEST CENTRAL BEDFORD COUNTY...NORTH
  OF THAXTON.

LAT...LON 3738 7950 3734 7970 3741 7974 3747 7964
      3746 7963 3746 7960 3745 7959 3747 7958
      3748 7957
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 244DEG 18KT 3740 7966

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
821 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

VAZ011-WVZ042>044-050115-
GILES VA-MERCER WV-MONROE WV-SUMMERS WV-
821 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN SUMMERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 915 PM EDT

* AT 820 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR HINTON TO
  NEAR CAMP CREEK...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PEARISBURG...
  NARROWS...
  CAMP CREEK...
  PIPESTEM...
  AND PETERSTOWN.

LAT...LON 3754 8033 3727 8073 3748 8114 3768 8096
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 291DEG 27KT 3763 8091 3747 8107

RS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
829 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

VAZ009-012-050100-
SMYTH VA-WYTHE VA-
829 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 829 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MARION WYTHEVILLE...MOVING TO THE EAST
  AT 35 MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WYTHEVILLE...
  RURAL RETREAT...
  SPEEDWELL...
  CRIPPLE CREEK...
  AND FAVONIA.

LAT...LON 3698 8141 3696 8138 3697 8136 3696 8135
      3699 8133 3695 8101 3677 8109 3676 8112
      3691 8147
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 290DEG 31KT 3693 8136

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
832 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

NCZ001-018-050100-
WATAUGA NC-ASHE NC-
832 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  CENTRAL WATAUGA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHWESTERN ASHE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 831 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR REESE...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 35
  MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOONE...
  TODD...
  SUGAR GROVE...
  SANDS...
  AND MEAT CAMP.

THIS INCLUDES APPALACHIAN STATE UNIVERSITY.

LAT...LON 3634 8185 3636 8179 3635 8179 3634 8171
      3635 8172 3641 8174 3644 8172 3635 8151
      3614 8167 3631 8188
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 305DEG 30KT 3640 8187

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
839 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

VAZ034-050115-
BEDFORD VA-
839 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 915 PM EDT

* AT 839 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR STEWARTSVILLE...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 30
  MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
  ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  STEWARTSVILLE...
  BEDFORD CITY...
  THAXTON...
  AND CHAMBLISSBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 7953 3724 7950 3724 7985 3727 7985
      3730 7984 3731 7985 3735 7979 3736 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 262DEG 26KT 3731 7979

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
848 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

WVZ045-050115-
GREENBRIER WV-
848 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 915 PM EDT

* AT 847 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MAXWELTON...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 45
  MPH.

* VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
  ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LEWISBURG...
  WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...
  MAXWELTON...
  LEWISBURG AIRPORT...
  AND FAIRLEA.

THIS INCLUDES THE WEST VIRGINIA STATE FAIRGROUNDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3777 8056 3795 8057 3795 8022 3776 8026
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 270DEG 40KT 3787 8048

RS