River Flood Warning 1, NWS Blacksburg, VA

629 
WGUS81 KRNK 120140
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
840 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 

RAIN THAT FELL ACROSS THE DAN RIVER BASIN ON SATURDAY PRODUCED AN
AVERAGE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE
BASIN. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IS CAUSING THE DAN RIVER TO RISE. THE
DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON IS EXPECTED TO REACH MINOR FLOODING
AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND CREST JUST SHY OF 22 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.
A FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE IS EXPECTED MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.
 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY MONDAY MORNING. 

&&

VAC083-120940-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0001.140112T0730Z-140114T0720Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0730Z.140113T0000Z.140113T1920Z.NO/
840 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDNIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.1 FEET ON MAY 8 2013.

$$

051 
WGUS81 KRNK 120513
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1213 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE AFFECTING CASWELL...CITY OF DANVILLE AND 
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTIES 
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA..
  ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH AFFECTING CHARLOTTE AND HALIFAX COUNTIES
  

MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AT THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

RAIN THAT FELL ACROSS THE DAN AND ROANOKE RIVER BASINS ON SATURDAY PRODUCED AN
AVERAGE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE
EACH BASIN. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IS CAUSING RISES ALONG THE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

 
 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SUNDAY MORNING. 

&&

VAC037-083-121313-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0002.140112T2248Z-140114T0316Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.140112T2248Z.140113T0600Z.140113T1516Z.NO/
1213 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 11PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.8 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...RIVER ROAD IN CHARLOTTE COUNTY AND BLACK WALNUT 
  ROAD IN HALIFAX ARE CLOSED BY FLOODING.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.5 FEET ON FEB 1 2013.

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-121313-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0003.140112T0522Z-140113T0112Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.140112T0522Z.140112T0600Z.140112T1312Z.NO/
1213 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE.
* SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 11PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.4 FEET BY SUNRISE.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.0 FEET ON JAN 16 2013.

$$

VAC083-121313-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0001.140112T0501Z-140114T0720Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T0000Z.140113T1920Z.NO/
1213 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 11PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.2 FEET SUNDAY EVENING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.1 FEET ON MAY 8 2013.

$$
RCS

823 
WGUS81 KRNK 121218
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
718 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA...

  ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH AFFECTING CHARLOTTE AND HALIFAX COUNTIES.
  
  DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE AFFECTING CASWELL...CITY OF DANVILLE AND 
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTIES.

  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY.

MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

 ...RAINFALL OF 1 1/2 TO 2 INCHES WAS COMMON ACROSS THE DAN AND ROANOKE RIVER 
BASINS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS RAINFALL ON SATURATED GROUND HAS RESULTED
IN MINOR FLOODING AT SEVERAL POINTS ALONG THE RIVER SYSTEM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.
 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON. 

&&

VAC037-083-122018-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0002.140112T2248Z-140114T0316Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.140112T2248Z.140113T0600Z.140113T1516Z.NO/
718 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH.
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 6 AM EST SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO BEGIN THIS EVENING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.8 FEET EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND NOON MONDAY.
* AT 22.0 FEET...RIVER ROAD IN CHARLOTTE COUNTY AND BLACK WALNUT 
  ROAD IN HALIFAX ARE CLOSED BY FLOODING.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.5 FEET ON FEB 1 2013.

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-122018-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140113T0112Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.140112T0719Z.140112T1130Z.140112T1312Z.NO/
718 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 6 AM EST SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET...AND NEARLY STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO
  CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.0 FEET ON JAN 16 2013.

$$

VAC083-122018-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T0720Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T0000Z.140113T1920Z.NO/
718 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 6 AM EST SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET...AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
  TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. 
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE DURING THE MID TO 
  LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.1 FEET ON MAY 8 2013.

$$

802 
WGUS81 KRNK 121554
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA...
 
  ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH AFFECTING CHARLOTTE AND HALIFAX COUNTIES 
  DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE AFFECTING CASWELL...CITY OF DANVILLE AND 
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTIES 
  DAN RIVER AT PACES AND SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 


MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

ONE AND A HALF TO TWO INCHES FELL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ROANOKE AND DAN RIVER BASINS. THIS RUNOFF WILL CAUSE
MINOR FLOODING ON THESE RIVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

 
 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THIS EVENING.

&&

VAC037-083-122354-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0002.140112T1716Z-140114T0000Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.140112T1716Z.140113T0600Z.140113T1200Z.NO/
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY EVENING
* AT 09AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 22.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...RIVER ROAD IN CHARLOTTE COUNTY AND BLACK WALNUT 
  ROAD IN HALIFAX ARE CLOSED BY FLOODING.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.5 FEET ON FEB 1 2013.

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-122354-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140113T1400Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.140112T0719Z.140112T1800Z.140113T0200Z.NO/
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. 
* AT 10AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.6 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.0 FEET ON JAN 16 2013.

$$

VAC083-122354-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0004.140112T2100Z-140114T0515Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.140112T2100Z.140113T1200Z.140113T1715Z.NO/
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR PACES.
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT
* AT 09AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW  AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING PASTURE/AGRICULTURAL LANDS ARE FLOODED.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.6 FEET ON OCT 29 2010.

$$

VAC083-122354-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1743Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1200Z.140114T0543Z.NO/
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 10AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...RIVERDALE BUSINESS DISTRICT BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.9 FEET ON FEB 8 2010.

$$

728 
WGUS81 KRNK 122337
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
637 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...VIRGINIA..
  DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE AFFECTING CASWELL...CITY OF DANVILLE AND 
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTIES 
  DAN RIVER NEAR PACES AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 


MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

ONE AND A HALF TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ROANOKE AND DAN RIVER BASINS. MINOR FLOODING ON THESE RIVERS WILL 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

 
 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY MORNING. 

&&

NCC033-VAC143-590-130737-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140113T1400Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.140112T0719Z.140113T0000Z.140113T0200Z.NO/
637 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE.
* AT 630 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE HAD FALLEN BELOW 17.0 FEET AND IS 
  CONTINUING TO FALL.
* FLOODING IS NO LONGER OCCURRING AT THIS POINT ON THE DAN RIVER.
* THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT.

$$

VAC083-130737-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140114T0515Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.140112T2237Z.140113T1200Z.140113T1715Z.NO/
637 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR PACES.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 06PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.7 FEET BY MONDAY 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING PASTURE/AGRICULTURAL LANDS ARE FLOODED.

$$

VAC083-130737-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1743Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1200Z.140114T0543Z.NO/
637 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 06PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY MONDAY 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...RIVERDALE BUSINESS DISTRICT BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

527 
WGUS81 KRNK 130019
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
719 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE AFFECTING CASWELL...CITY OF DANVILLE AND 
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTIES
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA...
 
  ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH AFFECTING CHARLOTTE AND HALIFAX COUNTIES 
  DAN RIVER AT PACES AND SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 

MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

ONE AND A HALF TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ROANOKE AND DAN RIVER BASINS. MINOR FLOODING ON THESE RIVERS WILL 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

 
 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY MORNING. 

&&

VAC037-083-130819-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140113T1501Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.140112T2015Z.140112T2230Z.140113T0301Z.NO/
719 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. 
* AT 600 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS CRESTING NEAR 21.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL BEGIN A GRADUAL FALL THAT WILL TAKE PLACE THIS EVENING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 21.0 FEET...WATER APPROACHES RIVER ROAD (ROUTE) 607 SOUTH OF 
  RANDOLPH.

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-130049-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140113T1400Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.140112T0719Z.140112T1831Z.140112T2254Z.NO/
719 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR DANVILLE.
* AT 630 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE HAD FALLEN BELOW 17.0 FEET AND IS 
  CONTINUING TO FALL.
* FLOODING IS NO LONGER OCCURRING AT THIS POINT ON THE DAN RIVER.
* THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT.

$$

VAC083-130819-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140114T0515Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.140112T2237Z.140113T1200Z.140113T1715Z.NO/
719 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR PACES.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 06PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.7 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING PASTURE/AGRICULTURAL LANDS ARE FLOODED.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.6 FEET ON OCT 29 2010.

$$

VAC083-130819-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1743Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1200Z.140114T0543Z.NO/
719 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 06PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...RIVERDALE BUSINESS DISTRICT BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.9 FEET ON FEB 8 2010.

$$

722 
WGUS81 KRNK 130502
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1202 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER AT PACES AND SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY  

MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

ONE AND A HALF TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
DAN RIVER BASINS ON SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING ON THE DAN RIVER WILL 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY MORNING. 

&&

VAC083-131302-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140114T0030Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.140112T2237Z.140113T0345Z.140113T1230Z.NO/
1202 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR PACES.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. 
* AT 10PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING PASTURE AND AGRICULTURAL LANDS ARE FLOODED.

$$

VAC083-131301-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1734Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1200Z.140114T0534Z.NO/
1202 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 11PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...RIVERDALE BUSINESS DISTRICT BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

777 
WGUS81 KRNK 131209
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
708 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER NEAR PACES AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 

MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE LOWER END OF THE DAN RIVER AS
A RESULT OF GENERAL 1.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OVER
THE WEEKEND. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THESE SAME
AREAS INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON BY 5 PM EST. 

&&

VAC083-132008-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140114T0152Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.140112T2237Z.140113T1015Z.140113T1352Z.NO/
708 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR PACES.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 7 AM EST MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET...AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
  FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THIS MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING PASTURE/AGRICULTURAL LANDS ARE FLOODED.

$$

VAC083-132007-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1734Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1800Z.140114T0534Z.NO/
708 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 7 AM EST MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET...AND RISING SLOWLY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO
  CONTINUE UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...RIVERDALE BUSINESS DISTRICT BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

939 
WGUS81 KRNK 131623
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1123 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER NEAR PACES AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 

the dan river has dropped to below flood stage at paces...however
has not quite crested at south boston....where MINOR FLOODING IS 
expected to continue through tonight. at south boston the river 
level should begin falling later this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED by 5 pm est...or earlier
if the dan river at south boston crests before then. 

&&

VAC083-131653-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140114T0152Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.140112T2237Z.140113T1015Z.140113T1537Z.NO/
1123 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE DAN RIVER NEAR PACES.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 11AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.97 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING PASTURE/AGRICULTURAL LANDS ARE FLOODED.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.6 FEET ON OCT 29 2010.

$$

VAC083-140023-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1702Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1800Z.140114T0502Z.NO/
1123 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 10AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* AT 25.0 FEET...RIVERDALE BUSINESS DISTRICT BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.9 FEET ON FEB 8 2010.

$$

971 
WGUS81 KRNK 132206
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
506 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA..
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 


MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON HAS CRESTED AT 23.3 FEET AND WAS FALLING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.
 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11PM.

&&

VAC083-140606-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1702Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1630Z.140114T0502Z.NO/
506 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 04PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY  LATE 
   TOMORROW NIGHT.
* AT 25.0 FEET...RIVERDALE BUSINESS DISTRICT BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.9 FEET ON FEB 8 2010.

$$

524 
WGUS81 KRNK 132212
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
512 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA..
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 


MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

 THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON HAS CRESTED AT 23.3 FEET AND WAS FALLING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

 
 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11PM. 

&&

VAC083-140612-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1702Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1630Z.140114T0502Z.NO/
512 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 04PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 25.0 FEET...RIVERDALE BUSINESS DISTRICT BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.9 FEET ON FEB 8 2010.

$$

679 
WGUS81 KRNK 140316
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1016 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY 


MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

 THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON HAS CRESTED AT 23.3 FEET AND WAS FALLING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER 
THAN YOU THINK.

 GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

 
THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON TUESDAY. 

&&

VAC083-141116-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1941Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1630Z.140114T0741Z.NO/
1016 PM EST MON JAN 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 09PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 3AM TUESDAY MORNING.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF  23.9 FEET ON FEB 8 2010.

$$

160 
WGUS81 KRNK 141141
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
641 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN VIRGINIA...
 
  DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY
 
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS AND OTHER RIVER FORECASTS...PLEASE 
CONSULT GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET AT 
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES 
AHPS'.

&&

VAC083-141211-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140114T1941Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.140112T0310Z.140113T1630Z.140114T1032Z.NO/
641 AM EST TUE JAN 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 6 AM EST TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET...AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT THIS LOCATION...
  AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE UNTIL FURTHER
  NOTICE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
530 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND BE
WELL OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. A WARM
FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A COLD
FRONT ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 525 PM EST SATURDAY...

INSTABILITY HAS DEVELOPED IN THE DRY SLOT IMMEDIATELY COINCIDENT
TO THE COLD FRONT. ENOUGH HEATING HAS ALLOWED FOR SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS TO DEVELOP OVER WEST VIRGINIA THAT ARE PROGRESSING INTO
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. AM NOT ANTICIPATING THE
SHOWERS TO MAKE A LOT OF PROGRESS AND DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET.

AS OF 315 PM EST SATURDAY...

A COLD FRONT WAS ABOUT TO ENTER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. PRECIPITATION HEAD OF IT WAS BECOMING CONFINED TO PRIMARILY
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION AND PROGRESSING EASTWARD VERY
QUICKLY. ANTICIPATE THAT THE BACK EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
EXIT THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 800 PM EST. BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. 850 MB WINDS ARE
PROGGED TO PEAK BETWEEN 45 AND 50 KTS WITH AN ORIENTATION THAT GIVES
GOOD CROSS-BARRIER FLOW. WE ARE EXPECTED WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA
GUSTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTH INTO GRAYSON COUNTY VIRGINIA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND SUBSEQUENT 850 WINDS ARE PROGGED TO DECREASE QUICKLY DURING THE
FORENOON SUNDAY...THUS THE 900 PM END TIME FOR THE ADVISORY. THESE
SAME NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE WEAKER ACROSS THE PIEDMONT...AND HELP
TO ERODE THE CLOUD COVER THANKS TO THE GENERATED SUBSIDENCE.

THE NORTHWEST FLOW AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL HELP TO
GENERATE SOME UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA
SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. WHILE WE WILL
MENTION SOME SNOW SHOWERS WHERE TEMPERATURES FALL LOW
ENOUGH...CONFIDENCE IN SNOW OCCURRING IS NOT VERY HIGH. PLENTY OF
DRY AIR WILL WORK INTO THE AREA BETWEEN ROUGHLY THE -6 C TO -25 C
RANGE...SO THERE LIKELY WILL NOT BE ANY ICE CRYSTALS FOR DENTRITIC
GROWTH. WILL MENTION THE POTENTIAL FOR DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE
GIVEN THE LOCAL TEMPERATURE. HOWEVER...HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER ABOVE
THIS DRY LAYER MAY HELP TO PROVIDE FOR SOME SEEDER FEEDER SNOW
PRODUCTION...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR THAT IS ALSO ON THE LOW SIDE.
HAVE GONE FAIRLY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE ADJUSTED FOR LOCAL BIASES FOR THE
OVERNIGHT LOWS. THIS OFFERS LOWS OF THE LOW TO MID 30S OVER THE
MOUNTAINS WITH MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.

ON SUNDAY...THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY
BEFORE THEY WEAKEN AND BACK SOUTHWEST AS AN UPPER RIDGE STARTS TO
DEVELOP OVER THE REGION. WE EXPECT PLENTY OF DRY AIR TO CONTINUE
ADVECTING INTO THE AREA...AND THE TREND FOR ERODING CLOUD COVER WILL
TAKE PLACE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. HAVE FAVORED A BLEND OF THE MAV AND
MET MOS NUMBERS ADJUSTED FOR LOCAL BIASES FOR THE HIGH TEMPERATURES.
THIS WILL PLACE MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS MOST OF THE MOUNTAIN
COUNTIES AND LOW TO MID 50S ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM EST SATURDAY...

WILL START SUNDAY EVENING WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CROSSING THE
APPALACHIANS...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE LOW LEVELS MOVES OFFSHORE
FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AROUND THE
DEPARTING HIGH WILL DRAW WARM GULF AIR INTO OUR REGION...PUSHING
MONDAY AFTERNOON HIGHS INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS... SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE MAKING A QUICK EXIT MONDAY AFTERNOON...IN
FAVOR OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COOL FRONT APPROACHING
FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST. LATEST FORECAST MODELS INDICATE THE TROUGH
IS NOT AS SHARP OR NEGATIVELY TILTED AS INDICATED IN PREVIOUS MODEL
RUNS...AND AM NO LONGER CONTEMPLATING THE POSSIBILITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHSIDE MONDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION IS A
GOOD BET HOWEVER...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH THROUGH THE
NIGHT TO SUPPORT RAIN.

THE COOL FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
BRINGING TUESDAY AFTERNOON HIGHS CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS. WILL
SEE BRIEF PERIOD OF MAINLY DRY WEATHER TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE
OUR NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ARRIVE TUESDAY
NIGHT. THIS TROUGH WILL BE COLDER THAN THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM
AND...WHILE THERE WILL NOT BE A GREAT DEAL OF MOISTURE FOR IT TO
WORK WITH...IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE RAIN SHOWERS TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW
IN THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF WEDNESDAY. ANY
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...AND CONFINED TO MAINLY
THE HIGHER RIDGES IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM EST SATURDAY...

POLAR VORTEX/EASTERN U.S. TROUGHING WILL PREVAIL DURING THE MEDIUM
RANGE. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE MUCH OF THE
PERIOD...AS THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS GRADUALLY PIVOTS NORTHEAST OF THE
REGION. A COUPLE OF ALBERTA CLIPPERS WILL ROTATE EASTWARD THROUGH
THE MEAN TROUGH WITH LIMITED MOISTURE. IN GENERAL...EXPECT
SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD. UPSLOPE CLOUDS AND
COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE ON TAP FOR THE MOUNTAINS...WHILE SUNSHINE
WILL RESULT IN WARMER READINGS FOR THE EAST. KEPT THE HIGHEST POPS
ON WEDNESDAY IN THE NORTHWEST AS A WAVE TRAVEL ACROSS REGION. STILL
LOOK LIKE MOST OF THE MOISTURE WILL RIDE NORTHEAST OF OUR AREA. THE
FRONT PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST AND A DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM
THE WEST BY THURSDAY. ANOTHER MOISTURE-STARVED SURFACE COLD FRONT
WITH ARRIVES AROUND FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE ON SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 110 PM EST SATURDAY...

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OVER THE AREA...WHICH WILL SLOWLY ERODE
THE WEDGE EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES HAVE
BOUNCED UP AND DOWN DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW LITTLE CONFIDENCE THROUGH THE EVENING
ON THE EXACT TIMING AND CATEGORIES. THE OVERALL TIMING OF THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE APPEARS TO BE AN HOUR OR TWO EARLIER THAN
ANTICIPATED BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE AND RADAR. CEILINGS MAY
STILL DROP TO IFR AT TIMES FOR LYH/DAN UNTIL THE WEDGE
BREAKS...AND MVFR CONDITIONS MAY APPEAR ELSEWHERE. SURFACE WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND TURN TO THE WEST AS THE
FRONT ADVANCES...WITH GUSTS REACHING 20-30 KT. THE RAIN SHOULD
CLEAR ALL SITES BY 00Z TONIGHT...WHICH WOULD ALLOW VFR
CONDITIONS TO RETURN FOR ROA/LYH/DAN. FOR BLF/LWB/BCB...SOME
STRATOCUMULUS AND A STRAY SNOW SHOWER AIDED BY UPSLOPE FLOW MAY
KEEP THESE SITES AT MVFR DURING THE NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD ARRIVE BY SUNDAY TO ALLOW SKIES TO
CLEAR...AND BRING VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL SITES. THE NEXT LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS PROJECTED TO ARRIVE BY MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING...WHICH WOULD BRING SOME MVFR CONDITIONS AND RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE PIEDMONT...WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE
MOUNTAINS. THE LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW A SMALL CLIPPER SYSTEM
TRACKING OVER THE MID ATLANTIC BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH THIS COMPACT FEATURE...BUT IT
WILL BE WORTH WATCHING AS SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW MAY OCCUR FOR
BLF/LWB ON WEDNESDAY...AND EVEN BCB/ROA MAY SEE A FEW SNOW
SHOWERS. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK...WHILE MVFR CONDITIONS MAY BE MORE
LIKELY IN THE MOUNTAINS DURING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ015.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DS
NEAR TERM...DS
SHORT TERM...NF
LONG TERM...KK
AVIATION...PW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
259 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

WVZ043-045-122000-
SUMMERS-GREENBRIER-
259 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST TO 30 TO 40 MPH...MAINLY AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OVERNIGHT. WESTERN PARTS OF SUMMERS AND GREENBRIER
COUNTIES MAY EXPERIENCE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE
LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST TO 30 TO 40 MPH...MAINLY AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OVERNIGHT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING.
WESTERN PARTS OF SUMMERS AND GREENBRIER COUNTIES MAY EXPERIENCE
SOME LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ002-VAZ007-009>014-016>020-022>024-WVZ042-044-122000-
ALLEGHANY NC-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
MERCER-MONROE-
259 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NORTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH TONIGHT BEHIND A COLD
FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
BEFORE WEAKENING DURING THE DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-122000-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
259 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001-018-VAZ015-122000-
ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-
259 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

NORTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 50 MPH TONIGHT BEHIND A
COLD FRONT. ISOLATED LIGHT SNOW OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR THE
TENNESSEE BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

NORTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 50 MPH EARLY SUNDAY BEHIND
A COLD FRONT. ISOLATED LIGHT SNOW OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE
POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...MAINLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1231 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

NCZ005-006-VAZ044-058-111800-
ROCKINGHAM NC-CASWELL NC-HALIFAX VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-
1231 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  EASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  CASWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHWESTERN HALIFAX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 100 PM EST

* AT 1229 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING SHOWERS...WITH OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR KEELING TO NEAR MONROETON...MOVING TO
  THE EAST AT 45 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAYFIELD...
  PROVIDENCE...
  DANVILLE CITY...
  BLAIRS...
  AND REIDSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE SHOWERS MAY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 7991 3671 7943 3675 7876 3654 7892
      3654 7914 3624 7916
TIME...MOT...LOC 1725Z 267DEG 39KT 3667 7930 3620 7977

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