Alert archive / Virginia / High Wind Watches in 2014

High Wind Watch 3, NWS Blacksburg, VA

March 28, 20145 counties in North Carolina; 27 counties in Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this high wind watch at Mar 28, 2014, 4:00 PM EDT for 5 counties in North Carolina; 27 counties in Virginia. It took effect at Mar 29, 2014, 10:00 PM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2014, 4:00 PM EDT (20:00 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 29, 2014, 10:00 PM EDT
Expired
Mar 29, 2014, 2:35 PM EDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
All 32 counties

Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Surry County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Carroll County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2014-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2014-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 310 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
598 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
361 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

373 
WWUS71 KRNK 282000
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
400 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT FROM THE WEST. THE STEEP PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING NORTHWEST WINDS.

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-290400-
/O.NEW.KRNK.HW.A.0003.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-
WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-
BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...DOBSON...
BOONE...WILKESBORO...TAZEWELL...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG...
WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE...
WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...
CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...ROANOKE...SALEM...
FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...
BEDFORD...AMHERST
400 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
588 
WWUS71 KRNK 282027 AAA   
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
427 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT FROM THE WEST. THE STEEP PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING NORTHWEST WINDS.

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-290430-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.A.0003.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-
WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-
BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...DOBSON...
BOONE...WILKESBORO...TAZEWELL...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG...
WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE...
WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...
CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...ROANOKE...SALEM...
FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...
BEDFORD...AMHERST
427 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER 
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE 
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
980 
WWUS71 KRNK 290802
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
402 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT FROM THE WEST. THE STEEP PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING NORTHWEST WINDS.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ009-012-015-016-291615-
/O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0003.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0004.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-SMYTH-WYTHE-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
MARION...WYTHEVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...
VOLNEY...GALAX
402 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY...GRAYSON HIGHLANDS AND
  THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER 
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE 
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN
TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED
ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ007-010-011-013-014-017-022-032-033-291615-
/O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0003.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0012.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
SURRY-WILKES-TAZEWELL-BLAND-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-
ROANOKE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...TAZEWELL...
BLAND...PEARISBURG...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...FLOYD...
ROANOKE...SALEM...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT
402 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT SUNDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...FROM TAZEWELL COUNTY TO ROANOKE COUNTY
  VIRGINIA...TO INCLUDE THE NEW RIVER VALLEY.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN WEAKER TREES AND CAUSE ISOLATED POWER
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$

VAZ018>020-023-024-034-035-291615-
/O.EXT.KRNK.HW.A.0003.140330T1200Z-140331T1000Z/
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
BEDFORD...AMHERST
402 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
RCS
300 
WWUS71 KRNK 291355
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
955 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT FROM THE WEST. THE STEEP PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING NORTHWEST WINDS.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ009-012-015-016-292200-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0004.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-SMYTH-WYTHE-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
MARION...WYTHEVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...
VOLNEY...GALAX
955 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY...GRAYSON HIGHLANDS 
  AND THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER 
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE 
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN
TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED
ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ007-010-011-013-014-017-022-032-033-292200-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0012.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
SURRY-WILKES-TAZEWELL-BLAND-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-
ROANOKE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...TAZEWELL...
BLAND...PEARISBURG...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...FLOYD...
ROANOKE...SALEM...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT
955 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...FROM TAZEWELL COUNTY TO ROANOKE COUNTY VIRGINIA... 
  TO INCLUDE THE NEW RIVER VALLEY.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN WEAKER TREES AND CAUSE 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND 
  TRAVELING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE 
  WINDS CAN BE CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$

VAZ018>020-023-024-034-035-292200-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.A.0003.140330T1200Z-140331T1000Z/
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
BEDFORD...AMHERST
955 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH AND ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER 
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE 
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
732 
WWUS71 KRNK 291835 AAA
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
235 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT FROM THE WEST. THE STEEP PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL RESULT IN A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING NORTHWEST WINDS INTO
SUNDAY EVENING.

VAZ013-014-017-022-032-033-300245-
/O.UPG.KRNK.WI.Y.0012.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
/O.EXA.KRNK.HW.W.0004.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-ROANOKE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...
FLOYD...ROANOKE...SALEM...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT
235 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING PARTS OF THE NEW RIVER AND
  ROANOKE VALLEY REGION.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL
  TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN
TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED
ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.

&&

$$

VAZ018>020-300245-
/O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0003.140330T1200Z-140331T1000Z/
/O.EXA.KRNK.HW.W.0004.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS
235 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER 
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE 
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN
TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED
ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ009-012-015-016-300245-
/O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0004.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-SMYTH-WYTHE-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
MARION...WYTHEVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...
VOLNEY...GALAX
235 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CAROLINA HIGH COUNTRY...GRAYSON HIGHLANDS 
  AND THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE.

* HAZARDS...STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER
  OUTAGES. SOME MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE COULD OCCUR. HIGH PROFILE
  VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS
  AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN
TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED
ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.

&&

$$

VAZ023-024-034-035-300245-
/O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0003.140330T1200Z-140331T1000Z/
/O.EXA.KRNK.WI.Y.0012.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
BEDFORD...AMHERST
235 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT SUNDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND EASTERN SLOPES OF THE
  BLUE RIDGE.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND CAUSE POWER 
  OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND TRAVELING 
  DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE WINDS CAN BE 
  CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$

VAZ043-300245-
/O.EXA.KRNK.WI.Y.0012.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MARTINSVILLE
235 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...HENRY COUNTY INCLUDING MARTINSVILLE.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN WEAKER TREES AND CAUSE 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND 
  TRAVELING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE 
  WINDS CAN BE CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$

WVZ042-044-300245-
/O.EXA.KRNK.WI.Y.0012.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
MERCER-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...UNION
235 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EDT SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN WEAKER TREES AND CAUSE 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND 
  TRAVELING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE 
  WINDS CAN BE CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$

NCZ003-019-VAZ007-010-011-300245-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0012.140330T0200Z-140331T0200Z/
SURRY-WILKES-TAZEWELL-BLAND-GILES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...WILKESBORO...TAZEWELL...
BLAND...PEARISBURG
235 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA INTO THE FOOTHILLS OF NORTHWEST
  NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN WEAKER TREES AND CAUSE 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL ALSO FIND 
  TRAVELING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN GAPS AND PASSES WHERE 
  WINDS CAN BE CHANNELED BY THE LOCAL TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at Mar 28, 1:33 PM EDT, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 1:33 PM EDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
133 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER OUR REGION BY TONIGHT. ANOTHER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE EASTWARD ALONG THE STALLED FRONT FROM THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY. THIS FRONT WILL EXIT THE
COAST SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 100 PM EDT FRIDAY...

SURFACE FRONT IS ADVANCING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...THE FRONT
EXTENDING FROM DTW/DETROIT MI TO BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY. SHOWERS
THAT ARE CURRENTLY OVER OUR FORECAST AREA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH AND A FRONT ALOFT. THIS PRECIP HAS OUTRUN THE SURFACE
CONVERGENCE AND IS RUNNING INTO STABLE AIR...WEAKENING WITH TIME.

SHOWERS OVER OUR FCST AREA HAVE PRETTY MUCH DISSIPATED. HRRR
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS WILL REMAIN THE CASE FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE OR NO REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE CWA UNTIL
TONIGHT. AS SUCH...LOWERED POPS FOR THE AFTERNOON AND CUT THE QPF
TO ALMOST NIL...A TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS. STILL ENTERTAINING
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...BUT THE CLOUDS MAY ACTUALLY THIN A BIT
DURING THE AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR A FEW PEAKS OF SUN...PUSHING THE
TEMPERATURE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.  THIS
FILTERED SUN MAY BE ENOUGH TO INCREASE THE INSTABILITY AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING FRONT OVER ERN KY INTO WV...SPARKING SOME SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UPSTREAM OF OUR FCST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
ATTM NOT ENTERTAINING ANY THUNDER IN OUR CWA PER LATE ARRIVAL OF
THE SURFACE FRONT TONIGHT AND LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING.

TEMPS WILL BE MILD THIS AFTERNOON. RAISED HIGHS INTO THE MID/UPPER
60S FOR BLUEFIELD AND THE UPPER TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND FROM
SOUTHSIDE VA INTO THE NC PIEDMONT. OUR MOUNTAIN COUNTIES WILL
EASILY MAKE IT INTO THE 50S...TESTING 60 WHERE THE SUN MANAGES TO
PENETRATE THROUGH FOR A TIME.

TONIGHT...SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA AND
STALL...THIS BOUNDARY BECOMING THE FOCUS FOR POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD
RAIN DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND BEGINS TO TRACK EAST ALONG THE FRONT INTO THE
DAY SATURDAY. FOR NOW WILL ENTERTAIN CHANCE POPS THIS
EVENING...THEN RAMP UP THE THREAT FOR RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
MORE SO BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL REMAIN
MILD...WITH LOWS IN THE 40S...LOWER 50S. NO P-TYPE ISSUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL TRACK EAST OVER THE MID WEST
GENERATING A SURFACE LOW THAT WILL TRACK ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SATURDAY MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL START TO
CLOSE OFF SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A NEW SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
ALONG THE LEE SIDE OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THIS SURFACE LOW
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE CAROLINA-VIRGINIA PIEDMONT
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...THEN OFF THE DELMARVA COAST SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE GFS HAS THE CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER WEST VIRGINIA
SATURDAY EVENING...TRACKING OVER THE FORECAST AREA AND ACROSS
SOUTHERN VIRGINIA SUNDAY MORNING. THE NAM/ECM HAS THE CLOSED LOW
SLIGHTLY FARTHER TO THE SOUTH...TRACKING FROM SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA SATURDAY EVENING...ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THE
MORNING...THEN OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY SUNDAY EVENING.

WITH AMPLE MOISTURE AND GOOD JET DYNAMICS...MOST OF SATURDAY WILL BE
WET. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT IT WILL FALL AS RAIN AND NOT SNOW. AS THE
SECOND LOW TAKES SHAPE AND RACES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY
EVENING...A DRY SLOT WILL TEMPORARILY END THE RAIN SHOWERS. RAIN
SHOWERS RE-ENTERS THE AREA AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACKS EAST
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN WARM ENOUGH ON
THE FRONT END OF THIS LOW TO KEEP P-TYPE AS LIQUID. ON THE BACK
SIDE...COLD AIR AND WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE MAY CHANGE RAIN OVER TO
SNOW/GRAUPEL FOR THE MOUNTAINS...POSSIBLY EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE
SUNDAY MORNING. CAN NOT RULE OUT A STRIKE OR TWO OF LIGHTNING AS THE
UPPER LOW MOVES OVERHEAD...BUT WILL LEAVE OUT OF THE WEATHER GRIDS
WITH IT TRACKING OVER IN THE MORNING. BY SUNDAY
EVENING...PRECIPITATION WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA...THEN THE WINDS
WILL PICK UP FROM THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
QUICKLY TO CONFINE STRONGEST WINDS TO A 12 HOUR PERIOD
SUNDAY...WEAKENING THROUGH THE NIGHT.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM A
THIRD TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH. IF TODAYS RAIN IS SIGNIFICANT
ENOUGH AND MODELS MAINTAIN SIMILAR QPF TOTALS FOR SATURDAY...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE ISSUED. CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME.

CONSIDER WINTERS GRIP ON THE AREA THIS YEAR...HESITANT TO GO WITH A
LITTLE IF ANY SNOWFALL STATEMENT. BOTH THE NAM AND ECM PAINT A
DUSTING TO AN INCH ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND INTO THE FOOTHILLS FROM
MIDNIGHT TO NOON SUNDAY. THE GFS IS SIMILAR BUT WITH A 3-4 INCH
BULLEYE CENTERED ON SNOWSHOE WV. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW COMING
OVER DURING THE MORNING...CHANCES ARE GOOD FOR SNOWFALL ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE WEST. IF THE UPPER LOW IS SLOW TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA...THEN WE CAN NOT RULE OUT A COMMON INCH OR TWO ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS...SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
HOWEVER...MODELS ZIP THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH A
NARROW BAND OF MOISTURE BEHIND IT...TO KEEP TOTALS UNDER AN INCH.

THERE IS A WIDE RANGE IN GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY. FOR
EXAMPLE...GFSMOS FOR ROANOKE IS 66F WHILE THE NAM IS FORECASTING
50F. THE ECMMOS IS 61F. WITH RAIN EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY...KEPT TEMPERATURES COOL...OBVIOUSLY BETWEEN GUIDANCE...SIMILAR
TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. WITH AN EARLY EXIT OF THE CLOSED
LOW...TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND QUICKLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE
WAS A LITTLE MORE HELPFUL WILL FORECASTED HIGHS AROUND 5F COLDER
THAN NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM EST THURSDAY...

LOOKS LIKE MARCH WILL GO OUT LIKE A LAMB AS THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK LOOKS DRY.  1024 MB SURFACE HIGH IS PROGGED TO PASS OVHD
MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE TUESDAY. ASIDE FOR SOME
SCATTERED CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT TUESDAY...NO SENSIBLE WEATHER
CHALLENGES ANTICIPATED FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THAT SAID...NOT QUITE AS PRISTINE FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE UPPER
MID WEST WHERE THE STORM TRACK WILL NOT BE AS FORGIVING. THIS MID
CONUS STORMINESS WILL EVENTUALLY WORK ITS WAY TOWARD THE EAST COAST
BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SLIDING BACK OUR WAY
WITH THE THREAT FOR UNSETTLED WEATHER FROM THURSDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 100 PM EDT FRIDAY...

SHOWERS HAVE PRETTY MUCH ENDED ACROSS THE AREA ATTM...CLOUDS
THINNING AND CLOUD BASES LIFTING INTO VFR CATEGORY OR HIGH END
MVFR. THIS WILL REMAIN THE TREND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON UNTIL A
COLD FRONT ARRIVES EARLY TONIGHT AND STALLS OVER THE FORECAST
AREAS. T

COLD FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND STALL OVER THE FORECAST AREA. AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE TAIL END OF THE
FRONT IN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOWERING CIGS
TONIGHT...AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR AND VSBYS
AS THE RAIN BECOMES WIDESPREAD TOWARD DAYBREAK SATURDAY.

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS SATURDAY WITH MOST SITES
REMAIN SUB VFR WITH RAIN OR RAIN SHOWERS. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER LYH/DAN SAT AFTERNOON. WINDS
PICK UP BEHIND THE LOW SAT NIGHT- SUNDAY MORNING...BEFORE HIGH
PRESSURE WORKS IN FOR MONDAY. LOOK FOR IMPROVING CIGS/VSBYS SAT
NIGHT EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
WEST.

DRY WEATHER AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 135 AM EDT THURSDAY...

ACCESS TO DATA ON OUR WEB PAGE...WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK/...REMAINS
LIMITED DUE TO REGIONAL SERVER ISSUES. THERE IS NO ESTIMATE AT
THIS TIME FOR WHEN IT WILL BE REPAIRED.

OUR NEW...BUT UNFINISHED SITE...WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RNK/ IS OPERATING
PROPERLY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WP
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...PM
EQUIPMENT...AMS/WP
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 4:24 AM EDT, 11 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
424 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043-045>047-
WVZ042>045-290830-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-
WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-
BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
HENRY-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
424 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ044-058-059-290830-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
424 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Nearby

High Wind Watches in Virginia, 2014High Wind Watches in North Carolina, 2014Every high wind watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.