Alert archive / Virginia / Frost Advisories in 2014
Frost Advisory 5, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this frost advisory at Oct 19, 2014, 3:23 AM EDT for Ashe County, Watauga County, North Carolina; 4 counties in West Virginia; 23 counties in Virginia. It took effect at Oct 20, 2014, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 19, 2014, 3:23 AM EDT (07:23 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 20, 2014, 12:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 20, 2014, 9:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
All 29 counties
Ashe County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Radford, VA, Craig County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 00:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 6 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 575 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -53 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -11 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
781
WWUS71 KRNK 190723
NPWRNK
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
323 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014
...COLD AIR EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...
.COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TODAY... BEFORE
SHIFTING EAST TONIGHT. EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IS EXPECTED TO
EXPERIENCE TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S WITH AREAS OF FROST.
WVZ507-191530-
/O.UPG.KRNK.FZ.A.0003.141020T0700Z-141020T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
EASTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISBURG...WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...
ALDERSON
323 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* LOCATIONS...EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY.
* HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.
* TIMING...MIDNIGHT THROUGH 900 AM MONDAY.
* IMPACTS...FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF
NOT PROTECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
&&
$$
WVZ508-191530-
/O.UPG.KRNK.FZ.A.0003.141020T0700Z-141020T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
323 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* LOCATIONS...WESTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY.
* HAZARDS...WIDESPREAD FROST EXPECTED.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S.
* TIMING...MIDNIGHT THROUGH 900 AM MONDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.
&&
$$
VAZ010>014-018>020-023-024-WVZ043-044-191530-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/
BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-
BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-SUMMERS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...
RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
HINTON...HIX...UNION
323 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY.
* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE NEW RIVER VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
SHENANDOAH VALLEYS.
* HAZARDS...WIDESPREAD FROST EXPECTED.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S.
* TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.
&&
$$
077 follow-up statements
808 WWUS71 KRNK 191155 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 755 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...COLD AIR EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TODAY... BEFORE SHIFTING EAST TONIGHT. EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S WITH AREAS OF FROST. PATCHY FROST WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY. WVZ507-192100- /O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ EASTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISBURG...WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS... ALDERSON 755 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT THROUGH 900 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ VAZ010>014-018>020-023-024-WVZ043-044-508-192100- /O.CON.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH- BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-SUMMERS-MONROE-WESTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE... RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE... COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA... HINTON...HIX...UNION...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE 755 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE NEW RIVER VALLEY AND SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEYS. * HAZARDS...WIDESPREAD FROST EXPECTED. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$ RAB
869 WWUS71 KRNK 191923 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 323 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...COLD AIR EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. BY MORNING...SOUTHWEST FLOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL DEVELOP. THE RESULT WILL BE COLDER AIR TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. AN ABUNDANCE OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IS STILL EXPECTED...AND THUS A FREEZING WARNING CONTINUES THERE. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS ARE EXPECTING A MIX OF LOW TO MID 30S FOR LOWS ALONG WITH FROST. FROST ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR MOST COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 81. WVZ507-200330- /O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ EASTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISBURG...WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS... ALDERSON 323 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST. * TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT THROUGH 900 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ VAZ007-009-200330- /O.EXA.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ TAZEWELL-SMYTH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...MARION 323 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...TAZEWELL AND SMYTH COUNTIES. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING. * TEMPERATURES...LOW TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$ VAZ010>014-018>020-023-024-WVZ043-044-508-200330- /O.CON.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH- BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-SUMMERS-MONROE-WESTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE... RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE... COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA... HINTON...HIX...UNION...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE 323 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...MOST COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 81. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING. * TEMPERATURES...LOW TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$
619 WWUS71 KRNK 200039 AAA NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 839 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...COLD AIR EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. BY MORNING...SOUTHWEST FLOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL DEVELOP. THE RESULT WILL BE COLDER AIR TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. AN ABUNDANCE OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IS STILL EXPECTED...AND THUS A FREEZING WARNING CONTINUES THERE. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS ARE EXPECTING A MIX OF LOWER TO MID 30S FOR LOWS ALONG WITH FROST. WVZ507-200845- /O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ EASTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISBURG...WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS... ALDERSON 839 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST. * TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT THROUGH 900 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ VAZ034-035-045>047-200845- /O.EXA.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ BEDFORD-AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEDFORD...AMHERST...LYNCHBURG... APPOMATTOX 839 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...ALONG AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE ESPECIALLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 460. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED ESPECIALLY VALLEYS AND OUTLYING AREAS. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$ VAZ007-009>014-018>020-023-024-WVZ043-044-508-200845- /O.CON.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG- ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-SUMMERS-MONROE- WESTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...MARION...BLAND... PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG... NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...HINTON...HIX...UNION... QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE 839 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...MOST COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 81. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$
261 WWUS71 KRNK 200238 AAA NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...COLD AIR EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. BY MORNING...SOUTHWEST FLOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL DEVELOP. THE RESULT WILL BE COLDER AIR TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. AN ABUNDANCE OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS GREENBRIER AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES CAN BE EXPECTED. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS ARE EXPECTING A MIX OF LOWER TO MID 30S FOR LOWS ALONG WITH FROST. VAZ007-WVZ508-201045- /O.UPG.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ /O.EXA.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ TAZEWELL-WESTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. THE FROST ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...GREENBRIER AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES. * HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST. * TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ WVZ507-201045- /O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ EASTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISBURG...WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS... ALDERSON 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST. * TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT THROUGH 900 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ NCZ001-018-VAZ015-WVZ042-201045- /O.EXA.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-MERCER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...INDEPENDENCE... WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS INTO GRAYSON COUNTY VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$ VAZ009>014-018>020-023-024-034-035-045>047-WVZ043-044-201045- /O.CON.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX- BUCKINGHAM-SUMMERS-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG... WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON... BUENA VISTA...BEDFORD...AMHERST...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX... HINTON...HIX...UNION 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...MOST COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS IN VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$
842 WWUS71 KRNK 200238 CCA NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...COLD AIR EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. BY MORNING...SOUTHWEST FLOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL DEVELOP. THE RESULT WILL BE COLDER AIR TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. AN ABUNDANCE OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS GREENBRIER AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES CAN BE EXPECTED. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS ARE EXPECTING A MIX OF LOWER TO MID 30S FOR LOWS ALONG WITH FROST. VAZ007-WVZ508-201045- /O.UPG.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ /O.COR.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ TAZEWELL-WESTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. THE FROST ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN GREENBRIER AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES. * HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST. * TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ WVZ507-201045- /O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ EASTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISBURG...WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS... ALDERSON 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...EASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST. * TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT THROUGH 900 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ NCZ001-018-VAZ015-WVZ042-201045- /O.COR.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-MERCER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...INDEPENDENCE... WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 77 CORRIDOR. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$ VAZ009>014-018>020-023-024-034-035-045>047-WVZ043-044-201045- /O.CON.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.141020T0400Z-141020T1300Z/ SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX- BUCKINGHAM-SUMMERS-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG... WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...NEW CASTLE... CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON... BUENA VISTA...BEDFORD...AMHERST...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX... HINTON...HIX...UNION 1038 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...MOST COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS IN VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S. * TIMING...MIDNIGHT TO 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$
518 WWUS71 KRNK 200839 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 439 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014 ...COLD AIR EXPECTED THIS MORNING... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL INCREASE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. THE RESULT WILL BE COLDER AIR TRAPPED IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF GREENBRIER AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS ARE EXPECTING A MIX OF LOWER TO MID 30S FOR LOW TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH FROST. VAZ007-WVZ507-508-201300- /O.CON.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141020T1300Z/ TAZEWELL-EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...LEWISBURG... WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...ALDERSON...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE 439 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...WESTERN GREENBRIER AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES. * HAZARDS...FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. * TIMING...UNTIL 9 AM THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ NCZ001-018-VAZ009>015-018>020-023-024-034-035-045>047-WVZ042>044- 201300- /O.CON.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-141020T1300Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON- CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST- CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...MARION... BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...PULASKI... BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY... NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...BEDFORD...AMHERST... LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX... UNION 439 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...MOST COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS IN VIRGINIA. * HAZARDS...FROST IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. * TIMING...UNTIL 9 AM MONDAY. * IMPACTS...FROST MAY DAMAGE OR KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF NOT PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$
853 WWUS71 KRNK 201311 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 911 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014 VAZ007-WVZ507-508-201415- /O.EXP.KRNK.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141020T1300Z/ TAZEWELL-EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAZEWELL...LEWISBURG... WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...ALDERSON...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE 911 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014 ...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... $$ NCZ001-018-VAZ009>015-018>020-023-024-034-035-045>047-WVZ042>044- 201415- /O.EXP.KRNK.FR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-141020T1300Z/ ASHE-WATAUGA-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON- CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST- CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...MARION... BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...PULASKI... BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY... NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...BEDFORD...AMHERST... LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX... UNION 911 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014 ...FROST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Oct 19, 1:36 AM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 19, 1:36 AM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
136 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
BRINGING MOUNTAIN RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH COOL TEMPERATURES.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON SUNDAY RESULTING IN DRIER WEATHER
UNDER DIMINISHING WINDS. ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 127 PM EDT SUNDAY...
MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS IN TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER FOR
THIS MORNING.
AS OF 835 PM EDT SATURDAY...
BANDS OF SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS EARLY TONIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF A STRONG UPSTREAM MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT WILL CROSS
THE MOUNTAINS AROUND MIDNIGHT AND THE PIEDMONT LATE. THIS FEATURE
COMBINED WITH DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SEEN OFF THE EVENING RNK
RAOB AND COLD ADVECTION SHOULD HELP SHOWERS EXPAND OVER THE FAR
WEST AGAIN SHORTLY BEFORE COVERAGE AGAIN FADES A FEW HOURS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. THUS KEEPING HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS WEST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE WITH ONLY LINGERING SPILLOVER CLOUDS OUT EAST A BIT LONGER
BEFORE THE WAVE PASSES AND DOWNSLOPE INCREASES. PROFILES ALSO SHOW
THINGS COLD ENOUGH AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OVER THE NW TO
SUPPORT SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS SO BUMPED UP COVERAGE BUT EXPECTING
OVERALL QPF TO BE VERY LIGHT. OTRW APPEARS EXPANSIVE CLOUDS AND
MIXING WITH THE 85H JET REACHING AROUND 30 KTS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
KEEP TEMPS UP SOME WEST. HOWEVER GIVEN THE DIGGING COLD POOL OVER
THE MOUNTAINS AND LIGHTER WIND GRADIENT EAST...STAYED ON THE COOL
SIDE OF MOS WITH SOME 30S WEST AND 40-45 EAST.
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY SUNDAY...WITH CLOUDS
DECREASING FROM EAST TO WEST AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO SETTLE
ACROSS THE AREA. AS SUCH...LOOKING FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS
THE PIEDMONT FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A MIXTURE OF CLOUDS AND
SUNSHINE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE FROM THE
LOW/MID 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...TO THE MID 60S ACROSS THE
SOUTHSIDE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 230 PM EDT SATURDAY...
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS TO
OUR EAST ALL WHILE SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASES AT 850 MB AND HIGHER.
WHILE WE ARE EXPECTING ONE OF THE COLDEST NIGHTS SO FAR OF THE
SEASON FOR MOST AREA...THE THE ABOVE SCENARIO IS GOING TO MITIGATE
THE EXTENT OF THE COOL DOWN. IT MAY BE ONE OF THOSE SITUATIONS WHERE
THE RIDGE TOPS STAY MILDER THAN THE VALLEYS THANKS TO CONTINUED
MIXING OF WINDS AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND THE ELEVATIONS
THEMSELVES COULD BE HIGHER THAN THE TOP OF THE NOCTURNAL INVERSION.
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT...THIS AREA WILL BE STILL CLOSEST TO THE CENTER
OF THE DEPARTING SURFACE HIGH...AND WINDS ALOFT WILL BE
WEAKER...PLUS HAVE LESS OF A CHANCE TO MIX TO THE SURFACE GIVEN A
MORE LAMINAR FLOW ALOFT AND STEEPER TOPOGRAPHY.
FORECAST LOWS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S IN
THE DEEPER VALLEYS TO NEARLY 40 DEGREES AT THE RIDGE TOPS. IN
BETWEEN THESE EXTREMES IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AREAS WHERE TEMPERATURES
ARE COLD ENOUGH AND WINDS ARE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR FROST FORMATION.
LIKEWISE...SOME LOCATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER 30S TO NEAR 30 DEGREES. A PATCHWORK OF FROST POSSIBILITIES
STILL DOTS MY FORECAST MAP. OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL STILL
MENTION THIS POTENTIAL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
WE ARE STILL TO FAR AWAY IN THE FORECAST PACKAGE FOR THE POSTING OF
ANY FROST ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...ENOUGH OF GREENBRIER
COUNTY...BOTH WESTERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS...ARE FORECAST TO REACH
LOWS AT OR BELOW FREEZING SUNDAY NIGHT THAT A FREEZE WATCH WILL BE
ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON TO ACCOUNT FOR THAT POTENTIAL.
EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...THE FORECAST WILL REFLECT NO LOCATIONS
FORECAST AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR LOW TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...PATCHY
FROST STILL IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A CORRIDOR BETWEEN ROUGHLY
AMHERST...BEDFORD AND MARTINSVILLE VA. THERE IS LESS CONFIDENCE THAT
A FROST ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE POSTED IN THIS AREA GIVEN THE
MORE PATCHY NATURE OF THE FROST. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN THE PATCHY
FROST IS STILL HIGH ENOUGH TO CONTINUE TO MENTION IT IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.
BY THE LATE MORNING MONDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL HAVE MIXED NICELY
TO THE SURFACE TO HELP START THE PROCESS OF MODERATING TEMPERATURES.
ANY FROST IS UNLIKELY TO SURVIVE PAST ROUGHLY 900 AM. TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO THE LOW TO MID 60S IN THE MOUNTAIN AND
MID TO UPPER 60S ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. CLOUDS WILL START TO INCREASE
DURING THE AFTERNOON IN THE WEST IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT APPROACHING
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. WE CANNOT RULE OUT SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS BY
SUNSET ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 64 IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT THE AXIS OF A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH
WILL MOVE INTO AND THROUGH OUR REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE AN
INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL ACROSS THE PREFERRED UPSLOPE
REGIONS IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. BY TUESDAY
NIGHT...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT REMAINS WILL BE CONFINED TO
THE UPSLOPE AREAS IN THE WEST...BUT BE DECREASING IN COVERAGE. EARLY
TUESDAY EVENING...THERE STILL WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PART OF THE REGION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE CENTER OF THE
DEPARTING UPPER LOW.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL TREND MILDER
THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT START TO SLIDE A BIT TUESDAY NIGHT ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM EDT SATURDAY...
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE SLOWLY DEPARTING UPPER LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO DO JUST THAT...SLOWLY DEPART. THIS PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN
A GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA THAT WILL MAINTAIN SOME
CLOUD COVER AND ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER WESTERN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SHOULD EXPERIENCE LIMITED
CLOUD COVER...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AND WINDS A BIT ON THE
GUSTY SIDE.
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...THE LOW DEPARTS FAR ENOUGH EAST THAT OUR
PREVAILING FLOW BECOMES NORTHERLY...THUS SHUTTING OFF THE UPSLOPE
MACHINE. A BROAD UPPER RIDGE BECOMES POSITIONED ACROSS THE MID-
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND BUILDS SLIGHTLY EASTWARD. DRY
CONDITIONS...LIMITED CLOUD COVER...MODERATING TEMPERATURES...AND
STILL A BIT OF A NORTH BREEZE WILL BE THE FORECAST FOR THE REGION.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 135 AM EDT SUNDAY...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL QUICKLY PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA
THIS MORNING. SCT TO BKN MVFR TO IFR CLOUDS EXPECTED IN LOW CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS WHICH EXIT BY 12Z THIS MORNING. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE
SUNDAY MORNING WITH GOOD SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS SYSTEM.
LOCAL MESOSCALE MODEL INDICATES WINDS PEAKING BETWEEN
NOW AND 09Z ..THEN DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK SUNDAY.
GUSTS TO 20-25KT POSSIBLE AT THE MOUNTAIN TAF SITES AND
KROA...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
UPSLOPE GENERATED RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN
MOUNTAINS THROUGH 09Z...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME COLD ENOUGH
TOWARD DAWN THAT A FEW SNOW FLAKES WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE TAIL
END OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY NEAR KLWB.
CONDITIONS SHOULD RAPIDLY IMPROVE SUNDAY AS THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS FROM THE WEST...BRINGING CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING
WINDS. KLWB AND KBLF WILL BE THE LAST TAF SITES TO EXPERIENCE
CLEARING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY.
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CIGS THROUGH THE TAF VALID PERIOD.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VSBYS THROUGH THE TAF VALID PERIOD. HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN WIND DIR/SPD THROUGH THE TAF VALID PERIOD.
EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER UPPER LOW WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH LATE
MONDAY AND LINGER THROUGH MID-WEEK WITH SCT -SHRA AND MOSTLY MVFR
CEILINGS AND BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR VISIBILITIES IN -SHRA.
IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOWARD THE VERY END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
WVZ507-508.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JH/NF
NEAR TERM...JH/KK/NF
SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...PH/KKHazardous weather outlook, Oct 18, 3:32 PM EDT, 11 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 332 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014 WVZ507-508-191945- EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER- 332 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WV. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING LATE TONIGHT TOWARDS DAWN SUNDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FREEZE WATCH. FREEZING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD FROST ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-WVZ042>044-191945- TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL- FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK- FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX- BUCKINGHAM-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE- 332 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. FOR MOST LOCATIONS...THE COVERAGE WILL BE PATCHY. SOME AREAS MAY SEE A GENEROUS COVERAGE...ESPECIALLY THE DEEPER MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND OTHER SHELTERED RURAL AREAS WHERE THE WINDS BECOME CALM OVERNIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ058-059-191945- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES- YADKIN-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 332 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 3:23 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | RNK | Greenbrier | 30 hr |
Nearby
Frost Advisories in Virginia, 2014Frost Advisories in West Virginia, 2014Frost Advisories in North Carolina, 2014Every frost advisory in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.