Flood Watch 2, NWS Charleston, WV

Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Athens County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Perry County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Buchanan County, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

221 
WGUS61 KRLX 150202
FFARLX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1002 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-151015-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.140515T0600Z-140516T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-
WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-
KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA...
BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...
POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...
GRUNDY...VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...
VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...
MIDDLEBOURNE...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...
HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...
SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...
WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...
CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...
CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...
MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...
BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1002 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST 
  VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE 
  KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH... 
  LAWRENCE OH...MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. 
  IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST 
  VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN... 
  CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV... 
  KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO...
   NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH... 
  RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE...
   WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING. 

* FROM 2 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* THE SOILS ARE MOIST TO WET ACROSS THE AREA. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY 
  WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY 
  MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONT COULD 
  PRODUCE FLOODING RAINS. THESE RAINS WILL MAINLY AFFECT SMALL 
  STREAMS...CREEKS...LOW SPOTS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THIS 
  WILL ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON ALL THE RIVERS ACROSS THE 
  REGION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

762 
WGUS61 KRLX 150829
FFARLX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
429 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-083>087-WVZ005>008-013-014-151630-
/O.EXT.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140515T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-JACKSON OH-
VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-
LINCOLN-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...JACKSON...
WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...
IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...HARTS...
ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE
429 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST 
  VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST 
  KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN 
  SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH... 
  MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY AND VINTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...CABELL...
   JACKSON WV...LINCOLN...MASON...PUTNAM AND WAYNE. 

* UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON

* THE SOILS ARE MOIST TO WET ACROSS THE AREA. THERE WILL BE
  WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. FORTUNATELY...THE THREAT OF DOWNPOURS IS
  LOWERING. HOWEVER...UNTIL A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS
  MORNING...THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS POSTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

OHZ076-VAZ003-004-WVZ009>011-015>020-024>040-046-047-151630-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WASHINGTON-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-KANAWHA-ROANE-
WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARIETTA...BELPRE...CLINTWOOD...
GRUNDY...VANSANT...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...
PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...CHARLESTON...
SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...
GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON...
LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...
BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...
GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...
BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...
CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...
BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
429 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST 
  VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...
   WASHINGTON. IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. 
  IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CALHOUN...
  CLAY... DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...KANAWHA...
  LEWIS... LOGAN...MCDOWELL...MINGO...NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...
  POCAHONTAS... RALEIGH...RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...
  TYLER... UPSHUR...WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* THE SOILS ARE MOIST TO WET ACROSS THE AREA. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
  WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. THE RAIN WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST
  TO EAST LATER TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST RAINS APPEAR
  MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON INTO
  THE EARLY EVENING. IF HEAVIER SHOWERS DO DEVELOP...SMALL STREAMS COULD
  FLOOD. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO
  FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE MOST VULNERABLE RIVER BASINS TO
  FLOODING...APPEAR TO BE THE TYGART VALLEY...THE UPPER
  CHEAT...AND THE GREENBRIER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

KTB

529 
WGUS61 KRLX 151425
FFARLX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1025 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

OHZ076-VAZ003-004-WVZ009>011-015>020-024>040-046-047-152230-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KRLX.FA.A.0003.140515T1700Z-140516T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WASHINGTON-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-KANAWHA-ROANE-
WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARIETTA...BELPRE...CLINTWOOD...
GRUNDY...VANSANT...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...
PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...CHARLESTON...
SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...
GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON...
LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...
BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...
GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...
BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...
CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...
BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1025 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST 
  VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...WASHINGTON. IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA... 
  BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE... 
  BRAXTON...CALHOUN...CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER... 
  HARRISON...KANAWHA...LEWIS...LOGAN...MCDOWELL...MINGO... 
  NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...RALEIGH...RANDOLPH... 
  RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WEBSTER...WIRT... 
  WOOD AND WYOMING. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* THE SOILS ARE MOIST TO WET ACROSS THE AREA. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
  WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. THE RAIN WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST
  TO EAST LATER TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST RAINS APPEAR
  MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON INTO
  THE EARLY EVENING. IF HEAVIER SHOWERS DO DEVELOP...SMALL STREAMS
  COULD FLOOD. SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE RIVERS ARE EXPECTED
  TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE MOST VULNERABLE RIVER BASINS
  TO FLOODING... APPEAR TO BE THE TYGART VALLEY...THE UPPER
  CHEAT...AND THE GREENBRIER.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-083>087-WVZ005>008-013-014-151530-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140515T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-JACKSON OH-
VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-
LINCOLN-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...JACKSON...
WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...
IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...HARTS...
ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE
1025 AM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND
THE WESTERN PART OF WEST VIRGINIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A COLD FRONT
HAS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA AND PUSHED THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION TO
THE EAST. THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL HAS DIMINISHED IN THESE
AREAS. THEREFORE THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY...WESTERN PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA...AND
SOUTHEAST OHIO. AS RUNOFF CONTINUES...RISES WILL OCCUR ON RIVERS
AND STREAMS THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
155 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MOIST AIR WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LINGERS. STRONG COLD
FRONT CROSSES THURSDAY. UPPER TROUGH LINGERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
COOL...CANADIAN HIGH ARRIVES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
EVEN WITH THE CURRENT/REAL TIME WEATHER GIVING US HEADACHES. THE
FRONT SEEMS TO BE NEAR OUR PERRY COUNTY OHIO ON SSW TO IOB-LEX VCNTY
TO BNA.  THE FRONT MAY STILL BE INCHING SOUTH THROUGH 15Z OR
SO...BUT SHOULD NOT GET TOO FAR THROUGH SOUTHEAST OHIO. OF
COURSE...THE MAIN 500 MB TROF IN THE SRN PLAINS...JUST NOW STARTING
TO ACT ON THIS BAROCLINIC ZONE.  COULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER OR
STORM ANYTIME...BUT OVERALL...TRIED TO LOWER POPS SOME IN WEST
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. EVEN
FORECAST PW(S) LOWER IN OUR EASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. A WAS A
BIT SLOWER BRINGING THE MAIN SUPPORT EAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

IN THE MEANTIME...RAIN INDUCED VALLEY FOG FORMED OVERNIGHT...DESPITE
LAYERED CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS STILL HANGING AROUND.

OF COURSE THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS HAVE INCREASING WIND FLOW...BUT
BUOYANCY/CAPE AND EL A BIT LOWER TODAY COMPARED TO TUESDAY.
THINKING MAIN SUPPORT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE OUR WESTERN
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ON EASTERN EDGE OF WHAT
SHOULD BE ONGOING CONVECTION TO OUR WEST.  THE EAST KINK IN SPC
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE IN DAY 1 IS FOR ANY AFTERNOON
DEVELOPMENT...MORE THAN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

RAISED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES A BIT FOR TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE
CRW-CKB-EKN AREA FOR SOME DOWNSLOPE.

LOW PRESSURE WAVE ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD BE LIFTING NORTH 06Z TO 12Z
THURSDAY TOWARD NW OHIO.  THIS WILL START PUSHING THE COLD FRONT
TOWARD OUR HTS TRI STATE.

AS SUPPORT ALONG THE FRONT INCREASES TOWARD DAWN...RAIN RATES WILL
BE THE KEY THROUGH THURSDAY.  WE CAN HANDLE 2 INCHES OF RAIN IF NOT
IN A FEW HOURS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA ON THURSDAY. MODELS A
BIT DIFFERENT ON TIMING...WITH NAM THE SLOWEST...AND ECMWF THE
FASTEST. SETTLED ON A BLEND OF ECMWF AND GFS...WITH THE FRONT
ENTERING KY COUNTIES SHORTLY AFTER 12Z. THEN CROSSING A PKB-CRW LINE
AROUND 18Z...CKB-BKW LINE AROUND 21Z...AND EXITING NE CWA BY 02Z
THURSDAY NIGHT. INCREASED POPS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND
ADDED HEAVY RAIN WORDING WITH THE HIGHER POPS. MODELS ALL SHOW A
SURFACE WAVE RIDING UP THE FRONT...BUT DIFFER IN JUST WHEN THAT
HAPPENS...ECMWF AND GFS HAVE IT OCCURRING AFTER THE FRONT EXITS CWA
WITH MAIN IMPACT ALSO EAST OF CWA...WHILE NAM HAS IT IMPACTING
EASTERN CWA. THINK THAT SURFACE WAVE WILL BE THE ONE OF THE
DETERMINING FACTORS IN POTENTIAL WATER ISSUES...AS THE LAST HURRAH
SO TO SPEAK. WITH UNCERTAINTY IF THIS WILL OCCUR OVER CWA OR FARTHER
EAST...WAS NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS
POINT. WILL CONTINUE MENTION OF WATER CONCERNS IN HWO AND GIVE
ANOTHER ROUND OF MODEL RUNS THE CHANCE TO RESOLVE THEIR DIFFERENCES.
HAVE GENERALLY 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH THE ENTIRE EVENT...BUT
MUCH OF THAT WILL BE OVER 12 HOURS OR SO...GIVING CREEKS AND STREAMS
A BETTER CHANCE OF HANDLING THE WATER AS COMPARED TO A QUICK 3 HOUR
RAIN.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STILL TO THE WEST...AND HAVE CHANCE SHOWERS
RETURNING FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS A 500MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH/VORT
MAX PASSES OVER.

LOWERED HIGHS FOR THURSDAY A BIT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WEST...AND
ALSO WENT A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER FRIDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. FAIRLY
MINIMAL CHANGES MADE TO PREVIOUS LOW FORECASTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MODELS AGREE ON HAVING THE SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE AND DEEP UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS WILL
PUSH A SECONDARY COLD FRONT EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT. ENOUGH UPPER SUPPORT AND MOISTURE WILL BRING AT LEAST
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AS THE FRONT PUSHES ACROSS. EVEN BEHIND THE
FRONT...AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY
IN THE WRAPAROUND COOLER AND MOIST FLOW UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR THESE POST FRONT WRAPAROUND SHOWERS WILL BE OVER THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WHERE SOME UPSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE
FLOW WILL AID THE SHOWERS. SHOWERS TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS THE UPPER TOUGH LIFTS OUT AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. THIS WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS FOR SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FOR TEMPERATURES...WITH THE MAIN POLAR VORTEX
SITTING OVER EASTERN CANADA...A GENERAL WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BRING CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE AND COOLER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR DURING THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS AT TAF SITES THROUGH 20Z. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AFTER 19Z WITH HEATING. COULD SEE A TSTM
AT ANY TAF SITE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH BRIEF
MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VSBYS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE S AND
SE AND GUSTING 20-25KTS AND HIGHER IN AND AROUND TSTMS.

FRONT WILL CROSS FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT AFTER 06Z WITH
MVFR/IFR IN SHWRS/TSTMS THROUGH END OF FCST PERIOD.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING AND LOCATION OF CONVECTION MAY VARY
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. TIMING OF FRONT MAY VARY
OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    H    M    H    M    M    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    M
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    M    H    M    M    M    H    M    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    H    H    H    M    H    M    H    H    H    H

AFTER 18Z THURSDAY...
IFR POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH DAYLIGHT HOURS
THURSDAY...MAY LINGER IN MOUNTAIN COUNTIES INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...21/TRM/RPY
NEAR TERM...21
SHORT TERM...MZ
LONG TERM...JMV
AVIATION...21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
133 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

VAZ003-004-WVZ024>028-033>038-046-151745-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-
133 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...CENTRAL
WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF HIGH WATER ON STREAMS...CREEKS...AND
RIVERS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. IF THAT THREAT INCREASES...A FLOOD
WATCH WOULD BE POSTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>009-013>015-151745-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-
JACKSON WV-WOOD-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
133 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 155 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT IN THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IF THE
THREAT OF FLOODING INCREASES...A FLOOD WATCH WOULD BE POSTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THAT POSSIBILITY OF HIGH WATER ON STREAMS...CREEKS...AND RIVERS
LINGERS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WVZ010-011-016>019-151745-
PLEASANTS-TYLER-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-
133 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...WITH STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT IN THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IF THE
THREAT OF FLOODING INCREASES...A FLOOD WATCH WOULD BE POSTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGH WATER ON STREAMS...CREEKS...AND RIVERS
LINGERS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WVZ020-029>032-039-040-047-151745-
DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH-
133 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF HIGH WATER ON STREAMS...CREEKS...AND
RIVERS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.  IF THAT THREAT INCREASES...A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WOULD BE POSTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

TRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1133 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

WVZ039-040-047-141630-
BARBOUR WV-RANDOLPH WV-UPSHUR WV-
1133 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR EASTERN UPSHUR...BARBOUR AND WESTERN
RANDOLPH COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM EDT...

AT 1124 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS DEVELOPING FROM
6 MILES WEST OF ELKINS...ORIENTED NORTH TO SOUTH WITH INDIVIDUAL
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
EXPECT INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM. BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR JUNIOR AROUND 1140 AM...BELINGTON AROUND
1155 AM...KERENS AROUND NOON...MONTROSE AROUND 1220 PM AND
NESTORVILLE AROUND 1230 PM.

YOU MAY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

LAT...LON 3856 8000 3862 8022 3924 8010 3926 7998
      3930 7994 3929 7991 3931 7989 3929 7986
      3925 7984 3923 7980 3913 7983 3911 7979
      3907 7977

08

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1246 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ST. ALBANS              38.38N  81.82W
05/13/2014                   KANAWHA            WV   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE TREE DOWN. SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOUSE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1400928

SL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1246 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

WVZ046-047-141745-
POCAHONTAS WV-RANDOLPH WV-
1246 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR RANDOLPH AND POCAHONTAS COUNTIES
UNTIL 145 PM EDT...

AT 1236 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHERN POCAHONTAS COUNTY...AND MOVE NORTH ACROSS AND INTO
RANDOLPH COUNTY...AS THEY MOVE NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESS STORMS.
REPETITIVE ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE MINOR
WATER PROBLEMS. SOME SMALL STREAM MAY HAVE SUDDEN RISES THROUGH AT
LEAST 145 PM.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR CRANBERRY MOUNTAIN NATURE CENTER AROUND
1255 PM...BUCKEYE AROUND 100 PM...MARLINTON...AND MINNEHAHA SPRINGS
AROUND 105 PM...EDRAY AROUND 120 PM...SLATY FORK AROUND 135
PM...SNOWSHOE AND DUNMORE AROUND 140 PM.

YOU MAY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

LAT...LON 3891 7938 3893 7944 3889 7946 3889 7951
      3884 7953 3878 7950 3866 7962 3861 7962
      3806 8004 3803 8016 3804 8027 3809 8034
      3910 7980 3904 7977 3898 7951 3897 7936
      3896 7935

08

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
110 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BELINGTON               39.02N  79.93W
05/14/2014                   BARBOUR            WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLASH FLOODING BARBOUR COUNTY ALONG ROUTE 250. NUMEROUS
            EVACUATIONS OCCURRING IN THE CITY OF BELINGTON. ROCK
            SLIDE ALONG RIVER ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1400929

SL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
138 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

WVZ031-032-039-040-141845-
BARBOUR WV-HARRISON WV-TAYLOR WV-UPSHUR WV-
138 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NORTHERN UPSHUR...TAYLOR...WESTERN
BARBOUR AND SOUTHEASTERN HARRISON COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 130 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BUCKHANNON...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN
WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND
QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR BUCKHANNON...LORENTZ...AND OVERHILL AROUND
145 PM...HODGESVILLE AROUND 200 PM...VOLGA AROUND 205 PM...CENTURY...
AND VOLGA AROUND 210 PM...PHILIPPI AROUND 225 PM AND GALLOWAY AROUND
235 PM.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

YOU MAY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

LAT...LON 3884 8019 3889 8037 3894 8034 3896 8032
      3900 8034 3905 8031 3911 8031 3940 8017
      3941 8011 3939 8008 3946 7994 3944 7990
      3940 7989

08

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
213 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

OHZ066-141915-
PERRY OH-
213 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NORTHERN PERRY COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM
EDT...

AT 206 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF
SOMERSET...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR THORNVILLE AROUND 225 PM AND GLENFORD AROUND
230 PM.

YOU MAY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

LAT...LON 3992 8236 3992 8218 3990 8216 3983 8216
      3982 8213 3966 8224 3972 8238 3973 8238
      3975 8241 3983 8241 3984 8246 3992 8247
      3994 8246

08