Alert archive / North Carolina / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014
Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this winter storm warning at Mar 6, 2014, 2:51 PM EST for 7 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Mar 6, 2014, 9:00 PM EST. It was in force for 18 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 6, 2014, 2:51 PM EST (19:51 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 6, 2014, 9:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Mar 7, 2014, 2:45 PM EST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
Counties Alamance County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 0.5 | 7 N Roxboro, NC | HALF INCH OF SNOW ON GROUND. NOW ALL SLEET. |
| Mar 6, 9:35 PM EST | SNOW 0.5 | Surl, NC | HALF INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET. CURRENTLY SNOWING. |
| Mar 6, 9:45 PM EST | SNOW 0 | 2 S High Point, NC | TRACE OF SNOW AT WGHP STUDIOS |
| Mar 6, 9:45 PM EST | SNOW 0 | Trinity, NC | TRACE OF SNOW. REPORT VIA WGHP. |
| Mar 6, 9:45 PM EST | SNOW 0.2 | 4 N High Point, NC | REPORT VIA WGHP |
| Mar 6, 10:30 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | Greensboro, NC | |
| Mar 6, 10:45 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | Hillsborough, NC | |
| Mar 6, 10:45 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | Mebane, NC | |
| Mar 6, 10:45 PM EST | SNOW 1.4 | 5 Nnw Roxboro, NC | SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION |
| Mar 6, 11:00 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.05 | Smith Reynolds Apt, NC | MEASURED BY KINT ASOS |
| Mar 6, 11:00 PM EST | SNOW 1 | 1 N Roxboro, NC | ACCUMULATION OF SNOW AND SLEET. |
| Mar 6, 11:06 PM EST | SNOW 0.5 | Oak Ridge, NC | SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION |
| Mar 6, 11:15 PM EST | SNOW 0 | High Point, NC | SNOW IS STARTING TO MIX WITH PREDOMINATELY FREEZING RAIN. |
| Mar 6, 11:25 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | 1 Wnw Greensboro, NC | |
| Mar 6, 11:25 PM EST | SNOW 0.2 | 1 Wnw Greensboro, NC | |
| Mar 6, 11:25 PM EST | SNOW 0.3 | 5 N Greensboro, NC | SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION NEAR LAKE JEANETTE |
| Mar 6, 11:30 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | 4 N Lewisville, NC | |
| Mar 6, 11:30 PM EST | SNOW 0.2 | 4 N Lewisville, NC | |
| Mar 7, 12:00 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Piedmont Triad Apt, NC | |
| Mar 7, 12:00 AM EST | SNOW 0.3 | Piedmont Triad Apt, NC | |
| Mar 7, 12:15 AM EST | SNOW 0.2 | 5 W Burlington, NC | SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION |
| Mar 7, 12:40 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Randleman, NC | |
| Mar 7, 12:45 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Kernersville, NC | |
| Mar 7, 12:55 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.12 | 1 Wnw Greensboro, NC | RECENTLY BEEN SLEET MIXED WITH SNOW. CURRENTLY MOSTLY SLEET. |
| Mar 7, 12:55 AM EST | SNOW 0.5 | 1 Wnw Greensboro, NC | RECENTLY BEEN SLEET MIXED WITH SNOW. CURRENTLY MOSTLY SLEET. |
| Mar 7, 1:00 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Smith Reynolds Apt, NC | |
| Mar 7, 1:00 AM EST | SNOW 2.3 | 5 Nnw Roxboro, NC | SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION |
| Mar 7, 1:50 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 1 | Pleasant Garden, NC | 1 INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET |
| Mar 7, 1:50 AM EST | SNOW 1 | Pleasant Garden, NC | 1 INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET |
| Mar 7, 1:50 AM EST | SNOW 1 | Pleasant Grove, NC | 1 INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET |
| Mar 7, 2:25 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.15 | 5 W Winston-Salem, NC | ESTIMATED 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES OF GLAZE |
| Mar 7, 2:25 AM EST | SNOW 0.5 | 5 Wsw Winston-Salem, NC | SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION |
| Mar 7, 4:53 AM EST | SNOW 2 | Piedmont Triad Apt, NC | SNOW AND SLEET. |
| Mar 7, 5:47 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | 1 S Mebane, NC | |
| Mar 7, 5:54 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Asheboro, NC | LARGE TREE LIMBS ARE BREAKING OFF. |
| Mar 7, 6:05 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Asheboro, NC | MEASURED ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ON ELEVATED SURFACES IN NORTH ASHEBORO. |
| Mar 7, 6:10 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Roxboro, NC | 1.25 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION... 1 INCH SNOW...0.25 INCHES OF ICE. |
| Mar 7, 6:30 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.5 | 2 W Greensboro, NC | IN ADDITION TO 3 INCHES OF COMPACTED SNOW AND SLEET. |
| Mar 7, 6:30 AM EST | SNOW 3 | 2 W Greensboro, NC | COMPACTED SNOW AND SLEET IN HAMILTON LAKES SUBDIVISION. |
| Mar 7, 6:54 AM EST | SNOW 2.1 | Piedmont Triad Apt, NC | FAA OBSERVER REPORTED 2.1 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION... PREDOMINANTLY SNOW. |
| Mar 7, 6:54 AM EST | SNOW 2.1 | Piedmont Triad Apt, NC | SNOW DEPTH. FAA OBSERVER REPORTED 2.1 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION... PREDOMINANTLY SNOW. |
| Mar 7, 7:00 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.4 | 1 E Elon College, NC | |
| Mar 7, 7:00 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.5 | 5 Se Welcome, NC | TREE DOWN ACROSS THE ROADWAY NEAR INTERSTATE 85 AND DAVIDSON COMMUNITY COLLEGE. |
| Mar 7, 7:00 AM EST | SLEET 0.5 | 1 E Elon College, NC | |
| Mar 7, 7:10 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | 3 Sw Winston-Salem, NC | SNOWING HARD. POWER OUT AROUND THE HANES MALL AREA. ROADS TREACHEROUS. |
| Mar 7, 7:10 AM EST | SNOW 2 | 3 Sw Winston-Salem, NC | SNOWING HARD. POWER OUT AROUND THE HANES MALL AREA. ROADS TREACHEROUS. |
| Mar 7, 7:11 AM EST | SNOW 2.7 | 7 N Greensboro, NC | SNOW AND SLEET COMBINATION. |
| Mar 7, 7:15 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Greensboro, NC | AT LEAST A QUARTER INCH OF ICING. ROADS TREACHEROUS. |
| Mar 7, 7:18 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.5 | Lexington, NC | AT LEAST A HALF-INCH OF GLAZING...SOME AREAS IN THE COUNTY MORE. NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES DUE TO DOWNED TREES. GETTING NUMEROUS CALLS OF TREES DOWN. |
| Mar 7, 7:30 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Asheboro, NC | AT LEAST A QUARTER-INCH OF ICING...NOT QUITE A HALF-INCH. AT LEAST 80 TREES REPORTED DOWN IN THE COUNTY DUE TO COMBINATION OF ICING AND WIND. |
| Mar 7, 7:35 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Graham, NC | AT LEAST A QUARTER-INCH OF ICING...POSSIBLY UP TO A HALF-INCH. ESTIMATED 28000 WITHOUT POWER. TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY. |
| Mar 7, 7:40 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Hillsborough, NC | AT LEAST A QUARTER-INCH OF ICE...UP TO A HALF-INCH ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY. MANY TREES DOWN DUE TO ICING AND THE WIND. NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. |
| Mar 7, 7:45 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | 5 Sw Lexington, NC | ROADS CLEAR...ONE QUARTER INCH ESTIMATED ON ELEVATED SURFACES. 1.71 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS... 0.38 IN THE PAST HOUR... CURRENTLY 32.5 DEGREES. |
| Mar 7, 7:50 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Roxboro, NC | SLEET ACCUMULATION IS MOSTLY SLEET MIXED WITH SNOW. SEVERAL TREES DOWN AROUND COUNTY SINCE 5 AM. |
| Mar 7, 7:50 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Randleman, NC | 2-3 FOOT DIAMETER TREES DOWN |
| Mar 7, 7:50 AM EST | SLEET 2 | Roxboro, NC | SLEET ACCUMULATION IS MOSTLY SLEET MIXED WITH SNOW. SEVERAL TREES DOWN AROUND COUNTY SINCE 5 AM. |
| Mar 7, 8:30 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Asheboro, NC | REPORT OF SNAPPING TREES AND LIMBS. |
| Mar 7, 8:30 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Thomasville, NC | MANY TREE LIMBS DOWN. |
| Mar 7, 8:45 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.3 | Burlington, NC | |
| Mar 7, 8:45 AM EST | SLEET 0.5 | Burlington, NC |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 23 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1717 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
380 WWUS42 KRAH 061951 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 251 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE PIEDMONT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING... .ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW ENGLAND INTO THE CAROLINAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT EARLY TONIGHT AS A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST. NCZ007-021>023-038-070400- /O.UPG.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.140306T2300Z-140307T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KRAH.WS.W.0005.140307T0200Z-140307T1700Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE 251 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR A WINTRY MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT INCLUDING THE TRIAD. * HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO POSSIBLY 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET... FOLLOWED BY UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD START AS SNOW AND SLEET BETWEEN 7PM AND 9 PM THIS EVENING...TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOME ALL RAIN BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS LATE FRIDAY MORNING OR FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE DAMAGE TO TREES AND POTENTIALLY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL ICING SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING FRIDAY AS THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN BY LATE MORNING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT... SLOWLY RISING INTO THE MID 30S FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE AND POSSIBLY SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NCZ008-009-025-040-073-074-070400- /O.EXB.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.140307T0200Z-140307T1700Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-DURHAM-CHATHAM-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...DURHAM...SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...ALBEMARLE...TROY... BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD 251 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A WINTRY MIXTURE OF PRECIPIATION... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT INCLUDING NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE TRIANGLE AREA... * HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION ALONG WITH 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES OF ICE ACCUMULATION. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL START AS SNOW AND SLEET BETWEEN 6 PM AND 9 PM THIS EVENING...TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOME ALL RAIN FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO AROUND 30 TONIGHT... THEN SLOWLY RISING INTO THE MID 30S FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE PREPARED FOR PATCHY ICE ON AREA ROADS... ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL DIMINISH THE CHANCE OF ICING AFTER 900 AM FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NCZ024-039-070400- /O.EXT.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.140307T0200Z-140307T1700Z/ ORANGE-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...ASHEBORO... ARCHDALE...TRINITY 251 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A WINTRY MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT INCLUDING NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE TRIANGLE AREA AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE TRIAD AREA. * HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION ALONG WITH 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES OF ICE ACCUMULATION. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL START AS SNOW AND SLEET BETWEEN 6 PM AND 9 PM THIS EVENING...TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOME ALL RAIN FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO AROUND 30 TONIGHT... THEN SLOWLY RISING INTO THE MID 30S FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE PREPARED FOR PATCHY ICE ON AREA ROADS... ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL DIMINISH THE CHANCE OF ICING AFTER 900 AM FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ PWB
5 follow-up statements
170 WWUS42 KRAH 070231 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 931 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE PIEDMONT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING... .ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW ENGLAND INTO THE CAROLINAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT TONIGHT AS A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST. NCZ007-021>023-038-071100- /O.CON.KRAH.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE 931 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... * LOCATIONS...INCLUDE MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT INCLUDING THE TRIAD REGION. * HAZARD TYPES...EXPECT A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN ALONG WITH SOME SLEET AND A LITTLE SNOW OVERNIGHT. A PERIOD OF MOSTLY WET SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...BY THE END OF THE STORM 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE GLAZE. * TIMING...THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSITION TO MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO A BURST OF WET SNOW FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE ENDING AS ALL RAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...INCLUDE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE DAMAGE TO TREES AND POTENTIAL POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...WILL RANGE FROM THE NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO NEAR 30 DEGREES TONIGHT AND THEN SLOWLY RISE FRIDAY MORNING AND REACH THE MID 30S BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE AND POSSIBLY SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NCZ010-071100- /O.EXA.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.140307T0200Z-140307T1700Z/ WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORLINA...WARRENTON 931 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS...INCLUDE THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET THIS EVENING WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL RAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...OF LESS THAN AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED WITH 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES OF ICE GLAZE EXPECTED. * TIMING...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN AROUND OR JUST AFTER DAYBREAK FRIDAY. * IMPACTS...INCLUDE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ICE DAMAGE TO TREES AND POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...WILL RANGE FROM THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...WILL FALL TO AROUND 30 TONIGHT... THEN SLOWLY RISE INTO THE MID 30S BY MIDDAY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE PREPARED FOR PATCHY ICE ON AREA ROADS... ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL DIMINISH THE CHANCE OF ICING AFTER 900 AM FRIDAY. $$ NCZ008-009-024-025-039-040-073-074-071100- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...ASHEBORO... ARCHDALE...TRINITY...SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...ALBEMARLE...TROY... BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD 931 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... * LOCATIONS...INCLUDE THE NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL PIEDMONT INCLUDING NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE TRIANGLE AREA. * HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND A LITTLE SLEET WILL BECOME MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO MOSTLY RAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL AVERAGE LESS THAN AN INCH NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER LOCATIONS TO A COATING OR LESS ELSEWHERE. FREEZING RAIN WILL ACCUMULATE BETWEEN 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES OF GLAZE. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN AND THEN BECOME ALL RAIN FRIDAY MORNING BETWEEN 500 AM AND 900 AM. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER COUNTIES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO ICE ACCUMULATION. DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * WINDS...WILL RANGE BETWEEN NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...WILL RANGE IN THE LOWER 30S TONIGHT AND THEN RISE INTO THE MID 30S TOWARD MIDDAY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE PREPARED FOR PATCHY ICE ON AREA ROADS... ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. RAIN AND WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL DIMINISH THE CHANCE OF ICING AFTER 900 AM FRIDAY. $$ BLAES
251 WWUS42 KRAH 070934 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 434 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS MORNING... .ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM NEW ENGLAND INTO THE CAROLINAS THIS MORNING. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT AS A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST. ADDITIONAL ICING WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...WITH STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. NCZ024-039-071700- /O.UPG.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KRAH.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ ORANGE-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...ASHEBORO... ARCHDALE...TRINITY 434 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PIEDMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN THIS MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET HAS ALREADY FALLEN...WITH UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE STILL POSSIBLE. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN AND THEN BECOME ALL RAIN AFTER 700 AM. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER COUNTIES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO ICE ACCUMULATION. DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. * WINDS...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NCZ007-021>023-038-071700- /O.CON.KRAH.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE 434 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * LOCATIONS...INCLUDE MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT INCLUDING THE TRIAD REGION. * HAZARD TYPES...EXPECT A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW. A PERIOD OF MOSTLY WET SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1 INCH...ALONG WITH ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE. * TIMING...THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN BY 700 AM. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO A BURST OF WET SNOW BY LATE MORNING BEFORE ENDING AS ALL RAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...INCLUDE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE DAMAGE TO TREES AND POTENTIAL POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS AND LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NCZ008>010-025-040-073-074-071700- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-DURHAM-CHATHAM-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...DURHAM...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD 434 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * LOCATIONS...INCLUDE THE NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL PIEDMONT INCLUDING NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE TRIANGLE AREA. * HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN THIS MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...A TRACE TO AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE AS MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN AND THEN BECOME ALL RAIN BY AROUND 700 AM. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER COUNTIES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO ICE ACCUMULATION. DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. * WINDS...NORTH AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE PREPARED FOR PATCHY ICE ON AREA ROADS... ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. $$
791 WWUS42 KRAH 071241 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 741 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS MORNING... .ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM NEW ENGLAND INTO THE CAROLINAS THIS MORNING. A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT AS A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST. ADDITIONAL ICING WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING... WITH STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. NCZ007-021>024-038-039-071700- /O.CON.KRAH.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO... LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY 741 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * LOCATIONS...INCLUDE MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT INCLUDING THE TRIAD REGION. * HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS MORNING...CHANGING TO RAIN BY LATER MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 3 INCHES...ALONG WITH ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE. * TIMING...THE WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN BY 1000 AM. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO A BURST OF WET SNOW BY LATE MORNING BEFORE ENDING AS ALL RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. * WINDS...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS AND LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NCZ008>010-025-040-073-074-071700- /O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-DURHAM-CHATHAM-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...DURHAM...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD 741 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * LOCATIONS...INCLUDE THE NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL PIEDMONT INCLUDING NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE TRIANGLE AREA. * HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN THIS MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE. * TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN THIS MORNING. RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH WET SNOW LATER THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY ACROSS NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER COUNTIES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO ICE ACCUMULATION. DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. * WINDS...NORTH AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. BE PREPARED FOR PATCHY ICE ON AREA ROADS... ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. $$
258 WWUS42 KRAH 071536 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1036 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY EXTENDED UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON... .A BAND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS OFFSHORE THE CAROLINA COAST. A WINTRY MIX WILL PERSIST ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR TODAY...WITH A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY WET SNOW ALONG AND NEAR A LINE FROM HIGHPOINT NORTHEAST TO BURLINGTON AND ROXBORO LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. NCZ007-021>024-038-039-072100- /O.EXT.KRAH.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140307T2100Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO... LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY 1036 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...TRIAD AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AND ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10 AM THIS MORNING AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW IN FORSYTH...GUILFORD... NORTHERN DAVIDSON AND NORTHERN RANDOLPH COUNTIES WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW BY NOON...WITH BURSTS OF HEAVY WET SNOW POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. ALAMANCE... ORANGE AND PERSON C0UNTIES CAN EXPECT A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW THIS MORNING...WITH BURSTS OF HEAVY WET SNOW POSSIBLE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ASSOCIATED WITH ICE AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS ALONG WITH HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS. * WINDS...NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE AND SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS AND HAS ALREADY RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO AVOID TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NCZ008>010-025-040-073-074-072100- /O.EXT.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140307T2100Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-DURHAM-CHATHAM-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...DURHAM...SILER CITY... PITTSBORO...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD 1036 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...GRANVILLE...VANCE...WARREN...DURHAM...CHATHAM... STANLY AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN THROUGH NOON AND OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF HEAVY WET SNOW THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A TRACE TO ONE INCH... PRIMARILY IN NORTHWEST CHATHAM...NORTHERN DURHAM AND GRANVILLE COUNTIES. * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AT TIMES THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. BURSTS OF HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE MOST LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR ALONG WITH DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WHERE ICE ACCUMULATION OCCURRED EARLIER THIS MORNING. * WINDS...NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED BECAUSE PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS... PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR AND ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. $$ VINCENT
016 WWUS42 KRAH 071945 WSWRAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 245 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...THE WINTER STORM WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM HAVE BOTH BEEN CANCELLED... ...A SEPARATE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 9 AM SATURDAY MORNING... NCZ007-021>024-038-039-081400- /O.CAN.KRAH.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140307T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KRAH.WW.Y.0007.140308T0200Z-140308T1400Z/ PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO... LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY 245 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY... AS OF 2 PM PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED TO ALL RAIN AND TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING. AS A RESULT...THE WINTER STORM WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...TRIAD AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH REFREEZING OF RESIDUAL SNOW AND ICE ON AREA ROADS. * TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL AS SKIES CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS EVENING...BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S SATURDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY 9 AM. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AND REFREEZING OF RESIDUAL SNOW AND ICE ON AREA ROADS. * TEMPERATURES...BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TRAVEL WITH ANY VEHICLE IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED TONIGHT WHEN RESIDUAL SNOW AND ICE COULD REFREEZE ON AREA ROADS. THIS INCLUDES FOUR WHEEL DRIVE OR ALL TERRAIN VEHICLES. IF DRIVING IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY...SLOW DOWN...AVOID ANY SUDDEN ACCELERATION OR BRAKING... LEAVE PLENTY OF FOLLOWING DISTANCE AND EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION... ESPECIALLY AT STOP LIGHTS AND INTERSECTIONS WHERE ACCIDENTS ARE MORE LIKELY. && $$ NCZ008-009-025-040-081400- /O.CAN.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140307T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KRAH.WW.Y.0007.140308T0200Z-140308T1400Z/ GRANVILLE-VANCE-DURHAM-CHATHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...DURHAM...SILER CITY...PITTSBORO 245 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON IS CANCELLED... ...A NEW WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY... AS OF 2 PM PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED TO ALL RAIN AND TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING. AS A RESULT...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...GRANVILLE...VANCE...DURHAM AND CHATHAM COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH REFREEZING OF RESIDUAL SNOW AND ICE ON AREA ROADS. * TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL AS SKIES CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS EVENING...BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S SATURDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY 9 AM. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH REFREEZING OF RESIDUAL SNOW AND ICE ON AREA ROADS. * TEMPERATURES...BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TRAVEL WITH ANY VEHICLE IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED TONIGHT WHEN RESIDUAL SNOW AND ICE COULD REFREEZE ON AREA ROADS. IF DRIVING IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY...SLOW DOWN...AVOID ANY SUDDEN ACCELERATION OR BRAKING...LEAVE PLENTY OF FOLLOWING DISTANCE AND EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION...ESPECIALLY AT STOP LIGHTS AND INTERSECTIONS WHERE ACCIDENTS ARE MORE LIKELY. && $$ NCZ010-073-074-072045- /O.CAN.KRAH.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140307T2100Z/ WARREN-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ALBEMARLE... TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD 245 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. AS OF 2 PM PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED TO ALL RAIN AND TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING. AS A RESULT...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ VINCENT
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 6, 2:15 PM EST, 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 2:15 PM EST, 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 215 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 .SYNOPSIS... COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH THROUGH THIS EVENING. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD UP THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND CAROLINAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT... THEN HIGH PRESSURE WITH DRY AND MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 215 PM THURSDAY... ...CONFIDENCE INCREASING IN WINTER STORM CONDITIONS FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT... AND PERSON COUNTY (MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-85) TONIGHT INTO MID-DAY FRIDAY... PRELIMINARY WARNINGS INCLUDE... FORSYTH... DAVIDSON... GUILFORD... ALAMANCE... AND PERSON. PRELIMINARY ADVISORIES INCLUDE... RANDOLPH... CHATHAM... ORANGE... DURHAM... GRANVILLE... AND VANCE. THE PARENT HIGH PRESSURE (1038+ MB) WAS CENTERED OVER UPPER NY STATE. THIS AFFECTS OF THIS HIGH EXTEND SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE CAROLINAS INTO GEORGIA. IT IS OF SUFFICIENT STRENGTH AND OF ADEQUATE LOCATION TO DELIVER CAA/DAA... AND IS MORE THAN COLD ENOUGH TO DELIVER CAA/DAA INTO OUR PIEDMONT DAMMING REGION FOR A WINTER WEATHER EVENT. THIS IS OCCURRING AS THE MID/UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE DEEP SOUTH APPROACH FROM THE SW... WHICH WILL INDUCE A MILLER-A TYPE LOW PRESSURE THAT IS FORECAST TO TRACK FROM THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING... NE ALONG THE SE US COAST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. TYPICALLY... MILLER-A STORMS CARRY A NARROW TRANSITION ZONE... FROM SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO LITTLE IMPACT CONCERNING WINTER WEATHER. THIS MAY END UP THE CASE AGAIN WITH THIS STORM. WHAT IS VERY INTERESTING ABOUT THIS STORM IS THAT THE STORM TYPE... TRACK... AND CLASSICAL DAMMING PATTERN (AT LEAST AT THE ONSET OF THE STORM) STRONGLY SUGGEST MORE SNOW THAN THE MODELS HAVE DEPICTED IN THE DAMMING REGION. TYPICALLY... THERE WOULD BE MORE SNOW EXPECTED OVER THE NW PIEDMONT WITH A NARROW TRANSITION ZONE OF MIXED SNOW AND RAIN... TO ALL RAIN IN THE EAST AND SOUTH. LED BY THE NAM... THERE HAS BEEN A PROMINENT WARM NOSE ALOFT DEPICTED ALL ALONG WITH THE STORM WHICH HAS PRECLUDED SNOW FROM ITS FORECAST. NOW THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEARING DOWN ON US... MODELS SEEM TO BE COMING AROUND TO DEPICT MORE SNOW/SLEET THAN BEFORE BETWEEN 00Z/06Z OR SO IN THE NW TONIGHT... THEN ICING BETWEEN 06Z-12Z. THIS SEEMS VERY REASONABLE AND IT MAY YET BE UNDERDONE WITH THE SNOW/SLEET (FROZEN SIDE) OF THE STORM. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A FORECAST BATTLE OF THE PLACEMENT OF THE WARM AND COLD NOSES. THE LATEST NAM CONTINUES STEADFAST IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE STRONGEST WARM NOSE ALOFT (+6 DEGREES/C) DRIVEN BY 50-70KT FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC INTO EASTERN SC/NC IN THE LAYER BETWEEN H85 AND H75. THE LATEST OPERATIONAL EC AND GFS CONTINUE TO FORECAST THE MOST PROMINENT COLD NOSE CENTERED AT H9 FROM CHARLOTTESVILLE TO DANVILLE THROUGH THE TRIAD... BOTTOMING OUT AT -5 DEGREES/C OVERNIGHT. THIS OCCURS AS A GOOD PART OF THE MAIN PRECIPITATION FALLS. IT APPEARS THESE RATHER LARGE DIFFERENCES ARE RELATED TO THE SPEED/TRACK OF THE INDIVIDUAL MODELS WITH THE APPROACHING MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW. THE 12Z NAM CONTINUES TO BE THE SLOWEST WITH THE SYSTEM... WHILE THE 12Z GFS REMAINS THE QUICKEST. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK OR THE DEEP CONVECTION THAT WAS MOVING INTO FLORIDA FROM THE EASTERN GULF. GIVEN THAT THE NAM AT 12Z CAME IN A BIT QUICKER WITH THE STORMS MOVEMENT... THE GFS AND THE QUICKER SOLUTIONS MAY BE THE WAY TO GO. THE WARMER NAM MAY BE RELATED TO THE SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE MID/UPPER CUT OFF LOW WHICH GIVES MORE TIME TO TAP WESTERN ATLANTIC AIR INTO THE SYSTEM AND DRIVE THE WARM NOSE MUCH FARTHER INLAND. THUS THE NAM EXTREME WARM NOSE WAS NOT ACCEPTED FULLY. HOWEVER... A PROMINENT WARM NOSE ALOFT IS ANTICIPATED AS IS DEPICTED BY THE MAJORITY OF THE MODELS. ...FOR THE WARNING COUNTIES INCLUDING THE PIEDMONT TRIAD AND ROXBORO... PARTIALS IN THE 1000/850 AND 850/700 LAYERS ARE FORECAST BY THE EC/GFS TO BE IN THE 1295-1300M/1545-1550M RANGE BETWEEN 00Z/09Z OVER NW AND N PIEDMONT. THE UNIVERSAL NOMOGRAM DEPICTS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS SNOW/SLEET IN THE TRIAD EARLY TO MID EVENING... THEN SLOWLY CHANGING TO MIXED SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. THE SURFACE WET BULB FORECASTS DROP THE TEMPERATURES TO 29-30 OVERNIGHT... KEEPING THEM THERE THROUGH 12Z... THEN SLOWLY WARM TO 33 OR SO BETWEEN 13Z-15Z. QPF ON THE ORDER OF 0.50 TO 0.75 DURING THIS CRITICAL TIME SHOULD TRANSLATE TO 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW/SLEET THEN POTENTIALLY UP TO 0.25 OF FREEZING RAIN. THE MORE SNOW/SLEET AT THE ONSET... OBVIOUSLY THE MORE HAZARDOUS ROADS WILL BECOME. THE MORE FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT... THE MORE THAT WOULD WEIGH ON TREES/POWER LINES. REGARDLESS... TOGETHER THE P-TYPES OF WINTRY MIXTURE SHOULD EQUAL WINTER STORM CRITERIA WHEN COMBINED WITH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 20S OVERNIGHT IN THE WARNED COUNTIES. THE FREEZING RAIN SHOULD BECOME A SELF LIMITING PROCESS AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY AS THE COMBINATION OF GOOD RAINFALL RATES... TEMPS RISING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S... AND INSOLATION THROUGH THE CLOUDS LIMIT FREEZING. A COUPLE OF CONCERNS... LESS OF A WARM NOSE... WOULD MEAN MORE SNOW AND SLEET THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. SENSIBLE WEATHER... SNOW AND SLEET DEVELOPING THIS EVENING... CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION 1-3 INCHES. TOTAL ICE ACCRUAL UP TO 0.25 OF AN INCH. TOTAL QPF 1.00. LOWS 28-30. FREEZING RAIN TO RAIN FRIDAY MORNING... ENDING IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. ...IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDING ASHEBORO TO DURHAM TO OXFORD... A WINTRY MIXTURE ARRIVING DURING THE EVENING... BECOMING FREEZING RAIN MIXED SLEET OVERNIGHT. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY PARTIALS IN THE 1300 TO 1305/1550-1560 RANGE... AND SURFACE WET BULBS 31-32. THE FREEZING RAIN SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN BEFORE DAYBREAK. TOTAL SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATION LESS THAN 0.5. TOTAL ICE ACCRUAL UP TO 0.1. LOWS 30-32... WHICH SHOULD MEAN MINIMAL IMPACTS ON AREA ROADS UNLESS MORE SNOW/SLEET FALL AT THE ONSET DURING THE OVERNIGHT. FRIDAY... RAIN... HEAVY AT TIMES. TEMPS RISING INTO THE UPPER 30S. ...AREAS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES... RAIN DEVELOPING THIS EVENING... POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS SLEET. LOWS 33- 35... SLOWLY RISING OVERNIGHT TO NEAR 40 OR 45 SE. RAIN FRIDAY... HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGHS IN THE 40S/LOWER 50S SE. FINALS COMING UP IN AN HOUR. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 345 AM THURSDAY... A POTENT SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE GULF COAST STATES TODAY WILL CLOSE OFF THIS EVENING AND THEN LIFT NORTHEAST...WITH A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER THE GOMEX TO ALSO LIFT NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST ON FRIDAY. STRONG DCVA AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE...COUPLED WITH AN 40-50 EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY LLJ AND WARM ADVECTION WILL BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIP ACROSS THE CWA AFTER BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE NAM AND SREF SHOW POTENTIAL FOR STRONG BANDING BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z AS AN AREA OF INTENSE MID-LEVEL FGEN SETS UP ON THE NORTH-NORTHWESTERN SIDE OF TEH MID-LEVEL LOW...WHICH TRACKS ALONG THE COAST OR JUST INLAND. THE NAM GIVES THE MOST QPF WITH AS MUCH AS 1.5 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE PIEDMONT...HEAVIEST TONIGHT. THE ECMWF AND GFS ARENT QUITE AS EXTREME BUT STILL GIVE OVER AN INCH. THE BIG QUESTION MARK IN THE FORECAST IS HOW STRONG AND HOW FAR WEST A WARM NOSE DEVELOPS WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED EASTERLY LLJ. THE NAM MAINTAINS AN EASTERLY FETCH LONGER THAN THE ECMWF AND GFS...AND ACCORDINGLY HAS THE WARMEST TEMPS (>4C) IN THE 925-850MB LAYER. THIS MAY BE SLIGHTLY OVERDONE...BUT THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS...WHICH ARE PREFERRED THERMALLY...THAT A 1-3C WARM LAYER WILL DEVELOP WAS FAR WEST AS THE TRIAD AREA. AT THE SURFACE...THE AFOREMENTIONED PARENT HIGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EAST THIS EVENING AS SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THUS...THE MAIN SOURCE OF COLD/DRY AIR SHOULD BE LOST OVERNIGHT AND THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE MORE INFLUENTIAL IN MAINTAINING THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. ON THE BROAD SCALE....PARTIAL THICKNESSES SUPPORT AT LEAST FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT THROUGH 12-15Z FRIDAY...WITH A QUICKER CHANGEOVER TO RAIN CLOSER TO THE US-1 CORRIDOR AND ALL RAIN OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN. WETBULB EFFECTS AND PRECIP RATES WILL LIKELY LEAD TO MIXING IN OF SLEET OR EVEN SNOW AT THE ONSET...AS WELL AS WITHIN ANY BAND THAT SETS UP OVER THE NORTHERN AND/OR NORTHWEST PIEDMONT. THIS WOULD BE MUCH MORE LIKELY WITH THE COLDER SCENARIO SHOWN IN THE GFS WHERE A SMALLER WARM NOSE COULD BE OVERCOME. THE MOST DIFFICULT PART OF THE FORECAST IS TRYING TO DETERMINE POSSIBLE ICE AMOUNTS. THE TOP-DOWN APPROACH WITH ABOUT HALF OF QPF GOING TO ACCRUAL YIELDS AROUND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE. HEAVIER RAIN WOULD CUT DOWN ON AMOUNTS DUE TO RUN OFF. THERE IS ALSO SOME CONCERN ABOUT CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND HOW THAT MAY HOLD TEMPS UP AND LIMIT THE AREAL EXTENT OF FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL. FROM ALL OF THIS...WE ARE FAIRLY CONFIDENT IN SOME ICE ACCRUAL OVER THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT AREAS. WE ARE LESS CERTAIN ABOUT AREAS ALONG US-1...WHICH MAY SEE A LIGHT GLAZE BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN. WILL ISSUE AN ADVISORY FOR DAVIDSON...FORSYTH..GUILFORD...ALAMANCE...ORANGE AND PERSON COUNTIES STARTING AT 6PM AND GOING THROUGH NOON ON FRIDAY. PARTIAL THICKNESSES RISE ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS BY MID-MORNING FRIDAY...AND ANY SHALLOW SUB-FREEZING LAYER NEAR THE SURFACE SHOULD BE GONE WITH THE LOSS OF THE PARENT HIGH. DYNAMIC COOLING WITH THE PASSING UP TROUGH MAY ALLOW FOR A SNOW/RAIN MIX AS THE DEFORMATION BAND MOVES WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY (MAINLY OVER THE WEST)...BUT WITH SURFACE TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING...THERE SHOULDNT BE ANY ADDITIONAL IMPACT. MODELS ARE SLIGHTLY SLOWER MOVING PRECIP OUT OF THE AREA....SO WILL END POPS IN THE 00Z-06Z TIME FRAME. WILL ALSO KEEPS TEMPS LOWER THAN GUIDANCE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S. SOME POTENTIAL FOR BLACK ICE FRIDAY NIGHT AS LOWS DIP BACK DOWN TO AROUND FREEZING IN THE WEST. LOWS 32-36. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 125 AM THURSDAY... FOR SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT: THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BE SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY... THEN WEAK BUT WARM SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD OVER THE GULF AND SOUTHEAST STATES... BRINGING DRY AND STABLE LOW-MID LEVELS THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A SPLIT FLOW PERSISTS ACROSS NOAM... HIGHLIGHTED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY/NORTHEAST/MARITIMES SUNDAY WHILE THE POSITIVE-TILTED SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH HANGS BACK AND SLOWLY SHEARS ACROSS AR/OK/TX INTO NRN MEXICO. THE NORTHERN STREAM WAVE PASSAGE PUSHES A SURFACE BACKDOOR FRONTAL ZONE SOUTHWARD INTO VA... BUT THE GFS/ECMWF AGREE THAT THE COOLEST AIR SHOULD STAY NORTH OF OUR BORDER... SO EXPECT JUST MINOR COOLING ON SUNDAY DESPITE A SURFACE WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY WITH WEAK SURFACE TROUGH PASSAGE. EXPECT HIGH CLOUDS AND A FEW MID CLOUDS LATE SAT THROUGH SAT NIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE SHEARING TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT... BUT NO PRECIP... AND A RETURN TO PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE ON SUNDAY AND CLEAR SKIES SUNDAY NIGHT. NEAR-NORMAL THICKNESSES BOTH DAYS SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE LOWER-MID 60S. LOWS 37-43 SAT NIGHT AND 35-40 SUNDAY NIGHT. FOR MON THROUGH WED: THE SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH OVER NW MEXICO OVER THE WEEKEND WILL DRIFT SLOWLY OUT OVER THE NW GULF EARLY IN THE WEEK... WHILE THE LARGELY FLAT AND WNW MID LEVEL FLOW OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER RATHER TRANQUIL THROUGH TUE WITH ONLY WEAK SURFACE TROUGHING AND A DRY DOWNSLOPE MAINLY WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW. EXPECT FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES MON-TUE WITH TEMPS TRENDING ABOVE NORMAL AS THICKNESSES RISE. WEATHER BECOMES MORE ACTIVE TUE NIGHT/WED AS THE GULF LOW TRACKS EASTWARD WHILE FURTHER WEST... A TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES SHIFTS SE INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE A BROAD POLAR STREAM LONGWAVE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER QUEBEC/ONTARIO AND THE GREAT LAKES REGION... PUSHING A SURFACE COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD INTO NC. THE ECMWF TRENDS TOWARD PHASING OF THE TWO STREAMS AS IT DIGS THIS TROUGH DEEPLY OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ABSORBING THE GULF TROUGH AND RESULTING IN A STRENGTHENING LOW APPROACHING NC FROM THE SW... WHILE THE GFS DAMPENS THE GULF TROUGH OVER FL WITH A FLATTER/SHEARING TROUGH OUT WEST. DESPITE THESE MAJOR LONGWAVE PATTERN DIFFERENCES... BOTH MODELS PUSH THE FRONT SOUTH OF NC WITH INCREASED OVERRUNNING OVER NC... SO EXPECT A TREND TOWARD COOLER TEMPS TUE NIGHT/WED AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN. -GIH && .AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... AS OF 650 AM THURSDAY... HIGH CONFIDENCE IN INCREASINGLY POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING TO AROUND 20KT IN SOME AREAS THIS MORNING..AND WE EXPECT THIS TO PICK UP EVERYWHERE DURING THE DAY TODAY. LOW CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH MVFR CEILINGS AT KFAY BY 21Z AND AT NORTHERN TERMINALS BY 00Z. PRECIPITATION MAY START AS A MIX OF RAIN..SLEET AND SNOW BEFORE CHANGING TO PREDOMINATELY FREEZING RAIN AT KGSO/KINT AND RAIN AT KRDU/KRWI/KFAY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING PREDOMINATE PRECIP TYPE AT KRDU...SO WHILE THE CURRENT TAF DOES NOT REFLECT FREEZING RAIN...IT IS POSSIBLE. PRECIP MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT...AND CEILINGS/VSBYS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO IFR LEVELS THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS A CONCERN AS WELL TONIGHT....ALTHOUGH WINDS UP TO 2K FT WILL REMAIN WELL MIXED AND THE SHIFT IN WINDS ABOVE THE INVERSION IS NOT DRAMATIC (30-50 DEGREES) THUS...NO LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS MENTIONED IN THE TAF. OUTLOOK... POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY...AND WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE FRIDAY EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY FOR NCZ007-021>024-038-039. && SYNOPSIS...BADGETT NEAR TERM...BADGETT SHORT TERM...SMITH LONG TERM...HARTFIELD AVIATION...SMITH
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 5:07 AM EST, 9 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 507 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014 NCZ007-021>024-038-039-071015- PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH- 507 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TONIGHT. NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-073>077-071015- GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE- CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT- 507 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION MAY START OUT AS A WINTRY MIX ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN OVERNIGHT. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT. NCZ078-083>086-088-089-071015- WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 507 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY FALL AS RAIN IN LOCATIONS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TRIANGLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES WITH THE STORM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 4:41 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | Alamance, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth, Granville and 8 more | 34 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.