Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Raleigh, NC

April 29, 2014Sampson County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 29, 2014, 7:30 PM EDT for Sampson County, North Carolina. It was in force for 60 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 29, 2014, 7:30 PM EDT (23:30 UTC)
Expired: Apr 29, 2014, 8:30 PM EDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Sampson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 29, 7:33 PM EDT	HAIL 1	Salemburg, NC	QUARTER SIZE HAIL
Apr 29, 7:35 PM EDT	HAIL 1	Salemburg, NC
Apr 29, 7:41 PM EDT	TORNADO	2 Wnw Salemburg, NC	SPOTTER REPORTS TORNADO ON THE GROUND EAST OF AUTRYVILLE... REPORT UNCONFIRMED AT THIS TIME
Apr 29, 8:04 PM EDT	TORNADO	5 Ne Salemburg, NC	TORNADO REPORTED ON THE GROUND NEAR HONEYCUTT ROAD NEAR SALEMBURG... REPORT 3RD HAND FROM SCANNER VIA SKYWARN
Apr 29, 8:10 PM EDT	TORNADO	5 Wsw Hobbton, NC	POSSIBLE TORNADO TOUCHDOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF JUNIPER AND CHURCH ROADS. DAMAGE INCLUDED A SINGLE-WIDE WITH SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE AND SEVERAL OUT BUILDINGS DESTROYED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 3 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 29, 2:27 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1802 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 561 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 76 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 76 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

970 
WUUS52 KRAH 292330
SVRRAH
NCC163-300030-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0071.140429T2330Z-140430T0030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
730 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT

* AT 729 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING 
  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH 
  OF AMMON...OR 13 MILES WEST OF CLINTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 
  15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CLINTON...ROSEBORO...SALEMBURG...TURKEY AND HOBBTON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH A 
TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY 
AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A 
BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH A 
TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY 
AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A 
BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 900 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3490 7855 3491 7854 3492 7856 3497 7862
      3509 7867 3511 7864 3513 7864 3523 7825
      3520 7816 3509 7817 3494 7815 3487 7851
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 240DEG 13KT 3495 7857 
$$

VINCENT

4 follow-up statements

169 
WWUS52 KRAH 292345
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
745 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

NCC163-300030-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-140430T0030Z/
SAMPSON NC-
745 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY...
 
AT 743 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATED A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING 
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF 
CLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT WITH THIS STORM UNTIL 815 PM EDT.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLINTON...ROSEBORO...SALEMBURG...TURKEY AND HOBBTON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST 
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME OR 
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT 
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3495 7846 3495 7857 3502 7861 3507 7859
      3512 7856 3516 7854 3523 7825 3520 7816
      3509 7817 3500 7816 3497 7837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 232DEG 13KT 3501 7852 

$$

VINCENT

013 
WWUS52 KRAH 292359
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
759 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

NCC163-300030-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-140430T0030Z/
SAMPSON NC-
759 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY...
 
AT 757 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO...IN ADDITION TO QUARTER 
SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF CLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR 
NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOBBTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST 
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME OR 
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT 
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3503 7835 3502 7842 3501 7847 3508 7849
      3512 7851 3517 7851 3523 7825 3520 7816
      3509 7817 3506 7817 3505 7825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 240DEG 13KT 3504 7846 

$$

VINCENT

664 
WWUS52 KRAH 300017
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
817 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

NCC163-300030-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-140430T0030Z/
SAMPSON NC-
817 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY...
 
AT 816 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO...IN ADDITION TO 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES 
NORTH OF CLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. A TORNADO WARNING 
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM FOR EXTREME NORTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOBBTON.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3511 7833 3513 7839 3516 7842 3519 7843
      3523 7825 3520 7816 3511 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 223DEG 21KT 3518 7835 

$$

VINCENT

369 
WWUS52 KRAH 300039 RRA
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
839 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

NCC163-300049-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-140430T0030Z/
SAMPSON NC-
839 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY
HAS EXPIRED...
    
THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND SEVERE WEATHER 
IS NO LONGER EXPECTED.

LAT...LON 3511 7833 3513 7839 3516 7842 3519 7843
      3523 7825 3520 7816 3511 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 240DEG 13KT 3518 7835 

$$

VINCENT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 29, 6:38 PM EDT, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 6:38 PM EDT, 52 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
638 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG AND SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE US WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER TO CENTRAL NC
UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH
THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. DRIER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 635 PM TUESDAY...

UPDATE....
HAVE REMOVED THE WESTERN PIEDMONT COUNTIES FROM THE TORNADO
WATCH. CONVECTION ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR HAS EFFECTIVELY BLOCKED
THE WARM FRONT FROM MOVING FURTHER INLAND...AND THE PRIMARY
THREAT SHOULD REMAIN FOCUSED EAST OF US HWY 1.

THE WEDGE FRONT HAS BEEN SLOWLY RETREATING TO THE NORTH AND WEST
TODAY...THOUGH IT HAS ONLY JUST NOW REACHED THE SANDHILLS AND
SOUTHERN PIEDMONT.  SOUTH OF THE FRONT...MLCAPE HAS INCREASED TO
1000-2000 J/KG.  ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE FRONT WHERE WINDS
SHARPLY BACK TO EAST-NORTHEAST... 0-1KM SRH QUICKLY INCREASES ABOVE
200 MS/S2...AND HODOGRAPH CURVATURE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE THROUGH
THE EVENING AS THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN.
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN LIMITED SO FAR BUT SHOULD ALSO
INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

LATER TONIGHT...CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA WILL SPREAD EAST AND POSSIBLY EXPAND TO THE
NORTHEAST AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  THE WEDGE
AIRMASS SHOULD CONTINUE TO ERODE...THOUGH ITS UNCERTAIN HOW LONG IT
WILL TAKE TO SCOUR OUT THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT.  THE NAM...DEPICTS AT
LEAST SOME WEAK INSTABILITY WORKING NORTH THROUGH THE PIEDMONT ALONG
THE BOUNDARY.  WITH CONVECTION EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE FOOTHILLS
AND PIEDMONT OVERNIGHT...WITHIN THE BELT OF STRONG MID-LEVEL FLOW
AND SHEAR AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH...THERE MAY BE ADDITIONAL
SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITH THE CLUSTER OF STORMS AD A TORNADO THREAT
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WEDGE FRONT OVERNIGHT.  IN ADDITION...THE
POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL AS THE LOW
LEVEL JET SURGES NORTH WITH PW OVER 1.5 INCHES AND STORMS TRAIN OVER
THE SAME AREAS.  LOWS IN THE 60S.

WEDNESDAY... HI-RES SIMULATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW VARYING SOLUTIONS
REGARDING THE REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS ALONG THE REMNANT CONVERGENCE
ZONE FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION...SO THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY
AS TO HOW EARLY MORNING PRECIP WILL IMPACT DESTABILIZATION.
HOWEVER... THE INGREDIENTS FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE IN
PLACE WITH STRONG 50KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND A WARM MOIST AIRMASS IN
PLACE OVER MOST OF CENTRAL NC...ALONG WITH CYCLONIC CURVED
HODOGRAPHS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND A CONDITIONAL TORNADO RISK.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 70S WEST TO LOWER 80S EAST.

CONVECTION SHOULD PUSH EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS...WHILE THE
PRIMARY COLD FRONT REMAINS WEST OF THE AREA AND DOESNT PUSH INTO THE
WESTERN PIEDMONT UNTIL THURSDAY.  POPS WILL TREND DOWNWARD AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH LOWS AGAIN MOSTLY IN THE 60S.

 &&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM TUESDAY...

FOR THU/THU NIGHT... A PREFRONTAL TROUGH WILL HAVE SHIFTED EASTWARD
INTO THE COASTAL AREAS OF NC BY THU MORNING... WITH THE PRIMARY COLD
FRONT TRACKING SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE CWA. FAST AND BROADLY
CYCLONIC SW MID LEVEL FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER NC... AROUND THE CLOSED
VORTEX OVER THE GREAT LAKES SHIFTING NORTHWARD... AND DEEP MOISTURE
IS LIKELY TO REMAIN IN PLACE FROM ROUGHLY HIGHWAY 1 EAST EARLY IN
THE DAY. THIS WILL MEAN A LINGERING THREAT OF SHOWERS HERE TO START
THE DAY... TRENDING GRADUALLY OUT OF THE AREA FROM WNW TO ESE
THROUGH THE DAY AS MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE ENERGY RIDING NE OVER THE
GREAT LAKES HELPS PUSH THE SURFACE FRONT TO OUR SE BY THU EVENING...
WITH A SUBSEQUENT SLOW CLEARING OF CLOUDS ALSO FROM WNW TO ESE AS
COOLER AND MORE STABLE AIR WORKS IN VIA A NOSE OF HIGH PRESSURE
STRETCHING FROM TX TO THE NE. HIGHS 75-81. LOWS FROM 49 NW TO 57
EAST.

FOR FRI/FRI NIGHT: THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS TO OUR WEST WILL EASE
EASTWARD THROUGH FRI NIGHT... AND THE ENSUING SHIFT OF MID LEVEL
WINDS FROM SW TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION WILL ALLOW FOR SLOWLY
DECREASING MOISTURE DEPTH AND ARRIVAL OF DRIER AIR THROUGH THE
COLUMN FROM WEST TO EAST. THE PASSAGE OVERHEAD OF WEAK LOW-MID LEVEL
ENERGY TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE APPROACHING
TROUGH SHOULD BRING A SHOT OF GREATER CLOUD COVER ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN
NC DURING FRI AFTERNOON. THE GFS/NAM GENERATE SOME LIGHT PRECIP WITH
THESE PERTURBATIONS OVER THE ERN CWA... BUT DON'T EXPECT THIS TO
AMOUNT TO MUCH GIVEN THE ENCROACHMENT OF DRIER AIR ESPECIALLY IN THE
LOWER LEVELS. WILL LEAVE IN JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
SE HALF FRI. EXPECT FAIR SKIES FRI NIGHT AS THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS
OVERHEAD LATE. BELOW NORMAL THICKNESSES WILL TRANSLATE TO SLIGHTLY
COOL HIGHS OF 68-72 FRI. LOWS 47-52. -GIH

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 325 PM TUESDAY...

MAY STILL SEE SOME LINGERING CLOUDS IN THE COASTAL PLAIN SAT MORNING
AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS FINALLY SHIFTS TO OUR EAST... BUT
OTHERWISE EXPECT A DRY AND SEASONABLE AIR MASS TO START THE WEEKEND.
A WEST-EAST ORIENTED BACKDOOR FRONT TO OUR NORTH WILL INCH SOUTHWARD
TOWARD THE NRN NC BORDER SUNDAY... AS A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH TRAVERSES THE NORTHEAST STATES... BUT THE FRONT SHOULD HOLD
TO OUR NORTH THROUGH SUNDAY WITH SOMEWHAT MILDER AIR SPREADING INTO
NC FROM THE WEST. THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIKELY TO
DEEPEN AS A CLOSED VORTEX OVER THE NEW ENGLAND COAST SUN NIGHT THEN
WOBBLE VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH TUE... AND THIS WILL ALLOW THE
SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FROM
THE OH VALLEY ACROSS NE NC.... KEEPING US ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE
BOUNDARY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN THIS SORT OF A NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR UPSTREAM CONVECTION OVER THE OH
VALLEY TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NC... AND FOR NOW WILL LEAVE IN
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR MON/TUE. TEMPS CLOSE TO
SEASONAL NORMALS (WHICH IS LOW-MID 50S FOR LOWS AND MID-UPPER 70S
FOR HIGHS). -GIH

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1255 PM TUESDAY...

SEVERAL AVIATION CHALLENGES EXIST OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. FIRST...
A FRONTAL ZONE SITS ACROSS SRN NC. NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY...
IFR/MVFR VSBYS WITH LIFR CIGS PERSIST AT INT/GSO/RDU... WHERE A
STABLE AIR MASS AND COOL ENE SURFACE FLOW PERSISTS. THESE CONDITIONS
ARE STARTING TO BREAK AT RWI WHERE VSBYS ARE NOW VFR WITH IFR CIGS.
AND AT FAY... WHICH IS JUST SOUTH OF THE FRONT... MUCH WARMER AND
MORE HUMID AIR RESIDES WITH VFR CONDITIONS. THE WARM FRONTAL ZONE IS
EXPECTED TO SHIFT VERY SLOWLY NORTHWARD... AND WE'LL SEE SURFACE
WINDS AT FAY SHIFT RAPIDLY AROUND TO SOUTHERLY AND STRENGTHEN LATER
THIS AFTERNOON... WHILE THIS WIND SHIFT FROM A LIGHT EASTERLY WIND
TO STRONGER SOUTHERLY WIND WILL OCCUR LATER AT RWI/RDU/GSO/INT THIS
EVENING (IN THAT ORDER). SCATTERED STORMS ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT FAY
BY MID AFTERNOON. RWI/RDU/GSO/INT SHOULD ALSO SEE SOME STORMS
STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT... ALTHOUGH TIMING IS
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AND THAT PRECLUDES MENTIONING A PREVAILING OR TEMPO
MENTION OF THUNDER AT THIS TIME AT THESE TERMINALS. CIGS ARE
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RISE TO MVFR AT THESE NORTHERN SITES THROUGH THIS
EVENING... FIRST AT RDU/RWI THEN LASTLY AT GSO/INT WHERE THE STABLE
AIR WILL HOLD ON THE LONGEST. MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS IFR/LIFR STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP TONIGHT...
HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS VERY LOW... GIVEN THAT IF THERE ARE
ONGOING SHOWERS/STORMS TONIGHT... CIGS MAY GET NO WORSE THAN MVFR.
LLWS CRITERIA ARE UNLIKELY TO BE MET... HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE
SHIFTING (FROM SSE OR S TO SSW) AND INCREASING WITH HEIGHT... MOST
DRAMATICALLY TONIGHT INTO WED... WITH 35-40 KT WINDS FROM THE SW
AROUND 2 KFT AGL. ANY SUB-VFR CIGS OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO TREND
UP TOWARD VFR TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF VALID PERIOD.

LOOKING BEYOND 18Z WED... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STRONG STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WED AFTERNOON... HOWEVER DETAILS IN LOCATION AND
TIMING ARE UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME. SUSTAINED STRONG/GUSTY WINDS ARE
LIKELY THROUGH WED EVENING... ALONG WITH POTENTIAL MVFR CONDITIONS
IN SHOWERS/STORMS. AS A COLD FRONT SHIFTS SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH
CENTRAL NC... CONDITIONS WILL TREND TO VFR AT INT/GSO 12Z-14Z THU...
AT RDU 14Z-16Z... AND AT FAY/RWI 16Z-18Z... WITH SURFACE WINDS
SHIFTING TO WSW THEN WNW THROUGH THU AFTERNOON/NIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS
LIKELY TO HOLD THROUGH SUNDAY. -GIH

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR NCZ007>010-
021>026-038>041-073>076-083-084.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...HARTFIELD
LONG TERM...HARTFIELD
AVIATION...HARTFIELD

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 6:31 PM EDT, 59 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
631 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

NCZ041-075-076-084-302245-
WAKE-MOORE-LEE-RICHMOND-
631 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 117 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW
TORNADOES. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE GREATEST
BETWEEN 2 PM AND MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NCZ011-027-028-042-043-077-078-085-086-088-089-302245-
HALIFAX-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-
CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
631 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 117 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW
TORNADOES. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE GREATEST
BETWEEN 2 PM AND MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NCZ007>010-021>025-038>040-073-074-083-302245-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-
DURHAM-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-ANSON-
631 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW
TORNADOES. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE GREATEST
BETWEEN 2 PM AND MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NCZ026-302245-
FRANKLIN-
631 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 117 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW
TORNADOES. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE GREATEST
BETWEEN 2 PM AND MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 29, 6:25 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
625 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

NCZ042-089-292300-
SAMPSON-JOHNSTON-
625 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN SAMPSON
AND SOUTH CENTRAL JOHNSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 624 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DUNN...OR 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LILLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWTON GROVE...SPIVEY'S CORNER AND HOBBTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
45 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3517 7859 3519 7864 3530 7858 3532 7853
      3535 7854 3536 7856 3544 7829 3533 7825
      3532 7829 3529 7831 3519 7827 3516 7843
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 249DEG 27KT 3526 7857

VINCENT

Special weather statement, Apr 29, 6:42 PM EDT, 48 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
642 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

NCZ088-089-292315-
SAMPSON-CUMBERLAND-
642 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL SAMPSON
AND SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 642 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER DUART...OR 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROSEBORO...CEDAR CREEK AND BUSHY LAKE NATURAL AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
45 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES AND ROTATION STRENGTHENS...A WARNING MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3484 7889 3495 7879 3502 7844 3485 7844
      3485 7851 3484 7852 3485 7884
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 227DEG 19KT 3479 7880

VINCENT

Local storm report, Apr 29, 6:47 PM EDT, 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
647 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0636 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SSW BONNIE DOONE      35.04N  78.98W
04/29/2014                   CUMBERLAND         NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            WEBCAM AT SKIBO AND RAEFORD RD SHOWS ABOUT A FOOT OF
            WATER ON ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1401360

GIH

Local storm report, Apr 29, 7:19 PM EDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
719 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 PM     FLASH FLOOD      FAYETTEVILLE            35.07N  78.90W
04/29/2014                   CUMBERLAND         NC   NEWSPAPER

            FLOODING ONGOING IN THE VICINITY OF MONTCLAIR... AS
            WELL AS RAEFORD ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1401361

SEC

Local storm report, Apr 29, 7:22 PM EDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
722 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TORNADO          6 NNE CONETOE           35.89N  77.41W
04/29/2014                   EDGECOMBE          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TORNADO TOUCHDOWN ON MOORING ROAD. ROOF BLOWN OFF A
            RESIDENCE. NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES. MANY OTHER REPORTS OF
            MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND DOWNED TREES IN THIS GENERAL
            AREA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1401362

NP

Local storm report, Apr 29, 7:26 PM EDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
726 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PINETOPS                35.79N  77.64W
04/29/2014                   EDGECOMBE          NC   911 CALL CENTER

            EDGECOMBE COUNTY 911 REPORTS NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES
            ACROSS THE COUNTY DUE TO FLOODED ROADS. SOUTHERN HALF OF
            COUNTY HARDEST HIT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1401363

NP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 29, 12:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Alamance, Orange	51 min
Apr 29, 2:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Harnett	25 min
Apr 29, 2:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland	32 min
Apr 29, 2:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland	34 min
Apr 29, 3:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Johnston	45 min
Apr 29, 3:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Johnston	33 min
Apr 29, 3:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Harnett, Johnston	43 min
Apr 29, 3:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland	36 min
Apr 29, 3:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Harnett	25 min
Apr 29, 3:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson	51 min
Apr 29, 3:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Wilson	44 min
Apr 29, 3:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Sampson	44 min
Apr 29, 3:55 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Sampson	50 min
Apr 29, 4:00 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Wilson	30 min
Apr 29, 4:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland, Hoke	47 min
Apr 29, 4:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke	52 min
Apr 29, 4:24 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson	51 min
Apr 29, 4:30 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Johnston, Sampson	45 min
Apr 29, 4:31 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Wilson	29 min
Apr 29, 4:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Johnston	43 min
Apr 29, 4:34 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Wilson	26 min
Apr 29, 4:35 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Johnston, Wayne, Wilson	40 min
Apr 29, 4:57 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson, Wilson	3 hr
Apr 29, 5:00 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Wilson	45 min
Apr 29, 5:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Johnston, Sampson, Wayne	37 min
Apr 29, 5:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Wayne, Wilson	46 min
Apr 29, 5:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Sampson	43 min
Apr 29, 5:40 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Cumberland	3 hr
Apr 29, 5:43 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Wilson	3 hr
Apr 29, 5:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Edgecombe	60 min
Apr 29, 5:49 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Edgecombe	56 min
Apr 29, 6:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Wayne	52 min
Apr 29, 6:09 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Edgecombe	3 hr
Apr 29, 6:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wilson	24 min
Apr 29, 6:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Johnston	35 min
Apr 29, 6:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Sampson	46 min
Apr 29, 6:42 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland	33 min
Apr 29, 7:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Sampson	50 min
Apr 29, 7:33 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Sampson	42 min
Apr 29, 7:52 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Sampson	38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.