Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Raleigh, NC

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

560 
WGUS62 KRAH 151920
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
320 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.STRONG MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD
AMOUNTS AROUND TWO INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY WHERE POCKETS OF HEAVIER RAIN TRAIN
REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.

NCZ007-021>023-038-039-073-074-083-160330-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-ANSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...
ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...WADESBORO...POLKTON
320 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...ALAMANCE...ANSON...DAVIDSON...FORSYTH...GUILFORD... 
  MONTGOMERY...PERSON...RANDOLPH AND STANLY. 

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT

* STRONG MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
  WILL LEAD TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
  OF THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR TWO INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE.

* THIS RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING. CONSIDERABLE
  STREET FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS WITH POOR
  DRAINAGE...IS LIKELY...ALONG WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS
  AND STREAMS THAT COULD AFFECT NEARBY ROADS AND PROPERTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

677 
WGUS62 KRAH 160219
FFARAH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1019 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.STRONG MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER EASTERN 
PORTIONS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS AROUND TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY WHERE POCKETS OF
HEAVIER RAIN TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.

NCZ021>023-038-039-073-074-083-160330-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-
ANSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...
ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...WADESBORO...POLKTON
1019 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE WESTERN PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN HAS SHIFTED TO
THE EAST OF THE WESTERN PIEDMONT.

$$

NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-076>078-086-088-089-161000-
/O.EXB.KRAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-HOKE-
CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...
CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...
RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SILER CITY...
PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA...
BENSON...WILSON...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...
GOLDSBORO...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...
CLINTON
1019 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH 
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CHATHAM... 
  CUMBERLAND...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE... 
  HALIFAX...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON...LEE...NASH...ORANGE... 
  SAMPSON...VANCE...WAKE...WARREN...WAYNE AND WILSON. 

* UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY

* STRONG MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
  WILL LEAD TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER EASTERN
  PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE
  LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE. 

* THIS RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING. CONSIDERABLE 
  STREET FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS WITH POOR 
  DRAINAGE...IS LIKELY...ALONG WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS 
  AND STREAMS THAT COULD AFFECT NEARBY ROADS AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NCZ007-161000-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROXBORO
1019 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREA...PERSON. 

* UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY

* STRONG MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
  WILL LEAD TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER EASTERN
  PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE
  LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE. 

* THIS RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING. CONSIDERABLE 
  STREET FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS WITH POOR 
  DRAINAGE...IS LIKELY...ALONG WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS 
  AND STREAMS THAT COULD AFFECT NEARBY ROADS AND PROPERTY. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

562 
WGUS62 KRAH 160733
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
333 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2014

...HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSIST EARLY THIS MORNING...

.STRONG MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER EASTERN
SECTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA EARLY THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...
PARTICULARLY WHERE POCKETS OF HEAVIER RAIN TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER
THE SAME AREAS.

NCZ007-024-025-040-076-077-086-088-160845-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PERSON-ORANGE-DURHAM-CHATHAM-LEE-HARNETT-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...
DURHAM...SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...
ANGIER...LILLINGTON...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE
333 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED... AS THE HEAVY RAIN HAS EXITED THE AREA.
HOWEVER... HIGH WATER ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS AND CONSIDERABLE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE
MORNING... AND MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO REMAIN ALERT THIS MORNING
AND USE EXTRA CAUTION UNTIL THE WATER SUBSIDES COMPLETELY. 

$$

NCZ008>011-026>028-041>043-078-089-161000-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-WAYNE-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...LOUISBURG...
FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA...
BENSON...WILSON...GOLDSBORO...CLINTON
333 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE...HALIFAX... 
  JOHNSTON...NASH...SAMPSON...VANCE...WAKE...WARREN...WAYNE AND 
  WILSON. 

* UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING.

* STRONG MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
  WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER EASTERN
  SECTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA EARLY THIS MORNING.
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...
  PARTICULARLY WHERE POCKETS OF HEAVIER RAIN TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER
  THE SAME AREAS.

* THIS RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING. CONSIDERABLE 
  STREET FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS WITH POOR 
  DRAINAGE...IS LIKELY...ALONG WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS 
  AND STREAMS THAT COULD AFFECT NEARBY ROADS AND PROPERTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

GIH

197 
WGUS62 KRAH 160905
FFARAH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
505 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2014

...THREAT OF ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS DIMINISHING...

.THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA IS DIMINISHING... AS HEAVY RAIN IS MOVING OUT OF THE
AREA.

NCZ008>011-026>028-041>043-078-089-161015-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140516T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-WAYNE-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...LOUISBURG...
FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...
ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA...
BENSON...WILSON...GOLDSBORO...CLINTON
505 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED... AS THE HEAVY RAIN HAS EXITED THE AREA.
HOWEVER... HIGH WATER ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS AND CONSIDERABLE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS NEAR CRABTREE CREEK IN WAKE COUNTY. MOTORISTS
ARE URGED TO REMAIN ALERT THIS MORNING... AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
UNTIL THE WATER SUBSIDES COMPLETELY.

$$

GIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
325 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY CROSS
CENTRAL NC THIS MORNING... THEN SHIFT EAST OFF THE COAST BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON... FOLLOWED BY A WEAKER SECONDARY FRONT LATE TODAY.
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN SLOWLY FROM THE NORTHWEST FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 325 AM FRIDAY...

THROUGH TODAY/TONIGHT: WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A FEW
STORMS CONTINUE IN THE COASTAL PLAIN EARLY THIS MORNING... AHEAD OF
THE STRONG COLD FRONT NOW PLODDING SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH CENTRAL
NC. AS THE MID LEVEL WAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS PARTICULAR RAIN AREA
(NOTED WELL ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY) TRANSLATES TO THE NNE OVER ERN
NC... EXPECT A GRADUAL END TO THE PRECIP... DEPARTING THE NE CWA
(HALIFAX/EDGECOMBE) LAST BY MID MORNING. THE RISK OF FLOODING IN
URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS HIGH WATER LEVELS ON CREEKS IN
THE COASTAL PLAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS... SO WILL
HOLD ONTO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN THESE AREAS UNTIL SCHEDULED
EXPIRATION AT 6 AM... BUT CAN SAFELY CANCEL THE REMAINDER OF THE
WATCH FOR AREAS WEST OF FAY/RDU AS THE HEAVY RAIN HAS DEPARTED...
WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTING THE DEEP DRY AIR PUSHING IN FROM
THE WSW. BEHIND THE FRONT... EXPECT CLEARING SKIES WEST TO EAST WITH
LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTHWESTERLY WHILE THE 850 MB
TROUGH SHIFTS EAST THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. BROAD AND
DEEP MID LEVEL TROUGHING WILL PERSIST FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST DOWN
THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH AND SOUTHEAST STATES... AND AS A MID LEVEL
VORTICITY MAX SWING AROUND THE TROUGH BASE TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT
AS IT TRACKS UP ALONG THE SRN/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... EXPECT A PERIOD OF MID CLOUDINESS
OVER THE NW CWA. LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES DROP BACK TO READINGS JUST
BELOW NORMAL... SUPPORTING COOL HIGHS TODAY FROM 72 TO 77. AS THE
VORTICITY MAX HEADS TO OUR NORTH LATER TONIGHT... SKIES SHOULD CLEAR
OUT AREAWIDE. THICKNESSES DROP FURTHER WITH WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
PASSAGE... DOWN TO 30-40 M BELOW NORMAL... YIELDING LOWS OF 44-49.

FOR SATURDAY: THE BROAD MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL STAY TO OUR WEST
AS ANOTHER PERTURBATION SWINGS ENE AROUND THE TROUGH BASE UP THROUGH
WRN NC INTO VA. MODELS INDICATE INCREASED MOISTURE THROUGH THE DAY
PARTICULARLY OVER THE NW CWA IN THE 800-500 MB LAYER... SO EXPECT
WE'LL SEE SKIES TRENDING TOWARD PARTLY CLOUDY (MORE CLOUDS NW THAN
SE) AS THE DAY WEARS ON. THIS REDUCED INSOLATION ON TOP OF ALREADY-
COOL THICKNESSES SHOULD MAKE FOR AN UNSEASONABLY COOL DAY... WITH
HIGHS OF 69-75. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 320 AM FRIDAY...

A JET DIVING THROUGH THE BACK SIDE OF THE
MEAN TROUGH WILL BRING A SHOT OF WEAK DCVA AND WARM ADVECTION ACROSS
THE REGION ON SUNDAY.  MODELS SHOW PLENTY OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE OVER CENTRAL NC...WITH THE FOCUS OF BETTER LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE ALONG AN 850MB FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA.THE GFS SHOWS MORE ISENTROPIC LIFT BACK NORTH ACROSS NC AND
IS WETTER THAN MOST OTHER NWP...THOUGH THE SREF MEAN ALSO SHOWS
MEASURABLE PRECIP FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NC. INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE
FOCUSED SOUTH THE THE NC/SC BORDER...SO WITH SHOWN A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWER NORTH OF HWY 64 AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE SOUTH.
EVEN IF PRECIP IS LIGHTER THAN FORECAST...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS MAY
VERY LIKELY KEEP HIGHS IN THE 60S FOR A GOOD PORTION...IF NOT ALL OF
THE CWA. LOWS BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 40S WEST TO MID 50S EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 320 AM FRIDAY...

ONCE THE FINAL SHORTWAVE WAVE PASSES SUNDAY EVENING...THE MEAN
TROUGH AXIS WILL BE EAST OF THER AREA...WITH SUBSIDENCE SETTING IN
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US AS AN UPEPR RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE
DEEP SOUTH.  AN OMEGA BLOCKING PATTERN IS FORECAST EVOLVE...WITH
UPPER LOWS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND THE SOUTHWEST US.  THIS
WILL LEAD TO A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEK AS THICKNESSES SOAR
BACK ABOVE 1400M.  BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...MODEL 850MB TEMPS
EXCEED 15C...WHICH SUGGESTS HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE MID AND
UPPER 80S.  NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND EAST COAST LOW
WILL ALSO FAVOR DISTURBANCES APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST AND
INCREASINGLY UNSETTLED WEATHER FROM WEDNESDAY ONWARD.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 115 AM FRIDAY...

AVIATION CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN POOR OVER EASTERN TERMINALS
(RDU/RWI/FAY) THROUGH MID MORNING... BUT THEN EXPECT SLOW
IMPROVEMENT FROM WEST TO EAST.

CURRENTLY A STRONG COLD FRONT IS VERY SLOWLY CROSSING CENTRAL NC...
NOW SITUATED BETWEEN GSO AND RDU. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND EMBEDDED
STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT CONTINUES TO BRING MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
TO RDU/RWI/FAY... AND THIS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS AS
TROPICAL-LIKE DEEP MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SURGE NORTHWARD THROUGH ERN
NC. EXPECT FRONTAL PASSAGE (WITH AN ABRUPT SHIFT IN GUSTY SURFACE
WINDS FROM SOUTHERLY TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY) TO OCCUR BETWEEN 06Z AND
08Z AT RDU... 08Z-10Z AT FAY... AND 10Z-12Z AT RWI. FRONTAL PASSAGE
WILL BE FOLLOWED WITHIN A FEW HOURS BY RISING MVFR/IFR CIGS TO
VFR... AND AN END TO THE THREAT OF MVFR/IFR VSBYS WITHIN MDT-HEAVY
RAIN. BY 18Z... CIGS SHOULD BE VFR AT ALL SITES. AT GSO/INT... WHERE
THE FRONT HAS ALREADY PASSED AND ONLY PATCHY LIGHT RAIN REMAINS...
MVFR CIGS WILL STEADILY RISE TO VFR PRIOR TO SUNRISE... WITH
OCCASIONALLY GUSTY NW WINDS. THESE NW WINDS WILL SPREAD EAST TO THE
REMAINING SITES THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL THEN DOMINATE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL NC AFTER 19Z
THROUGH TONIGHT... WITH WINDS DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNDOWN.

LOOKING BEYOND 06Z EARLY SAT MORNING: VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD
UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING... THEN A PASSING DISTURBANCE ALOFT MAY BRING
SUB-VFR CONDITIONS AND PATCHY LIGHT RAIN ON SUNDAY. VFR CONDITIONS
THEN EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR MON/TUE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
REGION. -GIH

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
NCZ008>011-026>028-041>043-078-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...HARTFIELD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1119 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-160330-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1119 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES... WITH LOCAL 3 INCH TOTALS WILL BE LIKELY.
A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE... WITH
THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS OF DAMAGING WIND GUST TO 60
MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO. THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREATS APPEAR GREATEST IN THE WEST BETWEEN 2 PM
AND 10 PM...AND IN THE EAST BETWEEN 4 PM AND 2 AM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT.