Special Weather Statement, NWS Pueblo, CO

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1138 AM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-281745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1138 AM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO FOR
THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR...AND MUCH OF THE
PLAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL DRIFT OFF INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN THREATS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD BRIEFLY
BECOME STRONG ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS...PRODUCING HAIL UP TO
THE SIZE OF NICKELS.

RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS TODAY WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF
SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS SUCH AS BURN SCARS...URBAN AREAS...AND IN
LOCATIONS WITH STEEP TERRAIN. THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND
INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR WILL HAVE THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO A COMBINATION OF MOIST
EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW AND MONSOON MOISTURE ALOFT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING
HOURS...THOUGH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND THE FAR SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEK. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVER
THE MOUNTAINS EACH AFTERNOON...WITH STORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE
ADJACENT HIGH VALLEYS AND PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. AS
STORMS MOVE INTO THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS...THEY
MAY BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE RISK FOR ONE INCH DIAMETER
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. THESE COULD MERGE INTO THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES...WHICH
COULD BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.
THIS THREAT LOOKS GREATEST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR A MULTI-DAY RAINFALL EPISODE...IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT PORTIONS OF THE ARKANSAS AND PURGATORIE RIVERS...ALONG WITH
THEIR TRIBUTARY CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING AT
TIMES...THOUGH THIS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST
RAIN OCCURS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS DURING THIS PERIOD...BUT THE RISK FOR FLASH
FLOODING MAY NOT BE AS GREAT COMPARED TO THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS
AND PLAINS.

AREA BURN SCARS...URBAN AREAS...AND STEEP TERRAIN WILL BE MOST
VULNERABLE TO THE FLASH FLOOD RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
132 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

COZ081-084-085-272000-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT CO-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT
CO-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND
11000 FT CO-
132 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR...

AT 131 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM OVER CASCADE...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLORADO
SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF .10 INCHES OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE WALDO
CANYON BURN SCAR WITH THIS STORM. IT IS NOT LIKELY TO CAUSE FLOODING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANITOU SPRINGS...CASCADE AND CHIPITA PARK.

LAT...LON 3885 10494 3897 10502 3900 10494 3892 10482
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 238DEG 19KT 3892 10492

28

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
209 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

COZ081-084-085-272045-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT CO-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT
CO-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND
11000 FT CO-
209 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR...

AT 208 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR...MOVING
NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF .10 INCHES OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE WALDO
CANYON BURN SCAR WITH THIS STORM. IT IS NOT LIKELY TO CAUSE FLOODING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WESTERN COLORADO SPRINGS...CASCADE AND CHIPITA PARK.

LAT...LON 3886 10496 3897 10502 3898 10491 3893 10481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 242DEG 25KT 3892 10491

28