Alert archive / Colorado / Special Weather Statements in 2014
Special Weather Statement, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this special weather statement at May 31, 2014, 2:10 PM MDT for El Paso County, Colorado. It was in force for 95 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 31, 2014, 2:10 PM MDT (20:10 UTC)
- Expired
- May 31, 2014, 3:45 PM MDT
- In force
- 95 min
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
County El Paso County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1220 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 111 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 113 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 31, 11:02 AM MDT, 3 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 31, 11:02 AM MDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1102 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT) ISSUED AT 349 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 CURRENTLY...DEPARTING MCS OVER THE OK PANHANDLE/SW KS STILL PRODUCING A COUPLE LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BACA COUNTY AS OF 09Z...THOUGH EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO SHIFT EASTWARD FAIRLY QUICKLY AND WILL END PRECIP CHANCES BY SUNRISE. ALSO A SMALL CLUSTER OF TSRA WAS MOVING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL CO...AND WILL INCLUDE SOME VERY LOW POPS EARLY THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS SOUTHERN END OF THIS ACTIVITY BRUSHES BY. TODAY...EXPECT A GENERAL DECREASE IN CONVECTION AND A LATER START TO ANY TSRA AS AIR MASS ACROSS THE AREA GRADUALLY DRIES OUT. STILL ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SOME HIGH BASED -SHRA/-TSRA OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH SUSPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM ANY CONVECTION WILL BE SPOTTY AND LIGHT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON THE PLAINS GRADUALLY MIXES OUT DURING THE DAY...THOUGH ENOUGH MAY LINGER TO ALLOW MOUNTAIN CONVECTION TO REACH THE LOWER ELEVATIONS IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH SOME HIGH BASED WIND PRODUCING STORMS POSSIBLE. BEST CAPE BY LATE AFTERNOON IS ALONG THE KS BORDER...AND WITH INCREASING 0-6KM SHEAR LATE IN THE DAY...COULD SEE A STRONGER STORM OR TWO OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS KIOWA COUNTY WHERE BEST INSTABILITY AND STRONGEST SHEAR COINCIDE. EXPECT WARMER MAX TEMPS ALL AREAS TODAY WITH MORE SUN AND DEEPER MIXING. TONIGHT...SUSPECT MODELS ARE OVERDONE WITH AMOUNT OF CONVECTION IN THE DRIER AIR OVER THE MOUNTAINS...AND WILL END POPS BY MIDNIGHT MOST LOCATIONS. COULD SEE SOME LINGERING TSRA NEAR THE KS BORDER PAST SUNSET...THOUGH EVEN HERE MOST STORMS WILL SHIFT FAIRLY QUICKLY INTO KS OVERNIGHT. DIDN'T STRAY TOO FAR FROM BLENDED MODEL MIN TEMP GUIDANCE...AS IT HAS PERFORMED FAIRLY WELL RECENTLY. .LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 349 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 ...A TASTE OF SUMMER THROUGH TUESDAY... FIRST HALF OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL FEATURE QUASI ZONAL FLOW ALOFT...TRANSITIONING TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE WEST MID-WEEK. THIS WILL MEAN TEMPS IN THE 90S FOR MOST OF THE PLAINS EACH DAY SUNDAY...MONDAY...AND TUESDAY...AS H7 TEMPS RISE INTO THE 15-18 DEGREE RANGE. MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS WILL SEE PLEASANT 60S-LOWER 80S...RESULTING IN INCREASED SNOWMELT. WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE RIVERS DURING THIS PERIOD. SUNDAY...THREAT FOR SVR WX LOOKS GREATLY DIMINISHED AS BOTH THE NAM AND GFS NOW KEEP THE DRYLINE E OF THE CO-KS BORDER DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR HOWEVER...SO WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR ANY ADVANCE OF THE BETTER MOISTURE INTO OUR AREA. ANY STORM FORMING ON THE DRYLINE WOULD LIKELY GO QUICKLY SVR. REST OF THE AREA LOOKS DRY AND A BIT BREEZY. MARGINAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE ERN PLAINS IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WITH RECENT RAINS SUSPECT MOST OF THE AFFECTED AREA IS EXPERIENCING SUFFICIENT GREENUP TO MITIGATE FIRE WX ZONES. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HIGHLIGHTS FOR NOW. ON MONDAY...UPPER FLOW WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. STILL VERY WARM OVER MUCH OF THE CWA. MONDAY MAY BE A MORE INTERESTING SAY FROM A SVR WX PERSPECTIVE IF THE MOST RECENT NAM PROGS PAN OUT. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THE DRYLINE TO BACK UP INTO KIOWA COUNTY AND POSSIBLY OVER THE PALMER DVD. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF SHEAR AS H5 WINDS FEATURE FLAGS AND LLVL WINDS ARE ERLY...SO WILL REALLY HAVE TO WATCH THE DRYLINE POSITION THIS DAY. TUESDAY...ANOTHER BREEZY AND DRY DAY WITH FIRE WX CONDITIONS LOOKING POSSIBLE OVER THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND SRN I-25 CORRIDOR. WED-FRI...FINALLY SEE A MODERATION OF TEMPS AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES THROUGH CO. BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL BE OVER THE ERN MTS AND PLAINS...AS UPSLOPE REGIME REESTABLISHES ITSELF OVER OUR CWA. TEMPS LIKELY WILL FALL BACK INTO THE 80S OR EVEN 70S BY WEEK'S END. COULD SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE BURN SCARS. ONE THING OF PARTICULAR NOTE IS THAT THE LAST FEW RUNS OF THE GFS HAVE BEEN PROGGING AN EXCEPTIONAL AMOUNT OF CAPE AND SHEAR OVER THE PLAINS THU AFTERNOON...SOMETHING ELSE TO KEEP AN EYE ON OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ROSE && .AVIATION... ISSUED AT 1102 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE KALS...KCOS AND KPUB TAF SITES THROUGH TONIGHT. && .HYDROLOGY... ISSUED AT 349 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 WILL KEEP FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN PLACE FOR THE DEWEESE RESERVOIR/GRAPE CREEK AREA THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE HEAVY RAIN THREAT FOR TODAY/TONIGHT LOOKS DIMINISHED...WARMER TEMPS MAY ACCELERATE SNOWMELT THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...LEADING TO POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED INFLOW LATER TONIGHT. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR COZ077-078. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 31, 11:05 AM MDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1105 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 COZ058>089-093>099-011715- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT- CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT- WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT- WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET- WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY- NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT- COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT- WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT- TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT- CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY- EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY- EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY- LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY- 1105 AM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS INTO THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS LATER TODAY. THE PRIMARY STORM THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. ONE OR TWO STORMS NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING MAY BECOME STRONG... PRODUCING HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE...GUSTY WINDS TO 60 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ONE OF THESE STRONGER STORMS TO DEVELOP WILL BE ACROSS KIOWA AND PROWERS COUNTIES. THUNDERSTORMS WILL END BY LATE EVENING ALL AREAS WITH SKIES CLEARING OVERNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A DRYLINE WILL SET UP NEAR THE COLORADO AND KANSAS BORDER SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT A FEW STORMS COULD DEVELOP ON THE COLORADO SIDE BOTH DAYS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD BECOME RAPIDLY SEVERE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT LIGHTING. AFTER A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO SOUTHEAST COLORADO THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS TO THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 31, 1:28 PM MDT, 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 128 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 COZ081-082-084-085-312100- COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7400 FT CO- NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT CO-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT CO- TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT CO- 128 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 125 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER CASCADE AND CHIPITA PARK...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF .10 INCHES OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR WITH THIS STORM. IT IS NOT LIKELY TO CAUSE FLOODING. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3886 10509 3904 10507 3904 10490 3888 10483 TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 275DEG 33KT 3895 10498
Special weather statement, May 31, 1:52 PM MDT, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
152 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014
COZ081-082-084-085-312115-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT CO-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT
CO-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT CO-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND
11000 FT CO-
152 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TELLER AND
NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM MDT...
AT 151 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR
AS WELL AS 8 MILES TO THE WEST OF THE BLACK FOREST BURN
SCAR...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO .20 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WALDO
CANYON AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS. IN ADDITION...HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF DIMES AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH AT TIMES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...THE WALDO CANYON
AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS...NORTHWESTERN COLORADO
SPRINGS...MONUMENT AND THE AIR FORCE ACADEMY.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3886 10506 3904 10505 3911 10463 3900 10458
3888 10485
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 273DEG 22KT 3896 10497Special weather statement, May 31, 2:10 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 210 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 COZ081-082-084-085-312145- COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7400 FT CO- NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT CO-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT CO- TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT CO- 210 PM MDT SAT MAY 31 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL TELLER AND NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT... AT 209 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WESTERN COLORADO SPRINGS AND WEST OF THE BLACK FOREST BURN SCAR..MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. INTENSE RAINFALL...NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... COLORADO SPRINGS...MANITOU SPRINGS... CALHAN...RAMAH...BLACK FOREST...SCHRIEVER AFB...PEYTON...CIMARRON HILLS...FALCON...TRUCKTON...RUSH...PETERSON AFB...STRATMOOR... ELLICOTT...GLENEAGLE...SECURITY...YODER AND SECURITY-WIDEFIELD. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3872 10405 3876 10498 3913 10482 3912 10405 TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 266DEG 16KT 3885 10487
The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 6:09 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Baca | 36 min |
| May 31, 1:28 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Teller | 92 min |
| May 31, 1:52 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 83 min |
| May 31, 2:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 89 min |
| May 31, 2:38 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | El Paso | 3 hr |
| May 31, 3:39 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 36 min |
| May 31, 3:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, El Paso, Pueblo | 41 min |
| May 31, 4:27 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 33 min |
| May 31, 4:49 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 26 min |
| May 31, 5:20 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Elbert | 25 min |
| May 31, 5:42 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Bent | 33 min |
| May 31, 5:58 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Bent | 32 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Colorado, 2014Every special weather statement in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.