Alert archive / Colorado / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 7, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 17, 2014Otero County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this river flood warning at Jul 17, 2014, 6:38 AM MDT for Otero County, Colorado. It took effect at Jul 18, 2014, 8:52 AM MDT. It was in force for 41 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2014, 6:38 AM MDT (12:38 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 18, 2014, 8:52 AM MDT
Expired
Jul 20, 2014, 2:00 AM MDT
In force
41 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Otero County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Arkansas River at La Junta (LXHC2).

Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07123000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

894 
WGUS45 KPUB 171238
FLWPUB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
638 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING 
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN COLORADO... 

  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN WILL CAUSE THE
ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA TO RISE INTO MINOR FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-180038-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140719T0210Z-140720T0800Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140719T0210Z.140719T1200Z.140719T2000Z.UU/
638 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY MIDMORNING SATURDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
14 follow-up statements
677 
WGUS85 KPUB 171424
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
824 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE AFFECTING PUEBLO COUNTY. 

  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN WILL CAUSE THE
ARKANSAS RIVER AT AVONDALE AND LA JUNTA TO RISE INTO MINOR FLOOD
STAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC101-180224-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0006.140717T2010Z-140718T1824Z/
/ADLC2.1.ER.140717T2010Z.140718T0000Z.140718T0624Z.UU/
824 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.7 FEET BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS NEAR AVONDALE.

&&

LAT...LON 3829 10441 3829 10434 3827 10425 3820 10425
      3822 10434 3822 10441       

$$

COC089-180224-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140719T0148Z-140720T0621Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140719T0148Z.140719T1200Z.140719T1821Z.UU/
824 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY MIDMORNING SATURDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
530 
WGUS85 KPUB 171529
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
929 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE AFFECTING PUEBLO COUNTY. 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS OVER THE ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN WILL CAUSE MINOR
LOWLAND FLOODING ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE AND LA
JUNTA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC101-180329-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0006.140717T1524Z-140718T1824Z/
/ADLC2.1.ER.140717T1424Z.140718T0000Z.140718T0624Z.UU/
929 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.7 FEET BY EARLY
  THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS NEAR AVONDALE.

&&

LAT...LON 3829 10441 3829 10434 3827 10425 3820 10425
      3822 10434 3822 10441       

$$

COC089-180329-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140719T0148Z-140720T0621Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140719T0148Z.140719T1200Z.140719T1821Z.UU/
929 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY MIDMORNING SATURDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
406 
WGUS85 KPUB 171646
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1046 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN WILL CAUSE THE
ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA TO RISE INTO MINOR FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY
EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-180446-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140719T0148Z-140720T0621Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140719T0148Z.140719T1200Z.140719T1821Z.UU/
1046 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY MIDMORNING SATURDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
102 
WGUS85 KPUB 172004
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
204 PM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY. 

.HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO HAS CONTINUED TO ENTER THE
ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN...RESULTING IN QUICKLY CHANGING RIVER STAGES 
AT LA JUNTA AND DOWNSTREAM. AT 1:15 PM MDT THURSDAY...THE STAGE AT 
LA JUNTA WAS 9.25 FEET...BUT THE FORECAST IS FOR THE ARKANSAS 
RIVER TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY MORNING...AND MINOR
FLOODING IS FORECAST FRIDAY THROUGH MID MORNING SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS. DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-180804-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140718T1640Z-140720T0200Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1640Z.140719T0600Z.140719T1400Z.UU/
204 PM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  1:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.3 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MIDMORNING 
  SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HIGHWAY 194 EAST OF 
  LA JUNTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
880 
WGUS85 KPUB 172308
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
508 PM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN WILL CAUSE
THE RIVER AT LA JUNTA TO RISE INTO MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATE
FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-181108-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140718T1640Z-140720T0200Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1640Z.140719T0600Z.140719T1400Z.UU/
508 PM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  4:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.3 FEET JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MIDMORNING 
  SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HIGHWAY 194 EAST OF 
  LA JUNTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
117 
WGUS85 KPUB 180108
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
708 PM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE AFFECTING PUEBLO COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO RESULTED IN INCREASED 
RIVER STAGES ON THE ARKANSAS RIVER. THE INCREASED FLOW HAS BEEN 
MOVING STEADILY THROUGH THE SYSTEM THOUGH...AND AFTER CRESTING AT
A STAGE OF 8.1 FEET LATE THURSDAY MORNING...THE ARKANSAS NEAR 
AVONDALE WAS BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6:15 PM AND IS EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE TO FALL.

THE ARKANSAS RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REACH FLOOD STAGE OF 11.0 FEET
AT LA JUNTA LATE FRIDAY MORNING...THEN CREST AROUND 12.2 FEET 
MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS. DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC101-180138-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140718T1832Z/
/ADLC2.2.ER.140717T1424Z.140717T1800Z.140717T2105Z.UU/
708 PM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE.
* AT  6:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  3:05 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 3.7 FEET BY 
  MIDMORNING SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 6.5 FEET...DAMAGE TO IRRIGATION WORKS IS POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3829 10441 3829 10434 3827 10425 3820 10425
      3822 10434 3822 10441       

$$

COC089-181307-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140718T1600Z-140720T0600Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1600Z.140719T0600Z.140719T1800Z.UU/
708 PM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HIGHWAY 194 EAST OF 
  LA JUNTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
356 
WGUS85 KPUB 180810
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
210 AM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO RESULTED IN INCREASED 
RIVER STAGES ON THE ARKANSAS RIVER. THE ARKANSAS RIVER IS 
EXPECTED TO REACH FLOOD STAGE OF 11.0 FEET AT LA JUNTA LATE 
THIS MORNING...THEN CREST AROUND 12.5 FEET DURING THE EARLY 
MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY. THE RIVER SHOULD GO BELOW FLOOD
STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-182010-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140718T1415Z-140720T0750Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1415Z.140719T0600Z.140719T1950Z.UU/
210 AM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  1:31 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDMORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HIGHWAY 194 EAST OF 
  LA JUNTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
517 
WGUS85 KPUB 181414
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
814 AM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO CONTINUES TO BRING HIGH FLOWS TO
THE ARKANSAS RIVER.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-190214-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.140718T1452Z-140720T0230Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1452Z.140719T0000Z.140719T1430Z.UU/
814 AM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDMORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MIDMORNING TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HIGHWAY 194 EAST OF 
  LA JUNTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
191 
WGUS85 KPUB 181927
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
127 PM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY. 

.HEAVY RAINS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE PAST WEEK ARE CAUSING AREA
RIVERS TO RUN HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-190727-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140720T0515Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1647Z.140719T0000Z.140719T1715Z.UU/
127 PM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
225 
WGUS85 KPUB 190052
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
652 PM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY. 

.HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK ARE CAUSING AREA RIVERS TO RUN HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-191252-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140720T0800Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1647Z.140719T1200Z.140719T2000Z.UU/
652 PM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY 
  MIDMORNING TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HIGHWAY 194 EAST OF 
  LA JUNTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
854 
WGUS85 KPUB 190419
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1019 PM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY.

.HEAVY RAINS EARLIER THIS WEEK ARE CAUSING THE ARKANSAS RIVER
TO RUN HIGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-191619-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140720T0800Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1647Z.140719T1200Z.140719T2000Z.UU/
1019 PM MDT FRI JUL 18 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO
  CONTINUE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY 
  ABOUT 6 AM. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND
  3 PM ON SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HIGHWAY 194 EAST OF 
  LA JUNTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
685 
WGUS85 KPUB 191254
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
654 AM MDT SAT JUL 19 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY.

.MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA CONTINUES
THIS MORNING. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL 3 PM
THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE AVOID THE RIVER IF POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-200054-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140720T0800Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1647Z.140719T1200Z.140719T2000Z.UU/
654 AM MDT SAT JUL 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
830 
WGUS85 KPUB 191345
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
745 AM MDT SAT JUL 19 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY. 

.MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA CONTINUES
THIS MORNING. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND
3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. USE EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU PLAN ON BEING IN 
OR AROUND THE WARNED AREA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-200145-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140720T0748Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1647Z.140719T1200Z.140719T1948Z.UU/
745 AM MDT SAT JUL 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$
656 
WGUS85 KPUB 191850
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1250 PM MDT SAT JUL 19 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA AFFECTING OTERO COUNTY.

.THE ARKANSAS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN DURING
THE PAST WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC089-191920-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140720T0748Z/
/LXHC2.1.ER.140718T1647Z.140719T1200Z.140719T1748Z.UU/
1250 PM MDT SAT JUL 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT LA JUNTA.
* AT 12:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:48 AM SATURDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 7.6 FEET BY 
  MIDMORNING TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...THE RIVER IS BANKFULL.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10356 3808 10341 3812 10321 3805 10321
      3802 10337 3798 10361       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 17, 6:37 AM MDT, 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 17, 6:37 AM MDT, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
637 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 629 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

UPDATED FORECAST TO LOWER PRECIP CHANCES FOR THIS MORNING.
AVIATION DISCUSSION ALSO UPDATED...SEE BELOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 339 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

STRONG UPPER TROUGH DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO
THIS MORNING...WITH STRONGEST UPWARD MOTION SHIFTING SOUTH OF THE
AREA INTO TX AND OK. STILL A FEW -SHRA LINGERING OVER THE SRN
SANGRES AS OF 10Z...THOUGH LATEST LIGHTNING DATA SUGGESTS THREAT
OF TSRA HAS JUST ABOUT ENDED. FOR TODAY...WILL KEEP LOW POPS FOR
-SHRA OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING TO BOTH ACCOUNT
FOR CURRENT PRECIP AND TO COVER THE CHANCES OF AT LEAST SOME
SHALLOW CONVECTION REDEVELOPING AFTER SUNRISE. FOR THIS
AFTERNOON...UPWARD MOTION DIMINISHES AS TROUGH DROPS SOUTH...BUT
WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERING AND SOME WEAK INSTABILITY OVER
THE MOUNTAINS...EXPECT AT LEAST ISOLATED TSRA TO DEVELOP OVER
MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN BY LATE IN THE DAY. STEERING CURRENTS
DON'T LOOK PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE TO PUSH STORMS ON TO THE
PLAINS...SO WILL KEEP POPS LOW ALONG AND EAST OF I-25. MAX TEMPS
WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE MOST AREAS WITH MOIST GROUND AND
PLENTIFUL CLOUD COVER...AND COOL GUIDANCE NUMBERS LOOKING FAIRLY
REASONABLY FOR A CHANGE. TONIGHT...TSRA SHOULD END EARLY WITH LACK
OF ANY UPPER SUPPORT AND CONTINUED DRYING MOVING IN FROM THE NW.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 339 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

...HOT WEATHER RETURNS THIS WEEKEND...

HOPE YOU ENJOYED THE RESPITE FROM THE HEAT...CAUSE
ALL SIGNS ARE THAT THE LATTER PART OF JULY WILL BE ON THE
HOT SIDE. HOPEFULLY ALL THE RECENT MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
AN INCREASE IN EVAPOTRANSPIRATION...AND THAT MAY PUT A LID ON
AFTERNOON HIGHS. GFS MOS GUIDANCE LOOKS TOO HOT AS IT TYPICALLY
HAS BEEN AS OF LATE...SHOWING A STRING OF 100 DEGREE DAYS AT KPUB
SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK. ECMWF GUIDANCE LOOKS MORE
REASONABLE...WITH MID-UPPER 90S FOR THE SAME PERIOD...AND THAT WAS
USED AS A PREFERENCE FOR THE EXTENDED MAX TEMPS. HOTTEST DAYS WILL
LIKELY BE TUE-THU...WHEN THE UPPER HIGH REACHES THE BENCHMARK OF
600 DM CENTERED OVER THE 4 CORNERS.

EXPECT A GRADUAL SHIFT DOWNWARDS IN CONVECTION OVER THE AREA.
FRIDAY AND SAT WILL STILL SEE SCT TS DEVELOPING FOR THE
AFTERNOON-EV PERIOD OVER MUCH OF THE CWA...BUT AS THE HIGH BECOMES
ESTABLISHED AND DRY AIR ALOFT MOVES IN FROM THE DESERT SW...THE
SUN-MON PERIOD LOOKS PRETTY DRY OVERALL...WITH ONLY ISOLD
CONVECTION OVER THE MTS EXPECTED. MAIN QUESTION IS HOW MUCH
MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL PERSIST UNDER THE RIDGE NEXT WEEK. RIGHT
NOW...IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE AT LEAST SOME RETURN OF BETTER
MOISTURE AFTER TUESDAY...BUT PROBABLY NOT TO THE EXTENT WE HAVE
SEEN DURING THE FIRST HALF OF JULY. KPUB IS ALREADY ABOVE AVERAGE
IN PRECIP FOR THE MONTH...WHICH IS GOOD SINCE THE POPS LOOK TO GO
DOWN CONSIDERABLY OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 629 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

HAVE SEEN KCOS PICK UP A LIGHT NORTH WIND...WHICH HAS HELPED ERODE
MOST FOG AND STRATUS SOUTH OF THE PALMER DIVIDE. STILL A THREAT
OF SOME MVFR CIGS LATER THIS MORNING AS LOWER CLOUDS DROP SOUTH
FROM THE DIVIDE AS KAFF HAS PICKED UP A MVFR CIG AS OF 1230Z.
THREAT OF LOWER CLOUDS AND FOG LOOKS LOW AT KPUB AS WELL...AND
WILL KEEP TAF VFR THROUGH THE MORNING.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...PETERSEN
SHORT TERM...PETERSEN
LONG TERM...ROSE
AVIATION...PETERSEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 17, 6:08 AM MDT, 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
608 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-181215-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
608 AM MDT THU JUL 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LESS NUMEROUS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY THAN THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS...WITH SCATTERED STORMS FORMING OVER THE MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DRIFTING ACROSS THE PLAINS AND VALLEYS LATE IN
THE DAY. STORM INTENSITY WILL BE LESS AS WELL TODAY...WITH ANY
STORMS WHICH FORM PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING AND SOME PEA SIZED HAIL. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH
QUICKLY THIS EVENING WITH CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY NEAR AND OVER THE MOUNTAIN AREAS. THE MAIN
THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE
SOME SMALL HAIL IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

SATURDAY INTO NEXT WEEK...STORMS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED IN
COVERAGE...AND MAINLY CONFINED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

10/44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 6:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster26 min
Jul 16, 6:16 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBCrowley, Otero3 hr
Jul 16, 6:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBOtero30 min
Jul 16, 6:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Pueblo50 min
Jul 16, 7:22 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 16, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas, Pueblo47 min
Jul 16, 7:33 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 16, 7:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster24 min
Jul 16, 7:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso31 min
Jul 16, 8:05 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache25 min
Jul 16, 8:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas47 min
Jul 16, 8:15 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBBaca, Las Animas3 hr
Jul 16, 8:36 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 16, 8:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas16 min
Jul 16, 9:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBPueblo44 min
Jul 16, 9:41 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBHuerfano, Las Animas3 hr
Jul 16, 10:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBPueblo44 min
Jul 16, 10:17 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso118 min
Jul 16, 10:41 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBLas Animas, Otero, Pueblo3 hr
Jul 17, 12:17 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBLas Animas3 hr
Jul 17, 12:37 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBHuerfano3 hr
Jul 17, 1:22 AM MDTRiver Flood WarningPUBPueblo36 hr
Jul 17, 4:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller29 min
Jul 17, 5:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBChaffee27 min
Jul 17, 5:58 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster32 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Colorado, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.