High Wind Watch 4, NWS Pueblo, CO

914 
WWUS75 KPUB 290315
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
915 PM MDT MON APR 28 2014

COZ089-093>099-291115-
/O.UPG.KPUB.HW.A.0004.140429T1500Z-140430T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.HW.W.0007.140429T1500Z-140430T0100Z/
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...
BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR...
SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
915 PM MDT MON APR 28 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MDT TUESDAY. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...THE SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS INCLUDING CROWLEY...OTERO...
  KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...BACA AND EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...STRONG CIRCULATION AROUND A DEEP STORM 
  SYSTEM OVER NEBRASKA WILL PRODUCE HIGH WINDS FROM MID MORNING 
  THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BEFORE WINDS SLOWLY 
  DIMINISH TUESDAY EVENING. 

* WIND...NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. |

* IMPACT...PEOPLE PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS OF 
  COLORADO SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR STRONG WINDS CAUSING HAZARDOUS 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS. STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG 
  HIGHWAY FIFTY FROM LA JUNTA TO THE KANSAS BORDER. AREAS OF 
  BLOWING DUST MAY ALSO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH 
  RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

COZ084-085-291115-
/O.NEW.KPUB.HW.W.0007.140429T1500Z-140430T0100Z/
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS
915 PM MDT MON APR 28 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MDT TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...EL PASO COUNTY. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...STRONG CIRCULATION AROUND A DEEP STORM
  SYSTEM OVER NEBRASKA WILL PRODUCE HIGH WINDS FROM MID MORNING
  THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BEFORE WINDS SLOWLY
  DIMINISH TUESDAY EVENING.

*WIND...NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THE STRONGEST
 WINDS ARE EXPECTED EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR. 

* IMPACT...PEOPLE PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS OF
  COLORADO SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR STRONG WINDS CAUSING HAZARDOUS
  DRIVING CONDITIONS. STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG
  HIGHWAYS 24 AND 94 ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. AREAS
  OF BLOWING DUST MAY ALSO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH
  RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1132 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1005 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014

QUICK UPDATE TO AMEND SKY COVER AND TO BRING IN LATEST OBS DATA.
ONGOING FORECAST GRIDS STILL LOOK TO BE ON TRACK...BUT A BIT MORE
SUN THIS MORNING. MOORE

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 344 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014

CURRENTLY...A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
SITTING OVER CENTRAL NEBRASKA.  THIS HAS PUT SOUTHERN COLORADO IN
NORTHWESTERLY WRAP AROUND FLOW.  OBS HAVE INDICATED PERIODS OF LIGHT
SNOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE THE REST
OF THE FORECAST AREA HAS REMAINED DRY.  THE EASTERN PLAINS HAVE
REMAINED WINDY...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KTS.  THIS HAS KEPT
TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING FOR THE MOST PART WITH MID 30S TO LOWER
40S ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

TODAY...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY.
THIS WILL KEEP COLORADO UNDER PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW.  ENERGY
EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW WILL HELP KEEP PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOWFALL GOING
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...WITH THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND LA
GARITA RANGES FAVORED.  ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH
OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.  WINDS WILL BE STRONG
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS.  WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 3O TO
40 MPH ARE LIKELY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OUT NEAR THE KANSAS
BORDER.  STRONG CROSS WINDS ON EAST-WEST HIGHWAYS WILL CAUSE
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.  ALSO...AREAS NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER
COULD SEE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT SAW
LITTLE RAINFALL ON SUNDAY. HIGH-RES MODELS ALL INDICATING ISOLATED
SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON.  HAVE INCLUDED LOW
POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE HIT AND MISS SHOWER ACTIVITY.  TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH 50S ACROSS THE
PLAINS.

TONIGHT...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY DRIFT INTO EASTERN KANSAS
WHILE A WAVE OF ENERGY DROPS SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO IN THE
WRAP AROUND FLOW.  THIS WILL BRING CONTINUED STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS
FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS WHERE GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
IN ADDITION...COLD AIR WILL FILTER SOUTH OVER THE PLAINS WITH LOWER
TO MID 30S EXPECTED FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.  LOCATIONS ALONG THE I-25
CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES FALL TO OR JUST BELOW FREEZING
BY TUESDAY MORNING.  HOW COLD TEMPERATURES FALL WILL DEPEND HIGHLY
ON CLOUD COVER AND WINDS.  IF YOU HAVE SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS IT
WILL BE WORTHWHILE TO BRING THEM INDOORS OR COVER THEM TO PROTECT
THEM.  PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...WITH THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS ONCE AGAIN BEING THE FAVORED AREA.  AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR
TWO OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING.  MOZLEY

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 344 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014

...CONTINUED WINDY WITH NIGHT TIME TEMPERATURES AROUND THE
FREEZING MARK THROUGH MID WEEK ACROSS THE PLAINS...

UPPER LOW WILL STALL OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH DISTURBANCES DROPPING DOWN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE UPPER LOW ACROSS CO. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED WINDY
CONDITIONS WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS PERIODIC REINFORCING
SURGES OF COOLER AIR DESCEND THROUGH THE PLAINS. THE MOUNTAINS
WILL CONTINUE TO PICK UP SOME LIGHT SNOW AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...HOWEVER BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF
ARE SUGGESTING ANOTHER UPSWING IN SNOW FOR THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A FEW INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WETS...AND
SANGRES WEDNESDAY EVENING AS H7 WINDS SHIFT OUT OF THE NE. NAM12
IS DRIER BY CONTRAST. HAVE BUMPED UP POPS FOR THE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING PERIOD FOR THE SOUTHEAST MTNS ACCORDINGLY.
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL SEE ISOLATED SHOWERS AT TIMES...BUT ANY
PRECIPITATION LOOKS SPOTTY AND LIGHT.

OF GREATER CONCERN WILL BE THE WINDS ACROSS THE
PLAINS...ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY. THEY WILL PICK UP EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROTATES AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF THE
UPPER LOW GLANCING THROUGH SE CO. H7 WINDS INCREASE TO 50-70 KTS
ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS MAXIMIZES AT 12-15Z THEN DECREASES DURING
THE AFTERNOON. IF DEEP ENOUGH MIXING IS REALIZED...COULD SEE SOME
HIGH WIND CRITERIA GUSTS...BUT THE MORNING TIMING ISN'T THE BEST
FOR THIS...AND WITHOUT A CONCENTRATED SURGE COMING
DOWN...CONFIDENCE ISN'T HIGH ENOUGH TO GO WITH A HIGH WIND WATCH.
IF ANY PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...THIS
COULD HELP BRING DOWN THE HIGHER MOMENTUM ALOFT...BUT NAM AND GFS
HOLD THIS OFF UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND RIGHT ALONG THE
EASTERN BORDER. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WILL BE A CONCERN
AGAIN...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS WHERE RECENT
PCPN WAS MINIMAL. IT REMAINS WINDY ACROSS THE PLAINS ON
WEDNESDAY...BUT SPEEDS LOOK A LITTLE LOWER.

OTHER CONCERN WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES.
BEGINNING OF THE GROWING SEASON TECHNICALLY DOESN'T START UNTIL
MAY 1ST...BUT THE WARM TEMPERATURES OF THE PAST WEEK OR SO MAY
HAVE LURED SOME TO GET AN EARLY JUMP ON PLANTING. TUESDAY NIGHT
WILL COME CLOSE TO OR HIT THE FREEZING MARK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS DUE TO COLD AIR ADVECTION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED BREEZY
CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME CLOUD COVER TO
CONTEND WITH...SO CURRENT THINKING IS FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL
BE MORE CONFINED TO THE I-25 CORRIDOR. THERE MAY BE A BETTER
CHANCE FOR A MORE WIDESPREAD LIGHT FREEZE ACROSS THE PLAINS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT AGAIN...WILL DEPEND ON WINDS DECOUPLING AND
CLOUD COVER CLEARING OUT. IF CLEARING OCCURS SOON ENOUGH...THEN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY NIGHT FOR A FROST FREEZE
HIGHLIGHT.

FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE ZONAL FOR FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND...WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR A RETURN OF WARMER TEMPERATURES. -KT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ALL TERMINALS THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE WILL BE SOME
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH MOUNTAIN PEAKS OCCASIONALLY OBSCURED...BUT ANY
ACTIVITY OVER THE TERMINALS WILL BE TOO WEAK TO IMPACT VIS/CIGS
MUCH...THOUGH ERRATIC WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE. GUSTY WINDS W-NW
WIND WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY...WITH GUSTS IN THE 30-40 KNOT
RANGE UNTIL EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY
OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASE QUICKLY AGAIN TUE MORNING AT KCOS AND
KPUB...WITH GUSTS 35-40 KNOTS BY 15Z.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...MOORE
SHORT TERM...MOZLEY
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...PETERSEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1142 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-291300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1142 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THROUGH
TONIGHT.  MOST OF THE SNOW WILL BE FOCUSED OVER THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS WHERE AROUND 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY
MORNING.

STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE EASTERN
COLORADO PLAINS.  WIDESPREAD GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.  STRONG
CROSS WINDS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON EAST-WEST
HIGHWAYS.  IN ADDITION...AREAS THAT SAW LITTLE RAINFALL ON SUNDAY
WILL LIKELY SEE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

COLD AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
TO OR JUST BELOW FREEZING ALONG THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR.  THOSE
WITH SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
THEM AGAINST THIS COLD AIR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE PLAINS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. NORTH WINDS WILL GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ACROSS THE PLAINS
ON TUESDAY...AND UP TO 40 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO
AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING DUST...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES.
MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MAY DROP TO AROUND OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS. THIS IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ALONG THE I-25
CORRIDOR TUESDAY NIGHT...AND ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF SOUTHEAST
COLORADO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IF YOU HAVE TENDER PLANTS OUTSIDE...BE
PREPARED TO PROTECT THEM FROM FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT
FEW NIGHTS.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD
ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD.  HOWEVER...A
ROUND OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT WHERE SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE
ACCUMULATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.

ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER
THE MOUNTAIN AREAS...THOUGH ANY ACCUMULATIONS LOOK SPOTTY AND
LIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE.

10/27