Frost Advisory 9, NWS Pueblo, CO

872 
WWUS75 KPUB 290315
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
915 PM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

COZ085-086-089-093-095>098-291130-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0007.141029T0700Z-141029T1500Z/
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-
INCLUDING...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...
LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR
915 PM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...SOUTHERN EL PASO...PUEBLO...OTERO...CROWLEY... 
  BENT...PROWERS AND KIOWA COUNTIES. 

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES 
  EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACT...SENSITIVE PLANTS WILL BE DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNPROTECTED...AND OUTSIDE WATER LINES COULD FREEZE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KILLING CROPS
AS WELL AS OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

COZ087-088-094-099-291130-
/O.CON.KPUB.FR.Y.0009.141029T0700Z-141029T1500Z/
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...BRANSON...KIM...SPRINGFIELD...
WALSH
915 PM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE LOWER 30S EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. 

* IMPACT...TENDER VEGETATION COULD BE DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNPROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

012 
WWUS75 KPUB 290940
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
340 AM MDT WED OCT 29 2014

COZ085-086-089-093-095>098-291500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141029T1500Z/
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-
INCLUDING...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...
LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR
340 AM MDT WED OCT 29 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...SOUTHERN EL PASO...PUEBLO...OTERO...CROWLEY... 
  BENT...PROWERS AND KIOWA COUNTIES. 

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES 
  EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACT...SENSITIVE PLANTS WILL BE DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNPROTECTED...AND OUTSIDE WATER LINES COULD FREEZE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE CAPABLE OF KILLING CROPS
AS WELL AS OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

COZ087-088-094-099-291500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-141029T1500Z/
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...BRANSON...KIM...SPRINGFIELD...
WALSH
340 AM MDT WED OCT 29 2014

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE LOWER 30S EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. 

* IMPACT...TENDER VEGETATION COULD BE DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT 
  UNPROTECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

941 
WWUS75 KPUB 291450
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
850 AM MDT WED OCT 29 2014

COZ085-086-089-093-095>098-291600-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-141029T1500Z/
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-
INCLUDING...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...
LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR
850 AM MDT WED OCT 29 2014

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE
WARNING FOR SOUTHERN EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...OTERO...
KIOWA...BENT...AND PROWERS COUNTIES.


$$

COZ087-088-094-099-291600-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-141029T1500Z/
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...BRANSON...KIM...SPRINGFIELD...
WALSH
850 AM MDT WED OCT 29 2014

...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FROST
ADVISORY FOR HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1103 AM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 703 AM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

WENT AHEAD AND CANCELLED THE FREEZE WARNING THIS MORNING WHICH
WAS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN PLAINS. OVERALL...THE
HIGHLIGHT WAS A BUST SINCE ONLY A FEW SELECT LOCATIONS DROPPED
DOWN TO FREEZING OR JUST BELOW...AND A HARD FREEZE WAS NOT
REALIZED. THIS WAS PRIMARILY DUE TO PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER.
UPDATED THE GRIDS WITH THE LATEST OBS DATA...THEN REISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING FOR A SMALLER PORTION OF THE PLAINS AGAIN FOR
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. MOORE

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 356 AM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

...A COOLER DAY ON TAP...

CURRENTLY...W-NW FLOW ALOFT CONTINUED ACROSS THE STATE...WHILE A
GOOD AMOUNT OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WAS HINDERING THE
RADIATIONAL COOLING PROCESS. MANY AREAS ACROSS THE E PLAINS HAVE
DIPPED INTO THE 30S AS OF 330 AM...BUT ARE HAVING A TOUGH TIME
DIPPING BELOW FREEZING BECAUSE OF THE CLOUD COVER.

TODAY AND TONIGHT...THE UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
DESERT SW AND 4 CORNERS REGION OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS...PROMISING DRY
CONDITIONS. THE FREEZE WARNING MAY BE A BUST BY ABOUT 2-3 DEGREES
FOR MANY LOCATIONS THIS MORNING...BUT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE
SCHEDULED EXPIRATION TIME. DUE TO A COOL START...MAX TEMPS TODAY ARE
EXPECTED TO ONLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S FOR THE HIGH VALLEYS...AND
INTO THE LOWER 60S FOR THE PLAINS. TONIGHT CLEAR SKIES ARE
FORECAST...SO PORTIONS OF THE E PLAINS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE UNDER THE
GUN FOR A FREEZE. THE PROBABLE AREA WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 50...AND FROM THE I25 CORRIDOR AND EASTWARD. DECIDED TO HOLD
OFF ON ANY NEW HIGHLIGHT ISSUANCE FOR LATE TONIGHT/WED MORN UNTIL
THE ONGOING FREEZE WARNING EXPIRES. MOORE

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 356 AM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

THE QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK BEFORE IT BECOMES MORE ACTIVE OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER RIDGE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BUILD
NORTHWARD THEN TRANSLATE EASTWARD OVER CO BY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL REBOUND ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT
WHICH MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS
FRONT WILL KNOCK BACK HIGH TEMPERATURES TO NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES
FOR THURSDAY. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL KICK IN ACROSS THE HIGH
COUNTRY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THOUGH DIMINISH SOME FOR THURSDAY AS
THE RIDGE AXIS MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.

AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS INTO EASTERN CO ON FRIDAY...AHEAD OF THE
PACIFIC TROF ENTERING THE WEST COAST...SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE
AGAIN ACROSS THE HIGH COUNTRY WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE
FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE DEVELOPING LEE
SIDE TROF. NORMALLY WITH CURED FINE FUELS THIS TIME OF YEAR...THIS
WOULD START TO RAISE CONCERNS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...SOUTHERLY FLOW ALSO STARTS TO ADVECT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION AND IN SPITE OF SOME
WARMING ON FRIDAY...RHS DO NOT GET LOW ENOUGH TO WARRANT ANY RED
FLAG CONCERNS. FRIDAY STILL LOOKS DRY...BUT BOTH GFS AND EC
SUGGEST SOME SHOWERS BREAKING OUT ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST
UPSLOPE FLOW.

UPPER TROF MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN US LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS
UT/NW CO ON SATURDAY. MAIN AFFECT THIS WILL HAVE ON SOUTHERN CO IS
TO INCREASE THE WINDS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...BUT THESE LOOK MAINLY CONFINED TO
THE CONTDVD REGION. THERE IS ALSO A DRY LINE TAKING SHAPE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON SATURDAY...BUT FOR NOW APPEARS THAT
MOISTURE RETURN DOESN'T OCCUR QUICKLY ENOUGH TO YIELD MORE THAN A
COUPLE HUNDRED J/KG OF CAPE. WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR POTENTIAL
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE
MTS AND I-25 CORRIDOR...BUT FOR NOW HUMIDITY VALUES STILL DO NOT
APPEAR LOW ENOUGH EVEN THOUGH IT WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY WINDY.

TRAILING ENERGY DROPS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN...CARVING
OUT THE TROF AGAIN ACROSS UT/CO FOR LATE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THERE ARE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS WITH GFS
QUICKER TO CARVE OUT A CLOSED LOW ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT...WHILE EC KEEPS WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA
UNTIL MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT WHEN A CLOSED LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS
SOUTHERN CO/NRN NM. CONSEQUENTLY...GFS IS FASTER TO BRING A FRONT
INTO THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON SUNDAY WITH PRECIPITATION SPREADING
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING OUT DURING
THE DAY ON MONDAY. EC IS SLOWER WITH THE FRONT AND HOLDS OFF ON
THE MAJORITY OF THE QPF UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT/TUES AS THE UPPER LOW
CLOSES OFF TO THE SOUTH. GIVEN THE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS AND
LOW CONFIDENCE THIS FAR OUT...WILL STICK CLOSE TO A MODEL BLEND
FOR NOW AND SEE HOW THIS EVOLVES. -KT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED
AT 1102 AM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KCOS...KPUB AND KALS...WITH
GENERALLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR COZ085-086-
089-093-095>098.

&&

UPDATE...MOORE
SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1030 AM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-291630-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1030 AM MDT TUE OCT 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE ACTIVE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS LATE
FRIDAY...THEN ACROSS ALL OF THE MOUNTAINS ON SATURDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN MOST WIDESPREAD ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE WITH ACTIVITY REMAINING MORE ISOLATED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
MOUNTAINS. THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LIGHTNING AND LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. SOME LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AT
TIMES.

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...WHERE SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.