Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2014

Flash Flood Watch 11, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 29, 201417 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood watch at Jul 29, 2014, 11:51 PM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Jul 30, 2014, 12:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2014, 11:51 PM MDT (05:51 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 30, 2014, 12:00 AM MDT
Expired
Jul 30, 2014, 6:12 PM MDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Chaffee County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2014-07-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2014-07-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1146 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

478 
WGUS65 KPUB 300551
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1151 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
MOUNTAINS...I-25 CORRIDOR AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS...

.A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
COLORADO ON WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS EARLY WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL CAUSE EASTERLY UPSLOPE
WINDS AT THE SURFACE. UPSLOPE FLOW AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL
ALLOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

COZ072>089-093>099-301400-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-140731T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.A.0011.140730T0600Z-140731T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...
BLANCA PEAK...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...
COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...GREENHORN MTN...
WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...
BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...
LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
1151 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH
  CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND
  TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL
  COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO
  MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN
  VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...BACA
  COUNTY...BENT COUNTY...CROWLEY COUNTY...EASTERN KIOWA
  COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...HUERFANO COUNTY...OTERO
  COUNTY... PROWERS COUNTY...PUEBLO COUNTY...WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY
  AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO. AT THE SURFACE...LOW LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS WILL ENHANCE
  DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
  MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT
  RAINFALL PRODUCERS...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TWO INCHES PER
  HOUR. AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
  DAYS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

* FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...CREEKS...ARROYOS AND NORMALLY DRY
  WASHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HEAVY
  RAINFALL ON BURN SCARS MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH
  FLOWS. HIGH FLOWS MAY OCCUR ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS DUE TO
  INCREASED RUNOFF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ058>071-300700-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-140730T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...LEADVILLE...
INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...GRANITE...SALIDA...
BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...
CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS...CENTER...DEL NORTE...
ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA...MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...
SAN LUIS...FORT GARLAND...BLANCA
1151 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTH
CENTRAL COLORADO HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL
HAS ENDED ACROSS THIS AREA TONIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAINFALL
SHOULD REMAIN EAST OF THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND SAN LUIS VALLEY
AND AFFECT AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS.

$$

STARK
4 follow-up statements
350 
WGUS65 KPUB 300950
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
350 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS...INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS...

.A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IS PROJECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE
MAJORITY OF SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO THIS EVENING. UPSLOPE FLOW IN
COMBINATION WITH ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL ALLOW SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO
TODAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

COZ072>089-093>099-301800-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-140731T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...
BLANCA PEAK...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...
COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...GREENHORN MTN...
WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...
BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...
LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
350 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST 
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE 
  RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY... 
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE 
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...BACA COUNTY...BENT COUNTY...CROWLEY 
  COUNTY...EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY... 
  HUERFANO COUNTY...OTERO COUNTY...PROWERS COUNTY...PUEBLO 
  COUNTY...WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
  SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO THIS EVENING. AT THE SURFACE...LOW LEVEL
  EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE
  SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS INTO THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE PROJECTED TO BE EFFICIENT RAINFALL
  PRODUCERS...WITH LOCALIZED RAINFALL RATES UP TO TWO INCHES PER
  HOUR ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION...AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY
  RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH
  FLOODING.

* FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...CREEKS...ARROYOS AND NORMALLY DRY
  WASHES WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING WEDNESDAY. HEAVY
  RAINFALL ON BURN SCARS MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH
  FLOWS. HIGH FLOWS MAY OCCUR ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS DUE TO
  INCREASED RUNOFF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
214 
WGUS65 KPUB 301656
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1056 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS...INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS...

.A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IS PROJECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE
MAJORITY OF SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO THIS EVENING. UPSLOPE FLOW IN
COMBINATION WITH ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL ALLOW SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO TODAY...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

COZ095>099-301800-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-140731T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-
SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...
LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
1056 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE EVENING. THE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. AS A RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

COZ072>089-093-094-310100-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-140731T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...
BLANCA PEAK...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...
COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...GREENHORN MTN...
WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...
BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM
1056 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST 
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE 
  RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY... 
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE 
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...CROWLEY COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS 
  COUNTY...HUERFANO COUNTY...OTERO COUNTY...PUEBLO COUNTY AND 
  WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS 
  SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO THIS EVENING. AT THE SURFACE...LOW 
  LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT 
  OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS INTO THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND 
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE PROJECTED TO BE EFFICIENT RAINFALL 
  PRODUCERS...WITH LOCALIZED RAINFALL RATES UP TO TWO INCHES PER 
  HOUR ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION...AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY 
  RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  FLASH FLOODING. 

* FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...CREEKS...ARROYOS AND NORMALLY DRY 
  WASHES WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING WEDNESDAY. HEAVY 
  RAINFALL ON BURN SCARS MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH 
  FLOWS. HIGH FLOWS MAY OCCUR ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS DUE TO 
  INCREASED RUNOFF. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
704 
WGUS65 KPUB 302054
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
254 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS...INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR
AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS...

.A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IS PROJECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE
MAJORITY OF SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO THIS EVENING. UPSLOPE FLOW IN
COMBINATION WITH ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL ALLOW SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO TODAY...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

COZ072>089-093-094-310300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-140731T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...
BLANCA PEAK...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...
COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...GREENHORN MTN...
WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...
BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM
254 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST 
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE 
  RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY... 
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE 
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...CROWLEY COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS 
  COUNTY...HUERFANO COUNTY...OTERO COUNTY...PUEBLO COUNTY AND 
  WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS 
  SOUTHERN COLORADO INTO THIS EVENING. AT THE SURFACE...LOW 
  LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ENHANCE THE DEVELOPMENT 
  OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE 
  SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS INTO THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND 
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE PROJECTED TO BE EFFICIENT RAINFALL 
  PRODUCERS...WITH LOCALIZED RAINFALL RATES UP TO TWO INCHES PER 
  HOUR ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION...AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY 
  RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  FLASH FLOODING. 

* FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...CREEKS...ARROYOS AND NORMALLY DRY 
  WASHES WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING WEDNESDAY. HEAVY 
  RAINFALL ON BURN SCARS MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH 
  FLOWS. HIGH FLOWS MAY OCCUR ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS DUE TO 
  INCREASED RUNOFF. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
112 
WGUS65 KPUB 310012
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
612 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TONIGHT...SO THE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

.THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS VERY MOIST OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS
EVENING...HOWEVER THE COOL AIR AND CLOUD COVER HAVE ALLOWED THE
ATMOSPHERE TO REMAIN STABLE. SHOWERS ARE NOT WIDESPREAD AT THIS
TIME...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW. FLASH FLOODING
IS NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER SHOWERS CAN PRODUCE MODERATE
RAINFALL...REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY...PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS
AND FAST FLOWING STREAMS AND CREEKS.

COZ072>089-093-094-310115-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-140731T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...
BLANCA PEAK...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...
COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...GREENHORN MTN...
WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...
BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM
612 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS VERY MOIST OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS
EVENING...HOWEVER THE COOL AIR AND CLOUD COVER HAVE ALLOWED THE
ATMOSPHERE TO REMAIN STABLE. THE STABLE ATMOSPHERE HAS INHIBITED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND THESE
SHOWERS CAN PRODUCE MODERATE RAINFALL. MODERATE RAINFALL CAN
CAUSE REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY...PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND
FAST FLOWING STREAMS AND CREEKS.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...BUT
AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY REMAIN HIGH. USE CAUTION AROUND FAST
MOVING...SWOLLEN CREEKS AND STREAMS. 

$$

STARK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 29, 11:35 PM MDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 11:35 PM MDT, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1135 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1107 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

PLAN TO ISSUE AN UPDATE TO THE FORECAST BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO. OTHERWISE...SOME
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
WEDNESDAY. ATMOSPHERE CERTAINLY REMAINS MOIST BOTH AT THE LOWER
LEVELS AND ALOFT. LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES AS WELL WITH A
BOUNDARY MOVING WEST AND PROVIDING FOCUS AND LIFT FOR DEVELOPMENT
OF STORMS. CONCERN AT THIS POINT IS THAT WE WILL BE TOO STABLE FOR
CONVECTION WITH RAINFALL BECOMING PRIMARILY A WIDESPREAD RAIN
EVENT. STILL...WITH ANY STORMS/SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP TOMORROW...
THEY WILL BE VERY EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS AND FOCUS COULD BE
ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS. STARK

UPDATE ISSUED AT 819 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

QUICK UPDATE TO THE FORECAST TO PULL IN CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND
INCREASE POPS OVER THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. STARK

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

CURRENTLY...CONVECTION IS STARTING TO DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS...PALMER DIVIDE AND RATON RIDGE AREAS. DEW POINTS REMAIN
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S OVER THE PLAINS AND INTERSTATE 25
CORRIDOR. DISTURBANCE IS CONTINUING TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHERN COLORADO AS SEEN IN THE DRYING ON THE WATER VAPOR IMAGE.
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE DRYING
ALOFT...AND MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING OVER THE
CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE SEEN SPINNING NEAR THE CENTRAL COLORADO
AND UTAH BORDER. SPC MESOANALYSIS AT 20Z CONTINUES TO SUGGEST VERY
UNSTABLE AIR OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS OF COLORADO...WITH CAPES OVER
2000J/KG AND WEAK CIN.

TONIGHT...AS DISTURBANCE MOVES EASTWARD...EXPECT CONVECTION TO
CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER THE MOUNTAINS...THEN MOVE ONTO THE PLAINS
DURING THE EVENING. AS OF 20Z...CONVECTION HAS BEEN SLOWER TO
DEVELOP THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED. WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO SEE WHAT
HAPPENS AS THE FIRST DISTURBANCE...OVER THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AT
20Z...MOVES EASTWARD. CURRENT EVOLUTION OF THE CONVECTION SUGGESTS
THE LATEST HRRR MAY BE ON TO SOMETHING. THE HRRR HAS A FIRST LINE
CONVECTION MOVING OFF OF THE MOUNTAINS BY 21Z TO 22Z PM WITH THE
STRONGER CONVECTION OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE/PIKES PEAKS REGION AND
THE RATON RIDGE. THEN...A SECOND AND STRONG ROUND OF CONVECTION
MOVES OFF OF THE MOUNTAINS BY 01Z TO 03Z...WITH PARTS OF THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS GETTING CLOBBERED BY SOME STRONG
STORMS. AS THE STORMS MOVE EAST...THEY CONGEAL INTO AN MCS WHICH
MOVES EASTWARDS OVER THE PLAINS OVERNIGHT. THE CURRENT WATCH LOOKS
GOOD FOR TONIGHT WITH STRONGER CONVECTION THIS EVENING AND MCS
OVERNIGHT. OVER THE MOUNTAINS...ANTICIPATE CONVECTION WILL BECOME
LESS NUMEROUS LATER INT HE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS DISTURBANCE
MOVES EAST.

WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER CHALLENGING DAY FOR CONVECTION AND RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. AS MCS MOVES INTO KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...COLD FRONT PASSES
OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS
SHOW A NEARLY SATURATED SOUNDING WITH EASTERLY FLOW UP TO 1.5KM
ABOVE THE SURFACE. PRECIPITABLE WATERS ARE STILL WELL OVER AN INCH
ON THE PLAINS AND I25 CORRIDOR. WITH NEARLY SATURATED LOWER
LEVELS...THERE COULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WARM RAIN PROCESSES
ENHANCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS. MAIN QUESTION IS HOW STRONG ANY STORMS
CAN BECOME TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS. CURRENT MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
THE ATMOSPHERE MAY BE TOO STABLE TO GET STRONG CONVECTION
DEVELOPING...BUT A MORE PROLONGED RAIN EVENT IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE
MOUNTAINS. AM ALWAYS LEARY OF VERY MOIST SOUNDINGS WITH 1.5KM DEEP
EASTERLY FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS..AS SHALLOW CONVECTION MAY GET
PINNED TO THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS. FURTHER
WEST...SOME MODEST DRYING WILL OCCUR...BUT STILL PLENTY OF
MOISTURE FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON STORMS.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

PRECIP MAY LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH PERSISTENT
UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE PLAINS AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS. RAINFALL
INTENSITY SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED AND UPSLOPE FLOW GRADUALLY WEAKENS
AFTER 06Z. MODELS ALL SEEM TO SUGGEST THU WILL BE A RATHER DOWN
DAY FOR CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY OVER THE PLAINS WHERE COOL AND
STABLE AIR MASS WILL PERSIST. MOUNTAINS WILL BECOME UNSTABLE
ENOUGH FOR AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING TSRA ONCE AGAIN...WITH HEAVY
RAIN POTENTIAL SHIFTING WESTWARD TOWARD THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
UNDER AXIS OF BEST INSTABILITY. MAX TEMPS WILL AGAIN BE MUCH
COOLER THAN SEASONAL AVERAGES MOST AREAS.

ON FRIDAY...AXIS OF DEEPER INSTABILITY SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARD THE
I-25 CORRIDOR...AND EXPECT A SLIGHT UPTURN IN TSRA
COVERAGE...ESPECIALLY EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS. FAR
EASTERN PLAINS THE BIGGEST QUESTION AS AIR MASS IS STILL RATHER
STABLE NEAR THE KS BORDER...THOUGH NW STEERING CURRENTS MAY ALLOW
A FEW WEAKENING TSRA TO DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS LATE FRI
AFTERNOON/EVENING. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN OVER AN INCH
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...SO THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN UNDER ANY STORMS
WILL CONTINUE. PATTERN CHANGES VERY LITTLE ON SAT...WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF FAIRLY HEALTHY AFTERNOON/EVENING TSRA. TEMPWISE...UPPER
LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL BE GRADUALLY BUILDING FRI/SAT...WITH TEMPS
WARMING MOST LOCATIONS...THOUGH MAX TEMPS WILL STILL FALL SHORT OF
SEASONAL VALUES.

UPPER RIDGE AXIS THEN DRIFTS EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE SUN
INTO MON...OPENING THE DOOR FOR AN INCREASED FLOW OF MOISTURE INTO
THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS SUN...THEN ALL MOUNTAIN AREAS EARLY NEXT
WEEK. BOTH ECMWF AND GFS LIFT A FAIRLY STRONG SHORT WAVE
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER RIDGE SUN NIGHT
INTO MON...WHICH MAY HELP PUSH MOUNTAIN TSRA ON TO THE PLAINS AS
WELL. SUSPECT CURRENT POPS FOR THE DAY 4-7 PROCEDURE MAY BE A
LITTLE TOO LOW AND WILL NEED TO BE NUDGED UPWARD IN SUBSEQUENT
FORECAST CYCLES. MAX TEMPS WILL CONTINUE CREEP UPWARD TOWARD
EARLY AUG AVERAGES...ESPECIALLY BY TUE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1107 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

HAVE INCLUDED LOW CLOUDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TAF SITES
OVERNIGHT AS MAIN RAIN AREA SHIFTS FARTHER EAST ONTO THE PLAINS. A
BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH
EASTERLY UPSLOPE SURFACE WINDS DEVELOPING. LATEST NAM DEPICTS
THIS FRONT MAKING IT OVER THE SOUTHEAST CO MOUNTAINS AND INTO THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY. ATMOSPHERE WILL BE NEARLY SATURATED IN THE LOWER
LEVELS...SO AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
COLORADO BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 235 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

MAIN CONCERNS ARE ADDRESSED IN SHORT TERM DISCUSSION. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES AND HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER STORMS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS WILL
EXTEND BEYOND THE BURN SCARS WITH RECENT RAINFALLS AND MOIST
SOILS. WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN
WEDNESDAY WITH DEEP UPSLOPE FLOW AND VERY MOIST LOWER LEVELS OVER
THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND EASTWARD. MAIN FACTOR AGAINST HEAVY
RAINS IS POSSIBLE LACK OF INSTABILITY TO GET STRONG STORMS TO
DEVELOP. WINDS ALOFT ALSO INCREASE SO STORMS MAY BE MOVE FASTER.
--PGW--

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR COZ072>089-
093>099.

&&

UPDATE...STARK
SHORT TERM...PGW
LONG TERM...PETERSEN
AVIATION...STARK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 29, 12:09 PM MDT, 11 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1209 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-301300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1209 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY STORM THREAT TODAY AS AN EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE MONSOON PLUME ACTS IN CONCERT WITH AFTERNOON
HEATING TO GENERATE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS.  THESE WILL MOVE OFF INTO THE PLAINS DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS BEFORE DEVELOPING INTO A THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTER ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST PLAINS OVERNIGHT. DUE TO
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGER STORMS. THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS WILL BE THE BURN
SCARS. HOWEVER AREAS WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY
RAIN...AND LOCATIONS IN AND NEAR STEEP TERRAIN WILL ALSO SEE AN
ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE FLASH
FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS AS A THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER DEVELOPS
AND SLOWLY MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST.

ONE OR TWO STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  HAIL UP TO 1 INCH
IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE A THREAT WITH ALL
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ASSOCIATED FLASH FLOODING
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER MANY PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO
FROM WEDNESDAY INTO POSSIBLY THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE MOUNTAINS MOST
AFTERNOONS...WITH STORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE ADJACENT HIGH
VALLEYS AND NEARBY PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
HIGHEST WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM LATER THIS WEEK
INTO THIS WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...IF ENOUGH PRECIPITATION
FALLS...PORTIONS OF THE ARKANSAS AND PURGATOIRE RIVERS...ALONG
WITH THEIR TRIBUTARY CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING
AT TIMES.

PLEASE REMEMBER THAT AREA BURN SCARS...URBAN AREAS...STEEP
TERRAIN LOCATIONS AND AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RECENT HEAVY
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO THE FLASH FLOOD RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

06/06

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 29, 9:35 PM MDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
935 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0931 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE COLORADO SPRINGS  38.89N 104.79W
07/29/2014  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   BROADCAST MEDIA

0932 PM     HEAVY RAIN       7 N LAMAR               38.18N 102.62W
07/29/2014  M3.00 INCH       PROWERS            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MN
Local storm report, Jul 29, 9:44 PM MDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
944 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0932 PM     HEAVY RAIN       7 N LAMAR               38.18N 102.62W
07/29/2014  M3.00 INCH       PROWERS            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0931 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE COLORADO SPRINGS  38.89N 104.79W
07/29/2014  M0.78 INCH       EL PASO            CO   EMERGENCY MNGR

0927 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WSW FALCON            38.90N 104.68W
07/29/2014  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   BROADCAST MEDIA

0858 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NE SWEETWATER RESERVO 38.37N 102.73W
07/29/2014                   KIOWA              CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 287 AT MM 105 IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

0856 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.82N 104.86W
07/29/2014  M1.43 INCH       EL PASO            CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            0.98 FELL SINCE 745 PM.

0831 PM     HEAVY RAIN       EADS                    38.48N 102.77W
07/29/2014  M5.64 INCH       KIOWA              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0816 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SW COLORADO SPRINGS   38.80N 104.85W
07/29/2014  M1.41 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.70 SINCE 745 PM

0650 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NE MANITOU SPRINGS    38.88N 104.87W
07/29/2014  M0.68 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN PAST 40 MINUTES

0532 PM     FLASH FLOOD      EADS                    38.48N 102.77W
07/29/2014                   KIOWA              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 8 TO 10 INCHES OF WATER IS FLOWING SOUTH
            ACROSS YARDS.

0459 PM     FLASH FLOOD      EADS                    38.48N 102.78W
07/29/2014                   KIOWA              CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 287 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0424 PM     FLASH FLOOD      EADS                    38.48N 102.77W
07/29/2014                   KIOWA              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER STREETS THROUGHOUT
            EADS. 10 TO 12 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING THROUGH SMALL
            DRAINAGE DITCHES. ROAD THROUGH UNDERPASS IS CLOSED.

0413 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ESE EADS              38.48N 102.77W
07/29/2014                   KIOWA              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING AT LEAST 6 INCHES DEEP

0741 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NE SPANISH PEAKS      37.43N 104.90W
07/29/2014  M1.20 INCH       HUERFANO           CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN FELL OVERNIGHT

0111 AM     FLOOD            2 N BLANCA              37.47N 105.51W
07/29/2014                   COSTILLA           CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER FLOWING 2-4 FEET DEEP OVER ROADWAYS BETWEEN 1
            MILE NORTH TO 3 MILES NORTH OF BLANCA

1243 AM     FLOOD            4 N BLANCA              37.50N 105.51W
07/29/2014                   COSTILLA           CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS. CEDAR AVE AND SEVERAL OTHER
            DIRT ROADS WASHED OUT FROM RAIN WHICH FELL UP BASIN FROM
            THIS LOCATION. FLOODING BEGAIN 930 PM AND PEAKED AT 1130
            PM AND IS STILL ONGOING.

0740 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NNE ROSITA            38.16N 105.28W
07/28/2014  M1.75 INCH       CUSTER             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAIN LASTED ABOUT AN HOUR. HEAVY RAIN ENDED ABOUT
            740 PM MDT.

0715 PM     FLOOD            4 NNE SPANISH PEAKS     37.43N 104.92W
07/28/2014                   HUERFANO           CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HUERFANO COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS FLOODING ON CR 340 NEAR
            BOY SCOUT RANCH

0530 PM     HEAVY RAIN       10 NNW WALSENBURG       37.75N 104.86W
07/28/2014  M2.00 INCH       HUERFANO           CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MN
Local storm report, Jul 29, 9:46 PM MDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
946 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S BEULAH              38.07N 104.98W
07/29/2014  M0.65 INCH       PUEBLO             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN THE PAST 40 MINUTES

&&

MW
Local storm report, Jul 29, 9:56 PM MDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
956 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.82N 104.86W
07/29/2014  M1.64 INCH       EL PASO            CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

MN
Local storm report, Jul 29, 9:57 PM MDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
957 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 PM     FLASH FLOOD      7 N LAMAR               38.18N 102.62W
07/29/2014                   PROWERS            CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            12 INCHES OF WATER OVER COUNTY ROAD 8 AND RR ROAD.

&&

STARK
Local storm report, Jul 29, 10:40 PM MDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1040 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1037 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NE LAMAR              38.12N 102.56W
07/29/2014                   PROWERS            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2.94 RAIN. FLOODING OCCURING ACROSS HIS PROPERTY.

&&

KLT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 6:01 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso119 min
Jul 29, 6:17 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso118 min
Jul 29, 6:46 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 29, 7:35 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBKiowa6 hr
Jul 29, 7:51 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBFremont24 min
Jul 29, 8:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBFremont27 min
Jul 29, 8:29 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBFremont2 hr
Jul 29, 8:52 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller23 min
Jul 29, 9:15 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBBaca, Las Animas2 hr
Jul 29, 9:30 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBBaca, Bent, Las Animas, Prowers5 hr
Jul 29, 10:02 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBLas Animas3 hr
Jul 29, 10:19 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBKiowa, Prowers3 hr
Jul 29, 11:02 PM MDTAreal Flood WarningPUBBent, Kiowa, Prowers6 hr
Jul 29, 11:03 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBBaca3 hr
Jul 30, 12:17 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBBaca3 hr
Jul 30, 12:18 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBBent, Prowers3 hr
Jul 30, 12:41 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBProwers3 hr
Jul 30, 12:48 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBBaca, Las Animas, Prowers3 hr
Jul 30, 2:36 AM MDTAreal Flood WarningPUBBaca5 hr
Jul 30, 3:06 AM MDTAreal Flood WarningPUBBent, Otero3 hr
Jul 30, 2:33 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso117 min
Jul 30, 2:48 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso117 min
Jul 30, 3:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller22 min
Jul 30, 5:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller32 min
Jul 30, 5:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBAlamosa31 min
Jul 30, 5:57 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBSaguache2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2014Every flash flood watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.