Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Pocatello, ID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
150 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UNCHARACTERISTICALLY DEEP
AND WET LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS NOTED OVER PENDLETON WITH NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVERSPREADING SE IDAHO AHEAD OF
THE LOW THIS AFTERNOON. THE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE LOW WILL SHIFT
OVER SUN VALLEY TONIGHT...IDAHO FALLS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN
BILLINGS SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ACCOMPANYING PRECIPITATION GENERALLY
TAPERING OFF SOME LATE TONIGHT AND THEN REDEVELOPING ACROSS THE
CNTRL AND ERN MOUNTAINS AND THE UPPER SNAKE PLAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS SRN IDAHO SATURDAY
NIGHT/SUNDAY AS THE LOW LIFTS NE OF THE REGION. NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE
ANTICIPATED OVER THE CNTRL MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE EVENING...SOME
HEAVY AT TIMES. THUS WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH...PRIMARILY
FOR THE BURN SCARS...THROUGH MIDNIGHT. HUSTON

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. SECONDARY ENERGY
DROPS INTO THE WRN EXTENT OF THE EXITING TROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY
BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE REGION MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT.
CLEARING SKIES AND A PERIOD OF DRIER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE NRN
GREAT BASIN. FOR THE WEEKEND...THE GFS IS PROJECTING THAT HURRICANE
MARIE...NOW LOCATED WEST OF ACAPULCO...WILL LIFT NW AND EVENTUALLY
GET SWEPT INTO YET ANOTHER PAC THROUGH SWEEPING INTO THE NW COAST
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WE WILL OBVIOUSLY BE WATCHING THESE DEVELOPMENTS
WITH INTEREST. HUSTON
&&

.AVIATION...CURRENT WV/IR IMAGERY SHOWING UPPER LOW DEEPENING OVER
PAC NW THIS AFTERNOON WITH JET STREAK DYNAMICS ENHANCING CONVECTION
OVER SOUTHEAST IDAHO. EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS TODAY...BUT
HEAVIER SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE SOME LOWER VISIBILITY. WITH SOME
CLEARING EXPECTED OVER THE SNAKE PLAIN TONIGHT AND ABUNDANT
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...PIH AND IDA MAY SEE SOME CIG/VIS ISSUES IN THE
MORNING. HINSBERGER
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT
AS UPPER LOW DRIFTS FROM THE COLUMBIA RIVER BASIN INTO SOUTHEAST
IDAHO. INSTABILITY...LIFT AND MOISTURE ARE ALL IN PLACE THIS
AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH SHOULD DIMINISH SOMEWHAT OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN RECENT BURN AREAS. UPPER LOW
TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL DRIFT INTO THE YELLOWSTONE AREA...AND MODELS
SHOWING MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WRAPPING AROUND INTO FIRE
ZONES 475 AND 476...THEN DRIFTING OVER ZONES 410 AND 411 IN THE
EASTERN HIGHLANDS TOMORROW EVENING. WEATHER LOOKS A LITTLE QUIETER
ON SUNDAY...BUT ANOTHER UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE
REGION ON MONDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL FOCUS THE PRECIPITATION MAINLY
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. CONDITIONS SHOULD RAPIDLY IMPROVE BY
TUESDAY AND UPPER RIDGING SHOULD LEAD TO DRIER WEATHER THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK.  HINSBERGER
&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL MIDNIGHT IDZ018-031-032.
&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
502 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             S RICHFIELD             43.05N 114.15W
08/22/2014  E1.00 INCH       LINCOLN            ID   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE INCH HAIL

&&

DPHELPS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
519 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

IDZ021>023-230015-
ONEIDA ID-BINGHAM ID-POWER ID-BANNOCK ID-
519 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN BANNOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  EASTERN POWER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  SOUTH CENTRAL BINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  NORTHWESTERN ONEIDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO

UNTIL 615 PM MDT

AT 509 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINSHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM STERLING TO 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF HOLBROOK..AND MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...
ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
   PINGREE AND FORT HALL BANNOCK PEAK...
   FORT HALL BANNOCK CREEK LODGE...
   FORT HALL BUFFALO LODGE...
   CHUBBUCK...FORT HALL CITY AND POCATELLO...
   FORT HALL EAGLE LODGE...
   FORT HALL PUTNAM LODGE...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4313 11218 4227 11239 4227 11297 4313 11276
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 270DEG 17KT 4304 11264 4236 11281

MESSICK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
612 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HEAVY RAIN       15 WNW KETCHUM          43.77N 114.65W
08/22/2014  M0.50 INCH       BLAINE             ID   MESONET

            ONE HALF INCH RAIN FALL IN LESS THAN AN HOUR. THIS IS IN
            THE BEAVER CREEK BURN AREA.

&&

DPHELPS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
652 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

IDZ017-230130-
LINCOLN ID-
652 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IDAHO

UNTIL 730 PM MDT

AT 650 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHOSHONE..MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL WESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...
  RURAL CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY...

LAT...LON 4320 11455 4321 11453 4309 11407 4287 11422
      4302 11457
TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 297DEG 14KT 4311 11450

HEDGES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
713 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

IDZ017-230200-
LINCOLN ID-
713 PM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IDAHO

UNTIL 800 PM MDT

AT 710 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GOODING..MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
   SHOSHONE...

LAT...LON 4298 11459 4292 11415 4280 11420 4280 11434
      4283 11438 4284 11439 4285 11459 4286 11460
      4298 11461
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 286DEG 19KT 4290 11468

HEDGES

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