High Wind Watch 1, NWS Pocatello, ID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
322 AM MDT SUN MAR 16 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
WILL HAVE ANOTHER QUIET AND WARM DAY TODAY AHEAD OF STRONG COLD
FRONT APPROACHING ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT LEAST 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND IT WILL BECOME BREEZY IN THE
AFTERNOON IN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN. THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH QUICKLY MONDAY WITH A VERY STRONG COLD FRONT. THE FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
MOVE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE BY 8 AM MONDAY MORNING.
EXPECT EXTREMELY STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ESPECIALLY IN THE
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS....EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY AND SNAKE RIVER
PLAIN. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY FOR THOSE
AREAS FROM 8 AM THROUGH 6 PM. COULD SEE SUSTAINED WINDS OF OVER 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. DO NOT EXPECT HEAVY SNOW WITH THE SYSTEM
DUE TO THE SPEED IT IS MOVING BUT STILL THINK 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH
COLDER ON MONDAY BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE RANGE OF 10 TO 15 DEGREES
COLDER THAN SUNDAY WITH THE COLD WEATHER CONTINUING TUESDAY AS
TEMPERATURES FALL TO BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR MID MARCH. WINDS
SHOULD DROP OFF QUICKLY MONDAY EVENING AND REMAIN LIGHT TUESDAY.
GK

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. A MINOR DISTURBANCE
WILL CROSS CENTRAL IDAHO AND THE PAN HANDLE AREA WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GFS IS A LITTLE FASTER BRING PRECIPITATION THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THAN THE OTHER MODELS...OTHERWISE VERY LIMITED
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. ABOUT 1 TO 2 INCHES ON THE WEST FACING
SLOPES AROUND STANLEY AND CHALLIS...ONLY AN INCH OR SO AROUND MACKS
INN AND DRIGGS. A FEW SHOWERS LINGER NEAR THE IDAHO AND MONTANA LINE
THURSDAY. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY A WEEK WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN...VERY LITTLE MOISTURE FOR EVEN SPOTTY SHOWERS IN THE
MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES REMAIN WITHIN 2 OR 3 DEGREES OF NORMAL
THROUGH THE PERIOD. RS

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. IN THE SNAKE PLAIN...BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH BETWEEN 18-02Z. A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL REACH KSUN BY 11-12Z MONDAY AND KPIH ABOUT 13-14Z. WIND GUSTS
MAY REACH 50 TO 60 MPH AT KBYI...KPIH AND KIDA. NAM12 MODEL AND NAM
MOS GUIDANCE FAVORS WINDS DECREASING BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON
17/21Z. MVFR CEILINGS IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF
SITES BETWEEN 17/11-19Z. AT KBYI AND KPIH SNOW SHOWERS MAY MIX WITH
RAIN SHOWERS. RS

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
IDZ017-020>022.

&&

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