Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Winter Weather Advisories in 2014

Winter Weather Advisory 5, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

January 24, 20148 counties in Pennsylvania; Hunterdon County, Sussex County, Warren County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 24, 2014, 2:10 PM EST for 8 counties in Pennsylvania; Hunterdon County, Sussex County, Warren County, New Jersey. It took effect at Jan 25, 2014, 8:00 AM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 24, 2014, 2:10 PM EST (19:10 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 25, 2014, 8:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 25, 2014, 8:20 PM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Hunterdon County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-01-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-01-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -37 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
978 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

417 
WWUS41 KPHI 241910
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
210 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014
 
PAZ054-055-251000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.140125T1300Z-140126T0300Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
210 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM
TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE POCONOS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.
 
* TIMING...SNOW SHOULD MOVE IN DURING SATURDAY MORNING AND FALL
  MODERATELY AT TIMES INTO THE AFTERNOON. DURING THE EVENING MORE
  SCATTERED, BUT INTENSE, SNOW SQUALLS SHOULD OCCUR IN SOME AREAS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL. THE SNOW WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES. SNOW
  SQUALLS DURING SATURDAY EVENING WILL CAUSE SHARPLY DIFFERENT
  DRIVING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES. GUSTY
  SOUTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
  SNOW.
 
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE TEENS ON SATURDAY DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE
  NUMBERS SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WIND CHILLS...IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS ON SATURDAY AND FALLING TO 
  NEAR 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND HALF A MILE AT TIMES...EXCEPT MUCH LOWER
  IN ANY SNOW SQUALLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF 
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT UNDER ANY
CIRCUMSTANCES TAILGATE. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE EXTRA BLANKETS IN YOUR
VEHICLES IN CASE TRAFFIC GETS HALTED.

&&

$$

NJZ001-007-009-PAZ060>062-101>103-105-251000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.140125T1500Z-140125T2200Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-HUNTERDON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...FLEMINGTON...
READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
CHALFONT...PERKASIE
210 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM
EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY, BERKS COUNTY, THE LEHIGH
  VALLEY AND THE NORTHWEST PHILADELPHIA SUBURBS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. 
 
* TIMING...SNOW SHOULD MOVE IN LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL LIKELY COVER ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL. THE SNOW WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES. GUSTY
  SOUTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST WINDS AT NIGHT WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING OF SNOW.
 
* WIND CHILLS...IN THE TEENS ON SATURDAY AND FALLING TO NEAR ZERO ON
  SATURDAY NIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S WHILE ITS SNOWING.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND HALF A MILE AT TIMES.

* SATURDAY EVENING...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR
  SQUALLS MIGHT MAKE IT INTO THE REGION AND LOCALLY DROP AROUND AN
  ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF 
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT TAILGATE.

&&

$$


DRAG/GIGI
6 follow-up statements
355 
WWUS41 KPHI 250903
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
403 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

PAZ054-055-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.140125T1300Z-140126T0300Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
403 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS
MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE POCONOS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN THIS MORNING AND FALL
  MODERATELY AT TIMES INTO THIS AFTERNOON. DURING THE EVENING MORE
  SCATTERED...BUT INTENSE...SNOW SQUALLS SHOULD OCCUR IN SOME
  AREAS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL. THE SNOW WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES. SNOW
  SQUALLS THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE SHARPLY DIFFERENT DRIVING
  CONDITIONS ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES. GUSTY SOUTHWEST
  THEN NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE TEENS...DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
  TONIGHT. 

* WIND CHILLS...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TODAY AND THEN FALLING TO
  NEAR 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND HALF A MILE AT TIMES...WITH LOWER
  VISIBILITIES IN ANY SQUALLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA
TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES
TAILGATE. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE EXTRA BLANKETS IN YOUR VEHICLES IN
CASE TRAFFIC GETS HALTED.

&&

$$

NJZ001-007-009-PAZ060>062-101>103-105-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.140125T1500Z-140125T2200Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-HUNTERDON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...FLEMINGTON...
READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
CHALFONT...PERKASIE
403 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY, BERKS COUNTY, THE LEHIGH
  VALLEY AND THE NORTHWEST PHILADELPHIA SUBURBS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL MOVE IN LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL LIKELY COVER ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS
  TRAVEL. THE SNOW WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES. GUSTY
  SOUTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST WINDS AT NIGHT WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING OF SNOW.

* WIND CHILLS...IN THE TEENS TODAY AND FALLING TO NEAR ZERO
  TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S WHILE IT IS SNOWING.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND HALF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TONIGHT...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR SQUALLS
  MIGHT MAKE IT INTO THE REGION AND LOCALLY DROP AROUND AN
  ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA
TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT TAILGATE.

&&

$$
782 
WWUS41 KPHI 251500
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1000 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

NJZ001-007-009-PAZ060>062-101>103-105-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140125T2200Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-HUNTERDON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...FLEMINGTON...
READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
CHALFONT...PERKASIE
1000 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA
  FROM WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE FOR AWHILE THIS
  AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT, SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR SOME BRIEF
  SQUALLS MIGHT MAKE IT INTO THE REGION AND LOCALLY DROP AROUND AN
  ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. THE SNOW WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
  GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY THEN NORTHWEST TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE
  SOME AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* WIND CHILLS...IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS TODAY, THEN FALLING
  TO NEAR ZERO TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S TODAY.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS AROUND HALF A MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA
TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT TAILGATE.

&&

$$

PAZ054-055-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140126T0300Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1000 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL FALL MODERATELY AT TIMES INTO THIS AFTERNOON.
  DURING THE EVENING MORE SCATTERED, BUT BRIEF INTENSE, SNOW
  SQUALLS SHOULD OCCUR IN SOME AREAS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. THE SNOW WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
  SNOW SQUALLS THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE SHARPLY DIFFERENT DRIVING
  CONDITIONS ALONG WITH BRIEF NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES. GUSTY
  SOUTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME AREAS OF BLOWING
  AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE TEENS, THEN DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE
  DIGITS TONIGHT.

* WIND CHILLS...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TODAY, THEN FALLING TO NEAR
  15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND HALF A MILE AT TIMES, WITH LOWER
  VISIBILITIES IN ANY SQUALLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA
TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT NOT TAILGATE. MAKE SURE
YOU HAVE EXTRA BLANKETS IN YOUR VEHICLES IN CASE TRAFFIC GETS
HALTED.

&&

$$
851 
WWUS41 KPHI 251701
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1201 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

NJZ001-007-009-PAZ060>062-101>103-105-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140125T2200Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-HUNTERDON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...FLEMINGTON...
READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
CHALFONT...PERKASIE
1201 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW MAY QUITE FOR A LITTLE WHILE BUT WILL START UP
  AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THEN DURING THE EVENING MORE SCATTERED...
  BUT BRIEF INTENSE... SNOW SQUALLS SHOULD OCCUR IN SOME AREAS
  WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. THE SNOW WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES.
  SNOW SQUALLS THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE SHARPLY DIFFERENT DRIVING
  CONDITIONS ALONG WITH BRIEF NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES. GUSTY
  NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
  SNOW LATE TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...NEAR 20...DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
  TONIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT TAILGATE.

&&

$$

PAZ054-055-260115-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140126T0300Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1201 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE AT VARYING INTENSITIES THROUGH THIS
  AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE TEENS. THEN FOR
  TONIGHT... SNOW SHOWERS AND SCATTERED BRIEF SQUALLS WILL LOCALLY
  ADD ANOTHER INCH OR SO OF SNOW.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. WINDS WILL BECOME
  GUSTY NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND
  DRIFTING SNOW.

* WIND CHILLS...MOSTLY IN THE ZERO TO 12 ABOVE RANGE THEN FALLING
  LATE TONIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT NOT TAILGATE. MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE EXTRA BLANKETS IN YOUR VEHICLES IN CASE TRAFFIC
GETS HALTED.

&&

$$
591 
WWUS41 KPHI 252019
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
319 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

NJZ001-007-009-PAZ060>062-101>103-105-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140125T2200Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-HUNTERDON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...FLEMINGTON...
READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
CHALFONT...PERKASIE
319 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
  COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEST TO EAST. DURING THE
  EVENING MORE SCATTERED... BUT BRIEF INTENSE... SNOW SQUALLS
  SHOULD OCCUR IN SOME AREAS WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW
  POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. THE SNOW WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED 
  VISIBILITIES. SNOW SQUALLS THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE SHARPLY 
  DIFFERENT DRIVING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH BRIEF NEAR ZERO 
  VISIBILITIES. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LATE TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW TO MID 20S...DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE
  DIGITS TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT TAILGATE.

&&

$$

PAZ054-055-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140126T0300Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
319 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE AT VARYING INTENSITIES THROUGH THE
  EVENING WITH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE TEENS. THEN FOR TONIGHT...
  SNOW SHOWERS AND SCATTERED BRIEF SQUALLS WILL LOCALLY ADD
  ANOTHER INCH OR SO OF SNOW.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. WINDS WILL BECOME 
  GUSTY NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND 
  DRIFTING SNOW.

* WIND CHILLS...MOSTLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BEFORE FALLING LATE
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT NOT TAILGATE. MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE EXTRA BLANKETS IN YOUR VEHICLES IN CASE TRAFFIC
GETS HALTED.

&&

$$

HEAVENER
763 
WWUS41 KPHI 252205
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
505 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

NJZ001-007-009-PAZ060>062-101>103-105-252315-
/O.EXP.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140125T2200Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-HUNTERDON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...FLEMINGTON...
READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...
CHALFONT...PERKASIE
505 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW HAVE NOW SHIFTED TO THE EAST OF THE REGION
ALLOWING THE ADVISORY TO EXPIRE.

$$

PAZ054-055-260300-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140126T0300Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
505 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARD TYPES...BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ANOTHER INCH POSSIBLE FROM WHAT HAS FALLEN EARLIER
  TODAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES TOTAL.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS AND SCATTERED BRIEF SQUALLS WILL LOCALLY
  ADD ANOTHER INCH OR SO OF SNOW LATER THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL COVER UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND MAKE FOR 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. WINDS WILL BECOME 
  GUSTY NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND 
  DRIFTING SNOW.

* WIND CHILLS...SINGLE DIGITS BEFORE FALLING LATER TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. DO NOT NOT TAILGATE. MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE EXTRA BLANKETS IN YOUR VEHICLES IN CASE TRAFFIC
GETS HALTED.

&&

$$

HEAVENER
958 
WWUS41 KPHI 260120
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
820 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

PAZ054-055-260230-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140126T0300Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
820 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND A QUICK HITTING SNOW SQUALL MAY AFFECT THE
REGION LATER THIS EVENING. ANY IMPACTS FROM THE SQUALL WILL BE
HIGHLIGHTED USING A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT.

$$

HEAVENER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 24, 11:43 AM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 11:43 AM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1143 AM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE
INTO NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH, A FEW WEAK SYSTEMS WILL CROSS THE AREA
BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN CANADA ON SATURDAY, WITH ITS ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT CROSSING OUR AREA LATE IN THE DAY. FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY, MORE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE
NORTHEAST, SENDING ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION LATE
MONDAY MORNING. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE THEN RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF
FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WIND CHILL ADVY FOR THE POCONOS CANCELLED.

THIS AFTERNOON...CONTINENTAL ARCTIC AIR MASS IS ENTRENCHED OVER
THE REGION. SUNNY AND COLD WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS 20 MPH
BACKING THIS AFTERNOON.

HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

WIND CHILL DROPPED TO -21 AT KMPO AROUND 12Z.

TONIGHT...THICKENING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. NOT AS COLD WITH
A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND. VERY SMALL CHANCE SNOW BEGINS AT
DAYBREAK IN THE POCONOS? WX GRIDS WERE REPOSTED AT 945 AM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...
SATURDAY...LOW PRES MOVG FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO INTO SOUTHERN
QUEBEC CANADA WITH ITS ATTENDANT CDFNT APPROACHING FROM THE W LATE
IN THE DAY. PERIODS OF SNOW IN THE WAA AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH
CHESAPEAKE BAY POSSIBLY ENHANCING SNOWFALL ACROSS SE PA AND
WESTERN NJ WITH AN ADDITIONAL MOISTURE SOURCE. LAPSE RATES STEEPEN
LATE IN THE DAY SO THAT WHICH IS PERIODIC SNOW MIDDAY MAY BECOME
MORE SQUALLY TOWARD 6 PM IN EASTERN PA.

SINCE THE GROUND IS ICE COLD...WHATEVER FALLS WILL STICK.

MODELS ARE FCSTG .1 TO .25 QPF WESTERN NJ E PA AND E MD. AM PROBABLY
POSTING A SNOW ADVY FOR PTNS OF E PA AT 2030Z PENDING 12Z MODEL
REVIEW. MOST OF THE SNOW OCCURS 15Z-21Z. SNOW GROWTH IS MODEST SO
NOT A BIG FLUFF FACTOR EXPECTED AND SW RATIOS PROBABLY CLOSE TO 11
OR 12 TO 1. WILL REREVIEW SW RATIOS LATER TODAY. HWO HAS BEEN
UPDATED FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMTS AND THE UPDATED SNOWMAP WAS POSTED
AROUND 10 AM. WILL REPOST AS SOON AS CONFIDENT OF HIGHER AMTS I95.
AS IT STANDS WE WILL PROBABLY ADD AN INCH OF SNOW TO THE MAP FOR
THE I95 CORRIDOR EASTWARD ALMOST TO THE COAST IN THE MIDDAY
UPDATE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CONTINUED WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE MAIN STORY
THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

AS THIS LOW INTENSIFIES OVER THE CAN MARITIMES, IT WILL GET A BIT
BREEZY SAT NIGHT INTO EARLY SUN AS THE PGRAD BETWEEN THE LOW AND
HIGH PRES TO THE SW INCREASES.

THAT AREA OF HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN FOR LATER SAT AND MOST OF SUN
BRINGING ANOTHER COLD BUT DRY DAY.

THEN, YET ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE ACRS SERN CAN SUN NIGHT AND ITS
ASSOCD CDFNT WILL CROSS THE REGION ERLY MON. THIS LOW, ANOTHER
ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM HAS EVEN LESS MOISTURE WITH IT AND WILL BE
WEAKER, BUT COULD STILL BRING SOME SNOW MAINLY TO THE NRN THIRD OF
THE REGION.  ANY ACCUMS WOULD BE LIGHTER THAN THE SAT EVENT.

BEHIND THIS LOW, A HUGE ARCTIC (ALMOST 1050 MB) HIGH BUILDS ACRS
THE CNTRL CONUS FROM CANADA. THIS WILL BE THE DOMINANT WX FEATURE
FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. IT WILL BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF
EXTREMELY COLD AIR AND SHOULD KEEP MOST, IF NOT ALL OF THE PD
PRECIP FREE.

THERE IS ONE POTENTIAL FLY IN THE OINTMENT, HOWEVER. ALL OF THE
MDLS DEVELOP A LOW OFF THE SERN CST AROUND WED. THEY THEN MOVE
THIS LOW NEWD. THE VAST MAJORITY OF THEM KEEP THE LOW WELL OFF THE
COAST WITH NO IMPACT ON OUR WX. THE ECMWF THOUGH HAS A SLIGHTLY
MORE WWD TRACK AND BRINGS A GLANCING BLOW TO OUR ERN LOCATIONS ON
WED. THE TREND SO FAR THIS WINTER (AS EVERYONE CAN SEE BY LOOKING
OUT THEIR WINDOWS) IS FOR A MORE WWD TRACK TO VERIFY AND GENLY FOR
A MORE WWD PROGRESSION WITH TIME. NOW, THE UPR AIR PATN IS A LOT
MORE PROGRESSIVE THIS TIME AND WITH SUCH A LARGE HIGH TO THE W OF
THE LOW, A WWD TRACK MAY NOT HAPPEN, BUT SOMETIMES A PERSISTENCE
FCST ENDS UP BEING THE BEST FCST. SO, WILL INTRODUCE SOME LOW POPS
IN OUR ERN AREAS, AND KEEP AN EYE ON THIS ONE. OF COURSE, THE
ECMWF IS OFTEN ONE OF THE BETTER MDLS AS WELL.

THU IS DRY EVEN IN THE ECMWF SCENARIO.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NRML. SOME OF THE MORE OPTIMISTIC
GUIDANCE SAYS MANY AREAS WILL GET TO OR ABOVE FREEZING ON SAT,
WHILE THE MORE PESSIMISTIC GUID INDICATES MOST AREA WILL NOT. SUN
IS A RETURN TO THE FREEZER. THEN ALL GUID INDICATES MANY
LOCATIONS WOULD GET A DECENT SHOT AT ABV FREEZING TEMPS ON MON
BEFORE A RETURN TO THE DEEP FREEZE ON TUE AND WED. THE GUID IS
IMPLYING THAT THERE COULD BE SOME MODERATION BY NEXT WEEKEND. I
WONDER WHAT THE GROUNDHOG WILL HAVE TO SAY ABOUT ALL THIS?

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

TODAY...VFR CLEAR. NW -W WIND G NEAR 20 KT WITH WINDS BACKING LATE
IN THE DAY.

TONIGHT...CIGS AOA 12000 FT QUICKLY DEVELOP. WIND BECOMING S-SW
WITH POSSIBLE GUST 20-25 KT ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE WARMER WATERS
(KWWD/KACY) AFTER 06Z IN COLD BOUNDARY LAYER WARM AIR ADVECTION
(20S) OVER THE 33 WATER TEMP.

SAT...VFR CIGS LOWERING TO MVFR/IFR IN PERIODS OF SNOW. GUSTY
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. TIMING OF IFR CONDS IN SNOW MAINLY
BETWEEN 16Z-22Z SATURDAY THOUGH CONFIDENCE ON DETAILS IS LESS THAN
AVERAGE.

OUTLOOK...

SAT NIGHT-SUN...GENERALLY VFR. POSSIBLE BRIEF IFR CONDS IN SNOW
SHOWERS OR SQUALLS SATURDAY EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
RAPIDLY EWD. OVERALL HIGH CONFIDENCE THOUGH LESSER CONFIDENCE IN
IFR CONDS OCCURRENCE WITH SNOW SHOWERS.

SUN NIGHT AND EARLY MON...VFR EARLY WITH POSSIBLE LOWER CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING AS ANOTHER SYSTEM BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOW
SHWRS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHWRS WILL BE MAINLY
NORTH AND W OF THE KPHL METRO AREA. MDT CONFIDENCE.

LATER MON-TUE...VFR. HIGH PRESSURE RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.  NW WIND 15 TO 20 KT.

&&

.MARINE...
GUSTY NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY...
INCREASING ESPECIALLY AFTER 00Z AS THE WIND TURNS SOUTHWEST.

A LONG PERIOD OF GALE WARNING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES
THE REGION.

FREEZING SPRAY CONTINUES AT VARYING RATES THROUGH TONIGHT.

AN ADVISORY FOR FREEZING SPRAY CONTINUES THIS MORNING WITH RATES
IN THE .3 TO .8/HR RANGE THROUGH MOST OF THE WATERS.

OUTLOOK...
SAT NIGHT-SUN...GALE WARNING HAS BEEN RAISED AS STRONG SWLY WIND
WILL SHIFT TO NWLY BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A CDFNT. THE WIND COULD
GUST IN THE 40 TO 45 KT RANGE ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT. THERE IS A
SMALL CHANCE OF STORM FORCE GUSTS DURG A PORTION OF THIS TIME
FRAME AS WELL. SEAS WILL INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY AS WELL. BY THE
SECOND HALF OF SUN, CONDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE.

MON...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA WATERS MON MRNG,
WITH SCA FLAGS NEEDED ONCE AGAIN AND A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE PSBL.

TUE...NW WIND CONTINUING WITH SCA GUSTS PSBL.

FREEZING SPRAY OF VARYING RATES IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AN ICE JAM APPEARS TO BE FORMING ON THE DELAWARE NEAR TRENTON ..
SIMILAR TO THE JANUARY 8TH TIME FRAME. THE DELAWARE AT TRENTON
ROSE A FOOT DURING THE 4 HOURS ENDING 1415Z. MONITORING ITS SLOW
RISE. NO ACTION AT THIS TIME.

OTHER ICE JAMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO FORM THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF
FEBRUARY AS SUBFREEZING TEMPS CONTINUE MOST EVERYDAY IN THIS
PERSISTENTLY COLD PATTERN.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A WESTERLY SURFACE FLOW WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FLOW
SHOULD BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY FOR A TIME FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE BECOMING WESTERLY AGAIN FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. WATER WILL CONTINUE TO BE PUSHED AWAY FROM THE COAST FOR
MUCH OF THE PERIOD, EVENTUALLY RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW
WATER ISSUES ALONG THE COAST, ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ON THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE GUIDANCE IS
SUGGESTING MARGINAL BLOW OUT TIDES AT MOST AROUND THE TIMES OF LOW
TIDE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
SEASONALLY..KILG AND KPHL ARE NOW RANKED TOP 25 SNOWFALL THROUGH
AT LEAST 120 YEARS OF RECORD KEEPING.

KPHL FOR JANUARY IS NOW TOP 5 ALL TIME SNOWFALL DATING BACK TO
1872.

KPHL JAN SNOWFALL RANKING
1 33.9 1996
2 28.9 1918
3 25.2 2011
4 23.4 1978
5 22.5 2014
6 21.5 1935
7 20.0 1893
8 19.7 1961
9 16.1  1912
10 16.0 1966

THE RANKING BOTH SEASONALLY AND MONTHLY ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE AS
THE LAGGED ENSEMBLE CFSV2 FOR THE PAST 9 DAYS (SINCE THE 13TH) HAS
BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN FOR THE NEXT
3 TO 4 WEEKS (THRU MID FEBRUARY WITH SOME SIGN OF WEAKENING BUT A
STILL RESIDUALLY COLD PATTERN EVEN IN MID FEBRUARY). COLDER THAN
NORMAL AND POSSIBLE SNOW EVENTS WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF
SIGNIFICANT PCPN EVENTS IN FEBRUARY. AM FAR FROM SURE WHATS DRIVING
THE PATTERN... IT APPEARS TO BE COMBINED -EPO AND THE CURRENTLY
STRONG +PNA. N ATLC BLOCKING (-NAO) HAS BEEN NEUTRAL OR POSITIVE
MOST OF THE WINTER SO FAR... AND SO IT APPEARS THE NAO HAS NOT
BEEN MUCH..IF ANY..FACTOR IN THIS WINTERS COLD.

IN ANY CASE...THE DEVELOPING PERSISTENT COLD PATTERN (VARIABILITY
DOES ALLOW FOR A DAY OR 2 PER WEEK OF NEAR NORMAL TEMPS) ASSURES
WELL BELOW NORMAL MONTHLY AVG TEMPS HERE IN THE MOUNT HOLLY FCST
AREA FOR JANUARY AND PROBABLY THROUGH A GOOD CHUNK OF EARLY
FEBRUARY...AT LEAST AS MODELED BY THE CFSV2. THIS FITS THE CPC
DAY8-14 AND MONTHLY OUTLOOKS AS CURRENTLY POSTED THIS MORNING.

VULNERABLE LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS THAT WE ARE FCSTG TO BE
APPROACHED WITHIN 2 DEGREES ARE LISTED BELOW.

1/28
KRDG 2 2005
KMPO -4 2005

THE NEXT 10 DAYS...

FOR KPHL...THE JANUARY AVG TEMP IS CURRENTLY PROJECTED TO BE BETWEEN
27.5 AND 28 DEGREES OR ABOUT 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...NOT THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE 60 DAYS OF PERSISTENT EXCESSIVE COLD OF
INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT. SINCE LATE
NOVEMBER...OUR AVG TEMP IN THE PHL CWA HAS AVG'D BELOW NORMAL!

THE PROJECTED MONTHLY JANUARY AVG TEMP FOR PHL SHOULD BE THE
COLDEST SINCE 2004 WHEN THE AVG TEMPS WAS 26.1 DEGREES.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
KABE AWPAG SHOULD BE FIXED LATER TODAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ430-
     431-450>455.
     FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NIERENBERG
NEAR TERM...DRAG  1143A
SHORT TERM...DRAG 1143A
LONG TERM...NIERENBERG
AVIATION...DRAG/NIERENBERG 1143A
MARINE...DRAG/NIERENBERG
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...1143A
CLIMATE...
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 1:27 PM EST, 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
127 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

PAZ054-055-251830-
CARBON-MONROE-
127 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED MID MORNING SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING WITH WITH GENERAL 2 TO 4 ACCUMULATIONS. PERSISTENT SUB-
FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK WITH SUBZERO NIGHTTIME LOWS AT TIMES. WIND CHILL MAY
DROP TO 18 BELOW EARLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012>020-026-027-PAZ060>062-070-071-
101>106-251830-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
127 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH 1 TO 3 INCH ACCUMULATIONS
LATE MORNING INTO THE EVENING...MOST OF IT ACCUMULATING DURING
MIDDAY OR THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONALLY, VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE ONLY DAY ABOVE FREEZING BEING EARLY
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-251830-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
127 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH ADDITIONAL SMALL ACCUMULATIONS
CENTERED AROUND SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE ONLY DAYS BRIEFLY ABOVE FREEZING BEING EITHER
SATURDAY OR EARLY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-251830-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
127 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 24, 3:28 AM ESTGale WarningPHI51 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2014Winter Weather Advisories in New Jersey, 2014Every winter weather advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.